Victoria's Secret (VSCO)
Market Price (4/14/2026): $49.96 | Market Cap: $4.0 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel Retail
Victoria's Secret (VSCO)
Market Price (4/14/2026): $49.96Market Cap: $4.0 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Apparel Retail
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 7.8% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Experiential Retail, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -15% Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 58% Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 192% Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 77% Key risksVSCO key risks include [1] the struggle to modernize its outdated brand image amid intense competition from more inclusive brands, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 7.8% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Experiential Retail, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -15% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 58% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 192% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 77% |
| Key risksVSCO key risks include [1] the struggle to modernize its outdated brand image amid intense competition from more inclusive brands, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Victoria's Secret (VSCO) stock has lost about 10% since 12/31/2025 because of the following key factors:
1. Victoria's Secret stock experienced a significant decline, including an approximate 11.87% drop on March 5, 2026, following the release of its Q1 2026 earnings guidance. This company-specific factor overshadowed a strong Q4 2025 performance, where the company beat analyst consensus with an adjusted EPS of $2.77 against an estimate of $2.48 and revenue of $2.27 billion exceeding the $2.22 billion expectation. The market reacted negatively to the Q1 2026 EPS guidance of $0.20–$0.30, which fell "far below what analysts had anticipated," signaling near-term profit pressure and leading to aggressive institutional selling.
2. Investor uncertainty was heightened by the heavily back-half-weighted nature of the fiscal year 2026 guidance. While Victoria's Secret projected full fiscal year 2026 adjusted diluted EPS of $3.20–$3.45 and net sales of $6.85–$6.95 billion, exceeding consensus estimates, the stark contrast with the weak Q1 guidance implied that profitability recovery was heavily reliant on the latter half of the year. This company-specific outlook created concerns about execution risk and the timing of financial improvements.
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1. Victoria's Secret stock experienced a significant decline, including an approximate 11.87% drop on March 5, 2026, following the release of its Q1 2026 earnings guidance. This company-specific factor overshadowed a strong Q4 2025 performance, where the company beat analyst consensus with an adjusted EPS of $2.77 against an estimate of $2.48 and revenue of $2.27 billion exceeding the $2.22 billion expectation. The market reacted negatively to the Q1 2026 EPS guidance of $0.20–$0.30, which fell "far below what analysts had anticipated," signaling near-term profit pressure and leading to aggressive institutional selling.
2. Investor uncertainty was heightened by the heavily back-half-weighted nature of the fiscal year 2026 guidance. While Victoria's Secret projected full fiscal year 2026 adjusted diluted EPS of $3.20–$3.45 and net sales of $6.85–$6.95 billion, exceeding consensus estimates, the stark contrast with the weak Q1 guidance implied that profitability recovery was heavily reliant on the latter half of the year. This company-specific outlook created concerns about execution risk and the timing of financial improvements.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -7.8% change in VSCO stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/13/2026 was primarily driven by a -7.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4132026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 54.17 | 49.94 | -7.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 6,390 | 6,553 | 2.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 2.7% | 2.5% | -7.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 25.8 | 24.8 | -3.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 81 | 80 | 1.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -7.8% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VSCO | -7.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 31.4% |
| Sector (XLY) | -4.6% | 39.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 84.0% change in VSCO stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/13/2026 was primarily driven by a 72.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4132026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 27.14 | 49.94 | 84.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 6,265 | 6,553 | 4.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 14.4 | 24.8 | 72.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 80 | 80 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 84.0% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VSCO | 84.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 37.4% |
| Sector (XLY) | -4.7% | 42.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 168.8% change in VSCO stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/13/2026 was primarily driven by a 168.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4132026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 18.58 | 49.94 | 168.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 6,229 | 6,553 | 5.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 2.6% | 2.5% | -7.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 9.2 | 24.8 | 168.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 82 | 80 | 2.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 168.8% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VSCO | 168.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 46.4% |
| Sector (XLY) | 16.1% | 53.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 46.2% change in VSCO stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/13/2026 was primarily driven by a 220.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4132026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 34.15 | 49.94 | 46.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 6,344 | 6,553 | 3.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 5.5% | 2.5% | -55.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 7.8 | 24.8 | 220.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 79 | 80 | -1.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 46.2% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VSCO | 46.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 35.0% |
| Sector (XLY) | 55.8% | 38.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| VSCO Return | 31% | -36% | -26% | 56% | 31% | -7% | 19% |
| Peers Return | 28% | -21% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 11% | 72% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -0% | 81% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| VSCO Win Rate | 67% | 33% | 33% | 67% | 67% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 63% | 37% | 57% | 53% | 60% | 70% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| VSCO Max Drawdown | -4% | -52% | -60% | -40% | -64% | -22% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -10% | -43% | -30% | -18% | -30% | -7% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: GAP, ZUMZ, GCO, TJX, ROST.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/13/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | VSCO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -80.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 422.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to GAP, ZUMZ, GCO, TJX, ROST
In The Past
Victoria's Secret's stock fell -80.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/13/2021. A -80.9% loss requires a 422.9% gain to breakeven.
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About Victoria's Secret (VSCO)
Victoria's Secret & Co. operates as a specialty retailer of women's intimate, personal care, and beauty products worldwide. The company offers bras, panties, lingerie, sleepwear, loungewear, and athletic attire and swimwear, as well as fragrances and body care products, and accessories under the Victoria's Secret and PINK brands. As of March 2, 2022, it operated approximately 1,400 retail stores. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in Reynoldsburg, Ohio.
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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Victoria's Secret:
- Bath & Body Works for intimate apparel and sleepwear.
- American Eagle's Aerie, but for a broader range of lingerie and loungewear.
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- Bras: Undergarments designed for breast support and shaping.
- Panties: Undergarments worn on the lower body.
- Lingerie: Lightweight, often decorative, intimate apparel for women.
- Sleepwear: Apparel designed for comfortable wear during sleep.
- Loungewear: Casual and comfortable clothing suitable for relaxing at home.
- Athletic Attire and Swimwear: Clothing designed for sports activities and swimming.
- Fragrances: Perfumes, body mists, and other scented products.
- Body Care Products: Lotions, washes, and other items for skin health and hygiene.
- Accessories: Supplementary items like bags, jewelry, or other complementary goods.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Victoria's Secret (VSCO) primarily sells its products directly to **individual consumers** through its retail stores and online channels. The company operates as a specialty retailer of women's intimate, personal care, and beauty products. Based on its product offerings and brand segmentation, Victoria's Secret serves the following primary categories of customers:- Adult Women (Victoria's Secret Brand): This core customer segment seeks sophisticated and fashionable intimate apparel, including bras, panties, lingerie, and sleepwear, as well as fragrances and body care products. These customers are often drawn to the Victoria's Secret brand for its association with glamour, quality, and a sense of luxury in their personal care and intimate wear.
- Young Women and Teens (PINK Brand): This demographic is primarily targeted by the PINK brand, which focuses on comfortable, trendy, and casual intimate apparel, loungewear, activewear, and accessories. These customers often value comfort, athleisure styles, and products that reflect a youthful, collegiate, or relaxed aesthetic, appealing to a younger demographic.
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Hillary Super Chief Executive Officer, Victoria's Secret & Co.
Hillary Super is a dynamic retail leader with over three decades of experience driving growth and innovation across renowned fashion brands. Before joining Victoria's Secret & Co. as CEO in September 2024, she served as CEO and board member of Savage X Fenty from 2023 to 2024. Prior to that, she was the Global CEO of Anthropologie Group from 2019 to 2021, where she led the turnaround of the women's apparel and accessories business. Earlier in her career, Super held key merchandising and operational leadership roles at companies such as Gap, Old Navy, American Eagle Outfitters, Ann Taylor Inc., and Guess?.
Scott Sekella Chief Financial Officer, Victoria's Secret & Co.
Scott Sekella was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Victoria's Secret & Co., replacing Timothy Johnson who is set to retire in June 2025. Sekella is a seasoned retail executive with a strong background in finance. He most recently served as CFO of fabric and crafts retailer JOANN, and prior to that, he held financial leadership roles at Under Armour and Crocs. He is recognized for his extensive and diverse retail experience in identifying and accelerating strategies that strengthen performance and enhance profitability.
Melinda (Mel) McAfee Chief Legal and Compliance Officer, Victoria's Secret & Co.
Melinda McAfee joined Victoria's Secret & Co. in May 2021 as Chief Legal Officer, and has also served as Chief Human Resources Officer and Chief Legal Officer. Her previous experience includes serving as Senior Vice President, General Counsel, and Corporate Secretary of EXPRESS, Inc. Before joining EXPRESS, Mel was in-house counsel for Abercrombie & Fitch Co. for over 10 years and was a partner in the Labor & Employment practice of Vorys, Sater, Seymour and Pease, LLP.
Elizabeth Preis Chief Marketing and Customer Officer, Victoria's Secret & Co.
Elizabeth Preis is a marketing executive with over 25 years of experience guiding iconic consumer brands. She most recently served as Global CMO at Anthropologie and has held leadership positions at Estée Lauder, J. Crew, and Saks Fifth Avenue. She is known for her ability to blend consumer insight with compelling creative to build strong brand connections.
Anne Stephenson President of Victoria's Secret, Victoria's Secret & Co.
Anne Stephenson will assume the role of President of Victoria's Secret on May 12, 2025. She currently serves as Chief Merchandising Officer for Victoria's Secret & Co. Anne has over 25 years of experience in merchandising and brand leadership, including previous roles as chief merchant at Full Beauty Brands and Torrid.
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The public company Victoria's Secret (VSCO) faces several key risks to its business, primarily stemming from evolving consumer preferences, intense market competition, and ongoing supply chain and cost pressures.
- Changing Consumer Preferences and Brand Image: Victoria's Secret has struggled to adapt its brand image to align with modern consumer values, particularly regarding body positivity and inclusivity. Its traditional "fantasy" image is perceived as outdated and out of touch. Consumers are increasingly gravitating towards comfortable styles and brands that promote diversity and authenticity, a shift that has significantly impacted Victoria's Secret's sales and market share. The #MeToo movement further highlighted this disconnect, leading to declining brand perception and a need for extensive rebranding efforts. Failure to fully embrace and consistently project an inclusive image risks further consumer backlash and erosion of its customer base.
- Intense Competition: The lingerie market is highly competitive, with a growing number of new entrants and established players successfully catering to evolving consumer demands. Competitors such as Aerie and Skims have gained significant market share by offering diverse product ranges, inclusive marketing, and ethical practices. This intense competitive landscape puts pressure on Victoria's Secret to continuously innovate and differentiate its offerings to avoid losing further market share and to maintain brand relevance.
- Supply Chain Disruptions and Cost Pressures: Victoria's Secret is vulnerable to global supply chain disruptions, as evidenced by significant portions of its holiday inventory getting stuck in transit due to shortages and logistical challenges. The company's heavy manufacturing exposure in regions like Asia-Pacific creates susceptibility to geopolitical or logistics shocks. Furthermore, macroeconomic uncertainties, including rising tariffs and inflationary pressures, pose a substantial threat to the company's cost structure and profitability. These factors can lead to increased operational costs, lower demand for premium products, and inventory imbalances requiring promotional activities that compress margins.
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Direct-to-consumer (D2C) intimate apparel brands, which prioritize inclusivity, body positivity, and comfort, are emerging as a significant threat. These brands, built on different core values than Victoria's Secret's historical "sexy" image, are gaining substantial market share by appealing to evolving consumer preferences through agile online business models and targeted social media marketing. This shift challenges Victoria's Secret's traditional brand identity, product focus, and reliance on physical retail stores.AI Analysis | Feedback
The addressable markets for Victoria's Secret's main products and services on a global basis are as follows:
- Intimate Apparel (including bras, panties, and lingerie): The global intimate apparel market size was valued at approximately USD 88.25 billion in 2025.
- Sleepwear: The global sleepwear market size was estimated at USD 14.32 billion in 2024.
- Loungewear: The global loungewear market size was valued at USD 13.56 billion in 2024.
- Athletic Attire (Athleisure): The global athleisure market size was estimated at USD 393.7 billion in 2024.
- Swimwear: The global swimwear market size was valued at USD 24.85 billion in 2024.
- Fragrances: The global perfume market size was valued at USD 54.01 billion in 2024.
- Body Care Products: The global body care market was valued at USD 150.00 billion in 2024.
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Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Victoria's Secret (VSCO) over the next 2-3 years:
- International Expansion: Victoria's Secret is focused on significant growth in its international business, particularly in China. The company plans to expand its presence in existing markets and enter new regions, with management expecting double-digit international growth in fiscal year 2026.
- Digital and Social Commerce: A key driver is maximizing opportunities in digital and social commerce. This includes investments to enhance the customer experience on digital channels, leveraging social commerce and live streaming, particularly in markets like China, and repositioning the PINK brand as a digitally native and socially driven lifestyle brand.
- Focus on Core Categories and Product Innovation: Under its "Path to Potential" strategy, Victoria's Secret is accelerating its core business by placing bras back at the center of the brand and introducing new and engaging merchandise across bras, panties, and sleepwear. There is also a pipeline of product innovation and collaborations, with ongoing investments in the beauty and accessories categories to accelerate their growth. The beauty business has consistently been a strong performing category for the company.
- PINK Brand Repositioning and Growth: The PINK brand is being strategically repositioned as a digitally native, socially driven lifestyle brand targeting 18-24 year olds. This repositioning has already resulted in strong sales growth and increased brand consideration and equity among Gen Z consumers.
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Share Repurchases
- In March 2024, Victoria's Secret & Co.'s Board of Directors authorized a new share repurchase program of up to $250 million of the company's common stock.
- The company's annual share buybacks totaled $125 million in 2024.
- Victoria's Secret & Co. is generating positive free cash flow, which is being channeled into capital allocation priorities including shareholder returns through share repurchases.
Outbound Investments
- Victoria's Secret acquired Adore Me, integrating the brand into its portfolio.
- The company actively manages its portfolio, which includes a strategic review of noncore assets and the discontinuation of the Adore Me subscription.
Capital Expenditures
- Estimated capital expenditures for fiscal year 2024 were approximately $190 million, with a focus on store capital programs and technology to drive strategic growth initiatives.
- For fiscal year 2025, capital expenditures were planned to be approximately $200 million.
- Projected capital expenditures for fiscal year 2026 are in the range of $220 million to $240 million, concentrating on stores, customer experience, and technology and logistics to enhance growth and operating efficiencies.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
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| 03312026 | SKY | Champion Homes | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | DPZ | Domino's Pizza | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | ETSY | Etsy | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.6% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | OLLI | Ollie's Bargain Outlet | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | PATK | Patrick Industries | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -1.6% |
| 03312025 | VSCO | Victoria's Secret | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 42.6% | 149.5% | -20.0% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 41.30 |
| Mkt Cap | 6.7 |
| Rev LTM | 10,960 |
| Op Inc LTM | 693 |
| FCF LTM | 568 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 611 |
| CFO LTM | 896 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 937 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 0.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 5.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 5.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 8.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 5.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 6.7 |
| P/S | 0.6 |
| P/EBIT | 21.3 |
| P/E | 27.5 |
| P/CFO | 7.7 |
| Total Yield | 4.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.3% |
| D/E | 0.6 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 10.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 1.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 22.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 66.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 82.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -0.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 21.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 35.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 14.8% |
Price Behavior
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $49.94 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 4.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 07/21/2021 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -24.2% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $53.17 | $39.17 |
| DMA Trend | up | down |
| Distance from DMA | -6.1% | 27.5% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 63.4% | 60.3% |
| Downside Capture | 1.02 | 0.85 |
| Upside Capture | 131.52 | 254.90 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 27.2% | 40.7% |
VSCO Betas & Captures as of 3/31/2026
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.72 | 2.00 | 1.58 | 1.87 | 1.70 | 1.51 |
| Up Beta | 1.77 | 1.55 | 3.84 | 2.08 | 1.93 | 1.80 |
| Down Beta | -0.08 | -0.28 | -0.08 | 1.00 | 0.96 | 0.99 |
| Up Capture | 68% | 310% | 172% | 461% | 531% | 379% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 21 | 29 | 63 | 131 | 367 |
| Down Capture | 311% | 252% | 196% | 139% | 136% | 110% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 34 | 63 | 120 | 381 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with VSCO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VSCO | 150.1% | 61.7% | 1.73 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 17.3% | 19.7% | 0.69 | 49.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 18.7% | 13.7% | 1.06 | 45.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 53.7% | 27.6% | 1.55 | -5.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 25.2% | 16.2% | 1.37 | -3.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 14.8% | 14.0% | 0.76 | 28.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -11.7% | 43.0% | -0.17 | 16.5% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with VSCO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VSCO | -2.1% | 63.4% | 0.23 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 6.4% | 23.7% | 0.23 | 43.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.1% | 17.0% | 0.50 | 41.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.8% | 17.8% | 1.01 | 1.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.7% | 18.8% | 0.51 | 8.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.7% | 18.8% | 0.10 | 33.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 4.6% | 56.6% | 0.30 | 15.3% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with VSCO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VSCO | -1.0% | 63.4% | 0.23 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 12.4% | 22.0% | 0.52 | 43.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.9% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 41.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.2% | 15.9% | 0.74 | 1.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.8% | 17.6% | 0.42 | 8.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.2% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 33.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.5% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 15.3% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 3/5/2026 | -12.2% | -24.7% | -23.3% |
| 12/5/2025 | 18.0% | 26.9% | 46.6% |
| 8/28/2025 | -0.5% | 12.7% | 15.2% |
| 6/3/2025 | -2.7% | 9.1% | -2.1% |
| 3/5/2025 | -8.2% | -22.6% | -33.0% |
| 12/5/2024 | 11.6% | 8.8% | -9.0% |
| 8/14/2024 | 16.4% | 27.7% | 16.5% |
| 6/5/2024 | -6.5% | -20.8% | -21.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 8 | 4 |
| # Negative | 11 | 11 | 15 |
| Median Positive | 13.0% | 10.4% | 15.8% |
| Median Negative | -6.3% | -13.9% | -14.6% |
| Max Positive | 18.0% | 27.7% | 46.6% |
| Max Negative | -29.7% | -24.7% | -33.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 01/31/2026 | 03/20/2026 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2025 | 12/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2025 | 09/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2025 | 06/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2025 | 03/21/2025 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2024 | 12/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2024 | 09/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2024 | 06/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2024 | 03/22/2024 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2023 | 12/01/2023 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2023 | 09/01/2023 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2023 | 06/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2023 | 03/17/2023 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2022 | 12/02/2022 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2022 | 09/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2022 | 06/03/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/5/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Revenue | 1.49 Bil | 1.51 Bil | 1.52 Bil | ||||
| Q1 2026 Operating Income | 32.00 Mil | 37.00 Mil | 42.00 Mil | ||||
| 2026 Revenue | 6.85 Bil | 6.90 Bil | 6.95 Bil | 6.7% | Raised | Guidance: 6.46 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Operating Income | 430.00 Mil | 445.00 Mil | 460.00 Mil | 22.8% | Raised | Guidance: 362.50 Mil for 2025 | |
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 12/5/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2025 Revenue | 2.17 Bil | 2.19 Bil | 2.20 Bil | Higher New | |||
| Q4 2025 Operating Income | 265.00 Mil | 277.50 Mil | 290.00 Mil | Higher New | |||
| Q4 2025 EPS | 2.2 | 2.33 | 2.45 | Higher New | |||
| 2025 Revenue | 6.45 Bil | 6.46 Bil | 6.48 Bil | 1.5% | Raised | Guidance: 6.37 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Operating Income | 350.00 Mil | 362.50 Mil | 375.00 Mil | 22.9% | Raised | Guidance: 295.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 EPS | 2.4 | 2.52 | 2.65 | Higher New | |||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bbrc, International Pte Ltd | See Footnote 2 | Buy | 4042025 | 16.15 | 212,500 | 3,431,620 | 166,504,318 | Form | |
| 2 | Bbrc, International Pte Ltd | See Footnote 2 | Buy | 4012025 | 18.48 | 584,000 | 10,793,955 | 186,641,736 | Form | |
| 3 | Sheehan, Anne | Direct | Buy | 4032026 | 45.86 | 4,842 | 222,054 | 1,571,209 | Form | |
| 4 | James, Donna | Direct | Buy | 4032026 | 46.23 | 2,175 | 100,550 | 2,916,974 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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