Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12%, FCF Yield is 16%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -55%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -97%
Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 108%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -30%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -91%
2 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 675%
  Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 67%
3 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 41%
  
4 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%
  
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include mRNA Technology, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12%, FCF Yield is 16%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -30%
2 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 675%
3 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 41%
4 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include mRNA Technology, Show more.
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -55%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -97%
7 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 108%
8 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -91%
9 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 67%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

CVAC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why CureVac's (CVAC) stock moved by approximately -2% between July 31, 2025, and November 12, 2025: 1. Disappointing Q2 2025 Financial Results. CureVac announced its second-quarter 2025 financial results on August 15, 2025, reporting a loss of ($0.30) per share, which missed analysts' consensus estimates of ($0.15) per share. The company also reported revenues of $1.41 million, falling short of the consensus estimate of $4.27 million.

2. BioNTech's Public Exchange Offer for CureVac Shares. On October 22, 2025, BioNTech commenced a public exchange offer to acquire all outstanding shares of CureVac. Under the terms, CureVac shareholders would receive approximately $5.46 in BioNTech American Depositary Shares for each CureVac share. The potential uncertainty or perceived valuation of this offer, which also carried conditions such as an 80% tender threshold, could have contributed to downward pressure on CureVac's stock.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CVAC Return--58%-82%-30%-19%55%-93%
Peers Return-15%-9%-6%-3%-3%-17%-44%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%107%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CVAC Win Rate50%42%17%42%33%50% 
Peers Win Rate18%15%23%31%22%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CVAC Max Drawdown--58%-83%-34%-45%-24% 
Peers Max Drawdown-20%-13%-14%-15%-30%-27% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, APM, BBOT, GDTC, HIND.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCVACS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-96.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven3120.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-43.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven76.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven53 days148 days

Compare to VRTX, APM, BBOT, GDTC, HIND


In The Past

CureVac's stock fell -96.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/27/2021. A -96.9% loss requires a 3120.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About CureVac (CVAC)

Better Bets than CureVac (CVAC)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1How Low Can CureVac Stock Really Go?Return
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CVAC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GDRX_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG10312025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-11.9%-11.9%-11.9%
DXCM_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025DXCMDexComMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.3%-0.3%-5.8%
ACHC_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025ACHCAcadia HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-31.5%-31.5%-31.5%
PBH_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025PBHPrestige Consumer HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.6%-1.6%-1.9%
REGN_10032025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10032025REGNRegeneron PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.6%15.6%-7.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GDRX_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG10312025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-11.9%-11.9%-11.9%
DXCM_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025DXCMDexComMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.3%-0.3%-5.8%
ACHC_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025ACHCAcadia HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-31.5%-31.5%-31.5%
PBH_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025PBHPrestige Consumer HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.6%-1.6%-1.9%
REGN_10032025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10032025REGNRegeneron PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.6%15.6%-7.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for CureVac

Financials

CVACVRTXAPMBBOTGDTCHINDMedian
NameCureVac Vertex P.Aptorum BridgeBi.CytoMed .Vyome  
Mkt Price5.28434.021.3513.731.984.885.08
Mkt Cap1.2110.9----56.1
Rev LTM51111,723-0--511
Op Inc LTM210-92--93---92
FCF LTM1963,337--60--196
FCF 3Y Avg-1532,064----955
CFO LTM2043,718--60--204
CFO 3Y Avg-1112,419----1,154

Growth & Margins

CVACVRTXAPMBBOTGDTCHINDMedian
NameCureVac Vertex P.Aptorum BridgeBi.CytoMed .Vyome  
Rev Chg LTM675.2%10.3%----342.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg227.6%10.5%----119.1%
Rev Chg Q-91.4%11.0%-----40.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.5%2.7%----0.1%
Op Mgn LTM41.1%-0.8%----20.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-403.2%26.2%-----188.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM3.3%1.0%----2.1%
CFO/Rev LTM40.0%31.7%----35.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-353.8%23.1%-----165.4%
FCF/Rev LTM38.4%28.5%----33.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-442.0%19.8%-----211.1%

Valuation

CVACVRTXAPMBBOTGDTCHINDMedian
NameCureVac Vertex P.Aptorum BridgeBi.CytoMed .Vyome  
Mkt Cap1.2110.9----56.1
P/S2.39.5----5.9
P/EBIT5.424.9----15.1
P/E6.130.2----18.2
P/CFO5.829.8----17.8
Total Yield16.3%3.3%----9.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-13.7%2.3%-----5.7%
D/E0.00.0----0.0
Net D/E-0.3-0.0-----0.2

Returns

CVACVRTXAPMBBOTGDTCHINDMedian
NameCureVac Vertex P.Aptorum BridgeBi.CytoMed .Vyome  
1M Rtn-1.5%4.1%-12.9%23.1%-13.5%-7.6%-4.5%
3M Rtn-3.1%11.3%-0.7%13.7%11.2%-44.1%5.3%
6M Rtn36.4%-1.5%46.7%--11.4%-17.5%
12M Rtn107.9%-6.8%97.9%--8.9%-45.6%
3Y Rtn-35.3%37.9%-78.6%----35.3%
1M Excs Rtn-1.6%4.0%-13.0%23.0%-13.7%-7.7%-4.7%
3M Excs Rtn-7.4%7.0%-1.8%30.5%9.1%-50.0%2.6%
6M Excs Rtn24.5%-13.4%34.8%--23.3%-5.6%
12M Excs Rtn80.5%-23.7%1.0%--22.3%--10.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-96.9%-29.1%-148.3%----96.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Discovery and development of biotechnological applications5467   
Delivery of products  019
Delivery of research and development services combined with an intellectual property (IP) license  80476
Research and development services considered distinct within the agreements  2323
Total54671034917


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity801,715
Short Interest: % Change Since 10152025-13.6%
Average Daily Volume471,117
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.70
Basic Shares Quantity225,172,847
Short % of Basic Shares0.4%

Returns Analyses

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
630202581520256-K 6/30/2025
331202552020256-K 3/31/2025
12312024411202520-F 12/31/2024
9302024111220246-K 9/30/2024
630202481520246-K 6/30/2024
331202452320246-K 3/31/2024
12312023425202420-F 12/31/2023
9302023111420236-K 9/30/2023
630202381720236-K 6/30/2023
331202353020236-K 3/31/2023
12312022425202320-F 12/31/2022
9302022111720226-K 9/30/2022
630202281820226-K 6/30/2022
331202252520226-K 3/31/2022
12312021428202220-F 12/31/2021
9302021121720216-K 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

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