Tectonic Therapeutic (TECX)
Market Price (4/12/2026): $30.72 | Market Cap: $575.2 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Tectonic Therapeutic (TECX)
Market Price (4/12/2026): $30.72Market Cap: $575.2 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -44% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Targeted Therapies. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -114%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -144% Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.64, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -84 Mil Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -17% Key risksTECX key risks include [1] its limited experience in therapeutic development and reliance on its unproven GEODe™ platform, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -44% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Targeted Therapies. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -114%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -144% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.64, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -84 Mil |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -17% |
| Key risksTECX key risks include [1] its limited experience in therapeutic development and reliance on its unproven GEODe™ platform, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Continued positive clinical pipeline advancements for lead programs.
Tectonic Therapeutic announced positive topline results in October 2025 from Part B of the TX45 Phase 1b clinical trial for Group 2 Pulmonary Hypertension in Heart Failure with reduced Ejection Fraction (PH-HFrEF), showing a 29.2% reduction in pulmonary capillary wedge pressure (PCWP) and a 17.3% improvement in cardiac output. This positive data was reiterated in the company's Q4 2025 financial results on February 26, 2026. Furthermore, in February 2026, the company advanced TX45 into two Phase 2 clinical trials for PH-ILD and PH-HFpEF, with topline results for both expected in 2026. Additionally, TX2100, for Hereditary Hemorrhagic Telangiectasia (HHT), progressed into a Phase 1a healthy volunteer clinical trial in February 2026.
2. Robust financial runway providing stability.
As of December 31, 2025, Tectonic Therapeutic reported approximately $253.8 million in cash and cash equivalents, which is projected to provide a cash runway into the fourth quarter of 2028. This strong cash position assures investors of the company's ability to fund its ongoing and future clinical development programs.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 47.3% change in TECX stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4112026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 20.86 | 30.72 | 47.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 19 | 19 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/11/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TECX | 47.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | -5.1% |
| Sector (XLV) | -4.8% | 9.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 95.8% change in TECX stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4112026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 15.69 | 30.72 | 95.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 19 | 19 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/11/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TECX | 95.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 13.8% |
| Sector (XLV) | 6.3% | 13.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 73.5% change in TECX stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4112026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 17.71 | 30.72 | 73.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 15 | 19 | -21.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/11/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TECX | 73.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 31.3% |
| Sector (XLV) | 2.3% | 28.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/11/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TECX | -78.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 18.7% |
| Sector (XLV) | 19.1% | 13.9% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TECX Return | -72% | -81% | 91% | -76% | -55% | 49% | -98% |
| Peers Return | -7% | 32% | 41% | -1% | 2% | 5% | 82% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -0% | 82% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TECX Win Rate | 33% | 33% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 67% | 58% | 50% | 67% | 45% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TECX Max Drawdown | -75% | -85% | -19% | -92% | -68% | -10% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -25% | 0% | -2% | -3% | -23% | -12% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: VRTX, ALPS, DFTX, EIKN, GENB.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/10/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | TECX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -97.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 3239.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -63.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 169.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -76.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 323.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to VRTX, ALPS, DFTX, EIKN, GENB
In The Past
Tectonic Therapeutic's stock fell -97.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/8/2021. A -97.0% loss requires a 3239.1% gain to breakeven.
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About Tectonic Therapeutic (TECX)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Tectonic Therapeutic:
- Genentech for G-Protein Coupled Receptor (GPCR) biologics.
- Regeneron for GPCR-targeting antibody and protein drugs.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Tectonic Therapeutic develops:
- GPCR-targeted biologic medicines: These are therapeutic proteins and antibodies designed to modulate G-Protein Coupled Receptors for treating diseases with significant unmet medical needs.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Based on the provided company description, Tectonic Therapeutic (TECX) is a biotechnology company focused on the discovery and development of therapeutic proteins and antibodies using its proprietary GEODe™ platform. Its activities are centered on early-stage research and development to create novel medicines for areas of unmet medical need.
As a company primarily engaged in the discovery and development phase of drug candidates, Tectonic Therapeutic does not currently have major customers in the traditional sense of selling commercialized products or services to other companies or individuals. Its focus is on building a pipeline of potential drug therapies rather than selling existing products.
In the biotechnology industry, companies at this stage typically generate funding through investor capital, grants, and potentially strategic partnerships or licensing agreements with larger pharmaceutical companies. If Tectonic Therapeutic were to enter into such partnerships, these larger pharmaceutical companies would act as strategic partners or licensees for Tectonic's intellectual property or drug candidates, rather than direct customers purchasing commercial products.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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AI Analysis | Feedback
Alise Reicin, M.D. President and Chief Executive Officer
Alise Reicin, M.D. was appointed CEO of Tectonic Therapeutic in August 2020. She is a seasoned R&D veteran with over 20 years of experience in the pharmaceutical industry. Prior to joining Tectonic, Dr. Reicin served as President of Global Clinical Development at Celgene, where she oversaw the development and approval of various drugs across oncology, hematology, autoimmune diseases, and fibrosis pipelines. Her distinguished career also includes leadership roles at Merck, where she led the Keytruda® (anti-PD-1) program, and at EMD Serono as Head of Global Clinical Development. Throughout her career, she has been instrumental in the approval of more than 15 novel drugs and indications, generating over $20 billion in global sales. Dr. Reicin also spent a decade as a faculty member at Columbia University's Medical School, conducting research and specializing in infectious diseases.
Daniel Lochner, M.B.A. Chief Financial Officer
Daniel Lochner was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Tectonic Therapeutic. Before joining Tectonic, Mr. Lochner served as Chief Business Officer and Chief Financial Officer of Viatris' Eye Care Division, a role he assumed after Viatris acquired Oyster Point Pharma. At Oyster Point Pharma, he held the positions of Chief Financial Officer and Chief Business Officer, where he was responsible for driving business strategy, operational execution, and played a significant role in the company's acquisition. His accomplishments at Oyster Point Pharma include leading the IPO, securing financings, managing the commercialization transition, and facilitating the sale to Viatris. Earlier in his career, Mr. Lochner spent 14 years as a Managing Director and Equity Portfolio Manager at Goldman Sachs, where his investment focus included biotechnology, pharmaceuticals, medical devices, and healthcare services companies.
Peter McNamara, Ph.D. Chief Scientific Officer
Peter McNamara was promoted to Chief Scientific Officer of Tectonic Therapeutic in July 2022. He initially joined the company in May 2021 as Senior Vice President, Head of Research. Prior to his tenure at Tectonic, Dr. McNamara was the Head of Biotherapeutics and Biotechnology at the Genomics Institute of the Novartis Research Foundation (GNF). In this role, he oversaw GNF's platform technologies for biotherapeutics discovery and optimization, protein sciences, structural biology, functional genomics, high-throughput screening, automation, and engineering. He also served as Executive Director, Head of General Medical Biology at GNF, where he was responsible for scientific strategies and drug discovery activities across various disease areas, with a particular emphasis on regenerative medicine and tissue repair.
Marcella Kuhlman Ruddy, M.D., M.S. Chief Medical Officer
Marc Schwabish, Ph.D. Chief Business Officer
AI Analysis | Feedback
```htmlThe key risks for Tectonic Therapeutic (TECX) are:
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Clinical Development and Regulatory Approval Uncertainty
As a clinical-stage biotechnology company, Tectonic Therapeutic faces significant risks associated with the discovery, development, and regulatory approval of its product candidates. The company has limited experience in therapeutic development, and there is no guarantee that its proprietary GEODe™ platform will lead to product candidates receiving regulatory approval. The clinical trials for its lead candidates, such as TX45 and TX2100, are lengthy, expensive, and inherently uncertain, with no assurance of successful outcomes or eventual market authorization.
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Substantial Funding Needs and Financial Sustainability
Tectonic Therapeutic has a history of incurring net losses since its inception and is expected to continue doing so as it invests heavily in research and development. The company requires substantial additional funding to complete the development and commence the commercialization of its product candidates. A failure to secure adequate capital could significantly delay or even terminate its product development efforts. While the company has raised funds, its high operating expenses, particularly for R&D, present an ongoing financial risk if new funding sources are not consistently secured.
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Intellectual Property Protection and Intense Competition
Tectonic Therapeutic operates in a highly competitive and rapidly evolving industry. It faces significant competition from other biotechnology and pharmaceutical companies that are also developing treatments for similar indications. Furthermore, protecting its intellectual property, including its GEODe™ platform and product candidates, is critical but challenging and costly. The inability to adequately protect its intellectual property or the emergence of superior competitive products could adversely affect its market position and financial performance.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Tectonic Therapeutic (NASDAQ: TECX) is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on developing G-Protein Coupled Receptor (GPCR)-targeted biologic medicines. The company's pipeline includes two main product candidates: TX45 and TX2100.
TX45 - Pulmonary Hypertension (PH) with Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction (PH-HFpEF) and Group 3 Pulmonary Hypertension associated with Interstitial Lung Disease (PH-ILD)
TX45 is an Fc-relaxin fusion protein targeting the RXFP1 GPCR for PH-HFpEF and PH-ILD.
- Pulmonary Hypertension with Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction (PH-HFpEF): The prevalence of PH in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) varies, with estimates ranging from 30% to 88% depending on the study and diagnostic methods. A systematic review and meta-analysis estimated the prevalence of PH in HFpEF at 47.2% globally. The broader global advanced heart failure market, which includes HFpEF, was valued at approximately USD 6.50 billion in 2024 across the 7 major markets (United States, Germany, France, Italy, Spain, United Kingdom, and Japan) and is projected to reach USD 27.60 billion by 2035.
- Group 3 Pulmonary Hypertension associated with Interstitial Lung Disease (PH-ILD): The total addressable market size for PH-ILD across the 7 major markets (United States, Germany, France, Italy, Spain, United Kingdom, and Japan) was approximately USD 3 billion in 2024, with projections for continued growth through 2034. Specifically, the market size in the U.S. was approximately USD 2 billion in 2024. The combined market size for the EU4 and the UK was around USD 480 million in 2024, and the Japanese market was estimated at approximately USD 285 million in 2024.
TX2100 - Hereditary Hemorrhagic Telangiectasia (HHT)
TX2100 is a long-acting APJ VHH-Fc fusion antagonist antibody being developed for hereditary hemorrhagic telangiectasia (HHT).
- Hereditary Hemorrhagic Telangiectasia (HHT): The global market size for Hereditary Hemorrhagic Telangiectasia (HHT) was valued at USD 620.50 million in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 849.19 million by 2032, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.00%. Within North America, the U.S. HHT market accounted for the largest revenue share of 82% in 2024. Another market analysis projects the HHT market to grow to USD 2.15 billion by 2035 at a CAGR of 13.18%. HHT is considered a rare disease with a global prevalence estimated at 1 in 5,000 people, though it is believed to be underdiagnosed.
AI Analysis | Feedback
For Tectonic Therapeutic (TECX), a clinical-stage biotechnology company, the expected drivers of future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years are primarily tied to the progression and success of its drug pipeline, rather than immediate product sales, as analysts forecast no revenue for the company in this timeframe. The key drivers will set the stage for potential future commercial revenue or generate revenue through strategic collaborations.
- Positive Clinical Trial Results for TX45: Tectonic's lead program, TX45, an Fc-relaxin fusion protein, has shown positive Phase 1b results in Group 2 pulmonary hypertension with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (PH-HFrEF) and has advanced into multiple Phase 2 trials. Topline results from the TX45 APEX Phase 2 trial in pulmonary hypertension in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (PH-HFpEF) are anticipated in 2026. Successful outcomes from these trials would significantly de-risk the program, enhancing its value and attracting potential partnerships or future commercialization opportunities.
- Advancement of TX45 into Later-Stage Clinical Development: Building upon positive Phase 2 results, the progression of TX45 into pivotal Phase 3 clinical trials would be a critical milestone. This advancement would further validate the drug's efficacy and safety, substantially increasing its likelihood of regulatory approval and eventual market entry, thereby laying the groundwork for substantial future revenue.
- Progress and Positive Data from TX2100 in Hereditary Hemorrhagic Telangiectasia (HHT): Tectonic's second clinical program, TX2100, entered a Phase 1a trial in healthy volunteers in February 2026 for HHT, an indication currently lacking approved therapies. Topline results from this Phase 1a trial are expected in the fourth quarter of 2026, with plans to initiate Phase 2 proof-of-concept and Phase 1b trials in HHT in early 2027. Positive data for TX2100 in an area of high unmet medical need could unlock a significant market opportunity.
- Formation of Strategic Partnerships or Licensing Agreements: Given Tectonic's proprietary GEODe™ technology platform and its promising clinical pipeline, positive data from either TX45 or TX2100 could attract strategic collaborations or licensing agreements with larger pharmaceutical companies. Such partnerships often involve upfront payments, milestone payments, and future royalties, which could provide significant non-dilutive revenue for Tectonic Therapeutic as it continues to advance its pipeline.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Issuance
- Tectonic Therapeutic transitioned to a public company in 2024.
- In February 2025, the company completed a private placement which generated gross proceeds of approximately $185.0 million.
- Equity awards, including restricted stock units and stock options, were granted to executives in September 2025.
Inbound Investments
- Tectonic Therapeutic received approximately $185.0 million from a private placement in February 2025.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures for the last 12 months were reported as -$208,000.
- In Q4 2025, Tectonic Therapeutic invested $0 in capital expenditures, a 100% decrease from the prior quarter.
- The company's primary focus for capital allocation is on research and development activities, which saw expenses rise to $16.3 million in Q4 2025, driven by costs for Phase 2 clinical trials and stock-based compensation.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Tectonic Therapeutic Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| Tectonic Therapeutic (TECX) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | 02/17/2025 | |
| Tectonic Therapeutic (TECX) Net Income Comparison | 02/16/2025 | |
| Tectonic Therapeutic (TECX) Operating Income Comparison | 02/15/2025 | |
| Tectonic Therapeutic (TECX) Revenue Comparison | 02/13/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 16.47 |
| Mkt Cap | 55.6 |
| Rev LTM | 0 |
| Op Inc LTM | -84 |
| FCF LTM | -60 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 870 |
| CFO LTM | -60 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,067 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 37.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 24.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 38.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 30.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 20.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 26.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 55.6 |
| P/S | 9.2 |
| P/EBIT | 7.9 |
| P/E | 10.1 |
| P/CFO | 10.4 |
| Total Yield | -4.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 1.7% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -12.0% |
| 3M Rtn | -2.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 6.2% |
| 12M Rtn | -2.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | -2.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -11.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -0.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 3.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -38.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -68.5% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $30.72 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.6 | |
| First Trading Date | 06/21/2018 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -14.4% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $27.09 | $21.51 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 13.4% | 42.8% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 90.8% | 86.3% |
| Downside Capture | -0.40 | 1.19 |
| Upside Capture | 183.84 | 248.51 |
| Correlation (SPY) | -4.5% | 25.0% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -1.63 | 0.03 | -0.35 | 0.90 | 1.45 | 1.57 |
| Up Beta | -0.17 | 3.59 | 2.28 | 2.99 | 1.55 | 1.26 |
| Down Beta | -1.97 | -2.81 | -2.14 | -0.13 | 0.56 | 0.84 |
| Up Capture | 10% | 245% | 125% | 233% | 443% | 1012% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 21 | 31 | 60 | 123 | 340 |
| Down Capture | -302% | -106% | -114% | 14% | 145% | 113% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 13 | 21 | 32 | 65 | 127 | 364 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TECX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TECX | 113.2% | 87.2% | 1.27 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 12.3% | 16.8% | 0.52 | 26.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 31.2% | 17.3% | 1.47 | 29.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 60.1% | 27.8% | 1.69 | 1.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 29.8% | 16.6% | 1.58 | -2.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 21.3% | 15.2% | 1.07 | 17.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -4.3% | 43.7% | 0.02 | 11.2% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TECX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TECX | -55.7% | 116.4% | -0.03 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 6.3% | 14.6% | 0.25 | 15.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.1% | 17.0% | 0.50 | 18.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.1% | 17.8% | 1.02 | -0.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.8% | 18.8% | 0.52 | 2.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.7% | 18.8% | 0.10 | 15.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 4.3% | 56.5% | 0.30 | 7.0% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TECX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TECX | -39.2% | 108.4% | 0.02 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 9.8% | 16.5% | 0.48 | 21.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.8% | 17.9% | 0.66 | 23.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.2% | 15.9% | 0.74 | 0.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.6% | 17.6% | 0.41 | 7.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.1% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 19.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.6% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 8.3% |
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Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/26/2026 | -2.0% | 16.4% | 22.6% |
| 11/6/2025 | 1.7% | -7.4% | 3.7% |
| 8/7/2025 | 1.8% | 11.6% | -25.6% |
| 3/20/2025 | -4.6% | -14.7% | -19.2% |
| 11/7/2024 | -3.0% | -4.6% | 9.4% |
| 6/20/2024 | 1.2% | -1.8% | -1.0% |
| 3/23/2023 | -27.6% | -21.1% | -23.2% |
| 11/8/2022 | 0.9% | 16.6% | 18.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 7 | 5 |
| # Negative | 8 | 9 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 1.8% | 9.9% | 18.4% |
| Median Negative | -4.5% | -11.2% | -20.3% |
| Max Positive | 8.3% | 16.6% | 49.7% |
| Max Negative | -27.6% | -21.1% | -40.7% |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/26/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2028 Cash Runway | |||||||
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/6/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2028 Cash Runway | |||||||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Springer, Timothy A | Direct | Buy | 4112025 | 14.76 | 3,718 | 54,880 | 63,725,606 | Form | |
| 2 | Springer, Timothy A | Direct | Buy | 4112025 | 16.73 | 8,092 | 135,379 | 72,363,407 | Form | |
| 3 | Springer, Timothy A | Direct | Buy | 4112025 | 16.31 | 9,478 | 154,586 | 70,701,338 | Form | |
| 4 | Springer, Timothy A | LLC | Buy | 4112025 | 14.76 | 21,071 | 311,020 | 20,720,814 | Form | |
| 5 | Springer, Timothy A | LLC | Buy | 4112025 | 16.73 | 45,858 | 767,204 | 24,252,678 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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