Werner Enterprises (WERN)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $28.96 | Market Cap: $1.7 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Cargo Ground Transportation
Werner Enterprises (WERN)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $28.96Market Cap: $1.7 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Cargo Ground Transportation
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 2.2% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -75%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -102% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 62x |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 37% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.4%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.1% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Freight, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Autonomous Trucks, Freight Technology, Show more. | Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.8% |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 2.2% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 37% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Freight, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Autonomous Trucks, Freight Technology, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -75%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -102% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 62x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.4%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.1% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.8% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
WERN Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Following are key points for the movement of Werner Enterprises (WERN) stock for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Negative Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results: Werner Enterprises reported an operating loss of $13.0 million and a diluted loss per share of $0.34 for the third quarter of 2025, significantly missing analyst consensus estimates. This negative earnings report likely exerted downward pressure on the stock price in late October 2025.
2. Announcement of Stock Repurchase Program: In August 2025, the company's board approved a new stock repurchase program authorizing the buyback of up to 5 million shares of common stock. Such an announcement can be viewed as a positive signal by investors, potentially providing upward support to the stock price.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| WERN Return | 9% | 23% | -14% | 7% | -14% | -23% | -19% |
| Peers Return | 24% | 35% | -15% | 40% | 10% | 11% | 143% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| WERN Win Rate | 58% | 67% | 33% | 42% | 42% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 60% | 42% | 58% | 48% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| WERN Max Drawdown | -19% | -1% | -22% | -10% | -19% | -34% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -31% | -6% | -28% | -11% | -17% | -26% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CHRW, JBHT, XPO, KNX, HUBG. See WERN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | WERN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -27.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 37.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -25.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 32 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -32.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 504 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -52.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 109.2% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 752 days | 1480 days |
Compare to CHRW, JBHT, XPO, KNX, HUBG
In The Past
Werner Enterprises's stock fell -27.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/2/2023. A -27.2% loss requires a 37.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to WERN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.5% | 9.5% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.5% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.5% | 9.5% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.5% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Werner Enterprises
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 95.24 |
| Mkt Cap | 12.4 |
| Rev LTM | 7,772 |
| Op Inc LTM | 514 |
| FCF LTM | 173 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 98 |
| CFO LTM | 847 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 841 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -2.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -4.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 1.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 4.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 4.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 8.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 3.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 1.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 12.4 |
| P/S | 0.9 |
| P/EBIT | 19.1 |
| P/E | 35.8 |
| P/CFO | 10.6 |
| Total Yield | 4.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 1.3% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 11.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 13.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 20.3% |
| 12M Rtn | -9.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 2.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 11.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 5.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 5.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -24.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -68.4% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Truckload Transportation Services | 2,311 | 2,429 | 2,045 | 1,843 | 1,910 |
| Werner Logistics | 910 | 793 | 622 | 470 | 490 |
| Other | 80 | 71 | 66 | 57 | 62 |
| Elimination Inter-segment eliminations | -18 | -5 | -1 | -0 | -0 |
| Corporate | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | |
| Total | 3,283 | 3,290 | 2,734 | 2,372 | 2,464 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Truckload Transportation Services | 169 | 295 | 282 | 222 | 203 |
| Werner Logistics | 16 | 36 | 28 | 6 | 16 |
| Other | -9 | -3 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| Corporate | -5 | -5 | -4 | 1 | |
| Total | 176 | 323 | 309 | 227 | 225 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8112025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5092025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2262025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2262024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2272023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8082022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5092022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2282022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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