Tearsheet

Victoria's Secret (VSCO)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $54.72 | Market Cap: $4.4 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel Retail

Victoria's Secret (VSCO)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $54.72
Market Cap: $4.4 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Apparel Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.7%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 200%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Experiential Retail, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -52%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.5%
2  Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%
 
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.7%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Experiential Retail, Show more.
2 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -52%
4 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 200%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.5%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

VSCO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The requested time period from August 31, 2025, to today (December 15, 2025) is in the future. As an AI model, I do not have access to real-time or future stock market data and events. Therefore, I cannot provide an accurate explanation for why Victoria's Secret (VSCO) stock moved by 137% during this future period. However, based on available information for prior periods, Victoria's Secret demonstrated some positive financial trends and strategic initiatives in late 2024 and early 2025 that could influence investor sentiment. 1. 1. Improved Financial Performance in Q4 2024: Victoria's Secret reported strong fourth-quarter 2024 results, with net sales increasing by 1% and total comparable sales growing by 5%. The company also saw an increase in net income and operating income compared to the previous year. This performance was driven by sales growth across its Victoria's Secret, PINK, and Beauty brands, in both stores and digital channels, and in North America and internationally. 2. 2. Raised Financial Outlook and Strong Holiday Sales: In January 2025, Victoria's Secret raised its Q4 2024 guidance, anticipating results at the high end of previous forecasts, including a projected net sales growth of 3-4% and increased adjusted operating income and diluted EPS. This was attributed to strong holiday sales growth, improved store and website traffic, and a healthy inventory position. 3.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
VSCO Return-36%-26%56%27%
Peers Return24%21%-7%38%14%23%167%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
VSCO Win Rate60%33%33%67%67% 
Peers Win Rate65%55%45%68%53%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
VSCO Max Drawdown-52%-60%-40%-64% 
Peers Max Drawdown-54%-6%-34%-10%-11%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GPI, ABG, AEO, TJX, ROST.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventVSCOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-80.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven422.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to GPI, ABG, AEO, TJX, ROST


In The Past

Victoria's Secret's stock fell -80.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/13/2021. A -80.9% loss requires a 422.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Victoria's Secret (VSCO)

Better Bets than Victoria's Secret (VSCO)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to VSCO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
15.2%15.2%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.1%1.1%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.9%17.9%-1.6%
VSCO_3312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03312025VSCOVictoria's SecretDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
42.6%193.3%-20.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
15.2%15.2%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.1%1.1%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.9%17.9%-1.6%
VSCO_3312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03312025VSCOVictoria's SecretDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
42.6%193.3%-20.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Victoria's Secret

Peers to compare with:

Financials

VSCOGPIABGAEOTJXROSTMedian
NameVictoria.Group 1 .Asbury A.American.TJX Comp.Ross Sto. 
Mkt Price54.49413.74243.6425.46156.14182.09169.12
Mkt Cap2.25.34.82.9160.749.05.0
Rev LTM6,39022,53817,8275,34158,97922,02719,927
Op Inc LTM3109831,0142906,6712,624999
FCF LTM3094936291574,4181,963561
FCF 3Y Avg2402363503104,4761,885330
CFO LTM5007788684246,4212,788823
CFO 3Y Avg4524655465306,3052,664538

Growth & Margins

VSCOGPIABGAEOTJXROSTMedian
NameVictoria.Group 1 .Asbury A.American.TJX Comp.Ross Sto. 
Rev Chg LTM3.0%19.4%8.1%-1.2%4.5%3.7%4.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-0.5%13.0%7.5%2.3%6.2%6.0%6.1%
Rev Chg Q9.3%10.7%13.3%5.7%7.5%10.4%9.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.0%2.6%3.3%1.4%1.8%2.5%2.2%
Op Mgn LTM4.9%4.4%5.7%5.4%11.3%11.9%5.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg4.5%5.1%6.4%6.6%10.9%11.7%6.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.4%-0.1%-0.1%-0.3%0.1%-0.1%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM7.8%3.5%4.9%7.9%10.9%12.7%7.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg7.2%2.3%3.2%10.2%11.3%12.8%8.7%
FCF/Rev LTM4.8%2.2%3.5%2.9%7.5%8.9%4.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.8%1.1%2.1%6.0%8.0%9.0%4.9%

Valuation

VSCOGPIABGAEOTJXROSTMedian
NameVictoria.Group 1 .Asbury A.American.TJX Comp.Ross Sto. 
Mkt Cap2.25.34.82.9160.749.05.0
P/S0.30.20.30.52.72.20.4
P/EBIT-7.14.7---5.9
P/E12.914.88.513.931.423.514.4
P/CFO4.47.25.56.825.017.67.0
Total Yield7.7%7.2%11.8%8.8%4.3%5.3%7.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.5%0.0%1.6%1.1%1.1%0.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-5.0%7.4%---6.2%
D/E-1.01.3---1.1
Net D/E-1.01.2---1.1

Returns

VSCOGPIABGAEOTJXROSTMedian
NameVictoria.Group 1 .Asbury A.American.TJX Comp.Ross Sto. 
1M Rtn52.6%5.7%9.7%45.0%6.9%13.7%11.7%
3M Rtn106.1%-11.2%-0.2%40.0%12.3%23.4%17.8%
6M Rtn199.6%-2.4%4.8%179.2%26.8%38.8%32.8%
12M Rtn11.9%-2.7%-4.0%54.1%26.6%19.9%15.9%
3Y Rtn37.6%123.8%43.0%89.1%106.9%65.5%77.3%
1M Excs Rtn54.3%6.1%8.7%43.3%6.1%12.4%10.6%
3M Excs Rtn93.5%-12.8%-2.8%27.6%7.7%20.9%14.3%
6M Excs Rtn185.3%-16.6%-9.4%165.0%12.5%24.6%18.6%
12M Excs Rtn3.7%-15.2%-18.2%36.6%11.1%5.1%4.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-51.8%49.0%-37.4%-0.1%31.4%-10.5%-5.3%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity10,689,586
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-2.1%
Average Daily Volume2,135,379
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.01
Basic Shares Quantity81,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares13.2%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
12/5/202518.0%  
8/28/2025-0.5%12.7%15.2%
6/3/2025-2.7%9.1%-2.1%
3/5/2025-8.2%-22.6%-33.0%
12/5/202411.6%8.8%-9.0%
8/14/202416.4%27.7%16.5%
6/5/2024-6.5%-20.8%-21.3%
3/6/2024-29.7%-24.2%-27.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive873
# Negative101115
Median Positive13.0%9.9%15.2%
Median Negative-5.8%-13.3%-14.2%
Max Positive18.0%27.7%16.5%
Max Negative-29.7%-24.2%-33.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
103120251205202510-Q 11/1/2025
7312025905202510-Q 8/2/2025
4302025612202510-Q 5/3/2025
1312025321202510-K 2/1/2025
103120241209202410-Q 11/2/2024
7312024906202410-Q 8/3/2024
4302024607202410-Q 5/4/2024
1312024322202410-K 2/3/2024
103120231201202310-Q 10/28/2023
7312023901202310-Q 7/29/2023
4302023602202310-Q 4/30/2023
1312023317202310-K 1/28/2023
103120221202202210-Q 10/29/2022
7312022908202210-Q 7/30/2022
4302022603202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022318202210-K 1/29/2022