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Profound Medical (PROF)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $6.9 | Market Cap: $207.4 Mil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services

Profound Medical (PROF)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $6.9
Market Cap: $207.4 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -17%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -84%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -25%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -42 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -357%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 60%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.23
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.0%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Personalized Diagnostics, Show more.
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -293%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -293%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -27%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -17%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 60%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Personalized Diagnostics, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -84%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -25%
4 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.23
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -42 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -357%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.0%
7 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -293%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -293%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -27%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PROF Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The stock of Profound Medical (PROF) experienced significant movement in the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, with a reported increase of 54.4%. Key factors influencing this change include:

1. Positive Analyst Ratings and Price Targets: Several financial analysts maintained "Buy" or "Strong Buy" ratings for Profound Medical, with average 12-month price targets suggesting a substantial upside from the stock's price during this period. For example, one analyst had a target of $11, predicting a 78.28% increase from a stock price of $6.16 as of April 23, 2025. Another consensus based on 3 Wall Street analysts in the last 3 months had an average price target of $11.24, representing a 70.29% change from a price of $6.60.

2. Favorable Setup for 2025 and Improved Reimbursement Rates: Lake Street Capital Markets maintained a "Buy" rating and a $17.00 price target for Profound Medical as of January 2, 2025, noting a "highly favorable setup for the company in 2025." This optimism was partly attributed to improved CMS reimbursement rates for its TULSA procedure, which became 25% higher than those for robotic radical prostatectomy, enhancing the financial viability of Profound's TULSA treatment.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PROF Return88%-45%-3%-22%-12%-17%-43%
Peers Return42%3%-9%-5%-14%33%43%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PROF Win Rate50%25%50%58%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate40%33%32%28%25%53% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PROF Max Drawdown-37%-50%-72%-28%-18%-48% 
Peers Max Drawdown-25%-12%-25%-25%-21%-10% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: A, ATEC, CERS, BLLN, BNBX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPROFS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-88.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven783.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-65.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven186.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven252 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-45.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven84.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven5 days120 days

Compare to A, ATEC, CERS, BLLN, BNBX


In The Past

Profound Medical's stock fell -88.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/5/2021. A -88.7% loss requires a 783.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Profound Medical (PROF)

Better Bets than Profound Medical (PROF)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PROF. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Profound Medical

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PROFAATECCERSBLLNBNBXMedian
NameProfound.Agilent .Alphatec Cerus BillionT.BNB Plus  
Mkt Price6.90149.2621.231.99102.763.1114.07
Mkt Cap0.242.43.20.4--1.8
Rev LTM126,788728199-4199
Op Inc LTM-421,444-74-9--13-13
FCF LTM-351,088-30--14-3
FCF 3Y Avg-271,308-112-15--10-15
CFO LTM-351,495354--134
CFO 3Y Avg-271,662-36-12--10-12

Growth & Margins

PROFAATECCERSBLLNBNBXMedian
NameProfound.Agilent .Alphatec Cerus BillionT.BNB Plus  
Rev Chg LTM59.8%4.5%27.1%13.0%--51.0%13.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg22.3%0.8%31.8%8.3%--12.6%8.3%
Rev Chg Q-1.0%10.1%30.4%14.5%-34.3%14.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.2%2.4%6.7%3.5%-7.5%3.5%
Op Mgn LTM-357.4%21.3%-10.1%-4.8%--306.1%-10.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-396.3%21.5%-21.8%-11.9%--170.3%-21.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-50.9%-0.1%3.8%1.3%-42.9%1.3%
CFO/Rev LTM-293.3%22.0%4.8%1.8%--301.5%1.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-313.6%24.6%-7.6%-7.5%--141.9%-7.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-293.3%16.0%-0.5%0.1%--313.1%-0.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-313.6%19.4%-21.7%-9.7%--147.0%-21.7%

Valuation

PROFAATECCERSBLLNBNBXMedian
NameProfound.Agilent .Alphatec Cerus BillionT.BNB Plus  
Mkt Cap0.242.43.20.4--1.8
P/S15.04.93.01.5--4.0
P/EBIT-4.222.2-19.2-42.1---11.7
P/E-4.427.5-14.2-19.1---9.3
P/CFO-5.122.462.885.5--42.6
Total Yield-23.0%4.5%-7.0%-5.2%---6.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.8%0.0%0.0%--0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-13.0%3.7%-11.2%-5.1%---8.1%
D/E0.00.10.30.3--0.2
Net D/E-0.20.10.20.1--0.1

Returns

PROFAATECCERSBLLNBNBXMedian
NameProfound.Agilent .Alphatec Cerus BillionT.BNB Plus  
1M Rtn15.8%3.2%10.1%30.9%--8.5%10.1%
3M Rtn58.3%19.4%33.5%51.9%--42.7%
6M Rtn25.0%30.4%72.9%38.2%--34.3%
12M Rtn-19.2%8.0%112.3%12.4%--10.2%
3Y Rtn30.7%-2.0%106.7%-52.0%--14.3%
1M Excs Rtn15.8%3.2%10.1%31.0%--8.5%10.1%
3M Excs Rtn50.8%11.1%22.9%44.3%--33.6%
6M Excs Rtn10.3%15.7%58.2%23.5%--19.6%
12M Excs Rtn-28.6%-4.5%89.0%-6.0%---5.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-25.0%-72.6%50.7%-119.0%---48.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Recurring - non-capital7543 
Capital equipment0235 
Product    4
Services    0
Total77774


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity954,054
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120256.8%
Average Daily Volume93,245
Days-to-Cover Short Interest10.23
Basic Shares Quantity30,053,142
Short % of Basic Shares3.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025814202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024307202510-K 12/31/2024
9302024110720246-K 9/30/2024
630202480820246-K 6/30/2024
331202450920246-K 3/31/2024
12312023307202440-F 12/31/2023
9302023110220236-K 9/30/2023
630202380920236-K 6/30/2023
331202351020236-K 3/31/2023
12312022307202340-F 12/31/2022
9302022110320226-K 9/30/2022
630202280420226-K 6/30/2022
331202250920226-K 3/31/2022
12312021303202240-F 12/31/2021
9302021110420216-K 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Menawat Arun SwarupCEO5202025Buy4.3310,00343,2632,487,143Form