Tearsheet

Spotify Technology (SPOT)


Market Price (12/29/2025): $581.32 | Market Cap: $119.7 Bil
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Interactive Media & Services

Spotify Technology (SPOT)


Market Price (12/29/2025): $581.32
Market Cap: $119.7 Bil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Interactive Media & Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, CFO LTM is 3.0 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.9 Bil
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 69x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 41x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 86x
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 44%
Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.0%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Content & Streaming, Social Media & Creator Economy, and Digital Advertising. Themes include Music Streaming, Show more.
Key risks
SPOT key risks include [1] high content licensing costs that challenge sustained profitability and [2] evolving legal and regulatory disputes over content rights and royalty payments.
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, CFO LTM is 3.0 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.9 Bil
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 44%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Content & Streaming, Social Media & Creator Economy, and Digital Advertising. Themes include Music Streaming, Show more.
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 69x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 41x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 86x
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.0%
5 Key risks
SPOT key risks include [1] high content licensing costs that challenge sustained profitability and [2] evolving legal and regulatory disputes over content rights and royalty payments.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SPOT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

1. Spotify Missed Second-Quarter 2025 Earnings and Provided Weak Third-Quarter Guidance. Spotify reported a net loss of 86 million euros for the second quarter of 2025, significantly missing analysts' expectations for a profit. Revenue also fell short of forecasts, and the company issued conservative revenue guidance for the third quarter, projecting lower figures than market analysts anticipated. This financial underperformance led to a notable drop in the stock.

2. Higher-than-expected Operating Expenses and Social Charges Impacted Profitability. The company's operating income in Q2 2025 was negatively affected by unexpected "social charges," which are payroll taxes related to employee salaries and benefits. These charges were higher than anticipated due to the appreciation of Spotify's share price in the preceding period, impacting overall profitability.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -18.4% change in SPOT stock from 9/28/2025 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a -53.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
928202512282025Change
Stock Price ($)716.53584.35-18.45%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)16613.0016897.001.71%
Net Income Margin (%)4.85%8.32%71.39%
P/E Multiple182.6285.66-53.09%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)205.43205.96-0.26%
Cumulative Contribution-18.45%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/28/2025 to 12/28/2025
ReturnCorrelation
SPOT-18.4% 
Market (SPY)4.3%19.0%
Sector (XLC)-0.2%27.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The -24.4% change in SPOT stock from 6/29/2025 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a -36.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
629202512282025Change
Stock Price ($)772.60584.35-24.37%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)16227.0016897.004.13%
Net Income Margin (%)7.19%8.32%15.72%
P/E Multiple135.4885.66-36.77%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)204.47205.96-0.73%
Cumulative Contribution-24.37%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/29/2025 to 12/28/2025
ReturnCorrelation
SPOT-24.4% 
Market (SPY)12.6%20.8%
Sector (XLC)9.9%28.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 28.0% change in SPOT stock from 12/28/2024 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a 79.1% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
1228202412282025Change
Stock Price ($)456.48584.3528.01%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)15102.0016897.0011.89%
Net Income Margin (%)4.64%8.32%79.14%
P/E Multiple131.2685.66-34.74%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)201.58205.96-2.18%
Cumulative Contribution27.95%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/28/2024 to 12/28/2025
ReturnCorrelation
SPOT28.0% 
Market (SPY)17.0%44.7%
Sector (XLC)21.3%49.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 639.6% change in SPOT stock from 12/29/2022 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a 425.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
1229202212282025Change
Stock Price ($)79.01584.35639.59%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)11250.0016897.0050.20%
P/S Multiple1.367.12425.28%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)193.08205.96-6.67%
Cumulative Contribution636.30%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/29/2023 to 12/28/2025
ReturnCorrelation
SPOT211.0% 
Market (SPY)48.4%42.0%
Sector (XLC)65.6%43.0%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SPOT Return110%-26%-66%138%138%31%292%
Peers Return16%38%-12%21%26%16%150%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%18%114%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SPOT Win Rate50%33%17%83%83%58% 
Peers Win Rate52%65%42%68%57%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SPOT Max Drawdown-21%-35%-70%0%0%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-34%-5%-26%-7%-9%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL. See SPOT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/26/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSPOTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-80.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven413.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven686 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-25.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven60 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-45.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven83.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven544 days120 days

Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL

In The Past

Spotify Technology's stock fell -80.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/19/2021. A -80.5% loss requires a 413.1% gain to breakeven.

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About Spotify Technology (SPOT)

Spotify Technology S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides audio streaming services worldwide. It operates through Premium and Ad-Supported segments. The Premium segment offers unlimited online and offline streaming access to its catalog of music and podcasts without commercial breaks to its subscribers. The Ad-Supported segment provides on-demand online access to its catalog of music and unlimited online access to the catalog of podcasts to its subscribers on their computers, tablets, and compatible mobile devices. The company also offers sales, marketing, contract research and development, and customer support services. As of December 31, 2021, its platform included 406 million monthly active users and 180 million premium subscribers in 184 countries and territories. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Spotify Technology (SPOT):

  • Netflix for music and podcasts.
  • YouTube for audio.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Music Streaming Service: A digital platform providing on-demand access to millions of songs worldwide through various subscription tiers, including a free ad-supported option.
  • Podcast Streaming Service: Offers a vast library of podcasts, including exclusive content, accessible through its platform via ad-supported or premium subscription models.
  • Advertising Services: Provides businesses with opportunities to reach Spotify's global audience through audio ads, video ads, display ads, and sponsored content across its free tiers and podcasts.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Spotify Technology (symbol: SPOT) primarily sells its music and podcast streaming services directly to individuals.

The company serves its customer base through the following three main categories:

  • Premium Individual Subscribers: These customers pay a monthly subscription fee for an ad-free, high-quality streaming experience, offline downloads, and unlimited skips. This category includes standard individual premium plans.
  • Premium Multi-User/Discounted Subscribers: This category includes customers who subscribe to plans designed for multiple users (e.g., Family Plan, Duo Plan) or specific demographics (e.g., Student Plan), offering premium features at a shared or reduced rate for several accounts or qualified individuals.
  • Ad-Supported Free Tier Users: These customers access a free version of the service, supported by advertisements. While they do not pay a direct subscription fee, they are a significant portion of Spotify's user base, consuming content with certain feature limitations.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Universal Music Group (UMGNA)
  • Sony Corporation (SONY)
  • Warner Music Group (WMG)
  • Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL)

AI Analysis | Feedback

Daniel Ek, CEO and Chairman

Daniel Ek is the co-founder, CEO, and Chairman of Spotify. Prior to co-founding Spotify in 2006, Ek founded Advertigo, an online advertising company that was acquired by TradeDoubler in 2006. He also held senior roles at Tradera, a Nordic auction company acquired by eBay in 2006, and served as CTO of the browser-based game and fashion community Stardoll. Additionally, he briefly served as CEO of μTorrent before its sale to BitTorrent in 2006.

Christian Luiga, Chief Financial Officer

Christian Luiga was appointed as Spotify's Chief Financial Officer in April 2024, with an effective start date in Q3 2024. Before joining Spotify, he served as Deputy Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer at Saab AB, a European defense and security company. Luiga also held several leadership positions at the European telecommunications company Telia, including CFO and acting CEO and President.

Gustav Söderström, Co-President, Chief Product & Technology Officer

Gustav Söderström is Spotify's Co-President, Chief Product & Technology Officer, responsible for global product and technology strategy, overseeing product, design, data, and engineering teams. He co-founded and served as CEO of Kenet Works, a company that developed community software for mobile phones, which was acquired by Yahoo! in 2006. Söderström is also a startup seed investor and founder of 13th Lab, which was acquired by Facebook's Oculus in 2014.

Alex Norström, Co-President, Chief Business Officer

Alex Norström serves as Spotify's Co-President and Chief Business Officer, overseeing the subscriber and advertising businesses, and all licensed, distributed, and owned content across music, podcasts, and audiobooks. His responsibilities include marketing, global markets, partnerships, licensing, payments, and customer service. Prior to his current role, Norström held positions such as Chief Freemium Business Officer, Chief Premium Business Officer, VP of Subscriptions, and VP of Growth at Spotify. Before joining Spotify in 2011, he was the Chief New Business Officer at King (now King.com Ltd.) and co-founded companies like Jetbox and Emode.

Dustee Jenkins, Chief Public Affairs Officer

Dustee Jenkins is Spotify's Chief Public Affairs Officer, responsible for external communications, government affairs, trust and safety, and enterprise-wide internal communications globally. Previously, she served as Senior Vice President and Chief Communications Officer at Target. Her earlier career also includes roles as a director at Public Strategies, Inc. and Director of Communications for the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Spotify Technology (SPOT) are:
  1. High Content Licensing Costs and Profitability Concerns: Spotify consistently faces challenges in achieving sustained profitability due to significant operating costs, particularly the substantial fees associated with music licensing agreements and royalty payments to artists and record labels. These high costs directly impact the company's gross margins and financial performance.
  2. Intense Competition: Spotify operates within a highly competitive global audio streaming market, contending with major players such as Apple Music, Amazon Music, and YouTube Music. This intense competition places continuous pressure on pricing, necessitates ongoing investment in content and technology, and requires constant innovation to attract and retain users in a dynamic market.
  3. Regulatory and Legal Challenges: As a global company, Spotify is subject to diverse and evolving regulatory environments, including changes in copyright laws, data privacy regulations, and licensing agreements. The company also faces potential legal disputes with artists, record labels, and other stakeholders over royalty payments and content rights. Furthermore, international trade disputes, such as those related to digital taxes and regulations between the US and the EU, could impact Spotify's operations and financial performance.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • TikTok/ByteDance's Potential Full-Scale Entry into Music Streaming: TikTok is already a dominant global platform for music discovery and promotion, significantly influencing trends and artist careers. Its parent company, ByteDance, operates Resso, a music streaming service in several markets. The clear emerging threat lies in the potential for ByteDance to leverage TikTok's immense user base, sophisticated recommendation algorithms, and existing music engagement into a fully integrated, global music streaming service that could directly challenge Spotify. This would not be merely another competitor, but one with an established, highly engaging discovery funnel deeply embedded in daily user habits.
  • Generative AI in Music Creation and Consumption: The rapid advancement and accessibility of generative artificial intelligence for creating music represent an emerging threat. As AI tools become more sophisticated, they could lead to an explosion of copyright-free or low-cost AI-generated music and personalized soundscapes. If a significant segment of consumers begins to prefer or adopt AI-created music for background listening, mood setting, or even as alternatives to traditional artist-created content, it could disrupt the traditional music licensing model, diminish the perceived value of Spotify's licensed catalog, and alter the fundamental economics of the music industry upon which Spotify's business relies.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Spotify Technology (SPOT) primarily operates in the music streaming and podcasting markets. The addressable markets for these services are substantial, both globally and within specific regions like the U.S.

Music Streaming Market

  • Global: The global music streaming market was valued between USD 34.52 billion and USD 46.66 billion in 2024. It is projected to grow significantly, with estimates ranging from USD 92.96 billion by 2031 to USD 181.39 billion by 2034.
  • U.S.: In the U.S., the music streaming market was valued at approximately USD 11.05 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 23.69 billion by 2030, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 13.40%. Recorded music trade revenues from streaming in the U.S. reached USD 14.88 billion in 2024. North America, as a region, held the largest share of the global music streaming market in 2024.

Podcasting Market

  • Global: The global podcasting market was valued between USD 22.6 billion and USD 36.28 billion in 2024. Projections indicate substantial growth, with the market expected to reach figures between USD 131.13 billion by 2030 and USD 327.83 billion by 2034, with CAGRs ranging from 24.96% to 29.4%.
  • U.S.: The U.S. podcasting market generated approximately USD 8.39 billion in revenue in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 25.78 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 19.8%. Another estimate valued the U.S. market at USD 8.34 billion in 2024, expecting it to reach USD 11.39 billion by 2030. North America held the largest share of the global podcasting market in 2024.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Spotify Technology (SPOT) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:

  1. Price Increases: Spotify has demonstrated pricing power with minimal impact on subscriber retention despite recent price hikes in various markets, including the United States and Europe. The company implemented price increases across more than 150 markets and expects further increases in non-U.S. markets. Analysts anticipate these price adjustments will continue to boost average revenue per user (ARPU) and contribute significantly to revenue growth in 2026.
  2. Premium Subscriber Growth: Spotify continues to focus on expanding its global Premium subscriber base. The company projects sustained growth in Monthly Active Users (MAUs) and Premium subscribers, driven by an enhanced free tier experience, successful promotional campaigns, and strong performance in regions like Latin America and North America. Strategic investments in personalized music recommendations and AI-driven content curation are also enhancing user engagement and aiding subscriber retention.
  3. Growth in Advertising Revenue: While advertising revenue faced some volatility, Spotify anticipates a turnaround in its ad-supported business, with improvements expected in the second half of 2026. The company's ad-supported revenue has shown growth in impressions sold across music and podcasts, and it is transitioning its ad sales model to automated systems and leveraging new product launches and strategic partnerships to diversify and strengthen its advertising proposition.
  4. Expansion into New Content Verticals: Spotify is actively diversifying its content beyond music into podcasts, audiobooks, and video. The company's podcast consumption continues to grow, with more than 390 million users streaming video podcasts and time spent with video content more than doubling year-over-year. Spotify has also significantly expanded its audiobook catalog to 500,000 titles across 14 markets, with audiobooks driving increased listener engagement and consumption hours. Strategic partnerships, such as the one with Netflix to bring Spotify podcasts to the video streaming platform, further support this multi-format content strategy.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Spotify announced a stock repurchase program in Q3 2021, authorizing repurchases of up to 10,000,000 ordinary shares, totaling up to $1.0 billion, which is set to expire on April 21, 2026.
  • As of June 30, 2024, approximately €91 million worth of ordinary shares (469,274 shares) had been repurchased under this program.
  • In Q3 2025, Spotify announced an increase in its authorized share repurchase program from $1.0 billion to $2.0 billion.

Share Issuance

  • Spotify has experienced significant "Social Charges" related to share-based compensation, which are influenced by share price appreciation.
  • In Q4 2024, Social Charges for share-based compensation amounted to €96 million, exceeding forecasts by €80 million due to share price appreciation.
  • Q3 2024 also saw Social Charges for share-based compensation reach €54 million, which was €39 million above forecast.

Inbound Investments

  • On February 10, 2023, Spotify had a Post-IPO funding round where ValueAct Capital participated, though the amount was undisclosed.

Outbound Investments

  • Spotify made significant acquisitions in the podcasting space, including The Ringer for $196 million in February 2020 and Megaphone for $235 million in November 2020.
  • The company acquired audiobook company Findaway for $123 million in November 2021 to expand its audiobook offerings.
  • In April 2025, Spotify announced a €1 million investment to boost the production of audiobooks in non-English languages, initially focusing on French and Dutch.

Capital Expenditures

  • Spotify's capital expenditures have fluctuated, peaking at €96.745 million in 2021 and reaching a five-year low of €6.624 million in 2023.
  • Capital expenditures for the full fiscal year 2024 were reported as €17.611 million.
  • The company's business model is characterized by inherently low capital expenditure needs, with a focus on optimizing its real estate footprint and investing in IT infrastructure.

Better Bets than Spotify Technology (SPOT)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to SPOT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.1%0.1%-1.4%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-3.6%-3.6%-6.4%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.9%-1.9%-5.1%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-25.7%-25.7%-29.8%

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Spotify Technology

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SPOTHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameSpotify .HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Price584.3523.2624.49305.0978.16273.40175.78
Mkt Cap120.421.932.6284.9309.24,074.4202.6
Rev LTM16,89755,29534,29665,40257,696408,62556,496
Op Inc LTM1,9743,6241,64411,54412,991130,2147,584
FCF LTM2,9152,80062711,85412,73396,1847,384
FCF 3Y Avg1,6402,9781,40011,75313,879100,5037,366
CFO LTM2,9603,6972,91913,48313,744108,5658,590
CFO 3Y Avg1,6633,6723,89613,49814,736111,5598,697

Growth & Margins

SPOTHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameSpotify .HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Rev Chg LTM11.9%3.2%13.8%4.5%8.9%6.0%7.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg14.6%-3.9%6.5%2.6%3.7%1.8%3.2%
Rev Chg Q7.1%4.2%14.4%9.1%7.5%9.6%8.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.7%1.1%3.7%2.1%1.8%2.1%2.0%
Op Mgn LTM11.7%6.6%4.8%17.7%22.5%31.9%14.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg4.1%7.4%7.2%16.4%24.2%30.8%11.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.6%-0.2%-1.4%0.6%0.4%0.1%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM17.5%6.7%8.5%20.6%23.8%26.6%19.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg10.4%6.8%12.7%21.4%26.1%28.4%17.1%
FCF/Rev LTM17.3%5.1%1.8%18.1%22.1%23.5%17.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg10.3%5.5%4.6%18.6%24.6%25.6%14.5%

Valuation

SPOTHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameSpotify .HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Cap120.421.932.6284.9309.24,074.4202.6
P/S7.10.41.04.45.410.04.9
P/EBIT69.46.819.925.122.531.323.8
P/E85.78.6572.736.029.941.038.5
P/CFO40.75.911.221.122.537.521.8
Total Yield1.2%14.1%2.3%5.0%5.4%2.8%3.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.5%2.1%2.2%2.1%0.4%2.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.7%10.6%5.5%6.4%6.0%3.1%5.7%
D/E0.00.50.70.20.10.00.2
Net D/E-0.10.30.60.20.00.00.1

Returns

SPOTHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameSpotify .HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
1M Rtn-2.4%-3.6%12.7%-1.1%1.6%-2.0%-1.5%
3M Rtn-18.4%-11.9%2.7%7.9%17.0%7.1%4.9%
6M Rtn-24.4%-4.0%34.5%6.6%15.2%36.3%10.9%
12M Rtn28.0%-27.0%16.2%40.5%34.5%7.5%22.1%
3Y Rtn639.6%-3.7%67.3%141.3%79.6%114.1%96.9%
1M Excs Rtn-2.6%-5.6%12.9%-2.2%-0.0%-3.7%-2.4%
3M Excs Rtn-22.8%-16.2%-1.7%3.6%12.7%2.8%0.6%
6M Excs Rtn-36.6%-16.3%22.3%-5.7%3.0%24.0%-1.3%
12M Excs Rtn12.1%-42.9%-0.7%25.0%19.9%-8.4%5.7%
3Y Excs Rtn582.4%-83.5%-11.2%59.6%-1.2%28.4%13.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Premium11,56610,2518,4607,1356,086
Ad-Supported1,6811,4761,208745678
Total13,24711,7279,6687,8806,764


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$584.35 
Market Cap ($ Bil)120.4 
First Trading Date04/03/2018 
Distance from 52W High-24.7% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$614.80$650.87
DMA Trendindeterminatedown
Distance from DMA-5.0%-10.2%
 3M1YR
Volatility29.4%44.4%
Downside Capture121.67103.60
Upside Capture-0.98112.03
Correlation (SPY)19.1%44.8%
SPOT Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.710.350.370.631.031.09
Up Beta0.330.240.141.320.880.94
Down Beta0.79-0.320.00-0.211.181.28
Up Capture-0%-1%11%41%122%303%
Bmk +ve Days13263974142427
Stock +ve Days8183465132424
Down Capture125%114%99%111%103%94%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days12242960116326

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of SPOT With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 SPOTSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return26.8%21.8%17.8%72.1%8.6%4.4%-8.2%
Annualized Volatility44.0%18.5%19.4%19.3%15.2%17.0%35.0%
Sharpe Ratio0.660.920.722.700.340.09-0.08
Correlation With Other Assets 49.2%44.7%2.3%8.1%19.7%17.0%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLC, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of SPOT With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 SPOTSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return12.2%13.0%14.7%18.7%11.5%4.6%30.8%
Annualized Volatility47.5%20.9%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.6%
Sharpe Ratio0.410.530.700.970.500.160.57
Correlation With Other Assets 58.1%51.4%8.4%7.7%29.1%26.3%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLC, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of SPOT With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 SPOTSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return19.4%13.2%14.8%15.3%7.0%5.3%69.2%
Annualized Volatility46.8%22.6%18.0%14.7%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.550.540.710.860.320.220.90
Correlation With Other Assets 54.5%46.0%6.3%12.7%25.4%20.9%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLC, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7,488,032
Short Interest: % Change Since 113020251.2%
Average Daily Volume2,274,169
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.29
Basic Shares Quantity205,964,504
Short % of Basic Shares3.6%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202511/04/20256-K (09/30/2025)
06/30/202507/29/20256-K (06/30/2025)
03/31/202504/29/20256-K (03/31/2025)
12/31/202402/05/202520-F (12/31/2024)
09/30/202411/13/20246-K (09/30/2024)
06/30/202407/24/20246-K (06/30/2024)
03/31/202404/24/20246-K (03/31/2024)
12/31/202302/08/202420-F (12/31/2023)
09/30/202310/25/20236-K (09/30/2023)
06/30/202307/25/20236-K (06/30/2023)
03/31/202304/26/20236-K (03/31/2023)
12/31/202202/02/202320-F (12/31/2022)
09/30/202210/26/20226-K (09/30/2022)
06/30/202207/27/20226-K (06/30/2022)
03/31/202204/27/20226-K (03/31/2022)
12/31/202104/27/20226-K (12/31/2021)