Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

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Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 58%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Space Economy. Themes include Satellite Earth Observation, and Geospatial Intelligence.

Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.8%, Dist 3Y High is -1.8%

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -28 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -136%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 67x

Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 610%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 145%

Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%

Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -108%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -162%

Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 383%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%

High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 117%

Key risks
SATL key risks include [1] a persistent failure to meet financial targets, Show more.

0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 58%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Space Economy. Themes include Satellite Earth Observation, and Geospatial Intelligence.
2 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.8%, Dist 3Y High is -1.8%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -28 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -136%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 67x
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 610%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 145%
6 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
7 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -108%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -162%
8 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 383%
9 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%
10 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 117%
11 Key risks
SATL key risks include [1] a persistent failure to meet financial targets, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Satellogic (SATL) stock has gained about 110% since 1/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Significant Revenue Growth and Key Contract Wins in Q1 2026. Satellogic reported an 80% year-over-year increase in Q1 2026 revenue, reaching $6.1 million, which surpassed the Street estimate of $5.4 million. This robust growth was driven by new and expanded contracts, including an $18 million agreement with Portugal for two NewSat Mark V satellites announced in January 2026, and a $12 million agreement in April 2026 to deliver an in-orbit NewSat satellite to a sovereign defense customer.

2. Achievement of First-Ever Positive Operating Cash Flow. For the first time as a public company, Satellogic generated positive net cash from operating activities of $0.2 million in Q1 2026, indicating improved financial management and operational efficiency. This milestone suggests a turning point for the company, potentially alleviating concerns about future dilution and debt risks.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 110.0% change in SATL stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)13120265192026Change
Stock Price ($)4.609.66110.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)200.0%
P/S Multiple66.70.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)91141-35.3%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 5/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
SATL110.0% 
Market (SPY)6.3%26.4%
Sector (XLI)2.3%24.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 405.8% change in SATL stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 368.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)103120255192026Change
Stock Price ($)1.919.66405.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)142047.3%
P/S Multiple14.266.7368.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)103141-26.8%
Cumulative Contribution405.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 5/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
SATL405.8% 
Market (SPY)8.2%27.9%
Sector (XLI)9.5%22.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 134.5% change in SATL stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 125.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020255192026Change
Stock Price ($)4.129.66134.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)132058.7%
P/S Multiple29.666.7125.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)92141-34.4%
Cumulative Contribution134.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2025 to 5/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
SATL134.5% 
Market (SPY)33.8%28.5%
Sector (XLI)30.3%24.6%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

4/30/2023 to 5/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
SATL380.6% 
Market (SPY)83.3%23.9%
Sector (XLI)76.5%20.5%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
SATL Return-2%-69%-43%63%-34%410%-4%
Peers Return-9%-14%69%-8%88%24%181%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%8%97%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SATL Win Rate40%50%33%42%42%80% 
Peers Win Rate42%50%58%25%52%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%60% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SATL Max Drawdown--76%-83%-58%-73%-48% 
Peers Max Drawdown-51%-48%-35%-33%-24%-33% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: FLY, ATRO, ARXS, AVEX, ELMT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/19/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventSATLS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-32.3%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven47.7%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven13 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-14.1%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven16.4%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven8 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-64.4%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven181.1%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven23 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-47.4%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven90.2%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven591 days31 days

Compare to FLY, ATRO, ARXS, AVEX, ELMT

In The Past

Satellogic's stock fell -32.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 47.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventSATLS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-32.3%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven47.7%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven13 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-64.4%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven181.1%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven23 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-47.4%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven90.2%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven591 days31 days

Compare to FLY, ATRO, ARXS, AVEX, ELMT

In The Past

Satellogic's stock fell -32.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 47.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Satellogic (SATL)

Satellogic Inc. builds and operates nano satellites for commercial-grade Earth observation in real-time. It offers data streams that are used in decision-making processes for various branches of government, organizations, businesses, and individuals. Its satellites are used for applications in agriculture, pipeline monitoring, critical infrastructure monitoring, disaster response, illegal logging, border patrol, port security, and other applications. The company was founded in 2010 and is based in Palo Alto, California.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Satellogic:

  • A real-time Google Earth for commercial and government intelligence.
  • Like Google Maps, but delivering live, high-resolution satellite data streams directly to businesses and governments.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Earth Observation Data Streams: Real-time commercial-grade data derived from nano satellites, providing insights for decision-making across various sectors.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Satellogic (SATL) primarily sells its Earth observation data streams and services to national governments, government agencies, and other commercial enterprises, rather than primarily to individuals. The nature of its applications, such as pipeline monitoring, border patrol, and disaster response, aligns with institutional buyers.

Based on publicly available information, Satellogic's major customers and customer categories include:

  • Government Customers: Satellogic has secured significant contracts with national governments for dedicated satellite capacity and data access. These include:
    • Government of Uruguay
    • Government of Albania
    • Government of Paraguay
    • Various agencies within the United States Government (often through prime contractors, such as Sierra Nevada Corporation for Department of Defense projects).

    Note: These are sovereign entities and do not have public company symbols.

  • Commercial Enterprises: While specific commercial customer names are often not publicly disclosed by data and intelligence providers, Satellogic serves businesses across several key sectors. These typically include:
    • Companies in the Agriculture and Forestry sectors, utilizing data for precision farming, crop monitoring, and illegal logging detection.
    • Energy and Infrastructure companies (e.g., oil & gas, utilities), for monitoring pipelines, power lines, and other critical assets.
    • Mapping, Geospatial Intelligence, and Analytics firms, integrating Satellogic's data into their platforms and solutions.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Emiliano Kargieman, CEO & Founder

Emiliano Kargieman co-founded Satellogic in 2010. He also founded Core Security Technologies in 1996, developing the first automated penetration testing software and leading the company for nearly two decades. His previous company attracted clients such as Apple, Cisco, Homeland Security, NSA, NASA, Lockheed Martin, and DARPA. Kargieman was also a co-founder and Managing Director of Aconcagua Ventures, a venture capital firm investing in high-tech startups in Latin America, and co-founded GarageLab in 2009. He served as a member of a special projects group for the World Bank and completed NASA's Singularity University in 2010, which inspired the concepts for Satellogic.

Rick Dunn, CFO

Rick Dunn has served as Satellogic's Chief Financial Officer since January 2019, bringing over 25 years of financial leadership experience from both public and private companies, in addition to 10 years in public accounting. Prior to Satellogic, he held CFO positions at PowerTeam Services, LLC, and was the Executive Vice President and CFO at ACN Inc., a telecommunications company. His experience also includes CFO roles at Salamanca Solutions International, Trilogy International Partners, Alltel, and Corporate Controller for Western Wireless International. Dunn is a Certified Public Accountant (inactive) and an alumnus of Stanford University's Graduate School of Business Executive Program.

Gerardo Richarte, Chief Architect & Founder

Gerardo Richarte is a co-founder of Satellogic and serves as its Chief Innovation Officer and Chief Information Security Officer. He is responsible for defining the company's technology vision, creating the overall software architecture, and leading the software, systems, and cloud efforts.

Aviv Cohen, COO

Aviv Cohen serves as the Chief Operating Officer of Satellogic.

Matt Tirman, President

Matt Tirman holds the position of President at Satellogic.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Satellogic's business are:

1. Financial Health and Path to Profitability

Satellogic faces significant financial challenges, including a poor financial strength rating, high debt levels, and substantial negative operating and net margins. The company's Altman Z-Score of -11.72 indicates a high risk of bankruptcy within two years. Satellogic has experienced persistent cash burn and negative cash flow from operations, necessitating repeated capital raises that lead to shareholder dilution. Despite revenue growth, the company's long-term profitability remains uncertain, requiring substantial growth and rigorous cost control to reach a break-even point. This is compounded by the capital-intensive nature of building and maintaining a satellite constellation.

2. Execution and Scaling Challenges

The company's core business model of providing daily geospatial imaging faces challenges due to the high capital required for constellation expansion and the inherent issue of satellite decay, which necessitates continuous maintenance capital expenditures. To unlock its total addressable market, Satellogic needs to significantly scale its constellation, which demands considerable capital investment. Furthermore, the company's success is highly dependent on its ability to effectively market and sell its Earth observation services and convert its pipeline of potential contracts into actual revenues. Satellogic also faces risks related to launch failures and has been noted to lag in crucial computer AI and imagery analysis compared to some competitors, potentially hindering sales of raw data imagery.

3. Competition and Market Acceptance

Satellogic operates in a competitive landscape with established players like Planet Labs, BlackSky, Rocket Lab, and Maxar. To remain competitive, the company must continuously innovate its offerings and maintain competitive pricing. Its ability to secure and retain customers is tied to the market acceptance of its Earth observation services and its capacity to keep pace with rapid technological advancements, including those in artificial intelligence and machine learning. Additionally, Satellogic's status as a non-U.S. entity has limited its ability to bid for certain lucrative government contracts, such as those from the National Reconnaissance Office (NRO) for optical imagery, potentially restricting its market access.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The emergence and maturation of High Altitude Pseudo-Satellites (HAPS) and other stratospheric platforms. HAPS technology aims to provide persistent, high-resolution, localized Earth observation from the stratosphere. For Satellogic's applications requiring continuous monitoring of specific regions, such as pipeline monitoring, border patrol, critical infrastructure monitoring, or detailed agricultural surveillance, HAPS could offer a more cost-effective, flexible, or higher-resolution alternative to frequent satellite revisits from nano-satellites. If HAPS achieve broad operational viability and scale, they could disrupt a significant portion of the market for regional, persistent observation data that Satellogic currently targets.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Satellogic Inc. (SATL) operates in several significant addressable markets related to Earth observation data and satellite services globally.

Global Earth Observation and Satellite Imaging Markets

  • The global satellite imaging market was valued at USD 4.2 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 11.1 billion by 2032, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) exceeding 11% between 2024 and 2032.
  • The global commercial satellite imaging market was estimated at USD 3.31 billion in 2025 and is predicted to grow to approximately USD 6.36 billion by 2035, expanding at a CAGR of 6.75% from 2026 to 2035. Another estimate places the commercial satellite imaging market size at USD 7.49 billion in 2026, with a projection to reach USD 13.62 billion by 2031 at a 12.7% CAGR.
  • The global satellite-based Earth observation market was estimated at USD 3.7 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to USD 6.6 billion by 2034, at a CAGR of 5.9% during the forecast period of 2025–2034.
  • The commercial Earth observation market, currently valued at $5 billion, is projected to exceed $8 billion by 2033.
  • The global satellite data services market was estimated at USD 12,115.2 million in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 29,587.9 million by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 16.3% from 2025 to 2030.
  • The Earth observation (EO) small satellite market is projected to grow from USD 2.64 billion in 2025 to USD 5.52 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of 15.9%.

Specific Application Markets

  • **Agriculture:** The global satellite imagery in agriculture market size reached USD 1.42 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach an estimated USD 4.06 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 13.1%. The global satellite data service for agriculture market is projected to reach approximately $1,500 million by 2025, with a CAGR of around 18% expected throughout the forecast period from 2025 to 2033.
  • **Pipeline Monitoring:** The global pipeline monitoring system market was valued at USD 15.85 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach USD 31.05 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 7.80% over the forecast period 2024-2032.
  • **Critical Infrastructure Monitoring:** The global critical infrastructure monitoring market is valued at USD 96,305 million in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 153,495.53 million by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 6% during the forecast period.
  • **Disaster Response:** The global space-based disaster response market size was valued at approximately USD 1.5 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach around USD 4.2 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 12.5% during the forecast period.
  • **Illegal Logging / Forestry Monitoring:** The global forestry monitoring via satellite market size in 2024 stands at USD 1.62 billion and is expected to expand to approximately USD 4.01 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 10.8%. The Satellite Monitoring and Analytics of Forests market is estimated to be in the range of $7 billion to $9 billion, with projections to exceed $15 billion by 2028.
  • **Border Patrol / Border Security:** The global border security market size was valued at over USD 45 billion in 2023 and is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of over 5.5% between 2024 and 2032, reaching over USD 70 billion.
  • **Port Security:** The global port security market size is estimated at USD 15,500.00 million in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 29,500.00 million by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 7.8% from 2025 to 2032.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Satellogic (NASDAQ: SATL) is anticipated to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several key initiatives and market trends:

  1. Strategic Focus on U.S. Government and Allied Contracts: Satellogic is actively repositioning itself to capture high-value opportunities within the U.S. government and allied markets. Key actions include initiating the redomiciling process to Delaware from the British Virgin Islands and obtaining a remote sensing license from the National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). These steps are crucial for satisfying requirements to expand business in the U.S. market and better compete for government and allied contracts. Evidence of this strategic focus includes a pivotal agreement with Maxar Intelligence for U.S. government national security missions and selection by NASA for its Commercial SmallSat Data Acquisition Program (CSDA) On-Ramp1 Multiple Award contract.
  2. Expansion and Monetization of Earth Observation Service Offerings: The company is expected to increase revenue by more effectively monetizing its existing on-orbit satellite capacity and expanding its suite of service offerings. An example of this is the recent launch of Aleph Observer, a new monitoring service designed to provide daily coverage of multiple sites, signaling a shift towards more persistent and scheduled data delivery. This strategy aims to cater to evolving customer needs and unlock additional revenue streams from their existing assets.
  3. Broadened International Commercial and Government Customer Base: Beyond the strategic U.S. focus, Satellogic aims to grow its revenue by expanding its international commercial and government customer base. The company delivers high-resolution Earth Observation (EO) data for diverse applications in sectors such as agriculture, pipeline monitoring, critical infrastructure, disaster response, and border patrol. Continued or expanded international contracts, such as the extended satellite monitoring contract with the Government of Albania and an agreement with Suhora to offer data and services in India and Nepal, highlight ongoing efforts to diversify and grow its global customer portfolio.
  4. Scalable and Cost-Efficient Earth Observation Platform: Satellogic's business model emphasizes vertical integration and cost leadership to deliver high-resolution Earth observation at unprecedented scale and economics. By building a scalable, fully automated Earth Observation platform, the company aims to make satellite imagery more accessible and affordable. This operational efficiency and cost advantage are expected to drive higher volumes of data sales and improve gross margins, thereby contributing significantly to overall revenue growth as the constellation expands and operations become more streamlined.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Between February 14, 2022, and December 31, 2024, Satellogic repurchased 516,123 shares for approximately $2.74 million under an authorized buyback plan.

Share Issuance

  • In January 2026, Satellogic closed a registered direct offering of 7,399,578 shares of Class A common stock, generating approximately $35 million in gross proceeds, intended for growth initiatives and satellite infrastructure.
  • In October 2025, the company priced an underwritten public offering of 27,692,308 shares of Class A common stock, with an expected gross proceed of approximately $90 million for general corporate purposes.
  • In April 2025, Satellogic completed a registered direct offering of 6,451,612 shares of Class A common stock, raising approximately $20 million in gross proceeds for general corporate purposes.
  • In December 2024, Satellogic issued 3,571,429 Class A Ordinary Shares in a private placement, resulting in gross proceeds of approximately $10 million, to be used for general corporate purposes and advancing its U.S. strategy and Space Systems opportunities.

Inbound Investments

  • In January 2026, a single institutional investment manager purchased shares for approximately $35 million through a registered direct offering.
  • In December 2024, a single institutional investor made a private placement investment of approximately $10 million.

Capital Expenditures

  • Satellogic's capital expenditures were $5.04 million in 2024, $15 million in 2023, and $27 million in 2022.
  • Expected capital expenditures for 2025 are around $5.25 million.
  • The primary focus of these capital expenditures is on the company's constellation and satellite infrastructure, with the constellation buildout phase nearing completion.

Latest Trefis Analyses

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GEO_4302026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy04302026GEOGEODip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
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RUN_4302026_Short_Squeeze04302026RUNSunrunSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
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RSG_4172026_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper04172026RSGRepublic ServicesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
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VRSK_4102026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04102026VRSKVerisk AnalyticsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
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UHAL_4102026_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper04102026UHALU-HaulMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
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Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SATLFLYATROARXSAVEXELMTMedian
NameSatellog.Firefly .AstronicsArxis AEVEX Elmet  
Mkt Price9.6642.5779.3834.1426.3313.5330.23
Mkt Cap1.46.82.8---2.8
Rev LTM20185887---185
Op Inc LTM-28-29891----28
FCF LTM-33-25724----33
FCF 3Y Avg--18---18
CFO LTM-22-21165----22
CFO 3Y Avg--37---37

Growth & Margins

SATLFLYATROARXSAVEXELMTMedian
NameSatellog.Firefly .AstronicsArxis AEVEX Elmet  
Rev Chg LTM58.0%70.7%8.6%---58.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--15.7%---15.7%
Rev Chg Q80.3%44.8%12.0%---44.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM15.4%15.7%2.9%---15.4%
Op Inc Chg LTM37.6%-37.2%138.6%---37.6%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg--589.7%---589.7%
Op Mgn LTM-136.4%-161.1%10.2%----136.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg--4.8%---4.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM38.8%2.0%1.3%---2.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-107.7%-114.1%7.3%----107.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg--4.3%---4.3%
FCF/Rev LTM-161.6%-139.3%2.7%----139.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg--2.1%---2.1%

Valuation

SATLFLYATROARXSAVEXELMTMedian
NameSatellog.Firefly .AstronicsArxis AEVEX Elmet  
Mkt Cap1.46.82.8---2.8
P/S66.736.83.2---36.8
P/Op Inc-48.9-22.831.3----22.8
P/EBIT-15.0-19.331.3----15.0
P/E-15.0-20.362.5----15.0
P/CFO-61.9-32.243.8----32.2
Total Yield-6.6%-4.9%1.6%----4.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%---0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--1.4%---1.4%
D/E0.10.00.1---0.1
Net D/E0.0-0.10.1---0.0

Returns

SATLFLYATROARXSAVEXELMTMedian
NameSatellog.Firefly .AstronicsArxis AEVEX Elmet  
1M Rtn39.4%-2.6%3.1%-10.2%-2.2%-24.5%-2.4%
3M Rtn236.6%108.9%3.1%-11.9%-2.2%-24.5%0.5%
6M Rtn610.3%115.4%60.1%-11.9%-2.2%-24.5%28.9%
12M Rtn144.9%-29.5%164.2%-11.9%-2.2%-24.5%-7.1%
3Y Rtn320.0%-29.5%364.5%-11.9%-2.2%-24.5%-7.1%
1M Excs Rtn40.7%-4.0%-1.3%-12.8%-24.6%-27.9%-8.4%
3M Excs Rtn202.3%91.4%-5.5%-18.8%-9.1%-31.3%-7.3%
6M Excs Rtn534.8%76.3%43.0%-21.1%-11.4%-33.7%15.8%
12M Excs Rtn109.9%-52.9%139.7%-35.3%-25.6%-47.9%-30.5%
3Y Excs Rtn281.7%-107.8%331.2%-90.2%-80.5%-102.8%-85.4%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil2025202420232022
Data & Analytics including Constellation as a Service (CaaS)1122 
Space Systems240 
Asset Monitoring 54 
Single Segment   4
Total131064


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$9.66 
Market Cap ($ Bil)1.3 
First Trading Date03/26/2021 
Distance from 52W High-1.8% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$6.30$3.78
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA53.3%155.3%
 3M1YR
Volatility134.0%117.8%
Downside Capture213.47375.46
Upside Capture619.60388.70
Correlation (SPY)23.2%29.6%
SATL Betas & Captures as of 4/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.221.712.382.972.701.84
Up Beta-0.93-0.940.26-0.350.580.91
Down Beta-10.660.240.762.623.151.87
Up Capture181%709%507%1758%1081%4422%
Bmk +ve Days15223166141428
Stock +ve Days12233062114328
Down Capture29%105%269%214%200%113%
Bmk -ve Days4183056108321
Stock -ve Days9193362136395

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with SATL
SATL147.5%117.8%1.31-
Sector ETF (XLI)19.0%15.4%0.9324.8%
Equity (SPY)25.0%12.1%1.5529.2%
Gold (GLD)40.0%26.8%1.2314.4%
Commodities (DBC)49.4%18.5%2.038.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)9.7%13.4%0.459.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-25.6%41.9%-0.5928.9%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with SATL
SATL3.0%106.0%0.50-
Sector ETF (XLI)12.4%17.4%0.5616.4%
Equity (SPY)14.2%17.0%0.6518.9%
Gold (GLD)19.3%18.0%0.879.6%
Commodities (DBC)11.0%19.4%0.454.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.0%18.8%0.1116.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)9.4%55.6%0.3813.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with SATL
SATL1.5%105.3%0.50-
Sector ETF (XLI)13.6%20.0%0.6016.3%
Equity (SPY)15.3%17.9%0.7318.8%
Gold (GLD)13.0%16.0%0.679.6%
Commodities (DBC)8.4%17.9%0.384.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.1%20.7%0.2115.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.2%66.9%1.0613.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date4302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity10.6 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 4152026-14.7%
Average Daily Volume7.9 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.4 days
Basic Shares Quantity140.9 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares7.5%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
3/19/202610.8%110.1%134.1%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111
# Negative000
Median Positive10.8%110.1%134.1%
Median Negative   
Max Positive10.8%110.1%134.1%
Max Negative   

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/12/202610-Q
12/31/202503/19/202610-K
09/30/202511/10/202510-Q
06/30/202508/12/202510-Q
03/31/202505/13/202510-Q
12/31/202403/26/202510-K
06/30/202408/15/20246-K
12/31/202304/15/202420-F
06/30/202309/21/20236-K
12/31/202204/27/202320-F
06/30/202212/23/20226-K
12/31/202105/02/202220-F

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/11/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2027 Remaining Performance Obligations to be recognized within one year 29.20 Mil 2.1% Higher NewActual: 28.60 Mil for 2026
2028 Remaining Performance Obligations to be recognized in years one to two 7.90 Mil    
2029 Remaining Performance Obligations to be recognized in years two to three 7.50 Mil    
2030 Remaining Performance Obligations to be recognized thereafter 20.20 Mil    

Prior: null Earnings Reported 3/19/2026

null

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Tirman, MatthewPresidentDirectSell33120265.189,49949,195798,519Form
2Dunn, RickChief Financial OfficerDirectBuy33120265.1719,05098,4881,178,905Form
3Dunn, RickChief Financial OfficerDirectBuy33120265.9116,69598,6011,234,224Form
4Cantor, Fitzgerald, L PSee Foot NoteSell32520265.01500,0002,504,00061,881,352Form
5Cantor, Fitzgerald, L PSee footnoteSell13020265.555,57530,94071,351,004Form