Tearsheet

Satellogic (SATL)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $1.89 | Market Cap: $200.3 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Satellogic (SATL)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $1.89
Market Cap: $200.3 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Space Economy. Themes include Satellite Earth Observation, and Geospatial Intelligence.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -46%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -123%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -33 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -224%
1   Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 24x
2   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -143%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -176%
3   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 109%
4   Key risks
SATL key risks include [1] a persistent failure to meet financial targets, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Space Economy. Themes include Satellite Earth Observation, and Geospatial Intelligence.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -46%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -123%
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -33 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -224%
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 24x
4 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -143%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -176%
5 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 109%
6 Key risks
SATL key risks include [1] a persistent failure to meet financial targets, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SATL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Satellogic (SATL) experienced an approximate 50.9% decline in its stock price between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025, driven by several key factors: 1. Significant Share Dilution from Public Offerings. The company undertook a substantial public offering in October 2025, pricing 27,692,308 shares of Class A common stock at $3.25 per share to raise approximately $90 million. This capital raise, while providing funding, led to significant dilution of existing shareholder value, a factor directly cited as a primary reason for the stock's sharp decline.

2. Investor Skepticism Despite Improved Q3 2025 Financials. Even though Satellogic reported a 29% increase in revenue and a net income of $4.0 million for the third quarter of 2025, the stock reacted negatively to the earnings release. This suggests that investors remained skeptical about the company's long-term sustainability and debt management, especially as the net income was largely influenced by gains from financial instruments rather than core operational profitability.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SATL Return-69%-43%63%-31%
Peers Return
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SATL Win Rate44%50%33%42%42% 
Peers Win Rate46% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SATL Max Drawdown-70%-77%-47%-55% 
Peers Max Drawdown 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FLY, ATRO, BETA, DFSC, PEW.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSATLS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-94.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1686.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to FLY, ATRO, BETA, DFSC, PEW


In The Past

Satellogic's stock fell -94.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/21/2022. A -94.4% loss requires a 1686.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Satellogic (SATL)

Better Bets than Satellogic (SATL)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1Can Satellogic Stock Recover If Markets Fall?Return
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SATL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.6%5.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.6%5.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Satellogic

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SATLFLYATROBETADFSCPEWMedian
NameSatellog.Firefly .AstronicsBETA Tec.DEFSEC T.GrabAGun. 
Mkt Price1.8318.5350.5427.972.623.1610.85
Mkt Cap0.31.71.8--0.11.0
Rev LTM15111831-44242
Op Inc LTM-33-25250--9-4-9
FCF LTM-26-20151--9--17
FCF 3Y Avg--8--11--1
CFO LTM-21-17874--9--15
CFO 3Y Avg--22--10-6

Growth & Margins

SATLFLYATROBETADFSCPEWMedian
NameSatellog.Firefly .AstronicsBETA Tec.DEFSEC T.GrabAGun. 
Rev Chg LTM--6.2%-166.4%-86.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--19.5%-94.3%-56.9%
Rev Chg Q29.0%37.6%3.8%-330.2%-33.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.9%8.2%0.9%-35.8%-7.0%
Op Mgn LTM-223.9%-226.9%6.0%--209.1%-8.8%-209.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg--2.2%--699.5%--348.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM37.8%-10.4%1.7%-86.7%-19.8%
CFO/Rev LTM-143.5%-160.0%8.9%--212.3%--151.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg--2.5%--716.7%--357.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-175.7%-181.0%6.1%--216.3%--178.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg--0.8%--777.8%--388.5%

Valuation

SATLFLYATROBETADFSCPEWMedian
NameSatellog.Firefly .AstronicsBETA Tec.DEFSEC T.GrabAGun. 
Mkt Cap0.31.71.8--0.11.0
P/S23.715.61.9--3.19.3
P/EBIT--6.832.3---12.8
P/E-3.3-5.1-523.2---47.1-26.1
P/CFO-16.5-9.822.0----9.8
Total Yield-30.5%-19.6%-0.2%---2.1%-10.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%--0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg---0.5%----0.5%
D/E-0.00.2---0.1
Net D/E--0.50.2----0.2

Returns

SATLFLYATROBETADFSCPEWMedian
NameSatellog.Firefly .AstronicsBETA Tec.DEFSEC T.GrabAGun. 
1M Rtn31.7%-4.9%0.8%-0.1%-15.8%-16.0%-2.5%
3M Rtn-48.2%-57.3%26.1%--21.8%-43.1%-43.1%
6M Rtn-48.0%-50.8%---1.4%
12M Rtn-52.8%-208.9%---78.1%
3Y Rtn-38.0%-422.6%---192.3%
1M Excs Rtn30.9%-5.6%0.1%-0.8%-16.5%-16.7%-3.2%
3M Excs Rtn-49.8%-60.4%19.2%--25.4%-46.4%-46.4%
6M Excs Rtn-60.4%-38.4%----11.0%
12M Excs Rtn-58.9%-198.8%---70.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-123.4%-345.2%---110.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil202420232022
Asset Monitoring54 
Space Systems40 
Constellation as a Service (CaaS)22 
Single Segment  4
Total1064


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,203,771
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-3.7%
Average Daily Volume2,710,592
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.92
Basic Shares Quantity105,984,243
Short % of Basic Shares4.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251110202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025812202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025513202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024326202510-K 12/31/2024
630202481520246-K 6/30/2024
12312023415202420-F 12/31/2023
630202392120236-K 6/30/2023
12312022427202320-F 12/31/2022
6302022122320226-K 6/30/2022
12312021502202220-F 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Kargieman EmilianoChief Executive Officer10162025Sell4.0011,04044,1666,427,215Form