Lineage Cell Therapeutics (LCTX)
Market Price (7/17/2026): $1.175 | Market Cap: $287.9 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Lineage Cell Therapeutics (LCTX)
Market Price (7/17/2026): $1.175Market Cap: $287.9 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -18% Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 55% Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -29% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -20%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -85% Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -23 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -155% Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -150%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -153% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -27% Key risksLCTX key risks include [1] the binary clinical and regulatory success of its lead programs, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -18% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 55% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -29% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -20%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -85% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -23 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -155% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -150%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -153% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -27% |
| Key risksLCTX key risks include [1] the binary clinical and regulatory success of its lead programs, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Lineage Cell Therapeutics (LCTX) stock has lost about 25% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Lower-than-expected Fiscal Q1 2026 Financial Results.
Lineage Cell Therapeutics reported a net loss of -$4.8 million for fiscal Q1 2026, missing consensus estimates. Additionally, revenue of $1.73 million for the quarter fell short of the $3.6 million consensus. Following the fiscal Q1 2026 earnings announcement on May 12, 2026, the stock declined by 3.8% the subsequent day.
2. Sustained Operating Losses and Finite Cash Runway.
As a clinical-stage biotechnology company, Lineage Cell Therapeutics continues to incur significant operating expenses, primarily from research and development, contributing to consistent net losses. The company's free cash flow was -$8.1 million in fiscal Q1 2026, indicating a cash runway of approximately 6 to 7 quarters without new capital.
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Lineage Cell Therapeutics (LCTX) stock has lost about 25% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Lower-than-expected Fiscal Q1 2026 Financial Results.
Lineage Cell Therapeutics reported a net loss of -$4.8 million for fiscal Q1 2026, missing consensus estimates. Additionally, revenue of $1.73 million for the quarter fell short of the $3.6 million consensus. Following the fiscal Q1 2026 earnings announcement on May 12, 2026, the stock declined by 3.8% the subsequent day.
2. Sustained Operating Losses and Finite Cash Runway.
As a clinical-stage biotechnology company, Lineage Cell Therapeutics continues to incur significant operating expenses, primarily from research and development, contributing to consistent net losses. The company's free cash flow was -$8.1 million in fiscal Q1 2026, indicating a cash runway of approximately 6 to 7 quarters without new capital.
3. Investor Caution Regarding Pre-Revenue Biotechnology Assets.
Despite a generally optimistic trend in the broader biotechnology sector during the first half of 2026, with some indices outperforming others, Lineage Cell Therapeutics' pre-revenue status and reliance on future clinical milestones and partnerships for commercialization contribute to its higher-risk profile. This environment may have led to increased investor caution towards speculative investments, exerting downward pressure on the stock of companies with significant operating expenses and no current commercial products.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -25.9% change in LCTX stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/16/2026 was primarily driven by a -24.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 7162026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.58 | 1.17 | -25.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 15 | 15 | 1.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 25.7 | 19.4 | -24.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 237 | 245 | -3.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -25.9% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 7/16/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LCTX | -25.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.4% | 25.2% |
| Sector (XLV) | 10.4% | 28.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -29.9% change in LCTX stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/16/2026 was primarily driven by a -45.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 7162026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.67 | 1.17 | -29.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 11 | 15 | 36.6% |
| P/S Multiple | 35.3 | 19.4 | -45.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 229 | 245 | -6.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -29.9% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 7/16/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LCTX | -29.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 10.4% | 28.9% |
| Sector (XLV) | 5.0% | 22.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 28.9% change in LCTX stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/16/2026 was primarily driven by a 54.6% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 6302025 | 7162026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 0.91 | 1.17 | 28.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 10 | 15 | 54.6% |
| P/S Multiple | 21.5 | 19.4 | -9.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 226 | 245 | -7.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 28.9% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2025 to 7/16/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LCTX | 28.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 22.5% | 30.5% |
| Sector (XLV) | 21.6% | 21.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -17.0% change in LCTX stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/16/2026 was primarily driven by a -30.6% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 6302023 | 7162026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.41 | 1.17 | -17.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 12 | 15 | 24.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 20.2 | 19.4 | -4.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 170 | 245 | -30.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -17.0% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2023 to 7/16/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LCTX | -17.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 75.3% | 22.9% |
| Sector (XLV) | 27.6% | 17.2% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LCTX Return | 39% | -52% | -7% | -54% | 232% | -27% | -31% |
| Peers Return | 43% | -20% | 3% | 78% | -33% | -6% | 33% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 102% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LCTX Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 42% | 33% | 67% | 14% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 46% | 50% | 46% | 58% | 75% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 57% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LCTX Max Drawdown | -43% | -59% | -41% | -66% | -47% | -39% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -41% | -46% | -34% | -26% | -59% | -39% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: VRTX, ATYR, AVLN, CNXU, COAG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/16/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | LCTX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -46.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 86.2% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 63 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -16.1% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.2% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 313 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -30.3% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 43.6% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 126 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -10.3% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 11.5% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 5 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -60.0% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 150.0% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 239 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -59.2% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 145.2% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 755 days | 105 days |
In The Past
Lineage Cell Therapeutics's stock fell -46.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 86.2% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | LCTX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -46.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 86.2% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 63 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -30.3% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 43.6% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 126 days | 24 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -60.0% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 150.0% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 239 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -59.2% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 145.2% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 755 days | 105 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -25.2% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 33.7% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 24 days | 62 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -28.1% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 39.0% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 52 days | 15 days |
| 2013 Taper Tantrum | ||
| % Loss | -29.9% | -0.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 42.7% | 0.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 134 days | 1 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -21.5% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.4% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 77 days | 123 days |
| 2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash | ||
| % Loss | -42.0% | -15.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 72.3% | 18.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 131 days | 125 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -32.5% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 48.2% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 44 days | 1085 days |
| Summer 2007 Credit Crunch | ||
| % Loss | -38.6% | -8.6% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 63.0% | 9.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 25 days | 47 days |
In The Past
Lineage Cell Therapeutics's stock fell -46.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 86.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Lineage Cell Therapeutics (LCTX)
Lineage Cell Therapeutics (LCTX) is a clinical-stage biotechnology company dedicated to developing innovative cell therapies for the treatment of degenerative diseases. The company's core mission revolves around leveraging the regenerative power of cells to address significant unmet medical needs in fields such as ophthalmology, neurology, and oncology. This approach aims to provide new treatment options for conditions that currently have limited or no effective cures.
The company's primary product candidates are novel cell therapies in various stages of clinical development. These include OpRegen, a retinal pigment epithelium cell replacement therapy in Phase I/IIa trials for dry age-related macular degeneration, and OPC1, an oligodendrocyte progenitor cell therapy also in Phase I/IIa trials, targeting acute spinal cord injuries. Additionally, Lineage is developing VAC2, an allogeneic cancer immunotherapy of antigen-presenting dendritic cells, currently in Phase I trials for non-small cell lung cancer.
While primarily focused on its cell therapy pipeline, Lineage also offers Renevia, a facial aesthetics product. The primary customers and markets for Lineage's therapies are patients afflicted with severe degenerative conditions, and the medical professionals who treat them, operating within the vast global markets for retinal diseases, neurological disorders, and oncology. The company's research and development efforts are consistently aimed at these critical therapeutic areas.
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Moderna for cell therapies: Like Moderna uses mRNA to develop vaccines and treatments, Lineage Cell Therapeutics is developing new cell-based therapies for degenerative diseases and cancer.
CRISPR Therapeutics for cell replacement: Similar to how CRISPR Therapeutics uses gene editing to target diseases, Lineage Cell Therapeutics is working on fundamental biological repairs using cell replacement therapies for conditions like spinal cord injury and macular degeneration.
A clinical-stage Gilead Sciences focused on regenerative medicine: Like Gilead aims to develop groundbreaking treatments for severe diseases, Lineage Cell Therapeutics is tackling currently untreatable degenerative conditions and cancers with novel cell therapies, but is still in early clinical stages.
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- OpRegen: A retinal pigment epithelium cell replacement therapy designed for the treatment of dry age-related macular degeneration.
- OPC1: An oligodendrocyte progenitor cell therapy developed to treat acute spinal cord injuries.
- VAC2: An allogeneic cancer immunotherapy utilizing antigen-presenting dendritic cells for non-small cell lung cancer.
- Renevia: A product offered for facial aesthetics.
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Lineage Cell Therapeutics (LCTX) is primarily a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on the research and development of novel cell therapies. As such, most of its pipeline products (OpRegen, OPC1, VAC2) are currently in clinical trials and are not yet commercially available for sale to customers. Therefore, the company does not have major commercial customers for these investigational therapies in the traditional sense.
The company does, however, offer Renevia, a facial aesthetics product. For Renevia, Lineage Cell Therapeutics primarily sells to other companies and professional practices in the medical aesthetics industry. These customer categories include:
- Dermatology Clinics and Practices
- Plastic Surgery Clinics and Practices
- Medical Spas (MedSpas)
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Brian Culley, Chief Executive Officer
Brian Culley was appointed Chief Executive Officer and a director of Lineage Cell Therapeutics in September 2018. He also twice served as Interim Chief Financial Officer (Jan–Jun 2021 and Jul–Nov 2022). Mr. Culley possesses over 30 years of business and scientific experience within the life sciences industry. Prior to joining Lineage, he was the interim Chief Executive Officer at Artemis Therapeutics, Inc. from August 2017 to September 2018. From 2010, Mr. Culley served as Chief Executive Officer of Mast Therapeutics, Inc., and was also a member of its board of directors from 2011, until the company's merger with Savara, Inc. in April 2017. His earlier career also included roles at Immusol, Inc., and Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc. He holds a B.S. in Biology, an M.S. in Biochemistry & Molecular Biology, and an MBA.
Jill Howe, Chief Financial Officer
Jill Howe joined Lineage as Chief Financial Officer on November 14, 2022. She brings over 20 years of extensive strategic, financial, and operational experience to the company, with a focus on capital strategy, corporate finance, treasury management, and global infrastructure. Ms. Howe has played key roles in building biotechnology organizations and implementing operational infrastructures, including executing over $1.66 billion in capital raising transactions. Most recently, she served as Chief Financial Officer of DTx Pharma. From 2018 to 2021, she was the Vice President of Finance and Treasurer for Gossamer Bio, Inc., where she was instrumental in the company's initial public offering and subsequent listings and debt deals. Ms. Howe's background also includes serving as Controller & Director of Finance at Amplyx Pharmaceuticals, Inc., which was later acquired by Pfizer, Inc. She held a similar role at Receptos, Inc., which was acquired by Celgene, Inc. for more than $7 billion.
George Samuel, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary
George Samuel serves as the General Counsel and Corporate Secretary for Lineage Cell Therapeutics. Before joining Lineage, Mr. Samuel was the Director, Senior Counsel for Lytx, Inc., managing commercial legal operations for an international video telematics SaaS company from January 2020 to August 2021. Prior to that, he practiced corporate law at VLP Law Group LLC. From August 2016 to February 2019, he held the position of VP, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary for Cardiff Oncology, Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on oncology treatments.
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The key risks to Lineage Cell Therapeutics (LCTX) primarily revolve around the inherent challenges of a clinical-stage biotechnology company developing novel cell therapies. These include the success of its clinical pipeline, its financial stability, and regulatory and manufacturing compliance.
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Clinical Trial Success and Regulatory Approval
As a clinical-stage biotechnology company, Lineage Cell Therapeutics's valuation and future prospects are heavily dependent on the successful advancement and ultimate regulatory approval of its cell therapy candidates, including OpRegen, OPC1, and VAC2. The clinical development process is lengthy, expensive, and uncertain, with a high rate of attrition at various stages. Even if trials yield favorable results, the data is subject to varying interpretations and regulatory changes that could delay, limit, or prevent approvals. Furthermore, even post-approval, the company may face extensive obligations or unforeseen side effects that could lead to limitations, recalls, or withdrawal of approval.
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Financial Health and Funding
Lineage Cell Therapeutics operates with a significant cash burn rate, reporting substantial net losses and negative operating margins. While the company's cash position is projected to fund operations into Q2 2027, this runway is finite. Any unexpected delays in clinical trials or increases in research and development costs could shorten this timeline, necessitating further dilutive capital raises. The company's Altman Z-Score, a measure of bankruptcy probability, places it in the distress zone, implying a potential risk of bankruptcy within the next two years. The need for continuous funding, largely through equity, makes the company susceptible to market conditions and investor sentiment.
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Regulatory Compliance and Manufacturing Challenges
Lineage Cell Therapeutics faces specific regulatory risks related to its reliance on pluripotent cell lines, which may not align with current donor eligibility standards. This could lead to requirements for special labeling, additional conditions, or limitations on the use of its products. Addressing these compliance challenges might necessitate further studies or enhanced controls, potentially impacting the business. Additionally, the company's cell banking and product manufacturing for its cell therapy candidates are conducted by a subsidiary in Jerusalem, Israel, introducing a geopolitical risk due to the ongoing regional conflict, which could materially and adversely impact these critical manufacturing processes.
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For Lineage Cell Therapeutics (LCTX), several key drivers are expected to fuel future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, primarily stemming from the advancement of its cell therapy pipeline and strategic collaborations.
- Milestone Payments and Future Royalties from OpRegen (RG6501) Collaboration with Roche/Genentech: Lineage's lead program, OpRegen, an allogeneic retinal pigment epithelium cell replacement therapy for dry age-related macular degeneration, is under a substantial worldwide collaboration with Roche and Genentech. The company has already received significant upfront and development milestone payments and is eligible for up to $615 million in additional milestones, plus tiered double-digit royalties upon commercialization. Recent activity, such as the expansion of OpRegen clinical sites for the GALE Phase 2a study by Roche/Genentech, with 10 new sites opened in the last nine months (as of March 2026), indicates continued progression and a positive outlook for the program, which could trigger further milestone revenue.
- Expansion of Collaboration and Development Programs (e.g., ANP1, Islet Cell Initiative, OPC1): Lineage is actively pursuing and securing new partnerships and advancing its diverse pipeline. This includes a research collaboration with William Demant Invest A/S (WDI) to fund the preclinical development of ReSonance (ANP1) for sensorineural hearing loss, which has already contributed to extending the company's cash runway. Additionally, the ongoing development of OPC1, an oligodendrocyte progenitor cell therapy for acute spinal cord injuries, continues to progress through clinical trials, with recent advancements in manufacturing and initial treatment of chronic SCI patients in the DOSED study. The company has also achieved an internal development milestone in its islet cell production initiative, aimed at addressing challenges in Type 1 Diabetes therapy, which could lead to future strategic partnerships and associated revenue streams.
- Leveraging the AlloSCOPE™ Manufacturing Platform to Secure New Partnerships: Lineage's proprietary AlloSCOPE™ technology platform for the scalable and consistent manufacturing of "off-the-shelf" allogeneic cell therapies is a critical asset. The successful demonstration of cGMP production capabilities that could enable millions of doses from a single cell line strengthens its position as a leader in allogeneic cell process development. This advanced manufacturing capability not only supports its existing pipeline but also makes Lineage an attractive partner for other companies seeking to develop and produce cell therapies, potentially leading to new collaboration agreements, licensing deals, or contract manufacturing revenue.
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Share Issuance
- Lineage Cell Therapeutics filed a prospectus supplement on March 11, 2026, for the potential offer and sale of its common shares having an aggregate offering price of up to $60 million.
- The company previously sold common shares with an aggregate gross sales price of over $22.58 million under prior prospectus supplements dated May 14, 2024, and November 12, 2025.
- Approximately $5.4 million in proceeds were received from warrant exercises in March 2026.
Inbound Investments
- The company achieved the first of the $620 million milestone payments available under its worldwide collaboration and license agreement with Roche and Genentech for the OpRegen cell therapy program.
- Lineage entered a research collaboration with William Demant Invest A/S (WDI) for its ReSonance program, with WDI expected to contribute up to $12 million of development costs over three years for preclinical development activities.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Lineage Cell Therapeutics Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| How Low Can Lineage Cell Therapeutics Stock Really Go? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 18.09 |
| Mkt Cap | 61.9 |
| Rev LTM | 15 |
| Op Inc LTM | -5 |
| FCF LTM | -4 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 977 |
| CFO LTM | -4 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,189 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 32.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 11.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 11.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.7% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 603.4% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 181.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -58.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -102.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -2.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -57.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -101.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -61.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -105.6% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $1.17 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.3 | |
| First Trading Date | 03/06/1992 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -40.3% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $1.27 | $1.58 |
| DMA Trend | indeterminate | down |
| Distance from DMA | -7.7% | -26.0% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 49.8% | 61.8% |
| Downside Capture | 176.60 | 139.84 |
| Upside Capture | -19.44 | 124.46 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 18.7% | 29.8% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.03 | 0.56 | 1.19 | 1.16 | 1.56 | 1.14 |
| Up Beta | 2.73 | 2.27 | 2.48 | 2.07 | 1.47 | 1.55 |
| Down Beta | 1.00 | 0.21 | -0.47 | 0.91 | 1.86 | 0.57 |
| Up Capture | -121% | -31% | 36% | 54% | 198% | 106% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 24 | 40 | 67 | 140 | 429 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 18 | 28 | 57 | 121 | 343 |
| Down Capture | -110% | 71% | 160% | 123% | 129% | 106% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 10 | 17 | 23 | 58 | 112 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 21 | 32 | 65 | 123 | 380 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LCTX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LCTX | 17.1% | 61.7% | 0.49 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 23.7% | 15.9% | 1.15 | 23.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 21.8% | 12.6% | 1.29 | 30.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 19.1% | 28.0% | 0.61 | 20.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 27.9% | 18.9% | 1.16 | -12.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 16.9% | 14.0% | 0.88 | 16.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -45.3% | 42.8% | -1.29 | 18.0% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LCTX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LCTX | -14.7% | 71.5% | 0.08 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 6.4% | 15.0% | 0.24 | 19.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.2% | 17.1% | 0.60 | 26.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 16.7% | 18.4% | 0.73 | 7.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.5% | 19.5% | 0.33 | 0.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.2% | 18.9% | 0.07 | 20.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 14.5% | 53.5% | 0.45 | 17.0% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LCTX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LCTX | -6.8% | 75.0% | 0.23 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 10.1% | 16.6% | 0.49 | 23.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.4% | 17.9% | 0.73 | 29.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 10.9% | 16.1% | 0.55 | 7.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 6.5% | 18.0% | 0.28 | 9.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.2% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 22.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 57.8% | 66.2% | 0.98 | 12.6% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/15/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/12/2026 | -3.8% | -9.8% | -3.8% |
| 3/5/2026 | 0.5% | -14.1% | -16.3% |
| 11/6/2025 | 1.7% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| 8/12/2025 | 2.0% | 22.8% | 27.7% |
| 5/13/2025 | -2.6% | 3.3% | 49.5% |
| 3/10/2025 | 0.4% | -5.8% | -27.3% |
| 11/14/2024 | -2.3% | -32.2% | -43.5% |
| 8/8/2024 | 2.5% | -1.9% | 1.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 11 | 10 |
| # Negative | 10 | 13 | 14 |
| Median Positive | 2.3% | 4.0% | 18.9% |
| Median Negative | -2.4% | -6.5% | -10.0% |
| Max Positive | 15.0% | 22.8% | 49.5% |
| Max Negative | -5.1% | -32.2% | -43.5% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/12/2026 | -3.8% | -9.8% | -3.8% |
| 3/5/2026 | 0.5% | -14.1% | -16.3% |
| 11/6/2025 | 1.7% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| 8/12/2025 | 2.0% | 22.8% | 27.7% |
| 5/13/2025 | -2.6% | 3.3% | 49.5% |
| 3/10/2025 | 0.4% | -5.8% | -27.3% |
| 11/14/2024 | -2.3% | -32.2% | -43.5% |
| 8/8/2024 | 2.5% | -1.9% | 1.7% |
| 5/9/2024 | -0.8% | -10.2% | -21.6% |
| 3/7/2024 | 15.0% | 2.7% | 30.1% |
| 11/9/2023 | -2.8% | -11.5% | -8.5% |
| 8/10/2023 | 2.1% | -2.1% | -5.7% |
| 5/11/2023 | -2.1% | -5.0% | -2.8% |
| 3/9/2023 | -2.1% | -4.8% | -4.1% |
| 11/10/2022 | 8.3% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| 8/11/2022 | 1.3% | -6.5% | -14.8% |
| 5/12/2022 | -5.1% | 5.1% | 10.2% |
| 3/10/2022 | -4.3% | -2.9% | -2.1% |
| 11/10/2021 | 4.2% | 0.8% | -15.3% |
| 8/12/2021 | 0.4% | -10.7% | -11.5% |
| 5/13/2021 | 4.1% | 9.2% | 35.9% |
| 3/11/2021 | 6.0% | 1.3% | 3.0% |
| 11/4/2020 | 8.3% | 16.5% | 33.1% |
| 8/6/2020 | -1.3% | 0.0% | -6.5% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 11 | 10 |
| # Negative | 10 | 13 | 14 |
| Median Positive | 2.3% | 4.0% | 18.9% |
| Median Negative | -2.4% | -6.5% | -10.0% |
| Max Positive | 15.0% | 22.8% | 49.5% |
| Max Negative | -5.1% | -32.2% | -43.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/12/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/05/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/10/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/07/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/11/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/09/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/11/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/12/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/05/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/10/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/07/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/11/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/09/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/11/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/12/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/10/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/10/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/12/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/13/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 03/11/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 11/04/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 08/06/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 05/07/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 03/12/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 11/12/2019 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2019 | 08/08/2019 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 7/12/2026Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/12/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2028 Cash Runway | 2,028 | ||||||
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/5/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Development Cost Contribution | 12.00 Mil | ||||||
Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/6/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2027 Cash Runway | 2,027 | Raised | Guidance: 2,027 for 2027 | ||||
Insider Activity
Updated 7/2/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Culley, Brian M | President and CEO | Direct | Buy | 3122026 | 1.62 | 15,000 | 24,375 | 415,214 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Culley, Brian M | President and CEO | Direct | Buy | 3122026 | 1.62 | 15,000 | 24,375 | 415,214 | Form |
Investor Activity (13F)
Updated Jul 17, 2026Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.
| Active Manager |
|---|
| Active Manager |
|---|
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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