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Arcadia Biosciences (RKDA)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $3.74 | Market Cap: $5.1 Mil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Arcadia Biosciences (RKDA)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $3.74
Market Cap: $5.1 Mil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -75%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -12%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -147%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -11 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -208%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -15%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -32%
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -140%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -140%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Agricultural Biotechnology, Show more.
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -132%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 137%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -75%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -32%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Agricultural Biotechnology, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -12%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -147%
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -11 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -208%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -15%
7 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -140%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -140%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -132%
9 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 137%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

RKDA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points highlighting why Arcadia Biosciences (RKDA) stock moved by approximately -5.1% in the recent period:

1. The announcement of increased net loss in the first half of 2025, primarily due to a significant credit loss. The company's second-quarter and first-half 2025 financial results, released on August 14, 2025, reported a net loss attributable to common stockholders of $1.9 million for the first half of 2025, an increase from the previous year. This was primarily driven by a $4.5 million credit loss related to a note receivable from Above Food.

2. A year-over-year decrease in revenues reported in the third quarter of 2025. Arcadia Biosciences announced its third-quarter 2025 financial results on November 7, 2025, showing a 15% decrease in overall revenues compared to the same period in 2024. This was attributed to the absence of GLA oil sales present in 2024 and a strong initial sell-in to a large customer for Zola in the prior year.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
RKDA Return-54%-59%-74%-71%89%-38%-98%
Peers Return3%10%10%-15%2%-20%-13%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
RKDA Win Rate33%42%33%25%50%30% 
Peers Win Rate32%35%48%30%45%38% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
RKDA Max Drawdown-57%-60%-75%-76%-40%-55% 
Peers Max Drawdown-10%-4%-5%-25%-12%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: K, GIS, FLO, WEST, MEHA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventRKDAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-98.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven8488.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-58.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven143.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-96.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven2399.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to K, GIS, FLO, WEST, MEHA


In The Past

Arcadia Biosciences's stock fell -98.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/10/2021. A -98.8% loss requires a 8488.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Arcadia Biosciences (RKDA)

Better Bets than Arcadia Biosciences (RKDA)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to RKDA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.9%-1.9%-1.9%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.5%3.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.1%2.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.9%-1.9%-1.9%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.5%3.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.1%2.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Arcadia Biosciences

Peers to compare with:

Financials

RKDAKGISFLOWESTMEHAMedian
NameArcadia .KellanovaGeneral .Flowers .Westrock.Function. 
Mkt Price3.6683.1446.2011.074.150.407.61
Mkt Cap0.028.825.02.30.4-2.3
Rev LTM512,64319,1565,1351,07873,107
Op Inc LTM-111,8553,141320-34-0160
FCF LTM-86502,096325-1510163
FCF 3Y Avg-118952,300257-192-257
CFO LTM-81,3052,691451-530226
CFO 3Y Avg-111,5123,003384-43-384

Growth & Margins

RKDAKGISFLOWESTMEHAMedian
NameArcadia .KellanovaGeneral .Flowers .Westrock.Function. 
Rev Chg LTM23.8%-1.4%-3.3%0.3%28.9%-0.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-14.8%1.5%0.1%3.0%10.0%-1.5%
Rev Chg Q11.4%0.3%-6.8%3.0%60.7%8.2%5.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.8%0.1%-1.7%0.7%14.2%2.0%1.3%
Op Mgn LTM-208.0%14.7%16.4%6.2%-3.2%-3.5%1.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-209.4%12.1%16.9%5.7%-2.1%-5.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-69.6%-0.4%-0.5%-0.5%0.8%8.7%-0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM-140.2%10.3%14.0%8.8%-4.9%0.0%4.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-239.9%12.2%15.2%7.5%-4.6%-7.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-140.2%5.1%10.9%6.3%-14.0%0.0%2.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-240.2%7.2%11.7%5.0%-21.1%-5.0%

Valuation

RKDAKGISFLOWESTMEHAMedian
NameArcadia .KellanovaGeneral .Flowers .Westrock.Function. 
Mkt Cap0.028.825.02.30.4-2.3
P/S1.12.31.50.50.4-1.1
P/EBIT-0.515.18.78.5-11.2-8.5
P/E-0.821.39.614.2-5.0-9.6
P/CFO-0.821.810.46.1-8.8-6.1
Total Yield-128.0%7.5%15.2%14.6%-19.9%-7.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.8%4.7%7.5%0.0%-2.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-230.3%3.6%6.6%7.0%-32.4%-3.6%
D/E0.00.20.50.81.3-0.5
Net D/E-0.80.20.50.81.2-0.5

Returns

RKDAKGISFLOWESTMEHAMedian
NameArcadia .KellanovaGeneral .Flowers .Westrock.Function. 
1M Rtn1.4%0.8%-0.5%-4.6%-6.7%--0.5%
3M Rtn17.3%5.9%-6.0%-21.3%-22.1%--6.0%
6M Rtn-20.8%3.0%-13.3%-29.7%-38.1%--20.8%
12M Rtn38.1%6.1%-27.1%-47.4%-46.6%--27.1%
3Y Rtn-72.8%32.1%-40.4%-57.2%-69.3%--57.2%
1M Excs Rtn1.4%0.8%-0.5%-4.6%-6.7%--0.5%
3M Excs Rtn16.7%-0.0%-11.1%-26.6%-28.8%--11.1%
6M Excs Rtn-35.5%-11.8%-28.0%-44.4%-52.8%--35.5%
12M Excs Rtn17.6%-7.6%-40.6%-61.2%-61.9%--40.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-146.6%-37.6%-110.6%-129.4%-139.4%--129.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single segment4    
License 1070
Product 6711
Royalty 000 
Contract research and government grants   00
Total47781


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single segment-5    
Total-5    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity94,939
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-27.1%
Average Daily Volume27,661
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.43
Basic Shares Quantity1,367,040
Short % of Basic Shares6.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025814202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024325202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024813202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024513202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023328202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022330202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022811202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022512202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021331202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211115202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Kawakami MarkChief Financial Officer2052025Buy2.497001,7436,676Form
1Schaefer Thomas J.Chief Executive Officer2052025Buy2.497001,7437,019Form

Industry Resources

Packaged Foods & Meats Resources
USDA Data