Medtronic (MDT)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $101.99 | Market Cap: $130.7 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Equipment
Medtronic (MDT)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $101.99Market Cap: $130.7 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Health Care Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.4%, Dividend Yield is 3.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.2% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.2%, Dist 3Y High is -3.2% | |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 19% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -13%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -26% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, CFO LTM is 7.1 Bil, FCF LTM is 5.3 Bil | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 22% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, Digital Health & Telemedicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.4%, Dividend Yield is 3.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.2% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 19% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, CFO LTM is 7.1 Bil, FCF LTM is 5.3 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 22% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, Digital Health & Telemedicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.2%, Dist 3Y High is -3.2% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -13%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -26% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
MDT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are key points explaining Medtronic's (MDT) stock movement for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025:
1. Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Exceed Expectations: Medtronic reported robust financial results for its fiscal second quarter of 2026 on November 18, 2025. The company's revenue grew 6.6% year-over-year to $9 billion, and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) increased by 8%, both surpassing analyst expectations. This strong performance was significantly driven by the Cardiovascular division, particularly the Pulse Field Ablation (PFA) franchise, which achieved revenue growth exceeding 10%, its fastest pace in over a decade. The company also raised its revenue and EPS guidance for fiscal year 2026.
2. FDA Clearance of Hugo Robotic-Assisted Surgery System: On December 3, 2025, Medtronic announced that its Hugo robotic-assisted surgery (RAS) system received U.S. FDA clearance for urologic surgical procedures. This approval is a crucial milestone, enabling Medtronic to enter the significant U.S. surgical robotics market and compete in the expanding field of minimally invasive surgical procedures.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MDT Return | 6% | -10% | -23% | 10% | 0% | 31% | 6% |
| Peers Return | 11% | 20% | -14% | 5% | 17% | 8% | 51% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MDT Win Rate | 58% | 42% | 42% | 42% | 50% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 52% | 45% | 50% | 60% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MDT Max Drawdown | -36% | -14% | -25% | -8% | -5% | -0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -29% | -6% | -29% | -17% | -9% | -12% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: JNJ, ABT, ISRG, BSX, BAX. See MDT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MDT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -48.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 94.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -39.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 66.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 382 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -17.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 20.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 185 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -57.9% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 137.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1695 days | 1480 days |
Compare to JNJ, ABT, ISRG, BSX, BAX
In The Past
Medtronic's stock fell -48.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/8/2021. A -48.6% loss requires a 94.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to MDT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 10.0% | 10.0% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.9% | 6.9% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.5% | 11.5% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.9% | 8.9% | -5.1% |
| 09302022 | MDT | Medtronic | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.6% | 0.4% | -5.7% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 10.0% | 10.0% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.9% | 6.9% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.5% | 11.5% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.9% | 8.9% | -5.1% |
| 09302022 | MDT | Medtronic | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.6% | 0.4% | -5.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Medtronic
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 113.69 |
| Mkt Cap | 173.8 |
| Rev LTM | 26,775 |
| Op Inc LTM | 5,184 |
| FCF LTM | 4,466 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 3,671 |
| CFO LTM | 5,886 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 4,965 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 19.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 18.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 22.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 20.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 17.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 173.8 |
| P/S | 5.1 |
| P/EBIT | 33.5 |
| P/E | 20.9 |
| P/CFO | 22.0 |
| Total Yield | 4.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.3% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.3% |
| 3M Rtn | 2.8% |
| 6M Rtn | -1.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 8.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 34.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -3.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -17.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -4.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -36.3% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiovascular | 11,831 | 11,522 | 11,368 | 10,772 | 10,468 |
| Neuroscience | 9,406 | 8,959 | 8,784 | 8,195 | 7,725 |
| Medical Surgical | 8,417 | 7,989 | 8,469 | 8,737 | 8,352 |
| Diabetes | 2,488 | 2,262 | 2,338 | 2,413 | 2,368 |
| Other operating segment | 221 | 495 | 727 | ||
| Total | 32,363 | 31,227 | 31,686 | 30,117 | 28,913 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiovascular | 4,474 | 4,522 | 4,596 | 3,850 | 3,719 |
| Neuroscience | 3,940 | 3,712 | 3,858 | 3,162 | 2,915 |
| Medical Surgical | 3,170 | 3,048 | 3,698 | 3,021 | 3,044 |
| Diabetes | 394 | 383 | 588 | 598 | 546 |
| Currency | 68 | 465 | 70 | -47 | |
| Other operating segment | 10 | -89 | -31 | ||
| Medical device regulations | -119 | -150 | -102 | -83 | -48 |
| Certain litigation charges, net | -149 | 30 | -95 | -118 | -313 |
| Restructuring and associated costs | -389 | -647 | -335 | -617 | -441 |
| Stock-based compensation | -393 | -355 | -358 | ||
| Acquisition and divestiture-related items | -777 | -345 | -838 | 15 | -66 |
| Centralized distribution costs | -1,609 | -1,558 | -1,741 | -1,830 | -1,420 |
| Amortization of intangible assets | -1,693 | -1,698 | -1,733 | -1,783 | -1,756 |
| Corporate | -1,784 | -1,763 | -1,724 | -1,577 | -1,239 |
| Commitments to the Medtronic Foundation and Medtronic LABS | -70 | 0 | 0 | ||
| In-process research and development (IPR&D) charges | -101 | -31 | -25 | ||
| Divestiture and separation-related items | 0 | ||||
| Impairment of abandoned intangible assets | -76 | ||||
| Mechanical Circulatory Support (MCS) Impairments / Costs | 0 | ||||
| Contribution to Medtronic Foundation | -80 | ||||
| Debt tender premium and other charges | 7 | ||||
| Exit of businesses | -52 | ||||
| Total | 5,143 | 5,485 | 5,752 | 4,484 | 4,791 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Medical Surgical | 33,586 | 39,666 | |||
| Neuroscience | 18,270 | 16,850 | |||
| Corporate | 17,455 | 16,164 | |||
| Cardiovascular | 16,128 | 14,844 | |||
| Diabetes | 3,996 | 3,165 | |||
| Other operating segment | 547 | ||||
| Total | 89,982 | 90,689 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 7312025 | 8262025 | 10-Q 7/25/2025 |
| 4302025 | 6202025 | 10-K 4/25/2025 |
| 1312025 | 2252025 | 10-Q 1/24/2025 |
| 10312024 | 11262024 | 10-Q 10/25/2024 |
| 7312024 | 8272024 | 10-Q 7/26/2024 |
| 4302024 | 6202024 | 10-K 4/26/2024 |
| 1312024 | 2272024 | 10-Q 1/26/2024 |
| 10312023 | 11302023 | 10-Q 10/27/2023 |
| 7312023 | 8312023 | 10-Q 7/28/2023 |
| 4302023 | 6222023 | 10-K 4/28/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3012023 | 10-Q 1/27/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12012022 | 10-Q 10/28/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9012022 | 10-Q 7/29/2022 |
| 4302022 | 6232022 | 10-K 4/29/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3032022 | 10-Q 1/28/2022 |
| 10312021 | 12022021 | 10-Q 10/29/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
