BKV (BKV)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $26.225 | Market Cap: $2.2 BilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
BKV (BKV)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $26.225Market Cap: $2.2 BilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 30x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 49x |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -14% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 49% | Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.8% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include US LNG, US Oilfield Technologies, Show more. | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.1% |
| Key risksBKV key risks include [1] substantial derivative losses contributing to recent net losses and [2] historically high operating expenses that have pressured profitability. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 49% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include US LNG, US Oilfield Technologies, Show more. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 30x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 49x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -14% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.8% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.1% |
| Key risksBKV key risks include [1] substantial derivative losses contributing to recent net losses and [2] historically high operating expenses that have pressured profitability. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
BKV Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
BKV Corporation's stock movement by 12.4% during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, can be attributed to several key developments:
1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Report.
BKV Corporation reported robust financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with earnings per share (EPS) of $0.50, significantly exceeding analyst estimates of $0.15 by 233.33%. This strong performance highlighted the company's profitability and contributed positively to investor sentiment.
2. Successful Public Offering of Common Stock to Fund Acquisition.
In early December 2025, BKV announced and subsequently closed an underwritten public offering of 6.9 million shares of its common stock at $26.00 per share, raising approximately $170.3 million in net proceeds. The primary purpose of this capital raise was to fund the cash portion of BKV's previously announced acquisition of a controlling interest in BKV-BPP Power, LLC, signaling strategic growth and expansion within the energy market.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BKV Return | � | � | � | � | � | 9% | � |
| Peers Return | 27% | 104% | 50% | 7% | 32% | 5% | 472% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BKV Win Rate | � | � | � | � | 67% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 45% | 62% | 65% | 53% | 55% | 53% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BKV Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | -33% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -55% | -2% | -3% | -15% | -10% | -7% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EQT, RRC, AR, CTRA, WMB.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
BKV has limited trading history. Below is the Energy sector ETF (XLE) in its place.
| Event | XLE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -26.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 116 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -60.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 153.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 660 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -31.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1201 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -57.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 137.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1858 days | 1480 days |
Compare to
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -26.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/8/2022. A -26.9% loss requires a 36.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| BKV Earnings Notes | |||
| BKV Stock Jump Looks Great, But How Secure Is That Gain? | Return | ||
| Why BKV Stock Moved: BKV Stock Has Gained 19% Since 2024 Fiscal End, Primarily Due To Favorable Change In Revenues | |||
| BKV (BKV) Valuation Ratios Comparison | Financials | ||
| BKV Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| BKV (BKV) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| BKV (BKV) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| BKV (BKV) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| BKV (BKV) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Small Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | November 18th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to BKV. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.4% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.5% | 4.5% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 24.5% | 24.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.1% | -7.1% | -7.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.4% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.5% | 4.5% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 24.5% | 24.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.1% | -7.1% | -7.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for BKV
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 34.87 |
| Mkt Cap | 15.2 |
| Rev LTM | 5,980 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,492 |
| FCF LTM | 1,314 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,285 |
| CFO LTM | 2,608 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,428 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 24.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -9.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 24.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 5.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 29.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 22.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 2.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 43.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 45.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 18.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 21.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 15.2 |
| P/S | 2.9 |
| P/EBIT | 12.6 |
| P/E | 18.3 |
| P/CFO | 7.5 |
| Total Yield | 6.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.9% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.1% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -3.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 6.8% |
| 6M Rtn | -4.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 11.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 37.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -4.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 6.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -17.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -2.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -30.3% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/10/2025 | 0.9% | 10.1% | 14.1% |
| 8/12/2025 | 6.9% | 6.8% | 10.4% |
| 5/9/2025 | 6.7% | 17.6% | 17.5% |
| 2/26/2025 | -5.1% | -15.9% | -8.6% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| # Negative | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Median Positive | 6.7% | 10.1% | 14.1% |
| Median Negative | -5.1% | -15.9% | -8.6% |
| Max Positive | 6.9% | 17.6% | 17.5% |
| Max Negative | -5.1% | -15.9% | -8.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11102025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8122025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5092025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3312025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11132024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 7052024 | S-1/A 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 9272024 | 424B4 12/31/2023 |
| 6302023 | 10062023 | S-1/A 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 6262023 | S-1/A 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 1122024 | S-1/A 12/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 6272023 | S-1/A 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |