Tearsheet

Graf Global (GRAF)


Market Price (10/31/2025): $10.645 | Market Cap: $61.2 Mil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Multi-Sector Holdings

Graf Global (GRAF)


Market Price (10/31/2025): $10.645
Market Cap: $61.2 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Multi-Sector Holdings

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 11%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 4.6%
  Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -0.9 Mil
2   Significant short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 21
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 11%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 4.6%
2 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
3 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -0.9 Mil
5 Significant short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 21

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

GRAF Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
GRAF Return-----6%5%
Peers Return      0%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GRAF Win Rate----100%89% 
Peers Win Rate     62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GRAF Max Drawdown------0% 
Peers Max Drawdown       
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BCAR, AEXA, BACC, BRR, CCCX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/30/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

GRAF has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLFS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-26.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven36.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven525 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-43.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven76.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven295 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven338 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-83.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven515.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven4470 days1480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -26.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/12/2022. A -26.9% loss requires a 36.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Graf Global (GRAF)

Better Bets than Graf Global (GRAF)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to GRAF. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
HLNE_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025HLNEHamilton LaneDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-14.4%-14.4%-14.4%
CNS_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025CNSCohen & SteersDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-1.6%
JKHY_9262025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09262025JKHYJack Henry & AssociatesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.3%0.3%-2.1%
FDS_9192025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09192025FDSFactSet Research SystemsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-7.7%-7.7%-7.7%
IBKR_9052025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%09052025IBKRInteractive BrokersQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
15.0%15.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
HLNE_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025HLNEHamilton LaneDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-14.4%-14.4%-14.4%
CNS_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025CNSCohen & SteersDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-1.6%
JKHY_9262025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09262025JKHYJack Henry & AssociatesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.3%0.3%-2.1%
FDS_9192025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09192025FDSFactSet Research SystemsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-7.7%-7.7%-7.7%
IBKR_9052025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%09052025IBKRInteractive BrokersQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
15.0%15.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Graf Global

Financials

GRAFBCARAEXABACCBRRCCCXMedian
NameGraf Glo.D Boral .American.Blue Acq.Columbus.Churchil. 
Mkt Price10.6410.0511.4810.0610.2117.8610.43
Mkt Cap0.1-----0.1
Rev LTM0----00
Op Inc LTM-1-----0-1
FCF LTM-1-----1-1
FCF 3Y Avg-------
CFO LTM-1-----1-1
CFO 3Y Avg-------

Growth & Margins

GRAFBCARAEXABACCBRRCCCXMedian
NameGraf Glo.D Boral .American.Blue Acq.Columbus.Churchil. 
Rev Chg LTM-------
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-------
Rev Chg Q-------
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-------
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM-------
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-------
FCF/Rev LTM-------
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-------

Valuation

GRAFBCARAEXABACCBRRCCCXMedian
NameGraf Glo.D Boral .American.Blue Acq.Columbus.Churchil. 
Mkt Cap0.1-----0.1
P/S-------
P/EBIT-69.5------69.5
P/E6.3-----6.3
P/CFO-63.9------63.9
Total Yield15.9%-----15.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%-----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-------
D/E0.0-----0.0
Net D/E-0.0------0.0

Returns

GRAFBCARAEXABACCBRRCCCXMedian
NameGraf Glo.D Boral .American.Blue Acq.Columbus.Churchil. 
1M Rtn1.0%1.2%5.0%0.6%0.9%38.9%1.1%
3M Rtn1.5%----1.6%76.0%1.5%
6M Rtn3.3%-----3.3%
12M Rtn6.3%-----6.3%
3Y Rtn-------
1M Excs Rtn-0.7%-0.4%3.5%-1.1%-0.8%36.9%-0.6%
3M Excs Rtn-8.1%----10.2%66.8%-8.1%
6M Excs Rtn-18.4%------18.4%
12M Excs Rtn-10.8%------10.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-------

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,641
Short Interest: % Change Since 9302025-2.8%
Average Daily Volume273
Days-to-Cover Short Interest20.66
Basic Shares Quantity5,750,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.1%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025813202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025514202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024313202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241114202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
123120236272024424B4 12/31/2023

Insider Activity

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