Leap Therapeutics (LPTX)
Market Price (11/13/2025): $1.55 | Market Cap: $64.2 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Leap Therapeutics (LPTX)
Market Price (11/13/2025): $1.55Market Cap: $64.2 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -21% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -24%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -153% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -63 Mil | |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 401% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -82% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 395% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -21% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -24%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -153% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -63 Mil |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 401% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -82% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 395% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
LPTX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Leap Therapeutics (LPTX) experienced a significant 561% stock increase between July 31, 2025, and today, driven by several key developments:
1. Strategic Shift to Digital Asset Treasury and Rebranding. The company announced a major strategic shift to incorporate a digital asset treasury focused on Zcash, leading to its rebranding as "Cypherpunk Technologies Inc." and a new Nasdaq ticker symbol "CYPH" effective November 13, 2025. This strategic pivot was a significant factor in the stock's surge.
2. $58.88 Million Private Placement Led by Winklevoss Capital. In October 2025, Leap Therapeutics closed a $58.88 million private placement in cash, primarily led by Winklevoss Capital. A substantial portion of these proceeds, specifically $50 million, was subsequently used to acquire ZEC, initiating the company's new digital asset treasury strategy.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LPTX Return | 101% | 44% | -86% | -8% | -31% | -29% | -82% |
| Peers Return | -15% | -9% | -6% | -3% | -3% | -17% | -44% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LPTX Win Rate | 50% | 42% | 25% | 50% | 33% | 30% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 18% | 15% | 23% | 31% | 22% | 62% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LPTX Max Drawdown | -5% | -40% | -87% | -71% | -59% | -92% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -20% | -13% | -14% | -15% | -30% | -27% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, APM, BBOT, GDTC, HIND.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/12/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | LPTX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -96.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 2984.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -60.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 151.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 329 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -93.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1496.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to VRTX, APM, BBOT, GDTC, HIND
In The Past
Leap Therapeutics's stock fell -96.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/30/2021. A -96.8% loss requires a 2984.6% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to LPTX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -10.1% | -10.1% | -10.1% |
| 10312025 | DXCM | DexCom | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.2% | -0.2% | -5.8% |
| 10242025 | ACHC | Acadia Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -22.0% | -22.0% | -22.3% |
| 10102025 | PBH | Prestige Consumer Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.7% | -0.7% | -1.9% |
| 10032025 | REGN | Regeneron Pharmaceuticals | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.4% | 12.4% | -7.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -10.1% | -10.1% | -10.1% |
| 10312025 | DXCM | DexCom | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.2% | -0.2% | -5.8% |
| 10242025 | ACHC | Acadia Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -22.0% | -22.0% | -22.3% |
| 10102025 | PBH | Prestige Consumer Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.7% | -0.7% | -1.9% |
| 10032025 | REGN | Regeneron Pharmaceuticals | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.4% | 12.4% | -7.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Leap Therapeutics
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 3.69 |
| Mkt Cap | 55.5 |
| Rev LTM | 0 |
| Op Inc LTM | -92 |
| FCF LTM | -60 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,005 |
| CFO LTM | -60 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,183 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 11.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -0.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 26.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 31.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 28.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 55.5 |
| P/S | 9.5 |
| P/EBIT | 11.8 |
| P/E | 14.5 |
| P/CFO | 14.2 |
| Total Yield | -37.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -108.5% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 6.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 10.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 19.6% |
| 12M Rtn | -13.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | -67.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 5.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 3.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -30.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -153.2% |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/14/2025 | -28.1% | -20.8% | -11.9% |
| 3/26/2025 | 16.9% | -24.9% | 1.3% |
| 11/13/2024 | -7.7% | -16.9% | |
| 8/12/2024 | -3.4% | 1.0% | 14.5% |
| 3/18/2024 | -3.2% | 14.0% | 34.8% |
| 11/13/2023 | 3.6% | 32.6% | 114.5% |
| 8/14/2023 | 1.7% | -8.9% | -26.7% |
| 3/24/2023 | -3.7% | -0.7% | |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 7 | 7 | 10 |
| # Negative | 11 | 11 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 3.6% | 4.0% | 10.6% |
| Median Negative | -3.4% | -8.9% | -22.5% |
| Max Positive | 16.9% | 32.6% | 114.5% |
| Max Negative | -45.5% | -37.0% | -29.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8142025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5132025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3262025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11132024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8122024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5132024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3182024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11132023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8142023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5152023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3242023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8122022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5132022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3112022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11122021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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