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Victoria's Secret (VSCO)

Market Price (5/4/2026): $52.38 | Market Cap: $4.2 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel Retail

Victoria's Secret (VSCO)

Market Price (5/4/2026): $52.38
Market Cap: $4.2 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Apparel Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 7.4%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Experiential Retail, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -9.3%

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%

Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 56%

Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 167%

Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 86%

Key risks
VSCO key risks include [1] the struggle to modernize its outdated brand image amid intense competition from more inclusive brands, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 7.4%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Experiential Retail, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -9.3%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 56%
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 167%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 86%
7 Key risks
VSCO key risks include [1] the struggle to modernize its outdated brand image amid intense competition from more inclusive brands, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Victoria's Secret (VSCO) stock has lost about 5% since 1/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. "Sell-the-news" reaction following Q4 2025 earnings report.

Despite Victoria's Secret & Co. (VSCO) reporting adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.77 for the fourth quarter of 2025, exceeding analysts' consensus estimates of $2.48, and revenue of $2.27 billion, which beat estimates of $2.22 billion, the stock experienced a significant decline. Shares plunged 14.29% in pre-market trading on March 5, 2026, immediately following the earnings announcement. This indicates that the positive performance may have been largely priced into the stock, leading to profit-taking and a "sell-the-news" reaction.

2. Cautious Q1 2026 guidance and commentary on softening demand.

During the March 5, 2026, earnings call, management issued a cautious outlook for the first quarter of 2026, with EPS guidance set between $0.20 and $0.30. Furthermore, company commentary indicated that demand in March and April could be softer compared to the strong performance observed in February. This forward-looking caution regarding near-term demand and profitability likely contributed to investor uncertainty and the subsequent stock price decline.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -3.9% change in VSCO stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/3/2026 was primarily driven by a -7.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)13120265032026Change
Stock Price ($)54.5152.36-3.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6,3906,5532.6%
Net Income Margin (%)2.7%2.5%-7.6%
P/E Multiple26.026.00.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)81801.2%
Cumulative Contribution-3.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 5/3/2026
ReturnCorrelation
VSCO-3.9% 
Market (SPY)3.6%46.6%
Sector (XLY)-1.9%42.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 48.5% change in VSCO stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 39.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)103120255032026Change
Stock Price ($)35.2552.3648.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6,2656,5534.6%
Net Income Margin (%)2.4%2.5%1.9%
P/E Multiple18.726.039.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)80800.0%
Cumulative Contribution48.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 5/3/2026
ReturnCorrelation
VSCO48.5% 
Market (SPY)5.5%34.7%
Sector (XLY)-0.7%38.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 178.5% change in VSCO stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 178.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020255032026Change
Stock Price ($)18.8052.36178.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6,2296,5535.2%
Net Income Margin (%)2.6%2.5%-7.2%
P/E Multiple9.326.0178.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)82802.5%
Cumulative Contribution178.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2025 to 5/3/2026
ReturnCorrelation
VSCO178.5% 
Market (SPY)30.4%45.2%
Sector (XLY)21.2%47.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 68.8% change in VSCO stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 269.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020235032026Change
Stock Price ($)31.0152.3668.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6,3446,5533.3%
Net Income Margin (%)5.5%2.5%-55.2%
P/E Multiple7.026.0269.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)7980-1.2%
Cumulative Contribution68.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2023 to 5/3/2026
ReturnCorrelation
VSCO68.8% 
Market (SPY)78.7%35.6%
Sector (XLY)64.4%38.3%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
VSCO Return31%-36%-26%56%31%-4%22%
Peers Return21%-7%38%14%21%-5%101%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%5%92%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
VSCO Win Rate67%33%33%67%67%75% 
Peers Win Rate55%45%68%53%55%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
VSCO Max Drawdown-4%-52%-60%-40%-64%-22% 
Peers Max Drawdown-6%-34%-10%-11%-19%-17% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-7% 

[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: GPI, ABG, AEO, TJX, ROST.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/1/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventVSCOS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-50.5%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven102.0%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven188 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-13.7%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven15.8%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven6 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-25.4%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven34.1%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven15 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-59.4%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven146.2%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven528 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-52.3%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven109.5%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven1255 days427 days

Compare to GPI, ABG, AEO, TJX, ROST

In The Past

Victoria's Secret's stock fell -50.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 102.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventVSCOS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-50.5%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven102.0%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven188 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-25.4%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven34.1%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven15 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-59.4%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven146.2%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven528 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-52.3%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven109.5%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven1255 days427 days

Compare to GPI, ABG, AEO, TJX, ROST

In The Past

Victoria's Secret's stock fell -50.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 102.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Victoria's Secret (VSCO)

Victoria's Secret & Co. operates as a specialty retailer of women's intimate, personal care, and beauty products worldwide. The company offers bras, panties, lingerie, sleepwear, loungewear, and athletic attire and swimwear, as well as fragrances and body care products, and accessories under the Victoria's Secret and PINK brands. As of March 2, 2022, it operated approximately 1,400 retail stores. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in Reynoldsburg, Ohio.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Victoria's Secret:

  • Bath & Body Works for intimate apparel and sleepwear.
  • American Eagle's Aerie, but for a broader range of lingerie and loungewear.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Bras: Undergarments designed for breast support and shaping.
  • Panties: Undergarments worn on the lower body.
  • Lingerie: Lightweight, often decorative, intimate apparel for women.
  • Sleepwear: Apparel designed for comfortable wear during sleep.
  • Loungewear: Casual and comfortable clothing suitable for relaxing at home.
  • Athletic Attire and Swimwear: Clothing designed for sports activities and swimming.
  • Fragrances: Perfumes, body mists, and other scented products.
  • Body Care Products: Lotions, washes, and other items for skin health and hygiene.
  • Accessories: Supplementary items like bags, jewelry, or other complementary goods.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Victoria's Secret (VSCO) primarily sells its products directly to **individual consumers** through its retail stores and online channels. The company operates as a specialty retailer of women's intimate, personal care, and beauty products. Based on its product offerings and brand segmentation, Victoria's Secret serves the following primary categories of customers:
  • Adult Women (Victoria's Secret Brand): This core customer segment seeks sophisticated and fashionable intimate apparel, including bras, panties, lingerie, and sleepwear, as well as fragrances and body care products. These customers are often drawn to the Victoria's Secret brand for its association with glamour, quality, and a sense of luxury in their personal care and intimate wear.
  • Young Women and Teens (PINK Brand): This demographic is primarily targeted by the PINK brand, which focuses on comfortable, trendy, and casual intimate apparel, loungewear, activewear, and accessories. These customers often value comfort, athleisure styles, and products that reflect a youthful, collegiate, or relaxed aesthetic, appealing to a younger demographic.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Hillary Super Chief Executive Officer, Victoria's Secret & Co.
Hillary Super is a dynamic retail leader with over three decades of experience driving growth and innovation across renowned fashion brands. Before joining Victoria's Secret & Co. as CEO in September 2024, she served as CEO and board member of Savage X Fenty from 2023 to 2024. Prior to that, she was the Global CEO of Anthropologie Group from 2019 to 2021, where she led the turnaround of the women's apparel and accessories business. Earlier in her career, Super held key merchandising and operational leadership roles at companies such as Gap, Old Navy, American Eagle Outfitters, Ann Taylor Inc., and Guess?.

Scott Sekella Chief Financial Officer, Victoria's Secret & Co.
Scott Sekella was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Victoria's Secret & Co., replacing Timothy Johnson who is set to retire in June 2025. Sekella is a seasoned retail executive with a strong background in finance. He most recently served as CFO of fabric and crafts retailer JOANN, and prior to that, he held financial leadership roles at Under Armour and Crocs. He is recognized for his extensive and diverse retail experience in identifying and accelerating strategies that strengthen performance and enhance profitability.

Melinda (Mel) McAfee Chief Legal and Compliance Officer, Victoria's Secret & Co.
Melinda McAfee joined Victoria's Secret & Co. in May 2021 as Chief Legal Officer, and has also served as Chief Human Resources Officer and Chief Legal Officer. Her previous experience includes serving as Senior Vice President, General Counsel, and Corporate Secretary of EXPRESS, Inc. Before joining EXPRESS, Mel was in-house counsel for Abercrombie & Fitch Co. for over 10 years and was a partner in the Labor & Employment practice of Vorys, Sater, Seymour and Pease, LLP.

Elizabeth Preis Chief Marketing and Customer Officer, Victoria's Secret & Co.
Elizabeth Preis is a marketing executive with over 25 years of experience guiding iconic consumer brands. She most recently served as Global CMO at Anthropologie and has held leadership positions at Estée Lauder, J. Crew, and Saks Fifth Avenue. She is known for her ability to blend consumer insight with compelling creative to build strong brand connections.

Anne Stephenson President of Victoria's Secret, Victoria's Secret & Co.
Anne Stephenson will assume the role of President of Victoria's Secret on May 12, 2025. She currently serves as Chief Merchandising Officer for Victoria's Secret & Co. Anne has over 25 years of experience in merchandising and brand leadership, including previous roles as chief merchant at Full Beauty Brands and Torrid.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The public company Victoria's Secret (VSCO) faces several key risks to its business, primarily stemming from evolving consumer preferences, intense market competition, and ongoing supply chain and cost pressures.

  1. Changing Consumer Preferences and Brand Image: Victoria's Secret has struggled to adapt its brand image to align with modern consumer values, particularly regarding body positivity and inclusivity. Its traditional "fantasy" image is perceived as outdated and out of touch. Consumers are increasingly gravitating towards comfortable styles and brands that promote diversity and authenticity, a shift that has significantly impacted Victoria's Secret's sales and market share. The #MeToo movement further highlighted this disconnect, leading to declining brand perception and a need for extensive rebranding efforts. Failure to fully embrace and consistently project an inclusive image risks further consumer backlash and erosion of its customer base.
  2. Intense Competition: The lingerie market is highly competitive, with a growing number of new entrants and established players successfully catering to evolving consumer demands. Competitors such as Aerie and Skims have gained significant market share by offering diverse product ranges, inclusive marketing, and ethical practices. This intense competitive landscape puts pressure on Victoria's Secret to continuously innovate and differentiate its offerings to avoid losing further market share and to maintain brand relevance.
  3. Supply Chain Disruptions and Cost Pressures: Victoria's Secret is vulnerable to global supply chain disruptions, as evidenced by significant portions of its holiday inventory getting stuck in transit due to shortages and logistical challenges. The company's heavy manufacturing exposure in regions like Asia-Pacific creates susceptibility to geopolitical or logistics shocks. Furthermore, macroeconomic uncertainties, including rising tariffs and inflationary pressures, pose a substantial threat to the company's cost structure and profitability. These factors can lead to increased operational costs, lower demand for premium products, and inventory imbalances requiring promotional activities that compress margins.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Direct-to-consumer (D2C) intimate apparel brands, which prioritize inclusivity, body positivity, and comfort, are emerging as a significant threat. These brands, built on different core values than Victoria's Secret's historical "sexy" image, are gaining substantial market share by appealing to evolving consumer preferences through agile online business models and targeted social media marketing. This shift challenges Victoria's Secret's traditional brand identity, product focus, and reliance on physical retail stores.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The addressable markets for Victoria's Secret's main products and services on a global basis are as follows:

  • Intimate Apparel (including bras, panties, and lingerie): The global intimate apparel market size was valued at approximately USD 88.25 billion in 2025.
  • Sleepwear: The global sleepwear market size was estimated at USD 14.32 billion in 2024.
  • Loungewear: The global loungewear market size was valued at USD 13.56 billion in 2024.
  • Athletic Attire (Athleisure): The global athleisure market size was estimated at USD 393.7 billion in 2024.
  • Swimwear: The global swimwear market size was valued at USD 24.85 billion in 2024.
  • Fragrances: The global perfume market size was valued at USD 54.01 billion in 2024.
  • Body Care Products: The global body care market was valued at USD 150.00 billion in 2024.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Victoria's Secret (VSCO) over the next 2-3 years:

  1. International Expansion: Victoria's Secret is focused on significant growth in its international business, particularly in China. The company plans to expand its presence in existing markets and enter new regions, with management expecting double-digit international growth in fiscal year 2026.
  2. Digital and Social Commerce: A key driver is maximizing opportunities in digital and social commerce. This includes investments to enhance the customer experience on digital channels, leveraging social commerce and live streaming, particularly in markets like China, and repositioning the PINK brand as a digitally native and socially driven lifestyle brand.
  3. Focus on Core Categories and Product Innovation: Under its "Path to Potential" strategy, Victoria's Secret is accelerating its core business by placing bras back at the center of the brand and introducing new and engaging merchandise across bras, panties, and sleepwear. There is also a pipeline of product innovation and collaborations, with ongoing investments in the beauty and accessories categories to accelerate their growth. The beauty business has consistently been a strong performing category for the company.
  4. PINK Brand Repositioning and Growth: The PINK brand is being strategically repositioned as a digitally native, socially driven lifestyle brand targeting 18-24 year olds. This repositioning has already resulted in strong sales growth and increased brand consideration and equity among Gen Z consumers.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • In March 2024, Victoria's Secret & Co.'s Board of Directors authorized a new share repurchase program of up to $250 million of the company's common stock.
  • The company's annual share buybacks totaled $125 million in 2024.
  • Victoria's Secret & Co. is generating positive free cash flow, which is being channeled into capital allocation priorities including shareholder returns through share repurchases.

Outbound Investments

  • Victoria's Secret acquired Adore Me, integrating the brand into its portfolio.
  • The company actively manages its portfolio, which includes a strategic review of noncore assets and the discontinuation of the Adore Me subscription.

Capital Expenditures

  • Estimated capital expenditures for fiscal year 2024 were approximately $190 million, with a focus on store capital programs and technology to drive strategic growth initiatives.
  • For fiscal year 2025, capital expenditures were planned to be approximately $200 million.
  • Projected capital expenditures for fiscal year 2026 are in the range of $220 million to $240 million, concentrating on stores, customer experience, and technology and logistics to enhance growth and operating efficiencies.

Better Bets vs. Victoria's Secret (VSCO)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

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Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
FUN_4302026_Short_Squeeze04302026FUNSix Flags EntertainmentSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.		0.0%0.0%0.0%
MGM_4242026_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V204242026MGMMGM Resorts InternationalInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap		-1.5%-1.5%-1.5%
WEN_4242026_Short_Squeeze04242026WENWendy'sSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.		-2.5%-2.5%-5.3%
WHR_4102026_Short_Squeeze04102026WHRWhirlpoolSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.		-0.8%-0.8%-4.8%
SKY_4022026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04022026SKYChampion HomesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin		3.1%3.1%-1.2%
VSCO_3312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03312025VSCOVictoria's SecretDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap		42.6%149.5%-20.0%

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Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

VSCOGPIABGAEOTJXROSTMedian
NameVictoria.Group 1 .Asbury A.American.TJX Comp.Ross Sto. 
Mkt Price52.36353.67203.0116.94156.83228.84179.92
Mkt Cap4.24.23.92.9174.273.24.2
Rev LTM6,55322,47317,9635,54760,37222,75120,218
Op Inc LTM2719569473287,1782,707951
FCF LTM3123265411954,9172,208434
FCF 3Y Avg2312243742854,4831,865330
CFO LTM4996287734566,8743,027701
CFO 3Y Avg4384736045056,3492,633554

Growth & Margins

VSCOGPIABGAEOTJXROSTMedian
NameVictoria.Group 1 .Asbury A.American.TJX Comp.Ross Sto. 
Rev Chg LTM5.2%7.2%4.8%4.1%7.1%7.7%6.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.1%10.9%6.0%3.6%6.5%6.8%6.3%
Rev Chg Q7.7%-1.8%-0.9%12.9%8.5%12.2%8.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.6%-0.4%-0.2%3.9%2.4%3.3%2.5%
Op Inc Chg LTM-12.3%-0.6%-2.5%-26.3%13.9%4.7%-1.5%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-11.8%-3.1%-8.2%10.4%14.0%10.9%3.6%
Op Mgn LTM4.1%4.3%5.3%5.9%11.9%11.9%5.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg4.4%4.8%5.9%7.1%11.3%11.8%6.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.7%0.0%-0.3%0.5%0.6%-0.0%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM7.6%2.8%4.3%8.2%11.4%13.3%7.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg6.9%2.3%3.5%9.4%11.1%12.3%8.2%
FCF/Rev LTM4.8%1.5%3.0%3.5%8.1%9.7%4.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.6%1.1%2.2%5.3%7.9%8.7%4.5%

Valuation

VSCOGPIABGAEOTJXROSTMedian
NameVictoria.Group 1 .Asbury A.American.TJX Comp.Ross Sto. 
Mkt Cap4.24.23.92.9174.273.24.2
P/S0.60.20.20.52.93.20.6
P/Op Inc15.54.44.18.824.327.012.1
P/EBIT15.15.63.88.823.625.411.9
P/E26.012.87.014.931.734.120.5
P/CFO8.46.75.06.325.324.27.5
Total Yield3.8%8.4%14.2%8.2%4.2%3.7%6.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.6%0.0%1.5%1.1%0.7%0.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg7.0%5.2%9.3%8.8%3.2%3.6%6.1%
D/E0.71.31.40.60.10.10.6
Net D/E0.61.31.40.50.00.00.5

Returns

VSCOGPIABGAEOTJXROSTMedian
NameVictoria.Group 1 .Asbury A.American.TJX Comp.Ross Sto. 
1M Rtn13.8%7.4%4.2%1.3%-2.8%4.0%4.1%
3M Rtn-3.9%0.0%-13.4%-26.8%5.0%21.6%-2.0%
6M Rtn48.5%-10.8%-13.5%2.5%12.5%44.6%7.5%
12M Rtn167.3%-13.8%-8.7%57.6%22.9%64.5%40.2%
3Y Rtn95.4%66.7%7.2%47.6%111.9%129.7%81.1%
1M Excs Rtn0.7%-3.0%-5.3%-11.5%-13.2%-5.9%-5.6%
3M Excs Rtn-8.1%-4.2%-17.6%-31.0%0.8%17.4%-6.2%
6M Excs Rtn39.6%-17.2%-19.4%-4.0%6.4%40.2%1.2%
12M Excs Rtn148.7%-41.7%-36.8%36.3%-6.5%36.4%14.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-9.3%-15.5%-69.1%-37.7%32.6%47.3%-12.4%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil2026202520242023
Single Segment6,1826,3446,7855,413
Total6,1826,3446,7855,413


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$52.36 
Market Cap ($ Bil)4.2 
First Trading Date07/21/2021 
Distance from 52W High-20.5% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$51.18$41.48
DMA Trendupdown
Distance from DMA2.3%26.2%
 3M1YR
Volatility61.9%60.4%
Downside Capture1.721.02
Upside Capture214.39254.41
Correlation (SPY)46.8%45.2%
VSCO Betas & Captures as of 4/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta2.021.991.961.692.171.53
Up Beta2.172.191.882.062.701.86
Down Beta-0.760.910.340.921.390.98
Up Capture169%144%247%287%556%421%
Bmk +ve Days15223166141428
Stock +ve Days11203160130369
Down Capture210%272%234%134%150%110%
Bmk -ve Days4183056108321
Stock -ve Days11233365121381

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return		Annualized
Volatility		Sharpe
Ratio		Correlation
with VSCO
VSCO178.8%60.2%1.94-
Sector ETF (XLY)21.3%18.8%0.9047.7%
Equity (SPY)30.6%12.5%1.8845.2%
Gold (GLD)39.5%27.2%1.20-2.9%
Commodities (DBC)51.5%17.9%2.20-18.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)13.1%13.5%0.6728.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-17.1%42.2%-0.3314.9%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return		Annualized
Volatility		Sharpe
Ratio		Correlation
with VSCO
VSCO-1.1%63.1%0.24-
Sector ETF (XLY)6.7%23.8%0.2443.7%
Equity (SPY)12.8%17.1%0.5941.8%
Gold (GLD)20.5%17.9%0.941.2%
Commodities (DBC)14.3%19.1%0.615.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.5%18.8%0.0933.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)7.7%56.2%0.3515.3%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return		Annualized
Volatility		Sharpe
Ratio		Correlation
with VSCO
VSCO-0.6%63.1%0.24-
Sector ETF (XLY)12.7%22.0%0.5343.7%
Equity (SPY)14.9%17.9%0.7141.8%
Gold (GLD)13.6%15.9%0.711.2%
Commodities (DBC)9.7%17.7%0.465.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.7%20.7%0.2433.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.7%66.9%1.0715.3%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date4152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity10.1 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 33120263.8%
Average Daily Volume2.2 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.5 days
Basic Shares Quantity80.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares12.6%

Returns Analyses

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
3/5/2026-12.2%-24.7%-23.3%
12/5/202518.0%26.9%46.6%
8/28/2025-0.5%12.7%15.2%
6/3/2025-2.7%9.1%-2.1%
3/5/2025-8.2%-22.6%-33.0%
12/5/202411.6%8.8%-9.0%
8/14/202416.4%27.7%16.5%
6/5/2024-6.5%-20.8%-21.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive884
# Negative111115
Median Positive13.0%10.4%15.8%
Median Negative-6.3%-13.9%-14.6%
Max Positive18.0%27.7%46.6%
Max Negative-29.7%-24.7%-33.0%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
01/31/202603/20/202610-K
10/31/202512/05/202510-Q
07/31/202509/05/202510-Q
04/30/202506/12/202510-Q
01/31/202503/21/202510-K
10/31/202412/09/202410-Q
07/31/202409/06/202410-Q
04/30/202406/07/202410-Q
01/31/202403/22/202410-K
10/31/202312/01/202310-Q
07/31/202309/01/202310-Q
04/30/202306/02/202310-Q
01/31/202303/17/202310-K
10/31/202212/02/202210-Q
07/31/202209/08/202210-Q
04/30/202206/03/202210-Q

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/5/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 Revenue1.49 Bil1.51 Bil1.52 Bil   
Q1 2026 Operating Income32.00 Mil37.00 Mil42.00 Mil   
2026 Revenue6.85 Bil6.90 Bil6.95 Bil6.7% RaisedGuidance: 6.46 Bil for 2025
2026 Operating Income430.00 Mil445.00 Mil460.00 Mil22.8% RaisedGuidance: 362.50 Mil for 2025

Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 12/5/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2025 Revenue2.17 Bil2.19 Bil2.20 Bil  Higher New
Q4 2025 Operating Income265.00 Mil277.50 Mil290.00 Mil  Higher New
Q4 2025 EPS2.22.332.45  Higher New
2025 Revenue6.45 Bil6.46 Bil6.48 Bil1.5% RaisedGuidance: 6.37 Bil for 2025
2025 Operating Income350.00 Mil362.50 Mil375.00 Mil22.9% RaisedGuidance: 295.00 Mil for 2025
2025 EPS2.42.522.65  Higher New

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value		Value of
Held Shares		Form
1Sheehan, Anne DirectBuy403202645.864,842222,0541,571,209Form
2James, Donna DirectBuy403202646.232,175100,5502,916,974Form
3Bbrc, International Pte Ltd See Footnote 2Buy404202516.15212,5003,431,620166,504,318Form
4Bbrc, International Pte Ltd See Footnote 2Buy401202518.48584,00010,793,955186,641,736Form

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