InflaRx (IFRX)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $1.29 | Market Cap: $87.4 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
InflaRx (IFRX)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $1.29Market Cap: $87.4 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -56% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -56%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -120% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -51 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -31293% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 516x | |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -63% | Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -26484%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -26511% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Biopharmaceutical R&D. | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -58% | |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 123% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -56% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 54% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -63% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Biopharmaceutical R&D. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -56%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -120% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -51 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -31293% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 516x |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -26484%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -26511% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -58% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 123% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
IFRX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Positive Phase 2a Clinical Trial Results for INF904. InflaRx reported positive topline data from its Phase 2a basket study evaluating INF904 in hidradenitis suppurativa (HS) and chronic spontaneous urticaria (CSU) in November 2025. The company highlighted rapid and consistent clinical improvements, along with a favorable safety profile, which significantly boosted investor interest and contributed to a substantial increase in the stock price. For example, one report noted a 33% 1-week share price return and a 99% gain over the preceding 90 days as of November 12, 2025, following these results.
2. Increased Analyst Confidence and Price Target Revisions. Following the positive clinical data, several analysts reiterated or upgraded their ratings and significantly increased price targets for InflaRx. Guggenheim, for instance, maintained a "Buy" recommendation and raised its price target from $10.00 to $22.00 on November 10, 2025. Additionally, H.C. Wainwright initiated coverage with a "Buy" rating and a $6.00 price target in September 2025.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| IFRX Return | 27% | -5% | -35% | -47% | 52% | -50% | -69% |
| Peers Return | -15% | -9% | -6% | -3% | -3% | -17% | -44% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 13% | 107% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| IFRX Win Rate | 50% | 33% | 25% | 33% | 58% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 18% | 15% | 23% | 31% | 22% | 62% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| IFRX Max Drawdown | -33% | -55% | -84% | -60% | -28% | -70% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -20% | -13% | -14% | -15% | -30% | -27% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, APM, BBOT, GDTC, HIND.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | IFRX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -87.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 711.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -58.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 142.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -95.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 2245.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to VRTX, APM, BBOT, GDTC, HIND
In The Past
InflaRx's stock fell -87.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/17/2021. A -87.7% loss requires a 711.8% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| With InflaRx Stock Sliding, Have You Assessed The Risk? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to IFRX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -11.9% | -11.9% | -11.9% |
| 10312025 | DXCM | DexCom | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.3% | -0.3% | -5.8% |
| 10242025 | ACHC | Acadia Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -31.5% | -31.5% | -31.5% |
| 10102025 | PBH | Prestige Consumer Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.6% | -1.6% | -1.9% |
| 10032025 | REGN | Regeneron Pharmaceuticals | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.6% | 15.6% | -7.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -11.9% | -11.9% | -11.9% |
| 10312025 | DXCM | DexCom | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.3% | -0.3% | -5.8% |
| 10242025 | ACHC | Acadia Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -31.5% | -31.5% | -31.5% |
| 10102025 | PBH | Prestige Consumer Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.6% | -1.6% | -1.9% |
| 10032025 | REGN | Regeneron Pharmaceuticals | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.6% | 15.6% | -7.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for InflaRx
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 3.43 |
| Mkt Cap | 55.5 |
| Rev LTM | 0 |
| Op Inc LTM | -92 |
| FCF LTM | -43 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,012 |
| CFO LTM | -43 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,190 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 32.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 265.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 14.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -15,646.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 26.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 4,534.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -13,226.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -13,241.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 55.5 |
| P/S | 262.7 |
| P/EBIT | 11.5 |
| P/E | 14.2 |
| P/CFO | 13.9 |
| Total Yield | -25.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -21.3% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -1.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 11.3% |
| 6M Rtn | -6.5% |
| 12M Rtn | -7.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | -51.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 8.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -18.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -23.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -120.4% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3202025 | 20-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3212024 | 20-F 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11012023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8102023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5112023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3222023 | 20-F 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5122022 | 6-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3242022 | 20-F 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11052021 | 6-K 9/30/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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