Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Synthetic Biology, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -132%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -159%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -333 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -185%
1  Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -29%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -56%
2   Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 45%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -92%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -104%
4   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 245%
5   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -80%
6   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 103%
7   Key risks
DNA key risks include [1] its persistent unprofitability and high cash burn, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Synthetic Biology, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -132%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -159%
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -333 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -185%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -29%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -56%
5 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 45%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -92%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -104%
7 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 245%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -80%
9 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 103%
10 Key risks
DNA key risks include [1] its persistent unprofitability and high cash burn, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

DNA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points highlighting why Ginkgo Bioworks (DNA) stock moved by -36.1% for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 22, 2025:

1. Significant Revenue Decline in Q3 2025: Ginkgo Bioworks reported a substantial 56% year-over-year decrease in total revenue for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, amounting to $39 million compared to $89 million in the comparable prior-year period. Excluding a $45 million non-cash revenue component from a prior-year agreement termination, total revenue still decreased by 11% year-over-year.

2. Missed Earnings Estimates and Worsening Net Loss: The company's Q3 2025 earnings per share (EPS) of -$1.45 significantly missed analysts' consensus estimates of -$1.24. Concurrently, Ginkgo's GAAP net loss widened to $(81) million in Q3 2025, compared to a loss of $(56) million in Q3 2024.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DNA Return-80%0%-85%-16%
Peers Return-62%-2%-12%-27%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DNA Win Rate50%25%42%42%42% 
Peers Win Rate34%28%47%43%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DNA Max Drawdown-80%-33%-92%-43% 
Peers Max Drawdown-72%-51%-40%-48% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TWST, CDXS, ABCL, RXRX, NTLA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDNAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-92.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1208.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to VRTX, ALPS, EVMN, MPLT, TTRX


In The Past

Ginkgo Bioworks's stock fell -92.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/8/2021. A -92.4% loss requires a 1208.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Ginkgo Bioworks (DNA)

Better Bets than Ginkgo Bioworks (DNA)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DNA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.4%17.4%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.7%-6.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.9%10.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
2.7%2.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
11.4%11.4%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.4%17.4%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.7%-6.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.9%10.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
2.7%2.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
11.4%11.4%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Ginkgo Bioworks

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DNATWSTCDXSABCLRXRXNTLAMedian
NameGinkgo B.Twist Bi.Codexis AbCeller.Recursio.Intellia. 
Mkt Price8.1032.511.663.604.269.236.18
Mkt Cap0.52.00.11.11.91.01.0
Rev LTM1813775335435855
Op Inc LTM-333-136-60-247-724-479-290
FCF LTM-187-76-62-153-450-413-170
FCF 3Y Avg-327-105-50-140-354-394-233
CFO LTM-166-48-56-105-441-411-135
CFO 3Y Avg-281-85-46-73-339-386-183

Growth & Margins

DNATWSTCDXSABCLRXRXNTLAMedian
NameGinkgo B.Twist Bi.Codexis AbCeller.Recursio.Intellia. 
Rev Chg LTM-17.1%20.3%-17.9%7.2%-32.8%33.5%-5.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-29.4%22.8%-25.0%-39.7%23.2%5.8%-9.6%
Rev Chg Q-56.4%16.9%-33.0%37.6%-80.9%51.3%-8.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-21.8%3.9%-7.4%7.4%-32.7%8.8%-1.7%
Op Mgn LTM-184.5%-36.2%-112.7%-699.7%-1,666.6%-832.2%-442.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-235.0%-58.9%-93.2%-661.1%-980.6%-1,006.0%-448.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-55.7%3.1%-12.5%102.7%-659.5%136.5%-4.7%
CFO/Rev LTM-91.8%-12.6%-105.7%-296.0%-1,016.2%-713.8%-200.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-118.0%-30.4%-74.5%-215.8%-686.3%-765.6%-166.9%
FCF/Rev LTM-103.6%-20.1%-116.5%-433.4%-1,037.0%-717.3%-275.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-136.7%-37.2%-81.6%-389.7%-715.3%-782.2%-263.2%

Valuation

DNATWSTCDXSABCLRXRXNTLAMedian
NameGinkgo B.Twist Bi.Codexis AbCeller.Recursio.Intellia. 
Mkt Cap0.52.00.11.11.91.01.0
P/S2.55.22.830.543.917.711.4
P/EBIT-1.1-15.1-2.5-4.4-2.7-2.1-2.6
P/E-1.3-25.3-2.3-6.3-2.7-2.3-2.5
P/CFO-2.7-41.2-2.7-10.3-4.3-2.5-3.5
Total Yield-75.3%-4.0%-42.7%-16.0%-37.6%-43.8%-40.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-41.8%-7.2%-26.9%-13.7%-18.5%-17.9%-18.2%
D/E0.90.00.50.10.00.10.1
Net D/E-0.1-0.10.1-0.3-0.3-0.4-0.2

Returns

DNATWSTCDXSABCLRXRXNTLAMedian
NameGinkgo B.Twist Bi.Codexis AbCeller.Recursio.Intellia. 
1M Rtn-0.9%13.8%7.8%2.6%2.2%12.4%5.2%
3M Rtn-28.8%16.6%-32.2%-20.2%-13.2%-40.8%-24.5%
6M Rtn-5.5%-6.1%-27.5%5.6%-15.3%0.3%-5.8%
12M Rtn-19.6%-32.2%-68.6%26.3%-29.4%-24.2%-26.8%
3Y Rtn-87.9%38.1%-64.5%-65.8%-44.2%-74.4%-65.1%
1M Excs Rtn-0.5%24.8%-0.4%-3.2%2.8%9.1%1.2%
3M Excs Rtn-34.8%14.8%-36.2%-27.6%-16.6%-48.6%-31.2%
6M Excs Rtn-18.5%-21.4%-43.1%-5.3%-25.2%-13.4%-19.9%
12M Excs Rtn-28.7%-45.8%-83.5%16.1%-53.1%-42.7%-44.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-159.0%-48.3%-141.3%-135.5%-124.4%-147.3%-138.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Cell Engineering14414411359
Biosecurity108334201 
Biosecurity revenue-Product   9
Biosecurity revenue-Service   9
Total25147831477


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil2024202320222021
Carrying cost of excess space (net of sublease income)0   
Restructuring charges0   
Biosecurity-3729 
Acquired in-process research and development-10   
Merger and acquisition related expenses-61   
Depreciation and amortization-71-43-28 
Impairment expense-121   
Stock-based compensation-235-1,941-1,688 
Cell Engineering-364-298-122 
Change in fair value of contingent consideration liability 10 
Impairment of long-lived assets 0  
Total-864-2,209-1,828 


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,628,250
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-5.9%
Average Daily Volume1,001,123
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.62
Basic Shares Quantity55,633,718
Short % of Basic Shares11.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/2025-20.8%-29.2%-15.4%
8/7/2025-8.7%-4.2%-16.9%
5/6/202514.7%25.9%12.1%
2/25/2025-11.5%-21.1%-35.4%
11/12/20242.5%-23.1%23.1%
5/9/2024-17.3%-8.8%-44.5%
2/29/2024-15.1%-21.1%-26.3%
11/8/2023-15.4%4.7%-8.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive644
# Negative91111
Median Positive4.8%7.6%17.6%
Median Negative-12.9%-21.1%-16.9%
Max Positive22.7%25.9%37.0%
Max Negative-20.8%-29.2%-44.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022313202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022815202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022516202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021329202210-K 12/31/2021