Tearsheet

LAVA Therapeutics (LVTX)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $1.62 | Market Cap: $43.6 Mil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

LAVA Therapeutics (LVTX)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $1.62
Market Cap: $43.6 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -126%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -41%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -135%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -33 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -666%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -33%
2   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -719%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -719%
3   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 233%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -68%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -126%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -41%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -135%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -33 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -666%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -33%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -719%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -719%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 233%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -68%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

LVTX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

null

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LVTX Return---36%-55%-40%75%-70%
Peers Return-15%-9%-6%-3%-3%-17%-44%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%107%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LVTX Win Rate-22%25%42%33%70% 
Peers Win Rate18%15%23%31%22%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LVTX Max Drawdown---59%-67%-40%-5% 
Peers Max Drawdown-20%-13%-14%-15%-30%-27% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, APM, BBOT, GDTC, HIND.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLVTXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-92.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1267.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to VRTX, APM, BBOT, GDTC, HIND


In The Past

LAVA Therapeutics's stock fell -92.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/13/2021. A -92.7% loss requires a 1267.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About LAVA Therapeutics (LVTX)

Better Bets than LAVA Therapeutics (LVTX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to LVTX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GDRX_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG10312025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-11.9%-11.9%-11.9%
DXCM_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025DXCMDexComMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.3%-0.3%-5.8%
ACHC_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025ACHCAcadia HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-31.5%-31.5%-31.5%
PBH_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025PBHPrestige Consumer HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.6%-1.6%-1.9%
REGN_10032025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10032025REGNRegeneron PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.6%15.6%-7.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GDRX_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG10312025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-11.9%-11.9%-11.9%
DXCM_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025DXCMDexComMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.3%-0.3%-5.8%
ACHC_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025ACHCAcadia HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-31.5%-31.5%-31.5%
PBH_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025PBHPrestige Consumer HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.6%-1.6%-1.9%
REGN_10032025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10032025REGNRegeneron PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.6%15.6%-7.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for LAVA Therapeutics

Financials

LVTXVRTXAPMBBOTGDTCHINDMedian
NameLAVA The.Vertex P.Aptorum BridgeBi.CytoMed .Vyome  
Mkt Price1.66434.021.3513.731.984.883.43
Mkt Cap0.0110.9----55.5
Rev LTM511,723-0--5
Op Inc LTM-33-92--93---92
FCF LTM-363,337--60---36
FCF 3Y Avg-222,064----1,021
CFO LTM-363,718--60---36
CFO 3Y Avg-212,419----1,199

Growth & Margins

LVTXVRTXAPMBBOTGDTCHINDMedian
NameLAVA The.Vertex P.Aptorum BridgeBi.CytoMed .Vyome  
Rev Chg LTM-32.5%10.3%-----11.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg106.5%10.5%----58.5%
Rev Chg Q-11.0%----11.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.0%2.7%----1.3%
Op Mgn LTM-666.5%-0.8%-----333.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-402.3%26.2%-----188.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM42.2%1.0%----21.6%
CFO/Rev LTM-719.1%31.7%-----343.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-365.6%23.1%-----171.3%
FCF/Rev LTM-719.1%28.5%-----345.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-367.1%19.8%-----173.7%

Valuation

LVTXVRTXAPMBBOTGDTCHINDMedian
NameLAVA The.Vertex P.Aptorum BridgeBi.CytoMed .Vyome  
Mkt Cap0.0110.9----55.5
P/S8.99.5----9.2
P/EBIT-1.824.9----11.5
P/E-1.630.2----14.3
P/CFO-1.229.8----14.3
Total Yield-63.6%3.3%-----30.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-53.6%2.3%-----25.7%
D/E0.00.0----0.0
Net D/E-1.3-0.0-----0.6

Returns

LVTXVRTXAPMBBOTGDTCHINDMedian
NameLAVA The.Vertex P.Aptorum BridgeBi.CytoMed .Vyome  
1M Rtn12.2%4.1%-12.9%23.1%-13.5%-7.6%-1.7%
3M Rtn9.2%11.3%-0.7%13.7%11.2%-44.1%10.2%
6M Rtn31.7%-1.5%46.7%--11.4%-15.1%
12M Rtn5.7%-6.8%97.9%--8.9%--0.5%
3Y Rtn-68.6%37.9%-78.6%----68.6%
1M Excs Rtn12.0%4.0%-13.0%23.0%-13.7%-7.7%-1.8%
3M Excs Rtn4.8%7.0%-1.8%30.5%9.1%-50.0%5.9%
6M Excs Rtn19.9%-13.4%34.8%--23.3%-3.2%
12M Excs Rtn-13.8%-23.7%1.0%--22.3%--18.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-134.6%-29.1%-148.3%----134.6%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity425,851
Short Interest: % Change Since 10152025136.8%
Average Daily Volume687,333
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity26,899,122
Short % of Basic Shares1.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
3/28/2025-0.8%-9.2%-1.5%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive000
# Negative111
Median Positive   
Median Negative-0.8%-9.2%-1.5%
Max Positive   
Max Negative-0.8%-9.2%-1.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025813202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025514202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024328202510-K 12/31/2024
9302024121020246-K 9/30/2024
630202482020246-K 6/30/2024
331202452120246-K 3/31/2024
12312023320202420-F 12/31/2023
9302023111620236-K 9/30/2023
630202382220236-K 6/30/2023
331202360820236-K 3/31/2023
12312022411202320-F 12/31/2022
9302022111620226-K 9/30/2022
630202291320226-K 6/30/2022
331202251720226-K 3/31/2022
12312021324202220-F 12/31/2021
9302021111520216-K 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More