Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 83%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -94%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -88%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 75%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -39%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -13%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Biosimilar Development, Advanced Biologics Manufacturing, Show more.
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.6%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -25%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 83%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -39%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Biosimilar Development, Advanced Biologics Manufacturing, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -94%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -88%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 75%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -13%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.6%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -25%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

ALVO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For the approximate time period from July 31, 2025, to November 18, 2025, Alvotech (ALVO) experienced a stock decline of -43.3% due to several key factors:

1. FDA Complete Response Letter (CRL) for AVT05: On November 3, 2025, Alvotech announced that the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) issued a Complete Response Letter (CRL) for its biosimilar candidate to Simponi® (golimumab), known as AVT05. This news contributed to a significant single-day stock drop of over 34% on November 3, 2025.

2. Q3 2025 Earnings Miss: Alvotech reported a Q3 2025 loss of $0.02 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.05, and revenues of $113.86 million, which fell short of consensus estimates by 11.6%. Other reports indicated an EPS of $0.47 against a forecasted loss of -$0.03, resulting in a substantial negative surprise. This earnings miss, announced around November 12-13, 2025, led to the stock gapping down.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ALVO Return---15%15%-61%-49%
Peers Return-10%-6%-26%-27%-27%1964%585%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%107%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ALVO Win Rate--50%50%42%20% 
Peers Win Rate22%30%22%23%32%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ALVO Max Drawdown----31%-6%-63% 
Peers Max Drawdown-17%-13%-31%-34%-35%-27% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BGM, NSRX, RGC, RHHBY, SXTC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventALVOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-50.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven103.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven204 days464 days

Compare to BGM, NSRX, RGC, RHHBY, SXTC


In The Past

Alvotech's stock fell -50.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/2/2023. A -50.8% loss requires a 103.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Alvotech (ALVO)

Better Bets than Alvotech (ALVO)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ALVO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GDRX_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG10312025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-11.9%-11.9%-11.9%
DXCM_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025DXCMDexComMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.3%-0.3%-5.8%
ACHC_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025ACHCAcadia HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-31.5%-31.5%-31.5%
PBH_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025PBHPrestige Consumer HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.6%-1.6%-1.9%
REGN_10032025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10032025REGNRegeneron PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.6%15.6%-7.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GDRX_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG10312025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-11.9%-11.9%-11.9%
DXCM_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025DXCMDexComMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.3%-0.3%-5.8%
ACHC_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025ACHCAcadia HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-31.5%-31.5%-31.5%
PBH_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025PBHPrestige Consumer HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.6%-1.6%-1.9%
REGN_10032025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10032025REGNRegeneron PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.6%15.6%-7.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Alvotech

Financials

ALVOBGMNSRXRGCRHHBYSXTCMedian
NameAlvotech BGM Nasus Ph.Regencel.Roche China SX. 
Mkt Price5.149.107.0312.9344.581.358.06
Mkt Cap1.5-----1.5
Rev LTM560-----560
Op Inc LTM55-----55
FCF LTM-140------140
FCF 3Y Avg-276------276
CFO LTM-43------43
CFO 3Y Avg-217------217

Growth & Margins

ALVOBGMNSRXRGCRHHBYSXTCMedian
NameAlvotech BGM Nasus Ph.Regencel.Roche China SX. 
Rev Chg LTM82.6%-----82.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg150.9%-----150.9%
Rev Chg Q-12.8%------12.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-4.4%------4.4%
Op Mgn LTM9.8%-----9.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-185.2%------185.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-12.2%------12.2%
CFO/Rev LTM-7.6%------7.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-194.1%------194.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-25.0%------25.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-228.5%------228.5%

Valuation

ALVOBGMNSRXRGCRHHBYSXTCMedian
NameAlvotech BGM Nasus Ph.Regencel.Roche China SX. 
Mkt Cap1.5-----1.5
P/S2.7-----2.7
P/EBIT8.6-----8.6
P/E23.5-----23.5
P/CFO-35.0------35.0
Total Yield4.3%-----4.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%-----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-11.9%------11.9%
D/E0.9-----0.9
Net D/E0.7-----0.7

Returns

ALVOBGMNSRXRGCRHHBYSXTCMedian
NameAlvotech BGM Nasus Ph.Regencel.Roche China SX. 
1M Rtn-41.1%-0.9%-10.2%-25.7%-0.7%-2.9%-6.5%
3M Rtn-42.9%11.7%-18.2%-3.0%12.5%-15.1%-9.0%
6M Rtn-49.0%-26.3%-39.6%13.5%-15.1%-15.1%
12M Rtn-56.2%37.7%-7,916.1%28.5%-56.4%28.5%
3Y Rtn-17.1%--1,634.9%29.1%-98.9%6.0%
1M Excs Rtn-41.2%-1.0%-10.3%-25.9%-0.9%-3.0%-6.7%
3M Excs Rtn-44.9%12.4%-23.2%-0.4%6.5%-17.5%-9.0%
6M Excs Rtn-60.8%-38.2%-27.7%1.6%-27.0%-27.0%
12M Excs Rtn-68.4%27.7%-7,687.1%12.9%-74.8%12.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-87.8%--1,685.4%-46.8%-167.5%-67.3%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,713,521
Short Interest: % Change Since 101520253.2%
Average Daily Volume339,016
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.05
Basic Shares Quantity289,811,515
Short % of Basic Shares0.6%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
630202581320256-K 6/30/2025
331202550820256-K 3/31/2025
12312024327202520-F 12/31/2024
9302024111320246-K 9/30/2024
630202481520246-K 6/30/2024
331202452220246-K 3/31/2024
12312023320202420-F 12/31/2023
9302023112920236-K 9/30/2023
630202383120236-K 6/30/2023
331202351920236-K 3/31/2023
12312022301202320-F 12/31/2022
9302022111620226-K 9/30/2022
630202283120226-K 6/30/2022
12312021622202220-F 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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