Tearsheet

BKV (BKV)


Market Price (12/23/2025): $27.09 | Market Cap: $2.3 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

BKV (BKV)


Market Price (12/23/2025): $27.09
Market Cap: $2.3 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 31x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 51x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -14%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%
Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.8%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include US LNG, US Oilfield Technologies, Show more.
Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.2%
4  Key risks
BKV key risks include [1] substantial derivative losses contributing to recent net losses and [2] historically high operating expenses that have pressured profitability.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include US LNG, US Oilfield Technologies, Show more.
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 31x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 51x
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -14%
6 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.8%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.2%
8 Key risks
BKV key risks include [1] substantial derivative losses contributing to recent net losses and [2] historically high operating expenses that have pressured profitability.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BKV Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

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For the period between August 31, 2025, and December 23, 2025, BKV Corporation (BKV) experienced a stock movement, which can be attributed to several key developments:

1. BKV Reported Strong Q3 2025 Earnings. The company announced its third-quarter 2025 earnings per share (EPS) of $0.50, significantly surpassing analysts' consensus estimate of $0.15.

2. Public Offering to Fund Strategic Acquisition. On December 1, 2025, BKV announced an underwritten public offering of 6 million shares of its common stock. The proceeds from this offering are intended to fund the cash portion of its previously announced acquisition of a controlling interest in BKV-BPP Power, LLC.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 26.6% change in BKV stock from 9/22/2025 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 16.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
922202512222025Change
Stock Price ($)21.4027.0926.59%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)743.75809.098.78%
P/S Multiple2.442.8416.46%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)84.7184.78-0.08%
Cumulative Contribution26.59%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/22/2025 to 12/22/2025
ReturnCorrelation
BKV26.6% 
Market (SPY)2.7%32.8%
Sector (XLE)0.9%65.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 12.9% change in BKV stock from 6/23/2025 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 20.4% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
623202512222025Change
Stock Price ($)24.0027.0912.87%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)671.87809.0920.42%
P/S Multiple3.032.84-6.19%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)84.7184.78-0.08%
Cumulative Contribution12.87%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/23/2025 to 12/22/2025
ReturnCorrelation
BKV12.9% 
Market (SPY)14.4%28.9%
Sector (XLE)3.7%58.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 24.9% change in BKV stock from 12/22/2024 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 34.9% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
1222202412222025Change
Stock Price ($)21.6927.0924.90%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)599.87809.0934.88%
P/S Multiple2.462.8415.40%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)68.0284.78-24.63%
Cumulative Contribution17.32%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/22/2024 to 12/22/2025
ReturnCorrelation
BKV24.9% 
Market (SPY)16.9%47.7%
Sector (XLE)8.6%61.0%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

12/23/2023 to 12/22/2025
ReturnCorrelation
BKV  
Market (SPY)47.7%47.3%
Sector (XLE)10.2%58.1%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BKV Return12%
Peers Return27%104%50%7%32%5%476%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%113%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BKV Win Rate67%58% 
Peers Win Rate45%62%65%53%55%53% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BKV Max Drawdown-33% 
Peers Max Drawdown-55%-2%-3%-15%-10%-7% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EQT, RRC, AR, CTRA, WMB.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/22/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

BKV has limited trading history. Below is the Energy sector ETF (XLE) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-26.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven36.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven116 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-60.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven153.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven660 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-31.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,201 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-57.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven137.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,858 days1,480 days

Compare to

In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -26.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/8/2022. A -26.9% loss requires a 36.7% gain to breakeven.

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About BKV (BKV)

We are a forward thinking, growth driven energy company focused on creating value for our stockholders through the organic development of our properties as well as accretive acquisitions. Our core business is to produce natural gas from our owned and operated upstream businesses, which are supported by our four business lines: natural gas production; natural gas gathering, processing and transportation (our “natural gas midstream business”); power generation; and carbon capture, utilization and sequestration (“CCUS”). We expect our owned and operated upstream and natural gas midstream businesses to achieve net zero Scope 1 and Scope 2 emissions by the early 2030s, and net zero Scope 1, 2 and 3 emissions by the late 2030s. We maintain a “closed-loop” approach to our net zero emissions goal through the operation of our four business lines. We are committed to vertically integrating portions of our business to reduce costs and improve overall commercial optimization of the full value chain. For instance, in the Barnett, our natural gas production is gathered and transported in part through our midstream systems and we commenced sequestration operations at our first CCUS project in November 2023. We expect our second CCUS project to commence sequestration activities in the first half of 2026 and are evaluating a robust backlog of actionable CCUS opportunities. We believe that our differentiated business model, net zero emissions focus, highly experienced management team and technology-driven approach to operating our business will enable us to create stockholder value. --- We understand the impact climate change has on our community, the world and future generations, which is why addressing these impacts in how energy is produced is a top priority. In particular, it is one of our core values, “Be One BKV,” to create a unified team with a shared vision to achieve our emission reduction and energy impact goals. --- Natural Gas Production We are engaged in the acquisition, operation and development of natural gas and NGL properties primarily located in the Barnett Shale in the Fort Worth Basin of Texas (the “Barnett”) and in the Marcellus Shale in the Appalachian Basin of Northeastern Pennsylvania (“NEPA”). Our upstream assets are the core of our business and provide us with substantial Adjusted Free Cash Flow, which we expect will be sufficient to fund our upstream, midstream and power capital expenditure program while maintaining a conservative balance sheet. We have a balanced portfolio of low decline producing properties and undeveloped inventory, primarily in the Barnett. Additionally, our focus on operational efficiencies, access to BKV-owned and third-party midstream systems, and proximity to natural gas demand markets along the Gulf Coast and Northeast corridor allow us to generate high margins. As of June 30, 2024, our total acreage position was approximately 479,000 net acres, 99% of which was held by production. For the six months ended June 30, 2024, our net daily production averaged 807.6 MMcfe/d, consisting of approximately 80% natural gas and approximately 20% NGLs. As of December 31, 2023, our total proved reserves of 4,094 Bcfe had an estimated 8.1% year-over-year average base decline rate over the next 10 years. As of December 31, 2023, we had more than 15 years of core development inventory, with attractive returns, based on a 1 to 1.5 rigs per year pace, including 540 gross drilling locations, of which 68 are proved locations, and 2,097 gross refracture (“refrac”) candidates, of which 375 are proved locations. Based on current commodity prices, the capital investment required to hold production flat year-over-year is equal to less than approximately 60% of our Adjusted EBITDAX for the 2023 fiscal year. Adjusted EBITDAX is not a financial measure calculated in accordance with GAAP. We entered the Barnett in October 2020 with our acquisition of more than 289,000 net acres and 3,850 producing operated wells and related upstream assets (the “2020 Barnett Assets”) from Devon Energy Corporation (“Devon Energy”). On June 30, 2022, we further scaled our Barnett position by acquiring approximately 165,000 net acres, 2,100 operated wells and related upstream, midstream and other assets in the Exxon Barnett Acquisition. As of June 30, 2024, our Barnett acreage position was approximately 460,000 net acres, which is approximately 99% held by production. Our average daily Barnett production of approximately 682.5 MMcfe/d for the six months ended June 30, 2024 consisted of approximately 76% natural gas and approximately 24% NGLs. We had an average working interest in our operated wells in the Barnett of approximately 96.9% as of December 31, 2023 and an Effective NRI in the Barnett of approximately 80.2%. We are the largest natural gas producer by gross operated volume in the Barnett. Based on information published by the Texas Railroad Commission (“TRRC”), the chart below illustrates our gross operated production volumes in the Barnett as of January 2024, which represent approximately 29% of the total Barnett production, and nearly double than that of the next largest producer in the Barnett for the month of January 2024. --- We entered NEPA in 2016 and have subsequently scaled our position through 12 acquisitions. As of June 30, 2024, our acreage position was approximately 19,480 net acres, which is approximately 97.5% held by production. Our average net daily production of 125.2 MMcfe/d for the six months ended June 30, 2024 consisted entirely of natural gas. We had an average working interest in our operated wells in NEPA of 89.4%, as of December 31, 2023. On June 14, 2024, we sold our wholly owned subsidiary, BKV Chaffee, which owned a non-operated interest in approximately 9,800 net acres and 116 gross (24.2 net) wells and approximately 122 Bcfe of proved reserves in NEPA, as well as our interest in the Repsol Oil & Gas operated midstream system, for a purchase price of $106.7 million, subject to adjustment. On June 28, 2024, our wholly owned subsidiary, BKV Chelsea, sold certain of its non-operated upstream assets, including its interest in approximately 6,800 net acres and 214 gross (15.4 net) wells and approximately 35 Bcfe of proved reserves in NEPA for a purchase price of $25.0 million, subject to adjustment. In February 2023, we re-certified most of our production under the TrustWell environmental assessment program of Project Canary, an environmental certification and ESG data company. We achieved a Gold rating from Project Canary, the second highest rating a company can receive for its production, qualifying the certified portion of our natural gas production as Responsibly Sourced Gas (“RSG”). As part of its environmental assessment, Project Canary analyzes and certifies our production on a well by well basis. As of June 30, 2024, approximately 70% of our NEPA production and approximately 45% of our Barnett production was re-certified. We intend to continue an environmental assessment of substantially all of our existing production. In addition, we intend to advance the market for our produced gas beyond RSG and its current certification towards “Carbon Sequestered Gas”, a Scope 1, 2 and 3 carbon neutral natural gas product. We expect that production of Carbon Sequestered Gas will be achieved by bundling RSG with carbon credits sufficient to offset the estimated emissions associated with the production, gathering and boosting of such RSG, as well as the estimated emissions from its transmission, distribution (if applicable) and ultimate combustion, with the quantified emissions and the requisite volume of CCUS offsets being third-party certified. We have an agreement with a third party to establish the blockchain ledger and tokens; however, this process is dependent upon the development of the necessary technology by such third party. In addition, we expect to utilize the blockchain ledger and tokens with the American Carbon Registry, once that registry has been established. The carbon credits included in our Carbon Sequestered Gas will be generated by our CCUS projects, and retired against our Scope 1 and/or Scope 3 emissions. We believe Carbon Sequestered Gas could potentially provide a decarbonized, certified and qualified fuel and retired credits bundle that is a differentiated and premium product. In August 2023, BKV entered into a contract with ENGIE Energy Marketing NA, Inc, a subsidiary of global energy utility ENGIE S.A. (“ENGIE”), for the sale and purchase of up to 10,000 MMBtu/ d of our Carbon Sequestered Gas. Additionally, in March 2024, BKV entered into a contract with Kiewit Infrastructure South Co., a subsidiary of Kiewit Corporation (“Kiewit”), for the sale and purchase of up to 100 MMBtu/d of our Carbon Sequestered Gas. The carbon credits included in our Carbon Sequestered Gas will be generated by our CCUS projects and will be third-party verified. Subject to completion of our certification process with the American Carbon Registry, we expect to begin delivery of Carbon Sequestered Gas by the end of 2024. Natural Gas Midstream Through our ownership in midstream systems, we are engaged in the gathering, processing and transportation of natural gas (which we refer to as our natural gas midstream business) that supports our upstream assets and third-party producers in the Barnett and NEPA. Our midstream assets improve our overall corporate returns by enhancing our margins and lowering our break-even operating costs while allowing us to manage the timing, development and optimization of production of our upstream assets. In the Barnett, during the six months ended June 30, 2024, approximately 193 MMcf/d of our gross production (approximately 22% of our total gross Barnett production) was gathered and processed by our owned Barnett midstream system, which includes approximately 778 miles of gathering pipeline, 65 midstream compressors and one amine processing unit. Additionally, our owned Barnett midstream system has over 200 MMcf/d in unutilized pipeline and processing capacity, providing room to increase throughput (from our own production and for third-party volumes) while maintaining optimal operating pressure with limited additional capital investment required. We also believe we have ample dedicated capacity on third party midstream systems for our expected production and future development. We own and operate approximately 16 miles of natural gas gathering pipelines, 14 miles of freshwater distribution pipelines and six gas compression units in NEPA. As part of our sale of BKV Chaffee, we sold our minority non-operated ownership interest in a Repsol Oil & Gas operated midstream system in NEPA on June 14, 2024. Power Generation We have a 50% ownership interest in the BKV-BPP Power Joint Venture, which owns the Temple Plants, modern combined cycle gas and steam turbine power plants located in the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (“ERCOT”) North Zone in Temple, Texas. The remaining 50% interest is owned by BPPUS, a wholly owned subsidiary of Banpu Power and an affiliate of our sponsor, Banpu. Temple I and Temple II have annual average power generation capacities of 752 MW and 747 MW, respectively, and each power plant delivers power to customers on the ERCOT power network in Texas. Temple I and Temple II have baseload design heat rates of approximately 6,904 Btu/kWh and 6,950 Btu/kWh, respectively, which are below the ERCOT Combined Cycle Gas Turbines (“CCGT”) average. The modern technology utilized at the Temple Plants enables them to respond to rapidly changing market signals in real time, ensuring the highest operational readiness during the time when electricity consumption peaks (in winter and summer), making the power plants well-suited to serve the various needs of the ERCOT market. We continue to explore potential additional acquisitions to expand our power generation business. We expect our power generation assets will be synergistic with our base upstream business and we leverage our existing organization to provide marketing, engineering, finance, accounting and other administrative services to the BKV-BPP Power Joint Venture for an annual fee plus expenses. In addition, after receiving the necessary approvals from the Public Utility Commission of Texas (the “PUCT”) and ERCOT, the BKV-BPP Power Joint Venture recently launched a retail marketing business to sell electricity to commercial, industrial, and residential retail customers in Texas through its wholly owned subsidiary, BKV-BPP Retail, LLC (“BKV-BPP Retail”), under the brand name BKV Energy. Since its official launch in February 2023, BKV Energy has built a portfolio of over 57,000 customers and is licensed to serve throughout the deregulated portions of Texas. Carbon Capture, Utilization and Sequestration Through our CCUS business, we aim to reduce man-made GHG emissions to the atmosphere by capturing CO2 emitted in connection with natural gas activities, whether from our own operations or third- party operations, as well as from other energy and industrial sources. Our process involves capturing CO2 before it is released into the atmosphere and then compressing the captured CO2 and transporting it via pipeline to sites where it can be injected into Underground Injection Control (“UIC”) wells for secure geologic sequestration. Additionally, we have engaged Project Canary to analyze and report the CO2e injection volumes and environmental attributes of our sequestration projects, and we are working with the American Carbon Registry to certify and register the environmental attributes associated with our CCUS projects as tradeable carbon credits. In the future, we may sell carbon credits associated with our CCUS projects to unrelated third parties outside of our value chain, which may negatively impact our net zero strategy, including by delaying or preventing our achievement of net zero. Although we formally launched our CCUS business in March 2022 with the establishment of BKV dCarbon Ventures, we have been evaluating project opportunities and developing our CCUS business since early 2021. The development of our CCUS business has progressed rapidly, supported by internal geology, engineering, operations, business development, land, regulatory and other professionals, along with academics and CCUS-focused partnerships. We believe that with a continued and timely execution of our business plans, the Barnett Zero Project could begin generating positive net income via tax credits in 2024. We expect to fund up to 50% of our CCUS business from a variety of external sources, which may include joint ventures, project-based equity partnerships and federal grants, with the remaining capital needs being funded with cash flows from operations. The projected timeline for commercial operations and the generation of positive CCUS business revenue and positive earnings depends, in part, on our ability to fund the anticipated capital requirements for the potential projects that we have identified and described below through external funding and revenues from our upstream business, as well as on our ability to receive our portion of the anticipated Section 45Q tax credits associated with these projects. We may not receive 100% of the Section 45Q tax credits associated with projects funded by third parties and, in such cases, will receive only a corresponding percentage of the anticipated Section 45Q tax credits associated with such projects. We seek to execute CCUS projects with attractive standalone economics and the ability to sequester emissions from both our own operations and from third-party operations. For example, we plan to target CCUS projects with high concentration CO2 streams where revenue, taking into account tax incentives, less cash operating expense would generally be expected to be between $40 and $70 per metric ton of sequestered CO2e for the first six years of commercial operations for projects owned by BKV. Additionally, we are evaluating the feasibility of developing CCUS projects outside of the United States. We may also provide development and support services for third-party owned CCUS projects on a fee-for-service model, although such projects will not be included in our path to net zero. We are also evaluating potential third party investments in our CCUS business, which may accelerate the development of our CCUS projects; however, depending on the terms of such investment, this may impact the ultimate number of carbon credits we may receive from such projects. As part of our “closed-loop” approach to our net zero emissions goal, we expect to apply a portion of the CO2 emissions that are sequestered through our CCUS business to offset GHG emissions from our owned and operated upstream and natural gas midstream businesses. We may not receive 100% of the environmental attributes associated with CCUS projects funded in whole or in part by third parties, and, in such cases, we expect to have the right to purchase such environmental attributes BKV would not otherwise receive. Ultimately, we will be able to apply only such portion of the sequestered emissions to offset our own GHG emissions that corresponds to the percentage of environmental attributes BKV receives or purchases. We expect our CCUS business to contribute in significant part to our goals to fully offset our Scope 1 and 2 emissions from our owned and operated upstream and natural gas midstream businesses by the early 2030s, and our Scope 1, 2 and 3 emissions from our owned and operated upstream and natural gas midstream businesses by the late 2030s. Our principal executive offices are located at 1200 17th Street, Suite 2100, Denver, Colorado.

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  • EOG Resources (EOG) focused on natural gas shale.
  • A natural gas-centric Occidental Petroleum (OXY).

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  • Bus Transportation: Operating a network of urban and suburban bus routes.
  • Tram Transportation: Providing tram services across Budapest.
  • Metro Transportation: Managing and operating the city's underground railway network.
  • Trolleybus Transportation: Offering electric trolleybus services within the city.
  • Suburban Railway (HÉV) Services: Operating commuter rail lines connecting Budapest with surrounding towns.
  • Danube Boat Services: Providing seasonal public boat transport services on the Danube River.

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BKV Major Customers

Major Customers of BKV (symbol: BKV)

BKV (Budapesti Közlekedési Vállalat) is primarily a public transportation company, and as such, it sells its services predominantly to individuals.

Categories of Individual Customers:

  • 1. Residents and Daily Commuters:

    This category encompasses individuals who live and work in Budapest and rely on BKV's extensive network of buses, trams, trolleybuses, and metro lines for their regular daily commute, errands, and general movement within the city. They often utilize various forms of passes (e.g., monthly, annual) for cost-effective and convenient travel.

  • 2. Tourists and Visitors:

    Individuals visiting Budapest for leisure, business, or other short-term purposes constitute another significant customer segment. These customers use BKV services to explore the city's attractions, travel between different districts, and reach their destinations. They typically purchase short-term passes (e.g., 24-hour, 72-hour, 7-day passes) or single tickets.

  • 3. Students, Seniors, and Discounted Fare Users:

    BKV provides various discounted fares and passes for specific demographic groups, such as students, senior citizens, and individuals with disabilities. These users depend on BKV for affordable and accessible transportation, contributing to social inclusion and mobility for these segments of the population.

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Chris Kalnin, Chief Executive Officer

Christopher (Chris) Kalnin is the Chief Executive Officer and Founder of BKV Corporation, which he started in June 2015 with the vision to create a natural gas E&P company. Prior to founding BKV, he served as Vice President of Strategic Business Operations and Planning at Level 3 Communications (now Lumen). He also acted as a strategic advisor to the CEO at Thailand's national oil and gas company PTT Exploration and Production (PTTEP) and worked as a consultant with McKinsey & Company. Kalnin began his career as a Financial Analyst with Credit Suisse First Boston.

David Tameron, Chief Financial Officer

David Tameron is the Chief Financial Officer of BKV Corporation, a role he will assume on April 1, 2025. He previously served as the Company's Vice President, Strategic Finance and Investor Relations. Before joining BKV in August 2022, Tameron accumulated 25 years of experience in corporate banking leadership roles on Wall Street, including two decades as a leading Sell-Side Analyst in the exploration and production (E&P) sector. His prior roles at Wells Fargo & Company include Managing Director of Denver-based Corporate Banking and Managing Director of Institutional Equity Research. Tameron's background also includes time at ExxonMobil and in the private M&A sector.

Eric Jacobsen, President, Upstream

Lindsay Larrick, Chief Legal Officer

Ethan Ngo, Chief Development Officer

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Here are the key risks to BKV's business:

  1. Volatile Commodity Prices and Derivative Losses: BKV operates in an energy market highly susceptible to fluctuations in natural gas and NGL prices due to geopolitical forces, supply and demand dynamics, and overall market volatility. This inherent instability can significantly impact the company's revenue and profitability. Furthermore, BKV's exposure to market volatility also leads to substantial derivative losses, which have contributed to net losses in recent financial periods.
  2. Regulatory and Environmental Risks: As an energy company involved in hydrocarbon extraction, BKV faces considerable regulatory and environmental risks. These include the threat of evolving environmental protection regulations, stricter rules on emissions, and potential legal challenges related to its operational methods, such as hydraulic fracturing. Such regulatory changes or legal actions could lead to increased operational costs, restrict the company's ability to execute its business strategy, and potentially harm its reputation.
  3. High Operating Expenses: BKV Corporation has historically grappled with high operating expenses, including costs associated with lease operations, workovers, taxes, gathering, transportation, and depreciation. These significant costs have pressured the company's profitability and contributed to operating losses, as evidenced in past financial reports.

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The primary clear emerging threat to BKV Corporation, an upstream natural gas producer, is the accelerating global energy transition. This encompasses:

  • Rapid deployment and increasing cost-effectiveness of renewable energy sources (such as solar and wind) and energy storage solutions. This trend directly threatens the long-term demand for natural gas in power generation and other sectors, as utilities and industries shift towards cleaner, increasingly competitive alternatives.
  • Intensified regulatory and investor pressure to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, particularly methane, throughout the natural gas value chain. This leads to increasing operational costs, compliance burdens, and potential restrictions on future development, impacting the economic viability and social license of natural gas production.

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BKV (NYSE: BKV) operates in four primary business lines: natural gas upstream (production), natural gas midstream (gathering, processing, and transportation), power generation, and carbon capture, utilization, and sequestration (CCUS). The addressable markets for BKV's main products and services are as follows: * Natural Gas Upstream (Production): The U.S. natural gas market was valued at approximately $454.5 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $577.9 billion by 2032, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.2% between 2025 and 2032. BKV is recognized as a top 20 gas-weighted natural gas producer in the United States. * Natural Gas Midstream (Gathering, Processing, and Transportation): The global oil and gas midstream market was valued at approximately $835.7 billion in 2024 and is forecast to grow to $1,273.2 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 4.8% during the 2025-2033 period. North America holds the dominant share of this market, accounting for 42%. The natural gas segment within the midstream market is experiencing the fastest growth, with a CAGR of 5.7%. * Power Generation: BKV's power generation assets serve the ERCOT market in Texas. In 2025, the total energy demand for ERCOT is projected to be 500 terawatthours (TWh), with a peak demand of 88.3 GW. Natural gas-fired generation constituted 43% of ERCOT's electricity supply during the first nine months of 2025. * Carbon Capture, Utilization, and Sequestration (CCUS): The global Carbon Capture, Utilization and Storage market size was estimated at $6.9 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach approximately $37.5 billion by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of 6.5% from 2024 to 2033. North America is a dominant region in the global CCUS market.

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Expected drivers of future revenue growth for BKV over the next 2-3 years include:

  1. Increased Natural Gas Production through Organic Growth and Strategic Acquisitions: BKV is focused on expanding its upstream natural gas production. The company has consistently exceeded production guidance, with full-year 2025 production guidance raised to 800 MMcfe/day. A significant driver is the acquisition of Bedrock Energy Partners' Barnett Shale assets, expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2025, which adds approximately 108 MMcfe/d of production and nearly 1 Tcfe of 1P reserves. BKV aims for a 2-3% production growth target.
  2. Expansion of the Power Generation Business: BKV is actively growing its power generation segment, particularly capitalizing on high demand in the ERCOT market, driven by trends such as cloud computing and generative AI. The company anticipates a gross 2025 adjusted EBITDA range of $130 million to $170 million from its Power Joint Venture (JV). Furthermore, BKV's plan to increase its ownership in the BKV-BPP Power joint venture from 50% to 75%, expected to close in Q1 2026, will enhance strategic control and consolidate the JV's financial results, further accelerating growth in this sector.
  3. Growth and Commercialization of Carbon Capture, Utilization, and Sequestration (CCUS) Initiatives: BKV is making significant strides in its CCUS business, aligning with the growing demand for low-carbon and decarbonized energy solutions. The company secured a major $500 million investment agreement with Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners, with potential expansion to $1 billion, to accelerate its CCUS growth. BKV is targeting a 1 million tons per year CO2 injection by 2027, and its Cotton Cove project is slated for first injection in the first half of 2026. The Barnett Zero Project has already sequestered over 212,000 metric tons of CO2 equivalent since late 2023.

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Share Issuance

  • BKV Corporation completed its Initial Public Offering (IPO) on September 26, 2024, raising $270 million in proceeds, with $253.8 million in net proceeds to the company after underwriting discounts and commissions.
  • The number of shares outstanding for BKV Corporation increased by 24.78% in one year, reaching 84.71 million shares as of November 2025.
  • As part of the acquisition of Bedrock Energy Partners' Barnett Shale assets in August 2025, the purchase price included up to $110.0 million, or approximately 5.2 million shares, of BKV common stock.

Inbound Investments

  • In May 2025, BKV Corporation announced a strategic carbon capture joint venture with Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners (CIP) that included a $500 million investment to accelerate CCUS projects.

Outbound Investments

  • In September 2025, BKV Corporation successfully acquired Bedrock Energy Partners' Barnett Shale assets for approximately $370 million, which included 97,000 net acres and midstream infrastructure.
  • BKV Corporation plans to increase its ownership in the BKV-BPP Power joint venture to 75% by acquiring an additional 25% stake from Banpu Power US Corporation, a transaction valued at approximately $376 million.

Capital Expenditures

  • Full-year 2024 accrued capital expenditures were approximately $118 million, with $82 million allocated to development and $35 million to carbon capture, utilization, and sequestration (CCUS) and other initiatives, marking a 28% year-over-year reduction.
  • For the first quarter of 2025, capital expenditures totaled $18.0 million, with $13.1 million directed towards development capital and $4.5 million towards CCUS.
  • The total capital expenditure guidance for 2025 is set between $320 million and $380 million, including approximately $220 million for upstream development and $90 million for CCUS.

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Trade Ideas

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OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
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COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
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HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
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Financials

BKVEQTRRCARCTRAWMBMedian
NameBKV EQT Range Re.Antero R.Coterra .Williams. 
Mkt Price27.0953.5034.8333.6225.5258.9234.22
Mkt Cap2.333.48.310.419.572.014.9
Rev LTM8097,8882,8784,8807,08111,4955,980
Op Inc LTM792,9227817332,2023,9411,492
FCF LTM-552,4904971,1801,4481,7221,314
FCF 3Y Avg-351,5905409811,6072,4581,285
CFO LTM2174,7571,1321,5383,6775,5402,608
CFO 3Y Avg1683,6901,1501,1933,6635,4842,428

Growth & Margins

BKVEQTRRCARCTRAWMBMedian
NameBKV EQT Range Re.Antero R.Coterra .Williams. 
Rev Chg LTM34.9%64.8%24.7%19.7%25.1%9.0%24.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-13.6%-2.8%-14.5%-13.0%-5.3%0.8%-9.1%
Rev Chg Q49.6%49.8%16.1%15.2%33.7%10.2%24.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM8.8%8.3%3.3%3.2%6.9%2.4%5.1%
Op Mgn LTM9.8%37.0%27.2%15.0%31.1%34.3%29.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-0.9%20.2%25.1%12.2%34.2%35.5%22.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM7.7%7.8%1.7%2.4%0.1%1.6%2.0%
CFO/Rev LTM26.8%60.3%39.3%31.5%51.9%48.2%43.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg20.5%58.1%41.6%25.5%56.7%49.8%45.7%
FCF/Rev LTM-6.8%31.6%17.3%24.2%20.4%15.0%18.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-3.9%23.5%19.1%21.0%24.8%22.5%21.8%

Valuation

BKVEQTRRCARCTRAWMBMedian
NameBKV EQT Range Re.Antero R.Coterra .Williams. 
Mkt Cap2.333.48.310.419.572.014.9
P/S2.84.22.92.12.76.32.9
P/EBIT31.210.710.813.68.715.612.2
P/E50.718.814.417.611.830.418.2
P/CFO10.67.07.36.75.313.07.2
Total Yield2.0%6.5%7.7%5.7%11.9%6.6%6.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.1%0.8%0.0%3.4%3.3%1.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-7.1%6.7%11.0%8.5%4.7%7.1%
D/E0.20.20.20.30.20.40.2
Net D/E0.20.20.20.30.20.40.2

Returns

BKVEQTRRCARCTRAWMBMedian
NameBKV EQT Range Re.Antero R.Coterra .Williams. 
1M Rtn4.3%-6.2%-8.3%0.2%-0.9%-0.3%-0.6%
3M Rtn26.6%7.4%-0.0%3.2%11.4%-1.3%5.3%
6M Rtn12.9%-9.3%-15.4%-20.6%-2.8%-0.9%-6.1%
12M Rtn24.9%25.9%6.0%8.7%11.6%14.0%12.8%
3Y Rtn-54.8%36.1%-0.9%13.3%102.0%36.1%
1M Excs Rtn1.4%-10.3%-13.8%-4.3%-4.7%-4.4%-4.5%
3M Excs Rtn20.4%2.0%-5.6%-2.5%6.3%-6.6%-0.3%
6M Excs Rtn-1.7%-23.7%-29.4%-33.5%-16.0%-14.9%-19.9%
12M Excs Rtn5.3%10.1%-10.3%-7.1%-5.9%0.1%-2.9%
3Y Excs Rtn--30.0%-42.7%-78.9%-63.8%24.3%-42.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil202420232022
Single Segment7391,031506
Total7391,031506


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$27.09 
Market Cap ($ Bil)2.3 
First Trading Date09/26/2024 
Distance from 52W High-6.8% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$25.11$19.80
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA7.9%36.8%
 3M1YR
Volatility55.2%48.9%
Downside Capture125.84115.81
Upside Capture225.08120.09
Correlation (SPY)32.6%47.6%
BKV Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.781.621.231.251.190.13
Up Beta-1.07-1.01-0.300.920.900.18
Down Beta3.212.162.391.811.68-0.28
Up Capture229%275%136%122%125%19%
Bmk +ve Days12253873141426
Stock +ve Days12223368129156
Down Capture14%173%97%104%106%70%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days7192955116134

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
null
Based On 5-Year Data
null
Based On 10-Year Data
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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,361,838
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202558.1%
Average Daily Volume808,942
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.16
Basic Shares Quantity84,776,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.0%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/10/20250.9%10.1%14.1%
8/12/20256.9%6.8%10.4%
5/9/20256.7%17.6%17.5%
2/26/2025-5.1%-15.9%-8.6%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive333
# Negative111
Median Positive6.7%10.1%14.1%
Median Negative-5.1%-15.9%-8.6%
Max Positive6.9%17.6%17.5%
Max Negative-5.1%-15.9%-8.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251110202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025812202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024331202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241113202410-Q 9/30/2024
33120247052024S-1/A 3/31/2024
123120239272024424B4 12/31/2023
630202310062023S-1/A 6/30/2023
33120236262023S-1/A 3/31/2023
123120221122024S-1/A 12/31/2022
123120216272023S-1/A 12/31/2021