Victoria's Secret (VSCO)
Market Price (6/2/2026): $55.2 | Market Cap: $4.4 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel Retail
Victoria's Secret (VSCO)
Market Price (6/2/2026): $55.2Market Cap: $4.4 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Apparel Retail
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 7.2% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Experiential Retail, Show more. | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 54% Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 156% Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 93% Key risksVSCO key risks include [1] the struggle to modernize its outdated brand image amid intense competition from more inclusive brands, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 7.2% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Experiential Retail, Show more. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 54% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 156% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 93% |
| Key risksVSCO key risks include [1] the struggle to modernize its outdated brand image amid intense competition from more inclusive brands, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Victoria's Secret (VSCO) stock has lost about 15% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Cautious Fiscal 2026 Outlook and Softening Demand Commentary.
Victoria's Secret & Co.'s stock experienced a decline following its fiscal Q4 and full-year 2025 results, released on March 5, 2026. Despite reporting results that exceeded prior guidance, investors reacted negatively to a more cautious initial outlook for fiscal year 2026, particularly for the first quarter. Management's commentary suggesting that demand could soften after a strong February contributed to a "sell-the-news" pullback.
2. Initial FY2026 EPS Missed Analyst Expectations.
The company's initial guidance for full-year 2026 earnings per share (EPS), provided on March 5, 2026, missed analyst consensus estimates by 17%. This weaker-than-anticipated earnings outlook for the upcoming fiscal year likely fueled investor concerns and contributed to the stock's downward trend.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -13.4% change in VSCO stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/1/2026 was primarily driven by a -9.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 6012026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 62.70 | 54.30 | -13.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 6,390 | 6,553 | 2.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 2.7% | 2.5% | -7.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 29.9 | 27.0 | -9.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 81 | 80 | 1.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -13.4% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 6/1/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VSCO | -13.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 10.9% | 47.9% |
| Sector (XLY) | 1.3% | 44.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 31.4% change in VSCO stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/1/2026 was primarily driven by a 23.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 6012026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 41.33 | 54.30 | 31.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 6,265 | 6,553 | 4.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 21.9 | 27.0 | 23.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 80 | 80 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 31.4% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 6/1/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VSCO | 31.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 11.6% | 33.8% |
| Sector (XLY) | 0.4% | 36.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 156.0% change in VSCO stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/1/2026 was primarily driven by a 156.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312025 | 6012026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 21.21 | 54.30 | 156.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 6,229 | 6,553 | 5.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 2.6% | 2.5% | -7.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 10.5 | 27.0 | 156.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 82 | 80 | 2.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 156.0% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2025 to 6/1/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VSCO | 156.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 30.2% | 40.8% |
| Sector (XLY) | 11.4% | 44.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 165.9% change in VSCO stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/1/2026 was primarily driven by a 482.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312023 | 6012026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 20.42 | 54.30 | 165.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 6,344 | 6,553 | 3.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 5.5% | 2.5% | -55.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 4.6 | 27.0 | 482.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 79 | 80 | -1.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 165.9% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2023 to 6/1/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VSCO | 165.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 88.6% | 35.2% |
| Sector (XLY) | 59.8% | 38.1% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| VSCO Return | 31% | -36% | -26% | 56% | 31% | 2% | 29% |
| Peers Return | 21% | -7% | 38% | 14% | 21% | -10% | 92% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 102% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| VSCO Win Rate | 67% | 33% | 33% | 67% | 67% | 80% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 55% | 45% | 68% | 53% | 55% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| VSCO Max Drawdown | - | -57% | -69% | -48% | -64% | -36% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -25% | -37% | -22% | -19% | -26% | -25% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: GPI, ABG, AEO, TJX, ROST.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/1/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | VSCO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -50.5% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 102.0% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 188 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -13.7% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 15.8% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 6 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -25.4% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.1% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 15 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -59.4% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 146.2% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 528 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -52.3% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 109.5% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1255 days | 427 days |
In The Past
Victoria's Secret's stock fell -50.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 102.0% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | VSCO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -50.5% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 102.0% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 188 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -25.4% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.1% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 15 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -59.4% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 146.2% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 528 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -52.3% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 109.5% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1255 days | 427 days |
In The Past
Victoria's Secret's stock fell -50.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 102.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Victoria's Secret (VSCO)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Victoria's Secret:
- Bath & Body Works for intimate apparel and sleepwear.
- American Eagle's Aerie, but for a broader range of lingerie and loungewear.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Bras: Undergarments designed for breast support and shaping.
- Panties: Undergarments worn on the lower body.
- Lingerie: Lightweight, often decorative, intimate apparel for women.
- Sleepwear: Apparel designed for comfortable wear during sleep.
- Loungewear: Casual and comfortable clothing suitable for relaxing at home.
- Athletic Attire and Swimwear: Clothing designed for sports activities and swimming.
- Fragrances: Perfumes, body mists, and other scented products.
- Body Care Products: Lotions, washes, and other items for skin health and hygiene.
- Accessories: Supplementary items like bags, jewelry, or other complementary goods.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Victoria's Secret (VSCO) primarily sells its products directly to **individual consumers** through its retail stores and online channels. The company operates as a specialty retailer of women's intimate, personal care, and beauty products. Based on its product offerings and brand segmentation, Victoria's Secret serves the following primary categories of customers:- Adult Women (Victoria's Secret Brand): This core customer segment seeks sophisticated and fashionable intimate apparel, including bras, panties, lingerie, and sleepwear, as well as fragrances and body care products. These customers are often drawn to the Victoria's Secret brand for its association with glamour, quality, and a sense of luxury in their personal care and intimate wear.
- Young Women and Teens (PINK Brand): This demographic is primarily targeted by the PINK brand, which focuses on comfortable, trendy, and casual intimate apparel, loungewear, activewear, and accessories. These customers often value comfort, athleisure styles, and products that reflect a youthful, collegiate, or relaxed aesthetic, appealing to a younger demographic.
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Hillary Super Chief Executive Officer, Victoria's Secret & Co.
Hillary Super is a dynamic retail leader with over three decades of experience driving growth and innovation across renowned fashion brands. Before joining Victoria's Secret & Co. as CEO in September 2024, she served as CEO and board member of Savage X Fenty from 2023 to 2024. Prior to that, she was the Global CEO of Anthropologie Group from 2019 to 2021, where she led the turnaround of the women's apparel and accessories business. Earlier in her career, Super held key merchandising and operational leadership roles at companies such as Gap, Old Navy, American Eagle Outfitters, Ann Taylor Inc., and Guess?.
Scott Sekella Chief Financial Officer, Victoria's Secret & Co.
Scott Sekella was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Victoria's Secret & Co., replacing Timothy Johnson who is set to retire in June 2025. Sekella is a seasoned retail executive with a strong background in finance. He most recently served as CFO of fabric and crafts retailer JOANN, and prior to that, he held financial leadership roles at Under Armour and Crocs. He is recognized for his extensive and diverse retail experience in identifying and accelerating strategies that strengthen performance and enhance profitability.
Melinda (Mel) McAfee Chief Legal and Compliance Officer, Victoria's Secret & Co.
Melinda McAfee joined Victoria's Secret & Co. in May 2021 as Chief Legal Officer, and has also served as Chief Human Resources Officer and Chief Legal Officer. Her previous experience includes serving as Senior Vice President, General Counsel, and Corporate Secretary of EXPRESS, Inc. Before joining EXPRESS, Mel was in-house counsel for Abercrombie & Fitch Co. for over 10 years and was a partner in the Labor & Employment practice of Vorys, Sater, Seymour and Pease, LLP.
Elizabeth Preis Chief Marketing and Customer Officer, Victoria's Secret & Co.
Elizabeth Preis is a marketing executive with over 25 years of experience guiding iconic consumer brands. She most recently served as Global CMO at Anthropologie and has held leadership positions at Estée Lauder, J. Crew, and Saks Fifth Avenue. She is known for her ability to blend consumer insight with compelling creative to build strong brand connections.
Anne Stephenson President of Victoria's Secret, Victoria's Secret & Co.
Anne Stephenson will assume the role of President of Victoria's Secret on May 12, 2025. She currently serves as Chief Merchandising Officer for Victoria's Secret & Co. Anne has over 25 years of experience in merchandising and brand leadership, including previous roles as chief merchant at Full Beauty Brands and Torrid.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The public company Victoria's Secret (VSCO) faces several key risks to its business, primarily stemming from evolving consumer preferences, intense market competition, and ongoing supply chain and cost pressures.
- Changing Consumer Preferences and Brand Image: Victoria's Secret has struggled to adapt its brand image to align with modern consumer values, particularly regarding body positivity and inclusivity. Its traditional "fantasy" image is perceived as outdated and out of touch. Consumers are increasingly gravitating towards comfortable styles and brands that promote diversity and authenticity, a shift that has significantly impacted Victoria's Secret's sales and market share. The #MeToo movement further highlighted this disconnect, leading to declining brand perception and a need for extensive rebranding efforts. Failure to fully embrace and consistently project an inclusive image risks further consumer backlash and erosion of its customer base.
- Intense Competition: The lingerie market is highly competitive, with a growing number of new entrants and established players successfully catering to evolving consumer demands. Competitors such as Aerie and Skims have gained significant market share by offering diverse product ranges, inclusive marketing, and ethical practices. This intense competitive landscape puts pressure on Victoria's Secret to continuously innovate and differentiate its offerings to avoid losing further market share and to maintain brand relevance.
- Supply Chain Disruptions and Cost Pressures: Victoria's Secret is vulnerable to global supply chain disruptions, as evidenced by significant portions of its holiday inventory getting stuck in transit due to shortages and logistical challenges. The company's heavy manufacturing exposure in regions like Asia-Pacific creates susceptibility to geopolitical or logistics shocks. Furthermore, macroeconomic uncertainties, including rising tariffs and inflationary pressures, pose a substantial threat to the company's cost structure and profitability. These factors can lead to increased operational costs, lower demand for premium products, and inventory imbalances requiring promotional activities that compress margins.
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Direct-to-consumer (D2C) intimate apparel brands, which prioritize inclusivity, body positivity, and comfort, are emerging as a significant threat. These brands, built on different core values than Victoria's Secret's historical "sexy" image, are gaining substantial market share by appealing to evolving consumer preferences through agile online business models and targeted social media marketing. This shift challenges Victoria's Secret's traditional brand identity, product focus, and reliance on physical retail stores.AI Analysis | Feedback
The addressable markets for Victoria's Secret's main products and services on a global basis are as follows:
- Intimate Apparel (including bras, panties, and lingerie): The global intimate apparel market size was valued at approximately USD 88.25 billion in 2025.
- Sleepwear: The global sleepwear market size was estimated at USD 14.32 billion in 2024.
- Loungewear: The global loungewear market size was valued at USD 13.56 billion in 2024.
- Athletic Attire (Athleisure): The global athleisure market size was estimated at USD 393.7 billion in 2024.
- Swimwear: The global swimwear market size was valued at USD 24.85 billion in 2024.
- Fragrances: The global perfume market size was valued at USD 54.01 billion in 2024.
- Body Care Products: The global body care market was valued at USD 150.00 billion in 2024.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Victoria's Secret (VSCO) over the next 2-3 years:
- International Expansion: Victoria's Secret is focused on significant growth in its international business, particularly in China. The company plans to expand its presence in existing markets and enter new regions, with management expecting double-digit international growth in fiscal year 2026.
- Digital and Social Commerce: A key driver is maximizing opportunities in digital and social commerce. This includes investments to enhance the customer experience on digital channels, leveraging social commerce and live streaming, particularly in markets like China, and repositioning the PINK brand as a digitally native and socially driven lifestyle brand.
- Focus on Core Categories and Product Innovation: Under its "Path to Potential" strategy, Victoria's Secret is accelerating its core business by placing bras back at the center of the brand and introducing new and engaging merchandise across bras, panties, and sleepwear. There is also a pipeline of product innovation and collaborations, with ongoing investments in the beauty and accessories categories to accelerate their growth. The beauty business has consistently been a strong performing category for the company.
- PINK Brand Repositioning and Growth: The PINK brand is being strategically repositioned as a digitally native, socially driven lifestyle brand targeting 18-24 year olds. This repositioning has already resulted in strong sales growth and increased brand consideration and equity among Gen Z consumers.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- In March 2024, Victoria's Secret & Co.'s Board of Directors authorized a new share repurchase program of up to $250 million of the company's common stock.
- The company's annual share buybacks totaled $125 million in 2024.
- Victoria's Secret & Co. is generating positive free cash flow, which is being channeled into capital allocation priorities including shareholder returns through share repurchases.
Outbound Investments
- Victoria's Secret acquired Adore Me, integrating the brand into its portfolio.
- The company actively manages its portfolio, which includes a strategic review of noncore assets and the discontinuation of the Adore Me subscription.
Capital Expenditures
- Estimated capital expenditures for fiscal year 2024 were approximately $190 million, with a focus on store capital programs and technology to drive strategic growth initiatives.
- For fiscal year 2025, capital expenditures were planned to be approximately $200 million.
- Projected capital expenditures for fiscal year 2026 are in the range of $220 million to $240 million, concentrating on stores, customer experience, and technology and logistics to enhance growth and operating efficiencies.
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 169.69 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.0 |
| Rev LTM | 20,218 |
| Op Inc LTM | 951 |
| FCF LTM | 434 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 330 |
| CFO LTM | 701 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 554 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.3% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -1.5% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 3.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 5.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 6.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 7.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.0 |
| P/S | 0.6 |
| P/Op Inc | 12.2 |
| P/EBIT | 12.0 |
| P/E | 20.6 |
| P/CFO | 7.3 |
| Total Yield | 6.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.1% |
| D/E | 0.6 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -3.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -7.7% |
| 6M Rtn | -9.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 36.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 81.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -10.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -18.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -21.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 6.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -8.1% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $54.30 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 4.3 | |
| First Trading Date | 07/21/2021 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -17.6% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $49.63 | $44.43 |
| DMA Trend | up | down |
| Distance from DMA | 9.4% | 22.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 64.1% | 60.2% |
| Downside Capture | 339.28 | 196.31 |
| Upside Capture | 170.11 | 248.00 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 47.6% | 40.8% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.88 | 2.17 | 2.15 | 1.65 | 2.06 | 1.52 |
| Up Beta | 3.65 | 2.00 | 2.26 | 2.43 | 2.52 | 1.85 |
| Down Beta | 0.67 | 0.46 | 0.93 | 0.38 | 1.14 | 0.97 |
| Up Capture | 241% | 194% | 183% | 234% | 530% | 520% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 36 | 67 | 141 | 432 |
| Stock +ve Days | 13 | 23 | 33 | 63 | 129 | 378 |
| Down Capture | 416% | 368% | 282% | 149% | 153% | 110% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 13 | 27 | 57 | 109 | 318 |
| Stock -ve Days | 7 | 18 | 30 | 61 | 120 | 370 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with VSCO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VSCO | 162.4% | 60.2% | 1.84 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 10.9% | 18.1% | 0.43 | 44.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 30.2% | 11.8% | 1.93 | 40.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 34.7% | 26.7% | 1.09 | 2.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 42.7% | 18.9% | 1.75 | -23.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 9.6% | 13.2% | 0.44 | 30.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -30.6% | 41.6% | -0.77 | 14.5% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with VSCO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VSCO | -0.4% | 63.2% | 0.25 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 7.7% | 23.7% | 0.28 | 43.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.2% | 17.0% | 0.65 | 41.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 18.5% | 18.0% | 0.83 | 1.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.3% | 19.4% | 0.42 | 5.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.8% | 18.8% | 0.05 | 33.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 13.7% | 54.6% | 0.44 | 15.2% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with VSCO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VSCO | -0.2% | 63.2% | 0.25 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 13.0% | 22.0% | 0.54 | 43.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.8% | 17.9% | 0.76 | 41.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.1% | 16.0% | 0.68 | 1.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.4% | 17.9% | 0.33 | 5.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.5% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 33.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 66.7% | 66.9% | 1.06 | 15.2% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/2/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 3/5/2026 | -12.2% | -24.7% | -23.3% |
| 12/5/2025 | 18.0% | 26.9% | 46.6% |
| 8/28/2025 | -0.5% | 12.7% | 15.2% |
| 6/11/2025 | -5.4% | -17.2% | -14.6% |
| 3/5/2025 | -8.2% | -22.6% | -33.0% |
| 12/5/2024 | 11.6% | 8.8% | -9.0% |
| 8/28/2024 | -3.7% | -4.4% | 4.7% |
| 6/5/2024 | -6.5% | -20.8% | -21.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 7 | 6 | 4 |
| # Negative | 12 | 13 | 15 |
| Median Positive | 11.6% | 10.4% | 13.9% |
| Median Negative | -5.8% | -13.9% | -14.6% |
| Max Positive | 18.0% | 26.9% | 46.6% |
| Max Negative | -29.7% | -24.7% | -33.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 01/31/2026 | 03/20/2026 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2025 | 12/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2025 | 09/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2025 | 06/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2025 | 03/21/2025 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2024 | 12/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2024 | 09/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2024 | 06/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2024 | 03/22/2024 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2023 | 12/01/2023 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2023 | 09/01/2023 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2023 | 06/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2023 | 03/17/2023 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2022 | 12/02/2022 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2022 | 09/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2022 | 06/03/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 6/1/2026Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/5/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Revenue | 1.49 Bil | 1.51 Bil | 1.52 Bil | ||||
| Q1 2026 Operating Income | 32.00 Mil | 37.00 Mil | 42.00 Mil | ||||
| 2026 Revenue | 6.85 Bil | 6.90 Bil | 6.95 Bil | 6.7% | Raised | Guidance: 6.46 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Operating Income | 430.00 Mil | 445.00 Mil | 460.00 Mil | 22.8% | Raised | Guidance: 362.50 Mil for 2025 | |
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 12/5/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2025 Revenue | 2.17 Bil | 2.19 Bil | 2.20 Bil | Higher New | |||
| Q4 2025 Operating Income | 265.00 Mil | 277.50 Mil | 290.00 Mil | Higher New | |||
| Q4 2025 EPS | 2.2 | 2.33 | 2.45 | Higher New | |||
| 2025 Revenue | 6.45 Bil | 6.46 Bil | 6.48 Bil | 1.5% | Raised | Guidance: 6.37 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Operating Income | 350.00 Mil | 362.50 Mil | 375.00 Mil | 22.9% | Raised | Guidance: 295.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 EPS | 2.4 | 2.52 | 2.65 | Higher New | |||
Insider Activity
Updated 4/26/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sheehan, Anne | Direct | Buy | 4032026 | 45.86 | 4,842 | 222,054 | 1,571,209 | Form | |
| 2 | James, Donna | Direct | Buy | 4032026 | 46.23 | 2,175 | 100,550 | 2,916,974 | Form | |
| 3 | Bbrc, International Pte Ltd | See Footnote 2 | Buy | 4042025 | 16.15 | 212,500 | 3,431,620 | 166,504,318 | Form | |
| 4 | Bbrc, International Pte Ltd | See Footnote 2 | Buy | 4012025 | 18.48 | 584,000 | 10,793,955 | 186,641,736 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Consumer Discretionary Resources |
| Retail Dive |
| Business of Fashion (BoF) |
| WWD (Women's Wear Daily) |
| National Retail Federation (NRF) |
| McKinsey & Company - Consumer |
| Mintel Consumer Trends |
| Apparel Retail Resources |
| Apparel News |
| Just Style |
| Sourcing Journal |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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