Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $24.33 | Market Cap: $60.3 BilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Broadcasting
Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $24.33Market Cap: $60.3 BilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Broadcasting
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Video Streaming, and Gaming Content & Platforms. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Video Streaming, and Gaming Content & Platforms. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
WBD Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The public company Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) has experienced significant stock movements driven by several key factors. While a specific 111% increase between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, cannot be confirmed as factual for a future period, several recent and ongoing developments around that approximate timeframe have significantly impacted WBD's stock performance.
1. Strong Earnings Reports and Financial Turnaround: Warner Bros. Discovery has seen positive momentum from robust earnings reports, signaling an improvement in its financial health. The company reported better-than-expected revenue and earnings, with increased subscription revenue from streaming services like Max and successful cost-cutting measures improving profit margins. For instance, in Q2 2025, WBD reported a profit of $0.63 per share, a significant turnaround from a loss in the prior year, and revenue of $9.81 billion, surpassing analyst expectations. The streaming segment alone was expected to contribute over $1.3 billion in EBITDA in 2025, a substantial reversal from a $2.5 billion loss three years prior.
2. Streaming Growth and Strategic Content: The company's focus on its streaming sector has been a critical driver. WBD has made substantial investments in its platforms, expanding its content library with new original programming and exclusive content, which has attracted more subscribers and boosted engagement. The Max streaming service, in particular, added 7.2 million subscribers in Q3 2024, marking its biggest quarterly gain since launch, bringing total subscribers to 110.5 million. By Q3 2025, global streaming subscribers reached 128 million, up from 97.7 million at year-end 2023. Strategic partnerships and international expansion of HBO Max to over 100 countries also contributed to subscriber growth.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| WBD Return | -8% | -22% | -60% | 20% | -7% | 132% | -25% |
| Peers Return | 19% | 26% | -34% | 30% | 32% | 45% | 146% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| WBD Win Rate | 33% | 25% | 42% | 58% | 42% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 38% | 35% | 30% | 47% | 48% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| WBD Max Drawdown | -44% | -26% | -62% | -1% | -41% | -27% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -33% | -12% | -39% | -6% | -22% | -11% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SPOT, EVC, CAST, WBD, FOXA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | WBD | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -88.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 771.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -44.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 78.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 278 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -45.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 81.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 302 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -64.9% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 184.7% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 327 days | 1480 days |
Compare to SPOT, EVC, CAST, WBD, FOXA
In The Past
Warner Bros. Discovery's stock fell -88.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/19/2021. A -88.5% loss requires a 771.1% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to WBD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.5% | -22.5% | -25.6% |
| 04302022 | WBD | Warner Bros. Discovery | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -28.7% | -25.0% | -51.1% |
| 04302021 | WBD | Warner Bros. Discovery | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -37.8% | -51.8% | -51.8% |
| 08312020 | WBD | Warner Bros. Discovery | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 163.7% | 30.7% | -12.7% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.5% | -22.5% | -25.6% |
| 04302022 | WBD | Warner Bros. Discovery | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -28.7% | -25.0% | -51.1% |
| 04302021 | WBD | Warner Bros. Discovery | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -37.8% | -51.8% | -51.8% |
| 08312020 | WBD | Warner Bros. Discovery | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 163.7% | 30.7% | -12.7% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons for Warner Bros. Discovery
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
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Returns
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Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Networks | 21,244 | 19,348 | 11,311 | ||
| Studios | 12,192 | 9,731 | 20 | ||
| Direct-to-consumer (DTC) | 10,154 | 7,274 | 860 | ||
| Corporate | 0 | 30 | |||
| Inter-segment eliminations | -2,269 | -2,566 | |||
| Corporate, inter-segment eliminations, and other | 9 | 11 | |||
| International Networks | 3,713 | 4,041 | |||
| U.S. Networks | 6,949 | 7,092 | |||
| Total | 41,321 | 33,817 | 12,191 | 10,671 | 11,144 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Networks | 9,063 | 8,725 | 5,533 | ||
| Studios | 2,183 | 1,772 | 14 | ||
| Direct-to-consumer (DTC) | 103 | -1,596 | -1,345 | ||
| Inter-segment eliminations | 93 | 17 | |||
| Facility consolidation costs | -32 | 0 | |||
| Amortization of capitalized interest for content | -46 | 0 | |||
| Impairments and loss on dispositions | -77 | -117 | 71 | ||
| Transaction and integration costs | -162 | -1,195 | -95 | ||
| Employee share-based compensation | -488 | -410 | -167 | ||
| Restructuring and other charges | -585 | -3,757 | -32 | ||
| Corporate | -1,242 | -1,200 | -385 | ||
| Impairment and amortization of fair value step-up for content | -2,373 | -2,416 | |||
| Depreciation and amortization | -7,985 | -7,193 | -1,582 | ||
| Total | -1,548 | -7,370 | 2,012 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2232024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2242023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4262022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
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