Tearsheet

Frontline (FRO)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $25.0 | Market Cap: $5.6 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation

Frontline (FRO)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $25.0
Market Cap: $5.6 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.5%, Dividend Yield is 5.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.2%, FCF Yield is 11%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.7%, Dist 3Y High is -2.9%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 55%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -16%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -14%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Commodities & Logistics. Themes include Oil & Gas Transportation, and Maritime Logistics.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.5%, Dividend Yield is 5.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.2%, FCF Yield is 11%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Commodities & Logistics. Themes include Oil & Gas Transportation, and Maritime Logistics.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.7%, Dist 3Y High is -2.9%
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -16%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 55%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -14%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

FRO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The public company Frontline (FRO) experienced a 39.5% stock movement between July 31, 2025, and November 18, 2025, driven by several key factors.

1. Elevated Crude Tanker Rates: Daily charter rates for Very Large Crude Carriers (VLCCs) surged, reaching $125,000, marking new highs since the pandemic. This increase was primarily fueled by rising global oil supply and a heightened demand for 'unaffected' tankers due to international sanctions, which boosted earnings for benchmark tankers.

2. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Upgraded Price Targets: Several analyst firms expressed a bullish outlook on Frontline. Notably, BTIG Research upgraded its price target from $25.00 to $30.00 with a "buy" rating on September 17, 2025, and Evercore ISI Group maintained a "Buy" rating while raising its price target to $26.00 on October 28, 2025. The consensus among analysts was a "Strong Buy" or "Moderate Buy" for the stock.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
FRO Return-41%14%74%96%-22%85%225%
Peers Return-23%8%-11%3%-1%-4%-28%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%107%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FRO Win Rate25%58%50%67%33%70% 
Peers Win Rate25%37%30%38%33%45% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FRO Max Drawdown-49%-7%-9%-12%-27%-8% 
Peers Max Drawdown-39%-6%-20%-18%-27%-15% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BANL, TMDE, TOPS, ENB, WMB.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventFROS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-33.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven50.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven96 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-59.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven143.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven684 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-48.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven92.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven274 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-77.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven337.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to BANL, TMDE, TOPS, ENB, WMB


In The Past

Frontline's stock fell -33.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/1/2021. A -33.6% loss requires a 50.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Frontline (FRO)

Better Bets than Frontline (FRO)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to FRO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.8%8.8%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.3%4.3%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
24.3%24.3%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.4%1.4%-5.7%
SLB_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025SLBSLBDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.5%16.5%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.8%8.8%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.3%4.3%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
24.3%24.3%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.4%1.4%-5.7%
SLB_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025SLBSLBDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.5%16.5%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Frontline

Financials

FROBANLTMDETOPSENBWMBMedian
NameFrontlineCBL Inte.TMD Ener.TOP ShipsEnbridge Williams. 
Mkt Price25.300.470.665.9647.7559.9115.63
Mkt Cap5.6---104.173.273.2
Rev LTM1,824--264,23411,4956,659
Op Inc LTM387---511,1993,9412,164
FCF LTM615---4,0541,7221,722
FCF 3Y Avg-179---6,7072,4582,458
CFO LTM624---12,8215,5405,540
CFO 3Y Avg726---13,1915,4845,484

Growth & Margins

FROBANLTMDETOPSENBWMBMedian
NameFrontlineCBL Inte.TMD Ener.TOP ShipsEnbridge Williams. 
Rev Chg LTM-5.3%---95.8%32.3%9.0%1.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg35.9%---49.4%8.6%0.8%4.7%
Rev Chg Q-13.7%---77.1%-1.6%10.2%-7.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-4.0%---67.4%-0.4%2.4%-2.2%
Op Mgn LTM21.2%---208.7%17.4%34.3%19.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg34.6%---55.9%19.1%35.5%26.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-5.7%---202.2%0.1%1.6%-2.8%
CFO/Rev LTM34.2%---20.0%48.2%34.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg38.3%---25.6%49.8%38.3%
FCF/Rev LTM33.7%---6.3%15.0%15.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-8.7%---13.5%22.5%13.5%

Valuation

FROBANLTMDETOPSENBWMBMedian
NameFrontlineCBL Inte.TMD Ener.TOP ShipsEnbridge Williams. 
Mkt Cap5.6---104.173.273.2
P/S3.1---1.66.43.1
P/EBIT10.7---8.015.810.7
P/E23.7---17.330.923.7
P/CFO9.0---8.113.29.0
Total Yield9.5%---13.6%6.5%9.5%
Dividend Yield5.3%---7.8%3.3%5.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.3%---8.3%4.7%4.7%
D/E0.6---1.00.40.6
Net D/E0.6---1.00.40.6

Returns

FROBANLTMDETOPSENBWMBMedian
NameFrontlineCBL Inte.TMD Ener.TOP ShipsEnbridge Williams. 
1M Rtn8.3%-36.6%-12.4%1.4%2.9%-4.1%-1.3%
3M Rtn35.4%-30.8%-23.3%6.3%3.8%6.9%5.0%
6M Rtn41.1%-50.6%-20.5%5.4%9.3%4.1%4.7%
12M Rtn40.0%-52.1%--21.3%20.0%9.6%9.6%
3Y Rtn139.2%---84.7%44.4%105.8%75.1%
1M Excs Rtn8.2%-36.7%-12.5%1.3%2.7%-4.2%-1.4%
3M Excs Rtn34.9%-34.5%-25.9%2.3%-1.5%2.7%0.4%
6M Excs Rtn29.2%-62.5%-32.4%-6.5%-2.6%-7.8%-7.1%
12M Excs Rtn27.9%-66.8%--36.5%9.4%0.0%0.0%
3Y Excs Rtn90.8%---154.8%-24.0%35.8%5.9%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,813,231
Short Interest: % Change Since 10152025-4.8%
Average Daily Volume2,519,971
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.91
Basic Shares Quantity222,623,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.2%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
630202582920256-K 6/30/2025
331202552320256-K 3/31/2025
12312024407202520-F 12/31/2024
9302024112720246-K 9/30/2024
630202492720246-K 6/30/2024
331202453120246-K 3/31/2024
12312023426202420-F 12/31/2023
9302023121320236-K 9/30/2023
630202391420236-K 6/30/2023
331202360120236-K 3/31/2023
12312022428202320-F 12/31/2022
9302022120620226-K 9/30/2022
630202282520226-K 6/30/2022
331202261420226-K 3/31/2022
12312021317202220-F 12/31/2021
9302021120120216-K 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

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