Toppoint (TOPP)
Market Price (5/5/2026): $0.8292 | Market Cap: $16.1 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Commercial Printing
Toppoint (TOPP)
Market Price (5/5/2026): $0.8292Market Cap: $16.1 MilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Commercial Printing
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -37% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -119%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -152% | Penny stockMkt Price is 0.8 Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -7.4 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -45% Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -50% High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 123% Key risksTOPP key risks include [1] high share price volatility and a "Strong Sell" analyst rating, Show more. |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -37% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -119%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -152% |
| Penny stockMkt Price is 0.8 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -7.4 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -45% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -50% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 123% |
| Key risksTOPP key risks include [1] high share price volatility and a "Strong Sell" analyst rating, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Growth in emerging commodity segments partially offset overall losses. Despite Toppoint Holdings Inc. reporting a net loss of $(7.34) million for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, and an overall sharp compression in margins, the company did experience revenue growth in specific areas. Total revenue increased by 3.2% year-over-year to $16.55 million, driven by a 36.0% rise in import revenue to $4.84 million and a 77.4% increase in metal revenue to $2.04 million. This segment-specific growth may have attracted some investor interest.
2. Short-term technical rebound and micro-cap market sentiment contributed to price movements. After reaching an all-time low of $0.67 on February 23, 2026, Toppoint's stock experienced some recovery. For instance, on April 3, 2026, the stock posted a 3.78% intraday gain, attributed largely to short-term positioning flows within its trading range and a loose correlation with broader micro-cap equity segment movements, as investors weighed ongoing macroeconomic signals. Similarly, on May 1, 2026, the stock gained 6.12% in a single trading day. These short-term upticks suggest market sentiment and technical factors may have played a role in the stock's overall net gain during the period.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 2.8% change in TOPP stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 9.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 0.81 | 0.83 | 2.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 16 | 17 | 2.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.9 | 1.0 | 9.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 18 | 19 | -8.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 2.8% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TOPP | 2.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.6% | 4.5% |
| Sector (XLI) | 3.6% | -5.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -42.0% change in TOPP stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/4/2026 was primarily driven by a -40.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.43 | 0.83 | -42.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 15 | 17 | 7.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.6 | 1.0 | -40.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 18 | 19 | -9.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -42.0% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TOPP | -42.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 5.5% | 0.8% |
| Sector (XLI) | 11.0% | 0.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -25.3% change in TOPP stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/4/2026 was primarily driven by a -19.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.11 | 0.83 | -25.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 16 | 17 | 3.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.2 | 1.0 | -19.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 18 | 19 | -9.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -25.3% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TOPP | -25.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 30.4% | -1.7% |
| Sector (XLI) | 32.1% | 3.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
nullnull
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TOPP | ||
| Market (SPY) | 78.7% | -2.2% |
| Sector (XLI) | 78.8% | 3.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TOPP Return | - | - | - | - | -78% | 3% | -78% |
| Peers Return | -0% | -39% | 84% | 10% | -9% | 9% | 22% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 6% | 92% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TOPP Win Rate | - | - | - | - | 42% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 33% | 61% | 47% | 44% | 56% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TOPP Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | -78% | -13% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -13% | -48% | -9% | -10% | -34% | -18% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: BRC, BULL, VISN, CMPR, DLX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/4/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
In The Past
null
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
In The Past
null
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Toppoint (TOPP)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Landstar for recycling exports.
A specialized C.H. Robinson for port drayage of recyclables.
AI Analysis | Feedback
```html- Waste Paper Export Drayage: Provides truckload transportation services for waste paper from recycling centers to export ports.
- Waste Metal & Forestry Export Drayage: Offers truckload transportation for scrap metal and wooden logs to export ports.
- Import Container Delivery: Manages the pickup and delivery of imported containers from ports to client locations.
- Logistics Brokerage & Other Commodity Transport: Offers trucking services for other commodities like plastics and provides logistics brokerage solutions in various markets.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Toppoint (TOPP) primarily serves other companies. Its major customers fall into the following categories:
- Largest Fortune 500 waste companies
- Recycling centers
- Commodity traders
The company's client base has grown significantly, indicating a broad reach within these categories rather than reliance on a few named entities. Specific names or public symbols of these customer companies are not provided in the background information.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Hok C. Chan, Chief Executive Officer, Chairman of the Board of Director, President
Mr. Chan has served as Toppoint's Chief Executive Officer and Chairman since August 16, 2022. He founded and has been the chief executive officer and sole director of Toppoint's operating subsidiary, Toppoint Inc., since its inception in 2014. Prior to that, he entered the recycling industry in 2008 and founded Toppoint International Recycling Co., a recycling plant, in 2010. He successfully led the plant to an exit by selling it to a private equity firm in 2014 for approximately $4 million.
Kah Loong Randy Yeo, Interim Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Yeo was appointed interim Chief Financial Officer on December 19, 2025, succeeding John Feliciano III. He previously served as the company's Controller since November 26, 2025. Mr. Yeo possesses over 20 years of experience in finance, including roles in public accounting, asset management, and investment banking. His prior positions include Chief Financial Officer and Head of Operations at Chiral Global Investors L.P., U.S. Senior Controller at Riskfield Inc., where he helped guide the company through a $300 million IPO, and finance leadership roles at CITIC Securities International USA, LLC and Direct Markets Holdings Corp.
Chung Ming Bruce Hui, Director
Mr. Hui was appointed as a new director on December 19, 2025. He brings over 25 years of experience in Hong Kong's financial industry, specializing in private wealth management, corporate wealth solutions, and wealth succession planning. He is a former Licensed Responsible Officer of an insurance brokerage and Head of Business for a trust company.
Anthony Kwong, Accounting Professional
Mr. Kwong has over 14 years of experience in the accounting profession. He began his career as a business consultant, focusing on corporate service. He previously served at Vistra Group and Intertrust Group (now rebranded as CSC) for six years, where he ascended to Manager at Intertrust, overseeing a major client portfolio of multinational corporations. Mr. Kwong later founded a local professional service firm in Hong Kong.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Exposure to Fluctuations in Waste Paper Export Market Volumes and Pricing: Toppoint's business is heavily dependent on the waste paper export supply chain, which is identified as their core commodity. The company experienced a significant revenue and net income decrease in 2023, primarily due to an industry-wide decrease in scrap paper export volume. This reliance makes the business vulnerable to global demand shifts, commodity price volatility, and trade policies affecting waste paper exports.
- Reliance on Independent Contractor Drivers: Toppoint's operational model is highly reliant on owner-operators and other independent contractor drivers, with approximately 100 independent contractor drivers in their network. This dependency exposes the company to risks associated with driver availability, recruitment, retention, and potential regulatory changes impacting the classification or engagement of independent contractors, which could increase operational costs or limit capacity.
- Geographic Concentration in Key Regions: Despite recent expansion into Florida, Maryland, and Mexico, Toppoint maintains a significant market share in the New Jersey and Pennsylvania regional trucking market for waste paper exports. This concentration means that adverse economic conditions, port-specific issues, or increased competition within these critical regions could have a disproportionate impact on the company's financial performance.
AI Analysis | Feedback
null
AI Analysis | Feedback
## Addressable Markets for Toppoint's Main Products or Services Toppoint, a truckload services and solutions provider focused on the recycling export supply chain, primarily deals with waste paper, scrap metal, and wooden logs. While the company holds significant market shares in specific regional segments, publicly available data does not provide precise addressable market sizes for its niche services of export drayage for these commodities within its key operating regions. Therefore, it is not possible to definitively size these markets based on current information.AI Analysis | Feedback
```htmlToppoint (TOPP) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives:
- Expansion into New Geographic Markets: Toppoint has recently expanded into the recycling export transport markets of Tampa, Jacksonville, and Miami, FL, and Baltimore, MD in 2023, and Ensenada, Mexico in 2024. The company also intends to explore international markets in Canada, the United Kingdom, and Australia in the near future. These new markets are expected to contribute to increased load volumes and customer acquisition.
- Diversification and Growth in Waste Metal and Import Verticals: Despite a downturn in waste paper exports in 2023, Toppoint's revenues from Waste Metal and Import verticals experienced growth. The company expanded its presence in the metal recycling export market, resulting in a 55% increase in loads in 2023. Continued focus on these growing segments, along with the "Others" vertical where they utilize outside trucks in markets like Illinois and Texas, will help diversify revenue streams and mitigate risks associated with commodity price fluctuations in their core waste paper business.
- Growing Client Base and "White Glove Service" Model: Toppoint's client base has grown significantly, from 10 in 2015 to 303 in 2023, at a CAGR of approximately 53.17%. The company prides itself on providing a "white glove service" to ensure time-sensitive, ultra-high throughput commodities are safely delivered. Maintaining and expanding this client base, driven by their reputation for competitive prices, on-time delivery of large amounts, and fast response, is a fundamental driver of sustained revenue.
- Integrated Transportation Solutions and Leveraging "Outside Trucks": Capitalizing on its logistics expertise, Toppoint offers integrated transportation solutions covering loading, transport, port drayage, and unloading. Additionally, the strategic use of "outside trucks" in emerging markets like Illinois and Texas allows Toppoint to scale operations and serve national clients with low risk, presenting an opportunity for continued growth in areas beyond their owned fleet's immediate reach.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullLatest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Toppoint Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| Can Toppoint Stock Recover If Markets Fall? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to TOPP.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04302026 | GEO | GEO | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 04302026 | RUN | Sunrun | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 04172026 | RSG | Republic Services | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.1% |
| 04102026 | VRSK | Verisk Analytics | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.3% | 12.3% | 0.0% |
| 04102026 | UHAL | U-Haul | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.3% | 0.3% | -1.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 21.77 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.5 |
| Rev LTM | 1,430 |
| Op Inc LTM | 158 |
| FCF LTM | 170 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 154 |
| CFO LTM | 271 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 225 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 9.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 11.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.6% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 16.4% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 7.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 8.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 5.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 12.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 8.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.5 |
| P/S | 1.6 |
| P/Op Inc | 7.1 |
| P/EBIT | 7.8 |
| P/E | 17.8 |
| P/CFO | 8.2 |
| Total Yield | 4.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 9.9% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 10.3% |
| 3M Rtn | -0.5% |
| 6M Rtn | -12.1% |
| 12M Rtn | -3.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 15.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 0.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -3.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -19.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -33.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -58.1% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $0.83 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 01/22/2025 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -63.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $0.79 | $1.84 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | 5.0% | -54.8% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 77.6% | 124.3% |
| Downside Capture | 0.14 | -0.14 |
| Upside Capture | -9.31 | -44.63 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 5.8% | -1.6% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.60 | 0.02 | 0.35 | 0.07 | -0.17 | -0.17 |
| Up Beta | -0.14 | -0.32 | -1.14 | -0.17 | -0.03 | -0.01 |
| Down Beta | 17.27 | 1.38 | 2.41 | -1.29 | 0.94 | -0.14 |
| Up Capture | -21% | -2% | 27% | -13% | -32% | -5% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 7 | 13 | 21 | 39 | 97 | 122 |
| Down Capture | -985% | -32% | 66% | 128% | -49% | 30% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 22 | 35 | 73 | 136 | 174 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TOPP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOPP | -28.4% | 124.2% | 0.26 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 31.2% | 15.4% | 1.56 | 3.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 29.7% | 12.5% | 1.83 | -1.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 39.6% | 27.2% | 1.21 | 6.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 50.7% | 18.0% | 2.18 | -0.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 12.1% | 13.5% | 0.60 | 0.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -19.0% | 42.2% | -0.39 | -3.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TOPP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOPP | -26.9% | 124.4% | -0.45 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 12.6% | 17.4% | 0.56 | 3.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.8% | 17.1% | 0.59 | -2.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.1% | 17.9% | 0.91 | 7.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 14.1% | 19.1% | 0.60 | 3.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.3% | 18.8% | 0.08 | 2.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 7.3% | 56.2% | 0.34 | -4.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TOPP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOPP | -14.5% | 124.4% | -0.45 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 13.8% | 19.9% | 0.61 | 3.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.9% | 17.9% | 0.71 | -2.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.4% | 15.9% | 0.70 | 7.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.7% | 17.7% | 0.46 | 3.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.6% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 2.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.1% | 66.9% | 1.06 | -4.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 3/25/2026 | -6.3% | -7.5% | 8.5% |
| 11/14/2025 | 0.0% | -19.6% | -14.2% |
| 8/14/2025 | -8.5% | -7.6% | -4.5% |
| 5/15/2025 | 2.6% | 0.7% | 7.9% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| # Negative | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Median Positive | 1.3% | 0.7% | 8.2% |
| Median Negative | -7.4% | -7.6% | -9.3% |
| Max Positive | 2.6% | 0.7% | 8.5% |
| Max Negative | -8.5% | -19.6% | -14.2% |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.