Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Organic & Natural Products.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -150%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -173%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -33 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -278%
1  Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 1108%
2   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -234%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -236%
3   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 374%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -1594%
5   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 2521%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Organic & Natural Products.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -150%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -173%
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -33 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -278%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 1108%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -234%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -236%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 374%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -1594%
8 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 2521%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

JAGX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

During the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, Jaguar Health (JAGX) experienced a -37.4% movement in its stock, primarily influenced by several key factors:

1. Persistent Operating Losses and High Cash Burn: Jaguar Health reported a net loss of $9.5 million for the third quarter of 2025, continuing to face ongoing operating losses and negative cash flows. An analysis also highlighted a rapid cash burn rate and a concerning current ratio of 0.81, suggesting that the company's short-term obligations exceeded its liquid assets.

2. Significant Stock Price Decline and New Lows: The stock price experienced a substantial drop, falling 39% in the month leading up to December 1, 2025, and hitting new 52-week lows eight times in the prior quarter. This indicates a significant erosion of investor confidence and market value.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
JAGX Return2%-57%-92%-98%-89%-95%-100%
Peers Return2%-1%6%8%-0%2%17%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
JAGX Win Rate42%17%8%33%25%20% 
Peers Win Rate13%8%13%12%10%90% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
JAGX Max Drawdown-76%-58%-92%-98%-91%-99% 
Peers Max Drawdown-2%-5%0%-0%-1%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventJAGXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-100.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven599900.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-80.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven405.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven36 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-100.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven248036.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN


In The Past

Jaguar Health's stock fell -100.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/8/2021. A -100.0% loss requires a 599900.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Jaguar Health (JAGX)

Better Bets than Jaguar Health (JAGX)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to JAGX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Jaguar Health

Peers to compare with:

Financials

JAGXVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameJaguar H.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Price1.02463.132.541.0711.0721.226.80
Mkt Cap0.0118.4----59.2
Rev LTM1211,7230-01010
Op Inc LTM-33-92-5--93-70-70
FCF LTM-283,337-6--60-64-28
FCF 3Y Avg-312,064-10----10
CFO LTM-283,718-6--60-64-28
CFO 3Y Avg-302,419-10----10

Growth & Margins

JAGXVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameJaguar H.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Rev Chg LTM16.0%10.3%----13.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg14.0%10.5%----12.2%
Rev Chg Q9.5%11.0%----10.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.2%2.7%----2.5%
Op Mgn LTM-278.1%-0.8%----700.7%-278.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-298.3%26.2%-----136.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.8%1.0%----0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM-234.3%31.7%----635.6%-234.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-276.9%23.1%-----126.9%
FCF/Rev LTM-236.2%28.5%----636.5%-236.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-278.7%19.8%-----129.5%

Valuation

JAGXVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameJaguar H.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Cap0.0118.4----59.2
P/S0.28.5----4.4
P/EBIT-0.122.4----11.2
P/E-0.127.2----13.6
P/CFO-0.126.9----13.4
Total Yield-1,589.4%3.7%-----792.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-5,431.0%2.3%-----2,714.3%
D/E11.90.0----6.0
Net D/E11.1-0.0----5.5

Returns

JAGXVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameJaguar H.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
1M Rtn-44.9%8.7%---9.9%--9.9%
3M Rtn-39.3%16.8%--12.5%-12.5%
6M Rtn-74.5%3.9%-----35.3%
12M Rtn-96.0%1.3%-----47.3%
3Y Rtn-100.0%44.1%-----27.9%
1M Excs Rtn-44.8%8.7%---9.9%--9.9%
3M Excs Rtn-43.5%11.3%--4.5%-4.5%
6M Excs Rtn-89.2%-10.8%-----50.0%
12M Excs Rtn-109.6%-14.6%-----62.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-172.8%-25.9%-----99.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Human Health1012496
Animal Health00000
Total1012496


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Animal Health1531291168068
Human Health4241423432
Investment in subsidiary-29-29-29-29-29
Intercompany loan-115-93-75-42-35
Total5147534336


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity102,632
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025147.0%
Average Daily Volume94,159
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.09
Basic Shares Quantity1,014,783
Short % of Basic Shares10.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025814202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025515202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024331202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241113202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024813202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024514202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023401202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022324202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022822202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021311202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211117202110-Q 9/30/2021