Lineage Cell Therapeutics (LCTX) | Trefis

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

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Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -18%

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 55%

Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -29%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -20%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -85%

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -23 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -155%

Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%

Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -150%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -153%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -27%

Key risks
LCTX key risks include [1] the binary clinical and regulatory success of its lead programs, Show more.

0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -18%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 55%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -29%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -20%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -85%
5 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
6 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -23 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -155%
7 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%
8 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -150%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -153%
9 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -27%
10 Key risks
LCTX key risks include [1] the binary clinical and regulatory success of its lead programs, Show more.

LCTX in ETFs

Weight = LCTX's share of each fund

VTI0.00%
IWM0.01%
IBB0.02%
IWO0.01%

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 7/13/2026

Lineage Cell Therapeutics (LCTX) stock has lost about 25% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Lower-than-expected Fiscal Q1 2026 Financial Results.

Lineage Cell Therapeutics reported a net loss of -$4.8 million for fiscal Q1 2026, missing consensus estimates. Additionally, revenue of $1.73 million for the quarter fell short of the $3.6 million consensus. Following the fiscal Q1 2026 earnings announcement on May 12, 2026, the stock declined by 3.8% the subsequent day.

2. Sustained Operating Losses and Finite Cash Runway.

As a clinical-stage biotechnology company, Lineage Cell Therapeutics continues to incur significant operating expenses, primarily from research and development, contributing to consistent net losses. The company's free cash flow was -$8.1 million in fiscal Q1 2026, indicating a cash runway of approximately 6 to 7 quarters without new capital.

Show more
Updated on 7/13/2026

Lineage Cell Therapeutics (LCTX) stock has lost about 25% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Lower-than-expected Fiscal Q1 2026 Financial Results.

Lineage Cell Therapeutics reported a net loss of -$4.8 million for fiscal Q1 2026, missing consensus estimates. Additionally, revenue of $1.73 million for the quarter fell short of the $3.6 million consensus. Following the fiscal Q1 2026 earnings announcement on May 12, 2026, the stock declined by 3.8% the subsequent day.

2. Sustained Operating Losses and Finite Cash Runway.

As a clinical-stage biotechnology company, Lineage Cell Therapeutics continues to incur significant operating expenses, primarily from research and development, contributing to consistent net losses. The company's free cash flow was -$8.1 million in fiscal Q1 2026, indicating a cash runway of approximately 6 to 7 quarters without new capital.

3. Investor Caution Regarding Pre-Revenue Biotechnology Assets.

Despite a generally optimistic trend in the broader biotechnology sector during the first half of 2026, with some indices outperforming others, Lineage Cell Therapeutics' pre-revenue status and reliance on future clinical milestones and partnerships for commercialization contribute to its higher-risk profile. This environment may have led to increased investor caution towards speculative investments, exerting downward pressure on the stock of companies with significant operating expenses and no current commercial products.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -25.9% change in LCTX stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/16/2026 was primarily driven by a -24.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120267162026Change
Stock Price ($)1.581.17-25.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)15151.5%
P/S Multiple25.719.4-24.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)237245-3.2%
Cumulative Contribution-25.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 7/16/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LCTX-25.9% 
Market (SPY)15.4%25.2%
Sector (XLV)10.4%28.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The -29.9% change in LCTX stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/16/2026 was primarily driven by a -45.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)123120257162026Change
Stock Price ($)1.671.17-29.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)111536.6%
P/S Multiple35.319.4-45.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)229245-6.6%
Cumulative Contribution-29.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 7/16/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LCTX-29.9% 
Market (SPY)10.4%28.9%
Sector (XLV)5.0%22.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 28.9% change in LCTX stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/16/2026 was primarily driven by a 54.6% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)63020257162026Change
Stock Price ($)0.911.1728.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)101554.6%
P/S Multiple21.519.4-9.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)226245-7.7%
Cumulative Contribution28.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2025 to 7/16/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LCTX28.9% 
Market (SPY)22.5%30.5%
Sector (XLV)21.6%21.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The -17.0% change in LCTX stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/16/2026 was primarily driven by a -30.6% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)63020237162026Change
Stock Price ($)1.411.17-17.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)121524.7%
P/S Multiple20.219.4-4.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)170245-30.6%
Cumulative Contribution-17.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2023 to 7/16/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LCTX-17.0% 
Market (SPY)75.3%22.9%
Sector (XLV)27.6%17.2%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
LCTX Return39%-52%-7%-54%232%-27%-31%
Peers Return43%-20%3%78%-33%-6%33%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%11%102%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LCTX Win Rate50%50%42%33%67%14% 
Peers Win Rate46%50%46%58%75%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%57% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LCTX Max Drawdown-43%-59%-41%-66%-47%-39% 
Peers Max Drawdown-41%-46%-34%-26%-59%-39% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: VRTX, ATYR, AVLN, CNXU, COAG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/16/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventLCTXS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-46.3%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven86.2%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven63 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-16.1%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven19.2%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven313 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-30.3%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven43.6%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven126 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-10.3%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven11.5%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven5 days31 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-60.0%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven150.0%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven239 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-59.2%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven145.2%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven755 days105 days

Compare to VRTX, ATYR, AVLN, CNXU, COAG

In The Past

Lineage Cell Therapeutics's stock fell -46.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 86.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventLCTXS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-46.3%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven86.2%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven63 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-30.3%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven43.6%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven126 days24 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-60.0%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven150.0%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven239 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-59.2%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven145.2%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven755 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-25.2%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven33.7%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven24 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-28.1%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven39.0%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven52 days15 days
2013 Taper Tantrum
  % Loss-29.9%-0.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven42.7%0.2%
  Time to Breakeven134 days1 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-21.5%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven27.4%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven77 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-42.0%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven72.3%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven131 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-32.5%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven48.2%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven44 days1085 days
Summer 2007 Credit Crunch
  % Loss-38.6%-8.6%
  % Gain to Breakeven63.0%9.5%
  Time to Breakeven25 days47 days

Compare to VRTX, ATYR, AVLN, CNXU, COAG

In The Past

Lineage Cell Therapeutics's stock fell -46.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 86.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Lineage Cell Therapeutics (LCTX)

Lineage Cell Therapeutics (LCTX) is a clinical-stage biotechnology company dedicated to developing innovative cell therapies for the treatment of degenerative diseases. The company's core mission revolves around leveraging the regenerative power of cells to address significant unmet medical needs in fields such as ophthalmology, neurology, and oncology. This approach aims to provide new treatment options for conditions that currently have limited or no effective cures.

The company's primary product candidates are novel cell therapies in various stages of clinical development. These include OpRegen, a retinal pigment epithelium cell replacement therapy in Phase I/IIa trials for dry age-related macular degeneration, and OPC1, an oligodendrocyte progenitor cell therapy also in Phase I/IIa trials, targeting acute spinal cord injuries. Additionally, Lineage is developing VAC2, an allogeneic cancer immunotherapy of antigen-presenting dendritic cells, currently in Phase I trials for non-small cell lung cancer.

While primarily focused on its cell therapy pipeline, Lineage also offers Renevia, a facial aesthetics product. The primary customers and markets for Lineage's therapies are patients afflicted with severe degenerative conditions, and the medical professionals who treat them, operating within the vast global markets for retinal diseases, neurological disorders, and oncology. The company's research and development efforts are consistently aimed at these critical therapeutic areas.

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Moderna for cell therapies: Like Moderna uses mRNA to develop vaccines and treatments, Lineage Cell Therapeutics is developing new cell-based therapies for degenerative diseases and cancer.

CRISPR Therapeutics for cell replacement: Similar to how CRISPR Therapeutics uses gene editing to target diseases, Lineage Cell Therapeutics is working on fundamental biological repairs using cell replacement therapies for conditions like spinal cord injury and macular degeneration.

A clinical-stage Gilead Sciences focused on regenerative medicine: Like Gilead aims to develop groundbreaking treatments for severe diseases, Lineage Cell Therapeutics is tackling currently untreatable degenerative conditions and cancers with novel cell therapies, but is still in early clinical stages.

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```html
  • OpRegen: A retinal pigment epithelium cell replacement therapy designed for the treatment of dry age-related macular degeneration.
  • OPC1: An oligodendrocyte progenitor cell therapy developed to treat acute spinal cord injuries.
  • VAC2: An allogeneic cancer immunotherapy utilizing antigen-presenting dendritic cells for non-small cell lung cancer.
  • Renevia: A product offered for facial aesthetics.
```

AI Analysis | Feedback

Lineage Cell Therapeutics (LCTX) is primarily a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on the research and development of novel cell therapies. As such, most of its pipeline products (OpRegen, OPC1, VAC2) are currently in clinical trials and are not yet commercially available for sale to customers. Therefore, the company does not have major commercial customers for these investigational therapies in the traditional sense.

The company does, however, offer Renevia, a facial aesthetics product. For Renevia, Lineage Cell Therapeutics primarily sells to other companies and professional practices in the medical aesthetics industry. These customer categories include:

  • Dermatology Clinics and Practices
  • Plastic Surgery Clinics and Practices
  • Medical Spas (MedSpas)

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Brian Culley, Chief Executive Officer

Brian Culley was appointed Chief Executive Officer and a director of Lineage Cell Therapeutics in September 2018. He also twice served as Interim Chief Financial Officer (Jan–Jun 2021 and Jul–Nov 2022). Mr. Culley possesses over 30 years of business and scientific experience within the life sciences industry. Prior to joining Lineage, he was the interim Chief Executive Officer at Artemis Therapeutics, Inc. from August 2017 to September 2018. From 2010, Mr. Culley served as Chief Executive Officer of Mast Therapeutics, Inc., and was also a member of its board of directors from 2011, until the company's merger with Savara, Inc. in April 2017. His earlier career also included roles at Immusol, Inc., and Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc. He holds a B.S. in Biology, an M.S. in Biochemistry & Molecular Biology, and an MBA.

Jill Howe, Chief Financial Officer

Jill Howe joined Lineage as Chief Financial Officer on November 14, 2022. She brings over 20 years of extensive strategic, financial, and operational experience to the company, with a focus on capital strategy, corporate finance, treasury management, and global infrastructure. Ms. Howe has played key roles in building biotechnology organizations and implementing operational infrastructures, including executing over $1.66 billion in capital raising transactions. Most recently, she served as Chief Financial Officer of DTx Pharma. From 2018 to 2021, she was the Vice President of Finance and Treasurer for Gossamer Bio, Inc., where she was instrumental in the company's initial public offering and subsequent listings and debt deals. Ms. Howe's background also includes serving as Controller & Director of Finance at Amplyx Pharmaceuticals, Inc., which was later acquired by Pfizer, Inc. She held a similar role at Receptos, Inc., which was acquired by Celgene, Inc. for more than $7 billion.

George Samuel, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary

George Samuel serves as the General Counsel and Corporate Secretary for Lineage Cell Therapeutics. Before joining Lineage, Mr. Samuel was the Director, Senior Counsel for Lytx, Inc., managing commercial legal operations for an international video telematics SaaS company from January 2020 to August 2021. Prior to that, he practiced corporate law at VLP Law Group LLC. From August 2016 to February 2019, he held the position of VP, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary for Cardiff Oncology, Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on oncology treatments.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Lineage Cell Therapeutics (LCTX) primarily revolve around the inherent challenges of a clinical-stage biotechnology company developing novel cell therapies. These include the success of its clinical pipeline, its financial stability, and regulatory and manufacturing compliance.

  1. Clinical Trial Success and Regulatory Approval

    As a clinical-stage biotechnology company, Lineage Cell Therapeutics's valuation and future prospects are heavily dependent on the successful advancement and ultimate regulatory approval of its cell therapy candidates, including OpRegen, OPC1, and VAC2. The clinical development process is lengthy, expensive, and uncertain, with a high rate of attrition at various stages. Even if trials yield favorable results, the data is subject to varying interpretations and regulatory changes that could delay, limit, or prevent approvals. Furthermore, even post-approval, the company may face extensive obligations or unforeseen side effects that could lead to limitations, recalls, or withdrawal of approval.

  2. Financial Health and Funding

    Lineage Cell Therapeutics operates with a significant cash burn rate, reporting substantial net losses and negative operating margins. While the company's cash position is projected to fund operations into Q2 2027, this runway is finite. Any unexpected delays in clinical trials or increases in research and development costs could shorten this timeline, necessitating further dilutive capital raises. The company's Altman Z-Score, a measure of bankruptcy probability, places it in the distress zone, implying a potential risk of bankruptcy within the next two years. The need for continuous funding, largely through equity, makes the company susceptible to market conditions and investor sentiment.

  3. Regulatory Compliance and Manufacturing Challenges

    Lineage Cell Therapeutics faces specific regulatory risks related to its reliance on pluripotent cell lines, which may not align with current donor eligibility standards. This could lead to requirements for special labeling, additional conditions, or limitations on the use of its products. Addressing these compliance challenges might necessitate further studies or enhanced controls, potentially impacting the business. Additionally, the company's cell banking and product manufacturing for its cell therapy candidates are conducted by a subsidiary in Jerusalem, Israel, introducing a geopolitical risk due to the ongoing regional conflict, which could materially and adversely impact these critical manufacturing processes.

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Lineage Cell Therapeutics (LCTX) develops cell therapies for degenerative diseases. The addressable markets for its main products are substantial. For OpRegen, a retinal pigment epithelium cell replacement therapy for dry age-related macular degeneration (AMD), the global market for dry age-related macular degeneration was valued at approximately USD 5.27 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 10.58 billion by 2032. The North American market held the largest share in 2024, at 46.3%. For OPC1, an oligodendrocyte progenitor cell therapy for acute spinal cord injuries, the global acute spinal cord injury market size was valued at USD 7.03 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 10.09 billion by 2033. Another estimate places the global market at USD 7.98 billion in 2024, expected to reach USD 12.16 billion by 2032. North America is the most significant global acute spinal cord injury market shareholder. For VAC2, an allogeneic cancer immunotherapy for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), the global non-small cell lung cancer market was estimated at USD 20.2 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to USD 53.9 billion by 2034. The global non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) therapeutics market was valued at USD 38.49 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 74.99 billion by 2034. North America dominated this market with a 44.4% market share in 2024. The U.S. non-small cell lung cancer market alone was valued at USD 8.2 billion in 2024.

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For Lineage Cell Therapeutics (LCTX), several key drivers are expected to fuel future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, primarily stemming from the advancement of its cell therapy pipeline and strategic collaborations.

  1. Milestone Payments and Future Royalties from OpRegen (RG6501) Collaboration with Roche/Genentech: Lineage's lead program, OpRegen, an allogeneic retinal pigment epithelium cell replacement therapy for dry age-related macular degeneration, is under a substantial worldwide collaboration with Roche and Genentech. The company has already received significant upfront and development milestone payments and is eligible for up to $615 million in additional milestones, plus tiered double-digit royalties upon commercialization. Recent activity, such as the expansion of OpRegen clinical sites for the GALE Phase 2a study by Roche/Genentech, with 10 new sites opened in the last nine months (as of March 2026), indicates continued progression and a positive outlook for the program, which could trigger further milestone revenue.
  2. Expansion of Collaboration and Development Programs (e.g., ANP1, Islet Cell Initiative, OPC1): Lineage is actively pursuing and securing new partnerships and advancing its diverse pipeline. This includes a research collaboration with William Demant Invest A/S (WDI) to fund the preclinical development of ReSonance (ANP1) for sensorineural hearing loss, which has already contributed to extending the company's cash runway. Additionally, the ongoing development of OPC1, an oligodendrocyte progenitor cell therapy for acute spinal cord injuries, continues to progress through clinical trials, with recent advancements in manufacturing and initial treatment of chronic SCI patients in the DOSED study. The company has also achieved an internal development milestone in its islet cell production initiative, aimed at addressing challenges in Type 1 Diabetes therapy, which could lead to future strategic partnerships and associated revenue streams.
  3. Leveraging the AlloSCOPE™ Manufacturing Platform to Secure New Partnerships: Lineage's proprietary AlloSCOPE™ technology platform for the scalable and consistent manufacturing of "off-the-shelf" allogeneic cell therapies is a critical asset. The successful demonstration of cGMP production capabilities that could enable millions of doses from a single cell line strengthens its position as a leader in allogeneic cell process development. This advanced manufacturing capability not only supports its existing pipeline but also makes Lineage an attractive partner for other companies seeking to develop and produce cell therapies, potentially leading to new collaboration agreements, licensing deals, or contract manufacturing revenue.

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Share Issuance

  • Lineage Cell Therapeutics filed a prospectus supplement on March 11, 2026, for the potential offer and sale of its common shares having an aggregate offering price of up to $60 million.
  • The company previously sold common shares with an aggregate gross sales price of over $22.58 million under prior prospectus supplements dated May 14, 2024, and November 12, 2025.
  • Approximately $5.4 million in proceeds were received from warrant exercises in March 2026.

Inbound Investments

  • The company achieved the first of the $620 million milestone payments available under its worldwide collaboration and license agreement with Roche and Genentech for the OpRegen cell therapy program.
  • Lineage entered a research collaboration with William Demant Invest A/S (WDI) for its ReSonance program, with WDI expected to contribute up to $12 million of development costs over three years for preclinical development activities.

Better Bets vs. Lineage Cell Therapeutics (LCTX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

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Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LCTXVRTXATYRAVLNCNXUCOAGMedian
NameLineage .Vertex P.aTyr Pha.Avalyn P.Conexeu .Hemab Th. 
Mkt Price1.17486.030.5225.6810.5144.5318.09
Mkt Cap0.3123.5----61.9
Rev LTM1512,218--0-15
Op Inc LTM-234,662---5--5
FCF LTM-233,710---4--4
FCF 3Y Avg-231,977----977
CFO LTM-224,241---4--4
CFO 3Y Avg-222,401----1,189

Growth & Margins

LCTXVRTXATYRAVLNCNXUCOAGMedian
NameLineage .Vertex P.aTyr Pha.Avalyn P.Conexeu .Hemab Th. 
Rev Chg LTM54.6%10.1%----32.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg13.9%9.9%----11.9%
Rev Chg Q14.8%7.8%----11.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.5%1.8%----1.7%
Op Inc Chg LTM-7.2%1,214.0%----603.4%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-0.7%364.1%----181.7%
Op Mgn LTM-154.7%38.2%-----58.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-229.0%24.1%-----102.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-5.1%0.2%-----2.4%
CFO/Rev LTM-149.6%34.7%-----57.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-223.5%21.5%-----101.0%
FCF/Rev LTM-152.9%30.4%-----61.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-229.0%17.7%-----105.6%

Valuation

LCTXVRTXATYRAVLNCNXUCOAGMedian
NameLineage .Vertex P.aTyr Pha.Avalyn P.Conexeu .Hemab Th. 
Mkt Cap0.3123.5----61.9
P/S19.410.1----14.8
P/Op Inc-12.526.5----7.0
P/EBIT-12.524.4----5.9
P/E-4.528.5----12.0
P/CFO-13.029.1----8.1
Total Yield-22.4%3.5%-----9.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-12.3%1.8%-----5.2%
D/E0.00.0----0.0
Net D/E-0.2-0.0-----0.1

Returns

LCTXVRTXATYRAVLNCNXUCOAGMedian
NameLineage .Vertex P.aTyr Pha.Avalyn P.Conexeu .Hemab Th. 
1M Rtn-2.5%7.3%15.2%-8.5%-16.1%74.6%2.4%
3M Rtn-28.7%11.6%-37.9%-12.9%-27.0%31.0%-20.0%
6M Rtn-29.1%10.7%-27.0%-12.9%-27.0%31.0%-19.9%
12M Rtn14.7%3.5%-91.2%-12.9%-27.0%31.0%-4.7%
3Y Rtn-14.6%35.8%-74.1%-12.9%-27.0%31.0%-13.8%
1M Excs Rtn-4.6%8.2%16.6%-10.4%7.3%77.8%7.7%
3M Excs Rtn-35.5%2.8%-46.1%-20.2%-34.3%23.7%-27.2%
6M Excs Rtn-38.1%-1.3%-35.1%-21.1%-35.2%22.8%-28.1%
12M Excs Rtn-3.7%-16.0%-111.5%-33.6%-47.7%10.3%-24.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-84.9%-27.5%-144.0%-82.6%-96.7%-38.7%-83.8%

Comparison Analyses

null

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single segment1599  
Royalties, license and other revenues   13
Upfront license fees   13 
Grant revenues    1
Subscription and advertising    0
Total1599154


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$1.17 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.3 
First Trading Date03/06/1992 
Distance from 52W High-40.3% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$1.27$1.58
DMA Trendindeterminatedown
Distance from DMA-7.7%-26.0%
 3M1YR
Volatility49.8%61.8%
Downside Capture176.60139.84
Upside Capture-19.44124.46
Correlation (SPY)18.7%29.8%
LCTX Betas & Captures as of 6/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.030.561.191.161.561.14
Up Beta2.732.272.482.071.471.55
Down Beta1.000.21-0.470.911.860.57
Up Capture-121%-31%36%54%198%106%
Bmk +ve Days11244067140429
Stock +ve Days10182857121343
Down Capture-110%71%160%123%129%106%
Bmk -ve Days10172358112321
Stock -ve Days11213265123380

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with LCTX
LCTX17.1%61.7%0.49-
Sector ETF (XLV)23.7%15.9%1.1523.0%
Equity (SPY)21.8%12.6%1.2930.0%
Gold (GLD)19.1%28.0%0.6120.2%
Commodities (DBC)27.9%18.9%1.16-12.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)16.9%14.0%0.8816.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-45.3%42.8%-1.2918.0%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with LCTX
LCTX-14.7%71.5%0.08-
Sector ETF (XLV)6.4%15.0%0.2419.3%
Equity (SPY)13.2%17.1%0.6026.5%
Gold (GLD)16.7%18.4%0.737.4%
Commodities (DBC)8.5%19.5%0.330.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.2%18.9%0.0720.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)14.5%53.5%0.4517.0%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with LCTX
LCTX-6.8%75.0%0.23-
Sector ETF (XLV)10.1%16.6%0.4923.9%
Equity (SPY)15.4%17.9%0.7329.8%
Gold (GLD)10.9%16.1%0.557.0%
Commodities (DBC)6.5%18.0%0.289.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.2%20.7%0.2222.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)57.8%66.2%0.9812.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date6302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity28.2 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 615202610.3%
Average Daily Volume3.4 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest8.3 days
Basic Shares Quantity245.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares11.5%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/15/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/12/2026-3.8%-9.8%-3.8%
3/5/20260.5%-14.1%-16.3%
11/6/20251.7%4.0%0.6%
8/12/20252.0%22.8%27.7%
5/13/2025-2.6%3.3%49.5%
3/10/20250.4%-5.8%-27.3%
11/14/2024-2.3%-32.2%-43.5%
8/8/20242.5%-1.9%1.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141110
# Negative101314
Median Positive2.3%4.0%18.9%
Median Negative-2.4%-6.5%-10.0%
Max Positive15.0%22.8%49.5%
Max Negative-5.1%-32.2%-43.5%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/12/2026-3.8%-9.8%-3.8%
3/5/20260.5%-14.1%-16.3%
11/6/20251.7%4.0%0.6%
8/12/20252.0%22.8%27.7%
5/13/2025-2.6%3.3%49.5%
3/10/20250.4%-5.8%-27.3%
11/14/2024-2.3%-32.2%-43.5%
8/8/20242.5%-1.9%1.7%
5/9/2024-0.8%-10.2%-21.6%
3/7/202415.0%2.7%30.1%
11/9/2023-2.8%-11.5%-8.5%
8/10/20232.1%-2.1%-5.7%
5/11/2023-2.1%-5.0%-2.8%
3/9/2023-2.1%-4.8%-4.1%
11/10/20228.3%9.0%0.0%
8/11/20221.3%-6.5%-14.8%
5/12/2022-5.1%5.1%10.2%
3/10/2022-4.3%-2.9%-2.1%
11/10/20214.2%0.8%-15.3%
8/12/20210.4%-10.7%-11.5%
5/13/20214.1%9.2%35.9%
3/11/20216.0%1.3%3.0%
11/4/20208.3%16.5%33.1%
8/6/2020-1.3%0.0%-6.5%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141110
# Negative101314
Median Positive2.3%4.0%18.9%
Median Negative-2.4%-6.5%-10.0%
Max Positive15.0%22.8%49.5%
Max Negative-5.1%-32.2%-43.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/12/202610-Q
12/31/202503/05/202610-K
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202508/12/202510-Q
03/31/202505/13/202510-Q
12/31/202403/10/202510-K
09/30/202411/14/202410-Q
06/30/202408/08/202410-Q
03/31/202405/09/202410-Q
12/31/202303/07/202410-K
09/30/202311/09/202310-Q
06/30/202308/10/202310-Q
03/31/202305/11/202310-Q
12/31/202203/09/202310-K
09/30/202211/10/202210-Q
06/30/202208/11/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/12/202610-Q
12/31/202503/05/202610-K
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202508/12/202510-Q
03/31/202505/13/202510-Q
12/31/202403/10/202510-K
09/30/202411/14/202410-Q
06/30/202408/08/202410-Q
03/31/202405/09/202410-Q
12/31/202303/07/202410-K
09/30/202311/09/202310-Q
06/30/202308/10/202310-Q
03/31/202305/11/202310-Q
12/31/202203/09/202310-K
09/30/202211/10/202210-Q
06/30/202208/11/202210-Q
03/31/202205/12/202210-Q
12/31/202103/10/202210-K
09/30/202111/10/202110-Q
06/30/202108/12/202110-Q
03/31/202105/13/202110-Q
12/31/202003/11/202110-K
09/30/202011/04/202010-Q
06/30/202008/06/202010-Q
03/31/202005/07/202010-Q
12/31/201903/12/202010-K
09/30/201911/12/201910-Q
06/30/201908/08/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 7/12/2026

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/12/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2028 Cash Runway 2,028    

Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/5/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Development Cost Contribution 12.00 Mil    

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/6/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2027 Cash Runway 2,027   RaisedGuidance: 2,027 for 2027

Insider Activity

Updated 7/2/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Culley, Brian MPresident and CEODirectBuy31220261.6215,00024,375415,214Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Culley, Brian MPresident and CEODirectBuy31220261.6215,00024,375415,214Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Jul 17, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Broadwood Capital Inc$78.3 Mil5.5%6Hold13F
Defender Capital, LLC.$10.6 Mil3.8%34Hold13F
Active Manager
Active Manager
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Broadwood Capital Inc$78.3 Mil5.5%6Hold13F
Defender Capital, LLC.$10.6 Mil3.8%34Hold13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 7/16/2026