Satellogic (SATL)
Market Price (5/20/2026): $9.6 | Market Cap: $1.4 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense
Satellogic (SATL)
Market Price (5/20/2026): $9.6Market Cap: $1.4 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Aerospace & Defense
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 58% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Space Economy. Themes include Satellite Earth Observation, and Geospatial Intelligence. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.8%, Dist 3Y High is -1.8% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -28 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -136% Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 67x Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 610%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 145% Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -108%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -162% Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 383% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11% High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 117% Key risksSATL key risks include [1] a persistent failure to meet financial targets, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 58% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Space Economy. Themes include Satellite Earth Observation, and Geospatial Intelligence. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.8%, Dist 3Y High is -1.8% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -28 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -136% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 67x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 610%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 145% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -108%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -162% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 383% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 117% |
| Key risksSATL key risks include [1] a persistent failure to meet financial targets, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Significant Revenue Growth and Key Contract Wins in Q1 2026. Satellogic reported an 80% year-over-year increase in Q1 2026 revenue, reaching $6.1 million, which surpassed the Street estimate of $5.4 million. This robust growth was driven by new and expanded contracts, including an $18 million agreement with Portugal for two NewSat Mark V satellites announced in January 2026, and a $12 million agreement in April 2026 to deliver an in-orbit NewSat satellite to a sovereign defense customer.
2. Achievement of First-Ever Positive Operating Cash Flow. For the first time as a public company, Satellogic generated positive net cash from operating activities of $0.2 million in Q1 2026, indicating improved financial management and operational efficiency. This milestone suggests a turning point for the company, potentially alleviating concerns about future dilution and debt risks.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 110.0% change in SATL stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.60 | 9.66 | 110.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | 20 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | � | 66.7 | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 91 | 141 | -35.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SATL | 110.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 6.3% | 26.4% |
| Sector (XLI) | 2.3% | 24.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 405.8% change in SATL stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 368.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.91 | 9.66 | 405.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 14 | 20 | 47.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 14.2 | 66.7 | 368.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 103 | 141 | -26.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 405.8% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SATL | 405.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.2% | 27.9% |
| Sector (XLI) | 9.5% | 22.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 134.5% change in SATL stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 125.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.12 | 9.66 | 134.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 13 | 20 | 58.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 29.6 | 66.7 | 125.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 92 | 141 | -34.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 134.5% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SATL | 134.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 33.8% | 28.5% |
| Sector (XLI) | 30.3% | 24.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
nullnull
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SATL | 380.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 83.3% | 23.9% |
| Sector (XLI) | 76.5% | 20.5% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SATL Return | -2% | -69% | -43% | 63% | -34% | 410% | -4% |
| Peers Return | -9% | -14% | 69% | -8% | 88% | 24% | 181% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 97% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SATL Win Rate | 40% | 50% | 33% | 42% | 42% | 80% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 50% | 58% | 25% | 52% | 42% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SATL Max Drawdown | - | -76% | -83% | -58% | -73% | -48% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -51% | -48% | -35% | -33% | -24% | -33% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: FLY, ATRO, ARXS, AVEX, ELMT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/19/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SATL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -32.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.7% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 13 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -14.1% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 16.4% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 8 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -64.4% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 181.1% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 23 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -47.4% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 90.2% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 591 days | 31 days |
In The Past
Satellogic's stock fell -32.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 47.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
| Event | SATL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -32.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.7% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 13 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -64.4% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 181.1% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 23 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -47.4% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 90.2% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 591 days | 31 days |
In The Past
Satellogic's stock fell -32.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 47.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Satellogic (SATL)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Satellogic:
- A real-time Google Earth for commercial and government intelligence.
- Like Google Maps, but delivering live, high-resolution satellite data streams directly to businesses and governments.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Earth Observation Data Streams: Real-time commercial-grade data derived from nano satellites, providing insights for decision-making across various sectors.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Satellogic (SATL) primarily sells its Earth observation data streams and services to national governments, government agencies, and other commercial enterprises, rather than primarily to individuals. The nature of its applications, such as pipeline monitoring, border patrol, and disaster response, aligns with institutional buyers.
Based on publicly available information, Satellogic's major customers and customer categories include:
- Government Customers: Satellogic has secured significant contracts with national governments for dedicated satellite capacity and data access. These include:
- Government of Uruguay
- Government of Albania
- Government of Paraguay
- Various agencies within the United States Government (often through prime contractors, such as Sierra Nevada Corporation for Department of Defense projects).
Note: These are sovereign entities and do not have public company symbols.
- Commercial Enterprises: While specific commercial customer names are often not publicly disclosed by data and intelligence providers, Satellogic serves businesses across several key sectors. These typically include:
- Companies in the Agriculture and Forestry sectors, utilizing data for precision farming, crop monitoring, and illegal logging detection.
- Energy and Infrastructure companies (e.g., oil & gas, utilities), for monitoring pipelines, power lines, and other critical assets.
- Mapping, Geospatial Intelligence, and Analytics firms, integrating Satellogic's data into their platforms and solutions.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Emiliano Kargieman, CEO & Founder
Emiliano Kargieman co-founded Satellogic in 2010. He also founded Core Security Technologies in 1996, developing the first automated penetration testing software and leading the company for nearly two decades. His previous company attracted clients such as Apple, Cisco, Homeland Security, NSA, NASA, Lockheed Martin, and DARPA. Kargieman was also a co-founder and Managing Director of Aconcagua Ventures, a venture capital firm investing in high-tech startups in Latin America, and co-founded GarageLab in 2009. He served as a member of a special projects group for the World Bank and completed NASA's Singularity University in 2010, which inspired the concepts for Satellogic.
Rick Dunn, CFO
Rick Dunn has served as Satellogic's Chief Financial Officer since January 2019, bringing over 25 years of financial leadership experience from both public and private companies, in addition to 10 years in public accounting. Prior to Satellogic, he held CFO positions at PowerTeam Services, LLC, and was the Executive Vice President and CFO at ACN Inc., a telecommunications company. His experience also includes CFO roles at Salamanca Solutions International, Trilogy International Partners, Alltel, and Corporate Controller for Western Wireless International. Dunn is a Certified Public Accountant (inactive) and an alumnus of Stanford University's Graduate School of Business Executive Program.
Gerardo Richarte, Chief Architect & Founder
Gerardo Richarte is a co-founder of Satellogic and serves as its Chief Innovation Officer and Chief Information Security Officer. He is responsible for defining the company's technology vision, creating the overall software architecture, and leading the software, systems, and cloud efforts.
Aviv Cohen, COO
Aviv Cohen serves as the Chief Operating Officer of Satellogic.
Matt Tirman, President
Matt Tirman holds the position of President at Satellogic.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Satellogic's business are:1. Financial Health and Path to Profitability
Satellogic faces significant financial challenges, including a poor financial strength rating, high debt levels, and substantial negative operating and net margins. The company's Altman Z-Score of -11.72 indicates a high risk of bankruptcy within two years. Satellogic has experienced persistent cash burn and negative cash flow from operations, necessitating repeated capital raises that lead to shareholder dilution. Despite revenue growth, the company's long-term profitability remains uncertain, requiring substantial growth and rigorous cost control to reach a break-even point. This is compounded by the capital-intensive nature of building and maintaining a satellite constellation.2. Execution and Scaling Challenges
The company's core business model of providing daily geospatial imaging faces challenges due to the high capital required for constellation expansion and the inherent issue of satellite decay, which necessitates continuous maintenance capital expenditures. To unlock its total addressable market, Satellogic needs to significantly scale its constellation, which demands considerable capital investment. Furthermore, the company's success is highly dependent on its ability to effectively market and sell its Earth observation services and convert its pipeline of potential contracts into actual revenues. Satellogic also faces risks related to launch failures and has been noted to lag in crucial computer AI and imagery analysis compared to some competitors, potentially hindering sales of raw data imagery.3. Competition and Market Acceptance
Satellogic operates in a competitive landscape with established players like Planet Labs, BlackSky, Rocket Lab, and Maxar. To remain competitive, the company must continuously innovate its offerings and maintain competitive pricing. Its ability to secure and retain customers is tied to the market acceptance of its Earth observation services and its capacity to keep pace with rapid technological advancements, including those in artificial intelligence and machine learning. Additionally, Satellogic's status as a non-U.S. entity has limited its ability to bid for certain lucrative government contracts, such as those from the National Reconnaissance Office (NRO) for optical imagery, potentially restricting its market access.AI Analysis | Feedback
The emergence and maturation of High Altitude Pseudo-Satellites (HAPS) and other stratospheric platforms. HAPS technology aims to provide persistent, high-resolution, localized Earth observation from the stratosphere. For Satellogic's applications requiring continuous monitoring of specific regions, such as pipeline monitoring, border patrol, critical infrastructure monitoring, or detailed agricultural surveillance, HAPS could offer a more cost-effective, flexible, or higher-resolution alternative to frequent satellite revisits from nano-satellites. If HAPS achieve broad operational viability and scale, they could disrupt a significant portion of the market for regional, persistent observation data that Satellogic currently targets.AI Analysis | Feedback
Satellogic Inc. (SATL) operates in several significant addressable markets related to Earth observation data and satellite services globally.
Global Earth Observation and Satellite Imaging Markets
- The global satellite imaging market was valued at USD 4.2 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 11.1 billion by 2032, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) exceeding 11% between 2024 and 2032.
- The global commercial satellite imaging market was estimated at USD 3.31 billion in 2025 and is predicted to grow to approximately USD 6.36 billion by 2035, expanding at a CAGR of 6.75% from 2026 to 2035. Another estimate places the commercial satellite imaging market size at USD 7.49 billion in 2026, with a projection to reach USD 13.62 billion by 2031 at a 12.7% CAGR.
- The global satellite-based Earth observation market was estimated at USD 3.7 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to USD 6.6 billion by 2034, at a CAGR of 5.9% during the forecast period of 2025–2034.
- The commercial Earth observation market, currently valued at $5 billion, is projected to exceed $8 billion by 2033.
- The global satellite data services market was estimated at USD 12,115.2 million in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 29,587.9 million by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 16.3% from 2025 to 2030.
- The Earth observation (EO) small satellite market is projected to grow from USD 2.64 billion in 2025 to USD 5.52 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of 15.9%.
Specific Application Markets
- **Agriculture:** The global satellite imagery in agriculture market size reached USD 1.42 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach an estimated USD 4.06 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 13.1%. The global satellite data service for agriculture market is projected to reach approximately $1,500 million by 2025, with a CAGR of around 18% expected throughout the forecast period from 2025 to 2033.
- **Pipeline Monitoring:** The global pipeline monitoring system market was valued at USD 15.85 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach USD 31.05 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 7.80% over the forecast period 2024-2032.
- **Critical Infrastructure Monitoring:** The global critical infrastructure monitoring market is valued at USD 96,305 million in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 153,495.53 million by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 6% during the forecast period.
- **Disaster Response:** The global space-based disaster response market size was valued at approximately USD 1.5 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach around USD 4.2 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 12.5% during the forecast period.
- **Illegal Logging / Forestry Monitoring:** The global forestry monitoring via satellite market size in 2024 stands at USD 1.62 billion and is expected to expand to approximately USD 4.01 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 10.8%. The Satellite Monitoring and Analytics of Forests market is estimated to be in the range of $7 billion to $9 billion, with projections to exceed $15 billion by 2028.
- **Border Patrol / Border Security:** The global border security market size was valued at over USD 45 billion in 2023 and is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of over 5.5% between 2024 and 2032, reaching over USD 70 billion.
- **Port Security:** The global port security market size is estimated at USD 15,500.00 million in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 29,500.00 million by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 7.8% from 2025 to 2032.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Satellogic (NASDAQ: SATL) is anticipated to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several key initiatives and market trends:
- Strategic Focus on U.S. Government and Allied Contracts: Satellogic is actively repositioning itself to capture high-value opportunities within the U.S. government and allied markets. Key actions include initiating the redomiciling process to Delaware from the British Virgin Islands and obtaining a remote sensing license from the National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). These steps are crucial for satisfying requirements to expand business in the U.S. market and better compete for government and allied contracts. Evidence of this strategic focus includes a pivotal agreement with Maxar Intelligence for U.S. government national security missions and selection by NASA for its Commercial SmallSat Data Acquisition Program (CSDA) On-Ramp1 Multiple Award contract.
- Expansion and Monetization of Earth Observation Service Offerings: The company is expected to increase revenue by more effectively monetizing its existing on-orbit satellite capacity and expanding its suite of service offerings. An example of this is the recent launch of Aleph Observer, a new monitoring service designed to provide daily coverage of multiple sites, signaling a shift towards more persistent and scheduled data delivery. This strategy aims to cater to evolving customer needs and unlock additional revenue streams from their existing assets.
- Broadened International Commercial and Government Customer Base: Beyond the strategic U.S. focus, Satellogic aims to grow its revenue by expanding its international commercial and government customer base. The company delivers high-resolution Earth Observation (EO) data for diverse applications in sectors such as agriculture, pipeline monitoring, critical infrastructure, disaster response, and border patrol. Continued or expanded international contracts, such as the extended satellite monitoring contract with the Government of Albania and an agreement with Suhora to offer data and services in India and Nepal, highlight ongoing efforts to diversify and grow its global customer portfolio.
- Scalable and Cost-Efficient Earth Observation Platform: Satellogic's business model emphasizes vertical integration and cost leadership to deliver high-resolution Earth observation at unprecedented scale and economics. By building a scalable, fully automated Earth Observation platform, the company aims to make satellite imagery more accessible and affordable. This operational efficiency and cost advantage are expected to drive higher volumes of data sales and improve gross margins, thereby contributing significantly to overall revenue growth as the constellation expands and operations become more streamlined.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Between February 14, 2022, and December 31, 2024, Satellogic repurchased 516,123 shares for approximately $2.74 million under an authorized buyback plan.
Share Issuance
- In January 2026, Satellogic closed a registered direct offering of 7,399,578 shares of Class A common stock, generating approximately $35 million in gross proceeds, intended for growth initiatives and satellite infrastructure.
- In October 2025, the company priced an underwritten public offering of 27,692,308 shares of Class A common stock, with an expected gross proceed of approximately $90 million for general corporate purposes.
- In April 2025, Satellogic completed a registered direct offering of 6,451,612 shares of Class A common stock, raising approximately $20 million in gross proceeds for general corporate purposes.
- In December 2024, Satellogic issued 3,571,429 Class A Ordinary Shares in a private placement, resulting in gross proceeds of approximately $10 million, to be used for general corporate purposes and advancing its U.S. strategy and Space Systems opportunities.
Inbound Investments
- In January 2026, a single institutional investment manager purchased shares for approximately $35 million through a registered direct offering.
- In December 2024, a single institutional investor made a private placement investment of approximately $10 million.
Capital Expenditures
- Satellogic's capital expenditures were $5.04 million in 2024, $15 million in 2023, and $27 million in 2022.
- Expected capital expenditures for 2025 are around $5.25 million.
- The primary focus of these capital expenditures is on the company's constellation and satellite infrastructure, with the constellation buildout phase nearing completion.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Would You Still Hold Satellogic Stock If It Fell 30%? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to SATL.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04302026 | GEO | GEO | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 04302026 | RUN | Sunrun | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 04172026 | RSG | Republic Services | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.1% |
| 04102026 | VRSK | Verisk Analytics | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.3% | 12.3% | 0.0% |
| 04102026 | UHAL | U-Haul | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.3% | 0.3% | -1.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 30.23 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.8 |
| Rev LTM | 185 |
| Op Inc LTM | -28 |
| FCF LTM | -33 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 18 |
| CFO LTM | -22 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 37 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 58.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 15.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 44.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 15.4% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 37.6% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 589.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -136.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 4.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 2.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -107.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -139.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 2.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.8 |
| P/S | 36.8 |
| P/Op Inc | -22.8 |
| P/EBIT | -15.0 |
| P/E | -15.0 |
| P/CFO | -32.2 |
| Total Yield | -4.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 1.4% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -2.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 0.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 28.9% |
| 12M Rtn | -7.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | -7.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -8.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -7.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 15.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -30.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -85.4% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $9.66 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.3 | |
| First Trading Date | 03/26/2021 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -1.8% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $6.30 | $3.78 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 53.3% | 155.3% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 134.0% | 117.8% |
| Downside Capture | 213.47 | 375.46 |
| Upside Capture | 619.60 | 388.70 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 23.2% | 29.6% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.22 | 1.71 | 2.38 | 2.97 | 2.70 | 1.84 |
| Up Beta | -0.93 | -0.94 | 0.26 | -0.35 | 0.58 | 0.91 |
| Down Beta | -10.66 | 0.24 | 0.76 | 2.62 | 3.15 | 1.87 |
| Up Capture | 181% | 709% | 507% | 1758% | 1081% | 4422% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 23 | 30 | 62 | 114 | 328 |
| Down Capture | 29% | 105% | 269% | 214% | 200% | 113% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 9 | 19 | 33 | 62 | 136 | 395 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with SATL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SATL | 147.5% | 117.8% | 1.31 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 19.0% | 15.4% | 0.93 | 24.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 25.0% | 12.1% | 1.55 | 29.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 40.0% | 26.8% | 1.23 | 14.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 49.4% | 18.5% | 2.03 | 8.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 9.7% | 13.4% | 0.45 | 9.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -25.6% | 41.9% | -0.59 | 28.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with SATL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SATL | 3.0% | 106.0% | 0.50 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 12.4% | 17.4% | 0.56 | 16.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.2% | 17.0% | 0.65 | 18.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 19.3% | 18.0% | 0.87 | 9.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.0% | 19.4% | 0.45 | 4.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.0% | 18.8% | 0.11 | 16.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 9.4% | 55.6% | 0.38 | 13.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with SATL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SATL | 1.5% | 105.3% | 0.50 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 13.6% | 20.0% | 0.60 | 16.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 17.9% | 0.73 | 18.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.0% | 16.0% | 0.67 | 9.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.4% | 17.9% | 0.38 | 4.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.1% | 20.7% | 0.21 | 15.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.2% | 66.9% | 1.06 | 13.3% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 3/19/2026 | 10.8% | 110.1% | 134.1% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | 10.8% | 110.1% | 134.1% |
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | 10.8% | 110.1% | 134.1% |
| Max Negative | |||
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/12/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/19/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/10/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/26/2025 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/15/2024 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2023 | 04/15/2024 | 20-F |
| 06/30/2023 | 09/21/2023 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2022 | 04/27/2023 | 20-F |
| 06/30/2022 | 12/23/2022 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2021 | 05/02/2022 | 20-F |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/11/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2027 Remaining Performance Obligations to be recognized within one year | 29.20 Mil | 2.1% | Higher New | Actual: 28.60 Mil for 2026 | |||
| 2028 Remaining Performance Obligations to be recognized in years one to two | 7.90 Mil | ||||||
| 2029 Remaining Performance Obligations to be recognized in years two to three | 7.50 Mil | ||||||
| 2030 Remaining Performance Obligations to be recognized thereafter | 20.20 Mil | ||||||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tirman, Matthew | President | Direct | Sell | 3312026 | 5.18 | 9,499 | 49,195 | 798,519 | Form |
| 2 | Dunn, Rick | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Buy | 3312026 | 5.17 | 19,050 | 98,488 | 1,178,905 | Form |
| 3 | Dunn, Rick | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Buy | 3312026 | 5.91 | 16,695 | 98,601 | 1,234,224 | Form |
| 4 | Cantor, Fitzgerald, L P | See Foot Note | Sell | 3252026 | 5.01 | 500,000 | 2,504,000 | 61,881,352 | Form | |
| 5 | Cantor, Fitzgerald, L P | See footnote | Sell | 1302026 | 5.55 | 5,575 | 30,940 | 71,351,004 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.