Tearsheet

Toppoint (TOPP)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $1.02 | Market Cap: $18.2 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Cargo Ground Transportation

Toppoint (TOPP)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $1.02
Market Cap: $18.2 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Cargo Ground Transportation

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -6.8 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -42%
1 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.5%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -22%
2 Key risks
TOPP key risks include [1] high share price volatility and a "Strong Sell" analyst rating, Show more.
0 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -6.8 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -42%
1 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.5%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -22%
2 Key risks
TOPP key risks include [1] high share price volatility and a "Strong Sell" analyst rating, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TOPP Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Q2 2025 Revenue Decline: Toppoint reported a significant year-over-year revenue decline of 15.5% in Q2 2025, with revenue falling to $3.97 million from $4.70 million in Q2 2024. This was primarily attributed to a 23.2% decrease in waste paper revenue, which constitutes its largest segment.

2. Substantial Net Losses in Q3 2025: The company recorded a net loss of $4.15 million in Q3 2025, largely due to $3.78 million in non-cash stock-based compensation. For the first nine months of 2025, Toppoint reported a net loss of $6.21 million, signaling ongoing financial struggles despite a 20% year-over-year revenue increase in the third quarter.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TOPP Return
Peers Return30%41%-15%54%10%6%181%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TOPP Win Rate45% 
Peers Win Rate60%68%40%62%53%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TOPP Max Drawdown 
Peers Max Drawdown-35%-3%-30%-7%-14%-27% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: XPO, R, WERN, ODFL, JBHT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

TOPP has limited trading history. Below is the Industrials sector ETF (XLI) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-22.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven29.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven273 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-42.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven74.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven232 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven32.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven312 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-63.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven172.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,463 days1,480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -22.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2022. A -22.6% loss requires a 29.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Toppoint (TOPP)

Better Bets than Toppoint (TOPP)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TOPP. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.6%5.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.6%5.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Toppoint

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TOPPXPORWERNODFLJBHTMedian
NameToppoint XPO Ryder Sy.Werner E.Old Domi.JB Hunt . 
Mkt Price1.01145.10188.4930.54155.73194.10150.41
Mkt Cap0.017.17.71.832.718.712.4
Rev LTM168,06712,7082,9915,57512,0496,821
Op Inc LTM-77061,112541,391826766
FCF LTM-4232-88-55921790114
FCF 3Y Avg--206-458-88827388-88
CFO LTM-19492,4031911,4611,6101,205
CFO 3Y Avg-8082,3293471,5501,6471,550

Growth & Margins

TOPPXPORWERNODFLJBHTMedian
NameToppoint XPO Ryder Sy.Werner E.Old Domi.JB Hunt . 
Rev Chg LTM1.7%-0.3%1.3%-3.4%-5.9%-1.6%-0.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-38.4%2.0%-2.1%-3.3%-6.3%-2.1%
Rev Chg Q20.3%2.8%-0.3%3.5%-4.3%-0.5%1.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.9%0.7%-0.1%0.9%-1.1%-0.1%0.3%
Op Mgn LTM-42.1%8.8%8.8%1.8%24.9%6.9%7.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-8.0%8.8%3.9%26.9%7.2%8.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-22.6%0.1%0.0%-1.0%-0.4%0.2%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM-8.5%11.8%18.9%6.4%26.2%13.4%12.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-10.1%18.7%10.9%26.8%13.1%13.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-22.0%2.9%-0.7%-1.8%16.5%6.6%1.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg--2.6%-3.7%-2.7%14.3%3.2%-2.6%

Valuation

TOPPXPORWERNODFLJBHTMedian
NameToppoint XPO Ryder Sy.Werner E.Old Domi.JB Hunt . 
Mkt Cap0.017.17.71.832.718.712.4
P/S1.51.90.60.55.31.11.3
P/EBIT-22.97.020.721.215.520.7
P/E-4.045.915.362.327.922.525.2
P/CFO-18.116.13.28.320.28.08.1
Total Yield-25.3%2.2%8.4%3.8%4.4%5.8%4.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%1.9%2.2%0.8%1.3%1.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--1.8%-8.5%-4.0%2.2%2.8%-1.8%
D/E-0.31.20.50.00.10.3
Net D/E-0.21.10.40.00.10.2

Returns

TOPPXPORWERNODFLJBHTMedian
NameToppoint XPO Ryder Sy.Werner E.Old Domi.JB Hunt . 
1M Rtn-6.5%13.4%14.6%29.0%20.1%21.1%17.4%
3M Rtn-37.3%11.8%2.7%11.1%10.0%44.7%10.6%
6M Rtn-44.8%20.3%25.7%10.2%0.2%40.4%15.3%
12M Rtn--8.1%18.8%-18.6%-21.2%10.7%-8.1%
3Y Rtn-300.6%139.6%-22.7%7.4%11.9%11.9%
1M Excs Rtn-7.2%12.7%13.9%28.3%19.4%20.4%16.6%
3M Excs Rtn-42.3%8.9%0.7%10.2%8.2%42.7%8.6%
6M Excs Rtn-57.2%7.9%13.3%-2.1%-12.2%28.1%2.9%
12M Excs Rtn--18.2%5.0%-30.9%-32.9%-1.9%-18.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-222.3%68.8%-95.5%-63.5%-61.4%-61.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024
Paper15
Import3
Log2
Metal1
Plastic0
Total21


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity89,897
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202545.5%
Average Daily Volume66,269
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.36
Basic Shares Quantity17,826,882
Short % of Basic Shares0.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/14/20250.0%-19.6% 
8/14/2025-8.5%-7.6%-4.5%
5/15/20252.6%0.7%7.9%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive211
# Negative122
Median Positive1.3%0.7%7.9%
Median Negative-8.5%-13.6%-4.5%
Max Positive2.6%0.7%7.9%
Max Negative-8.5%-19.6%-4.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251114202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025814202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025515202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024415202510-K 12/31/2024
630202410172024S-1/A 6/30/2024
33120248122024S-1 3/31/2024
123120231222025424B4 12/31/2023