Flowers Foods (FLO)


Market Price (8/9/2026): $7.395 | Market Cap: $1.6 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Flowers Foods (FLO)


Market Price (8/9/2026): $7.395
Market Cap: $1.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 18%, Dividend Yield is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 14%, FCF Yield is 19%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Vegan Products, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -108%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -137%

Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 130%

Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 21%

Key risks
FLO key risks include [1] shrinking demand and pricing pressure for its core traditional bread products due to shifting consumer preferences and [2] potential disruption and litigation related to its independent distributorship model.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 18%, Dividend Yield is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 14%, FCF Yield is 19%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Vegan Products, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -108%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -137%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 130%
5 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 21%
6 Key risks
FLO key risks include [1] shrinking demand and pricing pressure for its core traditional bread products due to shifting consumer preferences and [2] potential disruption and litigation related to its independent distributorship model.

FLO in ETFs

Weight = FLO's share of each fund

ITOT0.00%
IWM0.05%
IJR0.08%
SCHD0.04%
VYM0.01%
VB0.02%
VIOV0.18%
IJS0.16%
+12 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 8/1/2026

Flowers Foods (FLO) stock has lost about 15% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Weak fiscal Q1 2026 performance and challenging consumer environment.

Flowers Foods reported its fiscal Q1 2026 results (16 weeks ended April 25, 2026) on May 21, 2026, with net income decreasing 20.6% to $42.1 million. This decline was primarily attributed to a challenging consumer environment and higher interest expense, despite adjusted diluted EPS of $0.29 surpassing analyst estimates of $0.28. Net sales increased 1.1% to $1.572 billion, largely due to the Simple Mills acquisition and pricing adjustments, but fell short of analyst expectations of $1.58 billion and was offset by overall volume declines. Specifically, volumes in its core branded business segment decreased 4.2% year-over-year, driven by consumer trade-down, a promotional environment, and a shift away from traditional bread products.

2. Dividend cut to prioritize debt reduction.

Concurrent with its Q1 2026 earnings announcement, Flowers Foods declared a 50% reduction in its quarterly dividend to $0.1250 per share. This strategic move was made to prioritize significant debt reduction and continued investment in the company's brands, innovation, and capabilities. While intended to strengthen the company's financial position, a dividend cut often signals financial strain to investors, contributing to negative stock performance.

Show more
Updated on 8/1/2026

Flowers Foods (FLO) stock has lost about 15% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Weak fiscal Q1 2026 performance and challenging consumer environment.

Flowers Foods reported its fiscal Q1 2026 results (16 weeks ended April 25, 2026) on May 21, 2026, with net income decreasing 20.6% to $42.1 million. This decline was primarily attributed to a challenging consumer environment and higher interest expense, despite adjusted diluted EPS of $0.29 surpassing analyst estimates of $0.28. Net sales increased 1.1% to $1.572 billion, largely due to the Simple Mills acquisition and pricing adjustments, but fell short of analyst expectations of $1.58 billion and was offset by overall volume declines. Specifically, volumes in its core branded business segment decreased 4.2% year-over-year, driven by consumer trade-down, a promotional environment, and a shift away from traditional bread products.

2. Dividend cut to prioritize debt reduction.

Concurrent with its Q1 2026 earnings announcement, Flowers Foods declared a 50% reduction in its quarterly dividend to $0.1250 per share. This strategic move was made to prioritize significant debt reduction and continued investment in the company's brands, innovation, and capabilities. While intended to strengthen the company's financial position, a dividend cut often signals financial strain to investors, contributing to negative stock performance.

3. Multiple analyst downgrades and reduced price targets.

Throughout March, April, and May 2026, several Wall Street analysts lowered their price targets for Flowers Foods, reflecting a more cautious outlook. For instance, Stephens & Co. cut its price target from $11 to $8 on May 18, 2026, while BNP Paribas and Deutsche Bank also reduced their targets to $8 and $7, respectively, in April and March. The consensus analyst rating became "Hold" or "Reduce," with an average price target ranging from $8.00 to $9.60, indicating tempered expectations for future stock appreciation.

4. Persistent macroeconomic headwinds impacting the food industry.

Flowers Foods explicitly cited "ongoing challenging macroeconomic conditions impacting the category" in its Q1 2026 report. The broader food industry in 2026 is grappling with rising production costs, supply chain disruptions, and evolving consumer demands, including a greater focus on value-for-money products due to cost-of-living pressures. Consumer confidence has fallen amid mixed economic signals, leading to more deliberate and potentially reduced spending on certain food categories, which directly affects packaged bakery companies like Flowers Foods.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -17.0% change in FLO stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/8/2026 was primarily driven by a -13.3% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)43020268082026Change
Stock Price ($)8.917.40-17.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5,2565,2740.3%
Net Income Margin (%)1.6%1.4%-13.3%
P/E Multiple22.521.5-4.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)211212-0.2%
Cumulative Contribution-17.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 8/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
FLO-17.0% 
Market (SPY)7.6%2.5%
Sector (XLP)1.0%44.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The -32.4% change in FLO stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/8/2026 was primarily driven by a -63.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)13120268082026Change
Stock Price ($)10.957.40-32.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5,1355,2742.7%
Net Income Margin (%)3.8%1.4%-63.4%
P/E Multiple11.921.580.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)211212-0.2%
Cumulative Contribution-32.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 8/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
FLO-32.4% 
Market (SPY)12.1%1.2%
Sector (XLP)2.5%37.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The -49.2% change in FLO stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/8/2026 was primarily driven by a -69.2% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)73120258082026Change
Stock Price ($)14.587.40-49.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5,0815,2743.8%
Net Income Margin (%)4.5%1.4%-69.2%
P/E Multiple13.521.559.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)211212-0.3%
Cumulative Contribution-49.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 8/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
FLO-49.2% 
Market (SPY)23.4%2.6%
Sector (XLP)8.9%44.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The -64.4% change in FLO stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/8/2026 was primarily driven by a -68.3% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)73120238082026Change
Stock Price ($)20.777.40-64.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4,9045,2747.5%
Net Income Margin (%)4.4%1.4%-68.3%
P/E Multiple20.621.54.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2122120.0%
Cumulative Contribution-64.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2023 to 8/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
FLO-64.4% 
Market (SPY)74.9%11.1%
Sector (XLP)21.1%50.5%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
FLO Return26%8%-19%-4%-44%-31%-59%
Peers Return9%21%-14%-4%-20%-0%-14%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%13%105%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FLO Win Rate75%50%33%58%17%50% 
Peers Win Rate50%65%37%48%37%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FLO Max Drawdown-10%-16%-28%-17%-48%-40% 
Peers Max Drawdown-16%-15%-30%-19%-28%-27% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: SJM, CPB, GIS, MDLZ, CAG. See FLO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/7/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventFLOS&P 500
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-16.8%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven20.2%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven189 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-10.8%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven12.0%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven40 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-19.3%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven23.9%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven15 days140 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-34.9%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven53.6%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven783 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-11.3%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven12.8%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven35 days15 days
2013 Taper Tantrum
  % Loss-10.7%-0.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven12.0%0.2%
  Time to Breakeven42 days1 days

Compare to SJM, CPB, GIS, MDLZ, CAG

In The Past

Flowers Foods's stock fell 0.0% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 0.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventFLOS&P 500
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-34.9%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven53.6%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven783 days62 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-20.5%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.9%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven281 days123 days

Compare to SJM, CPB, GIS, MDLZ, CAG

In The Past

Flowers Foods's stock fell 0.0% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 0.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Flowers Foods (FLO)

Flowers Foods, Inc. (FLO) is a prominent U.S. producer and marketer of packaged bakery products. The company operates a vast network of 46 bakeries to manufacture and distribute a wide variety of baked goods across the nation. Its distribution strategy leverages both a direct-store-delivery system and a warehouse delivery system, ensuring extensive market penetration and product availability.

The company's core product offerings include fresh breads, buns, rolls, snack cakes, and tortillas, alongside frozen breads and rolls. These products are sold under several well-recognized brand names, such as Nature's Own, Dave's Killer Bread, Wonder, Canyon Bakehouse, Mrs. Freshley's, and Tastykake, appealing to a broad spectrum of consumer tastes and preferences.

Flowers Foods serves a diverse and extensive customer base, reaching nearly every segment of the food retail and foodservice industries. Its primary customers include mass merchandisers, supermarkets, convenience stores, and other retailers. The company also supplies national and regional restaurants, quick-serve chains, retail in-store bakeries, foodservice distributors, food wholesalers, institutions, dollar stores, and vending companies, ensuring its products are accessible through numerous channels.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Here are a few analogies to describe Flowers Foods:

  • The Frito-Lay of the bakery aisle.

  • A Kellogg's or General Mills, but specializing in bread and snack cakes.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Fresh Baked Goods: This category includes a variety of fresh breads, buns, and rolls.
  • Snack Cakes: The company offers a range of packaged snack cakes under various brand names.
  • Tortillas: Flowers Foods produces and markets tortillas as part of its bakery product portfolio.
  • Frozen Baked Goods: This includes a selection of frozen breads and rolls.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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A. Ryals McMullian, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Ryals McMullian is the chairman and chief executive officer of Flowers Foods, Inc. He was elected CEO in 2019 and became chairman in 2023. Mr. McMullian joined Flowers Foods in 2003 and has held a variety of leadership positions, including chief operating officer, chief strategy officer, vice president of mergers and acquisitions and deputy general counsel, and vice president and associate general counsel. He has led initiatives to standardize and centralize corporate processes, with a focus on organizational realignment, indirect spend, and supply-chain optimization. Mr. McMullian holds a master's degree in business administration, a juris doctorate, and a bachelor's degree in finance and real estate from Florida State University.

D. Anthony Scaglione, Chief Financial Officer

Anthony Scaglione is the chief financial officer of Flowers Foods, Inc., appointed in 2026. In this role, he guides the company's financial strategy and oversees treasury, investor relations, accounting, tax, internal audit, risk, procurement, and information security functions. Prior to joining Flowers Foods, Mr. Scaglione served as CFO for several public and private multi-billion-dollar organizations, including Total Wine & More, ODP Corporation, and ABM Industries. His leadership experience also spans strategy, real estate, procurement, mergers and acquisitions, and information technology. Mr. Scaglione earned two Bachelor of Science degrees in Finance and Accounting from Rutgers University and a Master of Business Administration from Fairleigh Dickinson University. He is also a Certified Public Accountant (CPA-NY).

Heeth Varnedoe, President and Chief Operating Officer

Heeth Varnedoe is the president and chief operating officer of Flowers Foods, Inc. He was named chief operating officer in 2022 and president in 2023, overseeing Flowers' operations, including the company's supply chain and field sales execution. Before this role, Mr. Varnedoe served as chief transformation officer, where he was responsible for overseeing the implementation of cross-functional initiatives to advance Flowers' long-term strategic plans.

Stephanie B. Tillman, Chief Legal Counsel and Corporate Secretary

Stephanie Tillman is the chief legal counsel and corporate secretary of Flowers Foods, Inc., a position she was appointed to in 2020. She is responsible for the company's legal, corporate governance, compliance, and governmental affairs. Ms. Tillman joined Flowers in 1995 as a corporate attorney and has held various legal leadership roles, including vice president, chief compliance officer and deputy general counsel, associate general counsel, and vice president of compliance and assistant general counsel.

H. Mark Courtney, Chief Brand Officer

H. Mark Courtney is the chief brand officer of Flowers Foods, Inc., serving in this role since 2020. He leads the company's brand organization, revenue growth management, and shopper marketing functions. Mr. Courtney is responsible for managing the Flowers brand portfolio, which includes Nature's Own, Dave's Killer Bread, Canyon Bakehouse, Wonder Bread, Tastykake, and Mrs. Freshley's.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Flowers Foods (FLO) include shifting consumer preferences away from traditional bakery items, significant operational and cost challenges within its direct-store-delivery model, and intense competitive pressures from both branded rivals and growing private-label offerings.

  1. Changing Consumer Preferences and Declining Demand for Traditional Products: Flowers Foods faces a significant challenge from evolving consumer tastes, with a noticeable shift away from traditional white and wheat bread loaves, which constitute a substantial portion of its core business. This trend is exacerbated by increasing consumer interest in "better-for-you" options and the potential impact of dietary trends, such as the use of GLP-1 medications, which may reduce carbohydrate intake. This structural decline in demand for mainstream products directly impacts sales volumes and profitability, necessitating continuous product innovation and adaptation to meet new consumer demands.
  2. Operational and Cost Challenges with the Direct-Store-Delivery (DSD) Model: The company's reliance on its direct-store-delivery (DSD) distribution model and independent distributor partners (IDPs) presents considerable operational risks. Disruptions within this intricate distribution system, potential negative changes in relationships with IDPs (including litigation or regulatory challenges concerning their independent contractor classification), and rising distribution costs can severely impact the company's efficiency and financial performance. Furthermore, Flowers Foods is subject to volatile commodity prices for key ingredients like wheat and sugar, ongoing labor shortages, increased employee turnover, and escalating employee-related expenses, all of which put pressure on margins and operational profitability.
  3. Intense Competition and Growth of Private Label Brands: The packaged bakery sector is highly competitive. Flowers Foods contends with significant rivalry from large national producers like Bimbo Bakeries USA and various regional players. An increasing threat comes from private-label brands offered by mass merchandisers and supermarkets, which provide similar products often at lower price points. This competitive landscape can lead to pricing pressures, erode market share, and reduce the company's profitability.

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For Flowers Foods (symbol: FLO), the addressable markets for their main products in the United States are as follows:

  • Bakery Products (Overall): The U.S. bakery products market was valued at USD 78.96 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 86.93 billion by 2029, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 1.62% during the forecast period. Alternatively, the U.S. Bakery Items Market was valued at USD 46 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 68.57 billion by 2032, with a CAGR of 5.2%.
  • Fresh Bread & Bakery Goods: The market size of Fresh Bread & Bakery Goods Wholesaling in the U.S. was $73.2 billion in 2024. The value of fresh bread and miscellaneous bakery production was $50.7 billion in 2024, with consumption value at $56.1 billion in the same year. The U.S. retail packaged bread market is estimated to grow at over 1.8% CAGR through 2032. The United States bread market was valued at USD 29.93 billion in 2022 and is projected to grow at a CAGR of 3.95% through 2028.
  • Buns and Rolls: The buns and rolls segment of fresh bread accounts for over $6 billion in annual retail sales in the USA (as of March 2022). Center store buns and rolls saw $4.6 billion in dollar sales for the 52 weeks ending March 20, 2022.
  • Snack Cakes: Snack cake dollar sales in the U.S. reached US$2.12 billion over the 52 weeks ending May 18 (article published July 14, 2025), marking a 6% decline compared to the previous year. The North American snack cakes market was valued at USD 2.1 billion in 2024 and is projected to rise to USD 2.6 billion by 2035.
  • Tortillas: The United States tortilla market is projected to reach a market size of US$28.556 billion in 2028 from US$20.262 billion in 2021. Another estimate places the US tortilla market size at approximately $9.91 billion (USD 9909.8 million) in 2024, with a projection to reach about $13.8 billion (USD 13800.0 million) by 2035.
  • Frozen Breads and Rolls (part of Frozen Bakery Products): The U.S. frozen bakery market generated a revenue of USD 24,500.2 million (approximately $24.5 billion) in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 32,619.9 million (approximately $32.62 billion) by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 4.9% from 2025 to 2030. The U.S. frozen bakery products market size is also expected to reach $9.2 billion by 2030, rising at a market growth of 5.0% CAGR. The U.S. frozen bakery products market was valued at USD 4.72 billion in 2025.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Flowers Foods, Inc. (FLO) anticipates several key drivers for future revenue growth over the next two to three years:

  1. New Product Launches and Innovation: The company plans to introduce new products, particularly focusing on "better-for-you" and "value-oriented offerings," to stimulate top-line performance and gain market share. Management has expressed enthusiasm for upcoming innovation in 2026, supported by investments in marketing and innovation.
  2. Strategic Acquisitions: Recent acquisitions, such as Simple Mills and Papa Pita, are expected to contribute to sales growth through successful integration and expansion of the product portfolio. The Simple Mills acquisition, for instance, has already significantly aided net sales.
  3. Effective Pricing Actions and Mix Management: Flowers Foods expects revenue to benefit from pricing actions taken to mitigate inflationary pressures, along with continued strategic price/mix management. The company plans for "wraparound pricing" in branded retail and new pricing in selected foodservice accounts to positively impact the first half of the upcoming fiscal years.
  4. Growth of Key Branded Products and Branded Retail Market Share Gains: Flowers Foods aims to drive volume and share gains through its portfolio strategy and investments in strong brands like Dave's Killer Bread, Wonder, and Nature's Own Perfectly Crafted. Dave's Killer Bread has been a notable performer, achieving record retail sales and consistent unit growth.
  5. Cost Savings and Supply Chain Optimization: The company is focused on enhancing its cost structure and improving supply chain efficiencies through savings initiatives and strategic actions to optimize its operations. These efforts are expected to improve margins, which can then be reinvested to fuel further growth.

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Capital Allocation Decisions (Last 3-5 Years) for Flowers Foods (FLO)

Share Repurchases

  • Flowers Foods' annual share buybacks amounted to $22.703 million in 2024.
  • For the quarter ending March 31, 2025, the company's share buybacks totaled $5.499 million.
  • In May 2022, the board increased the share repurchase authorization by 20 million shares, resulting in a total outstanding authorization of 25.4 million shares.

Share Issuance

  • The number of shares outstanding for Flowers Foods has remained relatively stable over the last few years, fluctuating between approximately 0.211 billion and 0.213 billion from 2021 to 2025, indicating no significant share issuances.

Outbound Investments

  • In January 2025, Flowers Foods entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Simple Mills for $795 million in cash.
  • This acquisition is strategically aimed at expanding Flowers Foods' presence in the "better-for-you" and attractive snacking segments.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures for fiscal year 2024 were $132.1 million. [cite: 10 of prev search]
  • The company's capital expenditures were approximately $127 million for December 2025 (preliminary), $127 million for December 2024, and $132 million for December 2023. [cite: 6 of prev search]
  • In fiscal year 2022, capital expenditures increased to $169.1 million. [cite: 9 of prev search]

Better Bets vs. Flowers Foods (FLO)

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FLOSJMCPBGISMDLZCAGMedian
NameFlowers .JM Smuck.Campbell.General .Mondelez.Conagra . 
Mkt Price7.40120.1623.0536.8962.6115.1129.97
Mkt Cap1.612.86.919.8241.27.210.0
Rev LTM5,2749,0519,92818,37139,67511,28210,605
Op Inc LTM3141,3431,1512,6724,5831,2591,301
FCF LTM2961,1566711,6503,0859791,067
FCF 3Y Avg2948726762,1643,1831,3031,087
CFO LTM4181,4741,0982,2264,4361,4021,438
CFO 3Y Avg4191,3041,1272,8624,4961,7031,504

Growth & Margins

FLOSJMCPBGISMDLZCAGMedian
NameFlowers .JM Smuck.Campbell.General .Mondelez.Conagra . 
Rev Chg LTM3.8%3.7%-2.9%-6.5%6.9%-2.9%0.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg2.5%2.1%2.4%-2.7%5.2%-2.8%2.3%
Rev Chg Q1.1%5.8%-4.4%-8.4%4.1%3.6%2.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.3%1.4%-1.1%-2.2%0.9%0.9%0.6%
Op Inc Chg LTM-11.0%-18.8%-12.5%-25.7%-6.0%-14.1%-13.3%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg11.8%6.1%-2.8%-3.7%2.6%-11.5%-0.1%
Op Mgn LTM6.0%14.8%11.6%14.5%11.6%11.2%11.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.6%17.2%12.5%17.0%14.0%12.9%13.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.2%0.5%-0.5%-1.0%1.9%-0.7%-0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM7.9%16.3%11.1%12.1%11.2%12.4%11.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg8.1%15.1%11.4%14.7%12.0%14.6%13.3%
FCF/Rev LTM5.6%12.8%6.8%9.0%7.8%8.7%8.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.7%10.0%6.9%11.1%8.5%11.1%9.2%

Valuation

FLOSJMCPBGISMDLZCAGMedian
NameFlowers .JM Smuck.Campbell.General .Mondelez.Conagra . 
Mkt Cap1.612.86.919.8241.27.210.0
P/S0.31.40.71.16.10.60.9
P/Op Inc5.09.56.07.452.65.86.7
P/EBIT8.440.26.17.949.3-5.08.2
P/E21.5-92.411.38.968.6-3.810.1
P/CFO3.78.76.38.954.45.27.5
Total Yield18.1%2.5%15.7%17.8%2.5%-17.2%9.1%
Dividend Yield13.5%3.6%6.8%6.7%1.1%9.2%6.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg11.0%7.7%7.6%8.0%2.9%13.5%7.8%
D/E1.30.61.00.70.11.00.9
Net D/E1.30.51.00.70.11.00.8

Returns

FLOSJMCPBGISMDLZCAGMedian
NameFlowers .JM Smuck.Campbell.General .Mondelez.Conagra . 
1M Rtn-8.4%8.4%7.4%4.7%7.4%14.3%7.4%
3M Rtn-10.9%22.4%12.5%8.2%2.6%8.2%8.2%
6M Rtn-35.4%12.1%-17.3%-20.3%6.1%-19.0%-18.1%
12M Rtn-50.8%13.1%-24.4%-21.4%4.8%-15.3%-18.3%
3Y Rtn-64.6%-9.1%-40.0%-41.3%-7.5%-42.0%-40.7%
1M Excs Rtn-11.3%5.5%4.5%1.8%4.6%11.5%4.5%
3M Excs Rtn-18.0%16.4%4.6%-0.6%-2.8%0.7%0.0%
6M Excs Rtn-49.2%-1.8%-31.0%-35.2%-8.5%-34.0%-32.5%
12M Excs Rtn-71.9%-7.4%-47.3%-42.8%-17.9%-36.1%-39.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-136.8%-83.1%-114.8%-115.8%-81.3%-116.7%-115.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil2026202420232022
Simple Mills and legacy Flowers Foods5,2565,1035,0914,806
Total5,2565,1035,0914,806


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20162015201320122011
DSD302284351233203
WarehouseSegment55    
Other-60    
Unallocated -60-64-51-42
Warehouse Delivery 51493627
Total298275335219189


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20162015201320122011
DSD2,4102,0942,1461,6391,223
WarehouseSegment334    
Other141    
Unallocated 114124112100
Warehouse Delivery 201234245231
Total2,8852,4092,5041,9961,554


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$7.40 
Market Cap ($ Bil)1.6 
First Trading Date11/05/1987 
Distance from 52W High-52.0% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$7.78$9.14
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-4.9%-19.1%
 3M1YR
Volatility50.3%38.0%
Downside Capture19.6938.96
Upside Capture-33.84-51.16
Correlation (SPY)-0.6%1.7%
FLO Betas & Captures as of 7/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.13-0.17-0.09-0.070.030.19
Up Beta-2.25-0.30-0.160.290.290.39
Down Beta3.340.170.140.340.170.13
Up Capture-140%-43%-60%-50%-29%-2%
Bmk +ve Days11223567138427
Stock +ve Days5182353103345
Down Capture32%-2%41%14%42%56%
Bmk -ve Days11212859114326
Stock -ve Days15233870142392

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with FLO
FLO-49.8%37.9%-1.73-
Sector ETF (XLP)6.5%14.1%0.2144.5%
Equity (SPY)23.3%12.8%1.362.2%
Gold (GLD)28.5%28.4%0.87-0.4%
Commodities (DBC)32.9%19.8%1.32-8.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)14.2%13.8%0.7230.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-43.7%43.0%-1.21-7.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with FLO
FLO-16.8%25.9%-0.72-
Sector ETF (XLP)6.2%13.6%0.2452.3%
Equity (SPY)13.5%17.2%0.6118.3%
Gold (GLD)18.6%18.6%0.81-0.1%
Commodities (DBC)8.2%19.6%0.31-5.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.3%18.9%0.0233.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)9.0%53.0%0.363.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with FLO
FLO-4.7%25.6%-0.17-
Sector ETF (XLP)7.3%14.8%0.3653.0%
Equity (SPY)15.4%17.9%0.7326.5%
Gold (GLD)12.1%16.2%0.611.5%
Commodities (DBC)7.4%18.0%0.330.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.8%20.7%0.2035.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)58.4%66.2%0.984.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date7152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity43.7 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 6302026-5.8%
Average Daily Volume5.2 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest8.4 days
Basic Shares Quantity211.9 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares20.6%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/25/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/21/202613.3%9.0%9.5%
2/12/2026-8.7%-11.3%-19.5%
11/6/20251.9%-2.2%-7.0%
8/15/2025-5.4%-6.6%-17.3%
5/16/20251.4%-2.8%-4.7%
2/7/2025-1.3%-2.8%2.8%
11/8/2024-2.7%-0.9%0.5%
8/16/20240.2%0.7%5.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive11910
# Negative131514
Median Positive1.9%4.6%3.6%
Median Negative-4.1%-3.5%-5.9%
Max Positive13.3%9.0%9.5%
Max Negative-9.9%-11.3%-19.5%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/21/202613.3%9.0%9.5%
2/12/2026-8.7%-11.3%-19.5%
11/6/20251.9%-2.2%-7.0%
8/15/2025-5.4%-6.6%-17.3%
5/16/20251.4%-2.8%-4.7%
2/7/2025-1.3%-2.8%2.8%
11/8/2024-2.7%-0.9%0.5%
8/16/20240.2%0.7%5.3%
5/16/2024-4.1%-7.4%-10.2%
2/9/2024-5.1%-4.5%-0.1%
11/9/2023-6.9%-6.0%0.1%
8/11/20234.2%-2.6%-4.6%
5/19/2023-9.9%-9.5%-14.3%
2/10/20230.8%1.2%-1.7%
11/10/2022-8.5%-3.5%-0.4%
8/12/2022-0.2%2.0%-2.0%
5/20/20225.5%8.9%0.3%
2/10/2022-0.6%0.9%-12.0%
11/12/20212.3%4.7%4.1%
8/13/20216.4%8.1%3.5%
5/21/2021-2.2%-2.8%-2.5%
2/12/20211.1%-1.3%7.2%
11/6/2020-3.4%-8.7%-7.0%
8/7/20201.6%4.6%3.6%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive11910
# Negative131514
Median Positive1.9%4.6%3.6%
Median Negative-4.1%-3.5%-5.9%
Max Positive13.3%9.0%9.5%
Max Negative-9.9%-11.3%-19.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/21/202610-Q
12/31/202502/25/202610-K
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202508/15/202510-Q
03/31/202505/16/202510-Q
12/31/202402/18/202510-K
09/30/202411/08/202410-Q
06/30/202408/16/202410-Q
03/31/202405/16/202410-Q
12/31/202302/21/202410-K
09/30/202311/09/202310-Q
06/30/202308/10/202310-Q
03/31/202305/18/202310-Q
12/31/202202/22/202310-K
09/30/202211/10/202210-Q
06/30/202208/11/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/21/202610-Q
12/31/202502/25/202610-K
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202508/15/202510-Q
03/31/202505/16/202510-Q
12/31/202402/18/202510-K
09/30/202411/08/202410-Q
06/30/202408/16/202410-Q
03/31/202405/16/202410-Q
12/31/202302/21/202410-K
09/30/202311/09/202310-Q
06/30/202308/10/202310-Q
03/31/202305/18/202310-Q
12/31/202202/22/202310-K
09/30/202211/10/202210-Q
06/30/202208/11/202210-Q
03/31/202205/19/202210-Q
12/31/202102/23/202210-K
09/30/202111/12/202110-Q
06/30/202108/12/202110-Q
03/31/202105/20/202110-Q
12/31/202002/24/202110-K
09/30/202011/05/202010-Q
06/30/202008/06/202010-Q
03/31/202005/13/202010-Q
12/31/201902/19/202010-K
09/30/201911/06/201910-Q
06/30/201908/07/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 7/27/2026

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/21/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Net Sales5.16 Bil5.21 Bil5.27 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 5.21 Bil for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDA465.00 Mil480.00 Mil495.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 480.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Adjusted Diluted EPS0.80.850.90 AffirmedGuidance: 0.85 for 2026
2026 Net Sales Growth-1.8%-0.8%0.2%   
2026 Depreciation and Amortization165.00 Mil167.50 Mil170.00 Mil   
2026 Net Interest Expense65.00 Mil67.50 Mil70.00 Mil   
2026 Effective Tax Rate 26.0%    
2026 Capital Expenditures115.00 Mil120.00 Mil125.00 Mil   

Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/12/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Net Sales5.16 Bil5.21 Bil5.27 Bil-1.2% Lower NewActual: 5.28 Bil for 2025
2026 Adjusted EBITDA465.00 Mil480.00 Mil495.00 Mil-8.3% Lower NewActual: 523.50 Mil for 2025
2026 Adjusted Diluted EPS0.80.850.9-19.0% Lower NewActual: 1.05 for 2025

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/6/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2025 Net Sales5.25 Bil5.28 Bil5.31 Bil0.1% RaisedGuidance: 5.27 Bil for 2025
2025 Net Sales Growth2.9%3.45%4.0% 0.1%RaisedGuidance: 3.35% for 2025
2025 Adjusted EBITDA515.00 Mil523.50 Mil532.00 Mil-0.3% LoweredGuidance: 525.00 Mil for 2025
2025 Adjusted Diluted EPS1.021.051.080 AffirmedGuidance: 1.05 for 2025
2025 Depreciation and Amortization168.00 Mil170.00 Mil172.00 Mil   
2025 Net Interest Expense58.00 Mil60.00 Mil62.00 Mil   
2025 Effective Tax Rate 24.5%  -0.5%LoweredGuidance: 25.0% for 2025
2025 Capital Expenditures120.00 Mil125.00 Mil130.00 Mil-10.7% LoweredGuidance: 140.00 Mil for 2025

Insider Activity

Updated 6/16/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Scaglione, Diego AnthonyChief Financial OfficerDirectBuy61020267.515,00037,5421,457,981Form
2McMullian, RyalsChairman and CEODellwood-McMullian Holdings, LLCSell40220268.03209,0001,679,2946,535,427Form
3McMullian, RyalsChairman and CEODellwood-McMullian Holdings, LLCSell106202610.87209,0002,271,66311,112,453Form
4Stith, Melvin T Spouse as custodian for minor grandchildBuy1205202510.904564,9725,968Form
5McMullian, RyalsChairman and CEODellwood-McMullian Holdings, LLCSell926202512.82350,0004,488,75015,792,448Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Scaglione, Diego AnthonyChief Financial OfficerDirectBuy61020267.515,00037,5421,457,981Form
2McMullian, RyalsChairman and CEODellwood-McMullian Holdings, LLCSell40220268.03209,0001,679,2946,535,427Form
3McMullian, RyalsChairman and CEODellwood-McMullian Holdings, LLCSell106202610.87209,0002,271,66311,112,453Form
4Stith, Melvin T Spouse as custodian for minor grandchildBuy1205202510.904564,9725,968Form
5McMullian, RyalsChairman and CEODellwood-McMullian Holdings, LLCSell926202512.82350,0004,488,75015,792,448Form
6Cox, CindyChief Human Resources OfficerDirectSell910202515.003,60054,000254,910Form
Core Cache Last Updated: 8/8/2026