Alvotech (ALVO)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $5.15 | Market Cap: $1.5 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Pharmaceuticals
Alvotech (ALVO)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $5.15Market Cap: $1.5 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Pharmaceuticals
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 83% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -94%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -88% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 75% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -39% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -13% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Biosimilar Development, Advanced Biologics Manufacturing, Show more. | Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.6%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -25% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 83% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -39% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Biosimilar Development, Advanced Biologics Manufacturing, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -94%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -88% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 75% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -13% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.6%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -25% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
ALVO Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
For the approximate time period from July 31, 2025, to November 18, 2025, Alvotech (ALVO) experienced a stock decline of -43.3% due to several key factors:
1. FDA Complete Response Letter (CRL) for AVT05: On November 3, 2025, Alvotech announced that the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) issued a Complete Response Letter (CRL) for its biosimilar candidate to Simponi® (golimumab), known as AVT05. This news contributed to a significant single-day stock drop of over 34% on November 3, 2025.
2. Q3 2025 Earnings Miss: Alvotech reported a Q3 2025 loss of $0.02 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.05, and revenues of $113.86 million, which fell short of consensus estimates by 11.6%. Other reports indicated an EPS of $0.47 against a forecasted loss of -$0.03, resulting in a substantial negative surprise. This earnings miss, announced around November 12-13, 2025, led to the stock gapping down.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ALVO Return | - | - | - | 15% | 15% | -61% | -49% |
| Peers Return | -10% | -6% | -26% | -27% | -27% | 1964% | 585% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 13% | 107% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ALVO Win Rate | - | - | 50% | 50% | 42% | 20% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 22% | 30% | 22% | 23% | 32% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ALVO Max Drawdown | - | - | - | -31% | -6% | -63% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -17% | -13% | -31% | -34% | -35% | -27% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BGM, NSRX, RGC, RHHBY, SXTC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ALVO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -50.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 103.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 204 days | 464 days |
Compare to BGM, NSRX, RGC, RHHBY, SXTC
In The Past
Alvotech's stock fell -50.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/2/2023. A -50.8% loss requires a 103.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ALVO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -11.9% | -11.9% | -11.9% |
| 10312025 | DXCM | DexCom | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.3% | -0.3% | -5.8% |
| 10242025 | ACHC | Acadia Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -31.5% | -31.5% | -31.5% |
| 10102025 | PBH | Prestige Consumer Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.6% | -1.6% | -1.9% |
| 10032025 | REGN | Regeneron Pharmaceuticals | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.6% | 15.6% | -7.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -11.9% | -11.9% | -11.9% |
| 10312025 | DXCM | DexCom | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.3% | -0.3% | -5.8% |
| 10242025 | ACHC | Acadia Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -31.5% | -31.5% | -31.5% |
| 10102025 | PBH | Prestige Consumer Healthcare | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.6% | -1.6% | -1.9% |
| 10032025 | REGN | Regeneron Pharmaceuticals | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.6% | 15.6% | -7.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Alvotech
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 8.06 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.5 |
| Rev LTM | 560 |
| Op Inc LTM | 55 |
| FCF LTM | -140 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -276 |
| CFO LTM | -43 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -217 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 82.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 150.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | -12.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -4.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 9.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -185.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -12.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -7.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -194.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -25.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -228.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.5 |
| P/S | 2.7 |
| P/EBIT | 8.6 |
| P/E | 23.5 |
| P/CFO | -35.0 |
| Total Yield | 4.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -11.9% |
| D/E | 0.9 |
| Net D/E | 0.7 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -6.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -9.0% |
| 6M Rtn | -15.1% |
| 12M Rtn | 28.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 6.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -6.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -9.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -27.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 12.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -67.3% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8132025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3272025 | 20-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11132024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8152024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5222024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3202024 | 20-F 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11292023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8312023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5192023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3012023 | 20-F 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11162022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8312022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 12312021 | 6222022 | 20-F 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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