Alcon (ALC)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $76.67 | Market Cap: $38.0 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Equipment
Alcon (ALC)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $76.67Market Cap: $38.0 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Health Care Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 28% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -44%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -44% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 26x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 35x |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, Precision Medicine, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Geriatric Care, Show more. |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 28% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, Precision Medicine, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Geriatric Care, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -44%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -44% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 26x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 35x |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
ALC Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the approximate -12.5% movement in Alcon (ALC) stock from July 31, 2025, to November 18, 2025:
1. Alcon's Q2 2025 Revenue Miss and Revised Guidance: On August 20, 2025, Alcon reported a miss on its Q2 revenue and subsequently updated its full-year 2025 revenue outlook, attributing the revision to a softer surgical market and unfavorable currency exchange rates. This announcement led to a 9% slip in the stock price.
2. Multiple Product Recalls Impacting Key Surgical and Vision Care Products: Within this period, Alcon initiated several Class 2 device recalls. These included a recall of its "Constellation Vision System Combined Procedure Pak" in July 2025 due to potential damage compromising sterility, affecting surgical procedures. Additionally, in October 2025, "Accessory devices for Unity and Constellation surgical consoles" were recalled due to incomplete sterile seals, and "Precision1 Daily Soft Contact Lenses" were recalled due to concerns over weak seals. These recalls could have led to reputational damage, increased costs, and disrupted sales.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ALC Return | 17% | 32% | -21% | 14% | 9% | -9% | 37% |
| Peers Return | 21% | 29% | -3% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 79% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 13% | 107% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ALC Win Rate | 58% | 67% | 50% | 67% | 42% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 38% | 56% | 35% | 46% | 46% | 56% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ALC Max Drawdown | -30% | -1% | -35% | -6% | -4% | -15% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -24% | -5% | -29% | -13% | -19% | -10% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EW, MASI, ATRC, UFPT, CUPR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ALC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -36.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 558 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -37.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 59.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 67 days | 148 days |
Compare to EW, MASI, ATRC, UFPT, CUPR
In The Past
Alcon's stock fell -36.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/29/2021. A -36.1% loss requires a 56.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ALC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -11.9% | -11.9% | -11.9% |
| 10312025 | DXCM | DexCom | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.3% | -0.3% | -5.8% |
| 10242025 | ACHC | Acadia Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -31.5% | -31.5% | -31.5% |
| 10102025 | PBH | Prestige Consumer Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.6% | -1.6% | -1.9% |
| 10032025 | REGN | Regeneron Pharmaceuticals | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.6% | 15.6% | -7.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -11.9% | -11.9% | -11.9% |
| 10312025 | DXCM | DexCom | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.3% | -0.3% | -5.8% |
| 10242025 | ACHC | Acadia Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -31.5% | -31.5% | -31.5% |
| 10102025 | PBH | Prestige Consumer Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.6% | -1.6% | -1.9% |
| 10032025 | REGN | Regeneron Pharmaceuticals | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.6% | 15.6% | -7.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Alcon
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 80.67 |
| Mkt Cap | 7.9 |
| Rev LTM | 2,182 |
| Op Inc LTM | 133 |
| FCF LTM | 128 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 75 |
| CFO LTM | 154 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 107 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 15.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 11.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 14.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 11.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 13.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 10.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 7.9 |
| P/S | 3.6 |
| P/EBIT | 18.4 |
| P/E | 25.6 |
| P/CFO | 37.5 |
| Total Yield | 2.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 1.3% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.1% |
| 3M Rtn | -5.8% |
| 6M Rtn | -6.6% |
| 12M Rtn | -8.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 12.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -7.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -18.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -20.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -47.7% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Surgical | 5,314 | 5,045 | 4,703 | 3,710 | 4,174 |
| Vision Care | 4,056 | 3,609 | 3,519 | 3,053 | 3,334 |
| Other revenues | 85 | 63 | 69 | 70 | |
| Total | 9,455 | 8,717 | 8,291 | 6,833 | 7,508 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Surgical | 1,454 | 1,336 | 1,184 | 672 | |
| Vision Care | 777 | 600 | 604 | 419 | |
| Amortization of intangible assets | -590 | -1,078 | |||
| Fair value adjustments of contingent consideration liabilities | 42 | 63 | |||
| General & administration (corporate) | -251 | -232 | |||
| Impairment charges on intangible assets | -225 | -167 | |||
| Integration related costs | 0 | ||||
| Other | -98 | -47 | |||
| Past service costs for post-employment benefit plan amendments | 18 | 154 | |||
| Release of contingent liability related to a recent acquisition | 0 | ||||
| Separation costs | -36 | -217 | |||
| Transformation costs | -68 | -49 | |||
| Total | 2,231 | 1,936 | 580 | -482 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8192025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5132025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2252025 | 20-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8202024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5132024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2272024 | 20-F 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11142023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8152023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2272023 | 20-F 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11152022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 6-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2152022 | 20-F 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11092021 | 6-K 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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