Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Vegan & Alternative Foods, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Vegan Products, and Last-Mile Delivery.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -119%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -155%
Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.9
1   Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -12 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.5%
2   Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 841%
3   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.7%
4   Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.7%
5   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -135%
6   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 106%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Vegan & Alternative Foods, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Vegan Products, and Last-Mile Delivery.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -119%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -155%
2 Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.9
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -12 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.5%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 841%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.7%
6 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.7%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -135%
8 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 106%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NDLS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Following a period of significant volatility, Noodles & Company (NDLS) experienced a notable upward movement, including a 43.6% increase in its stock price over the two weeks leading up to December 3, 2025. Several key developments contributed to this stock performance during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:

1. Strategic Alternatives Review Initiated: On September 3, 2025, Noodles & Company announced that its Board of Directors had initiated a review of strategic alternatives. This review aimed to maximize shareholder value and included potential actions such as refinancing existing debt, refranchising or selling parts of the business, or other strategic transactions.

2. Positive Comparable Restaurant Sales: The company reported strong operational performance in August 2025, with comparable restaurant sales increasing by a positive 4.5%. This growth was attributed to successful menu transformation initiatives.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NDLS Return43%15%-39%-43%-82%39%-86%
Peers Return20%31%4%1%8%-6%68%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NDLS Win Rate58%58%25%50%17%30% 
Peers Win Rate32%35%30%25%27%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NDLS Max Drawdown-38%-2%-52%-64%-82%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-32%-3%-15%-10%-14%-17% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BH, RICK, BRCB, CCHH, MCD.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNDLSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-85.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven573.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-60.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven156.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven137 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-64.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven179.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven624 days120 days

Compare to BH, RICK, BRCB, CCHH, MCD


In The Past

Noodles's stock fell -85.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/24/2021. A -85.2% loss requires a 573.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Noodles (NDLS)

Better Bets than Noodles (NDLS)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NDLS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Noodles

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NDLSBHRICKBRCBCCHHMCDMedian
NameNoodles Biglari RCI Hosp.Black Ro.CCH McDonald. 
Mkt Price0.95308.6025.1824.6810.47307.7124.93
Mkt Cap0.00.40.2--219.40.3
Rev LTM495387282--26,263441
Op Inc LTM-122447--12,11335
FCF LTM-188134--7,37257
FCF 3Y Avg-215428--7,04941
CFO LTM-110751--10,48579
CFO 3Y Avg148056--9,70468

Growth & Margins

NDLSBHRICKBRCBCCHHMCDMedian
NameNoodles Biglari RCI Hosp.Black Ro.CCH McDonald. 
Rev Chg LTM-1.2%6.9%-5.3%--1.2%0.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg0.9%1.7%4.2%--4.2%2.9%
Rev Chg Q-0.7%10.3%-6.6%--3.0%1.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.2%2.5%-1.8%--0.8%0.3%
Op Mgn LTM-2.5%6.2%16.6%--46.1%11.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-0.4%8.1%19.8%--45.9%14.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.4%1.0%-1.3%---0.0%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM-0.2%27.7%18.2%--39.9%23.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg2.7%21.3%19.4%--37.7%20.3%
FCF/Rev LTM-3.7%21.0%11.9%--28.1%16.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-4.1%14.2%9.7%--27.4%12.0%

Valuation

NDLSBHRICKBRCBCCHHMCDMedian
NameNoodles Biglari RCI Hosp.Black Ro.CCH McDonald. 
Mkt Cap0.00.40.2--219.40.3
P/S0.11.11.2--8.21.1
P/EBIT-1.061.29.3--17.713.5
P/E-0.8200.820.2--25.723.0
P/CFO-33.43.96.5--20.75.2
Total Yield-130.9%0.5%5.7%--6.2%3.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.7%--2.3%0.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-32.2%17.5%6.6%--3.4%5.0%
D/E8.50.80.8--0.30.8
Net D/E8.4-0.10.7--0.20.5

Returns

NDLSBHRICKBRCBCCHHMCDMedian
NameNoodles Biglari RCI Hosp.Black Ro.CCH McDonald. 
1M Rtn37.8%-13.3%4.9%1.7%126.6%4.4%4.7%
3M Rtn42.3%-0.4%-29.4%---2.2%-1.3%
6M Rtn18.7%18.5%-37.8%---0.1%9.2%
12M Rtn27.1%37.8%-50.0%--6.9%17.0%
3Y Rtn-82.9%112.9%-71.6%--20.6%-25.5%
1M Excs Rtn37.9%-13.2%4.9%1.7%126.7%4.5%4.7%
3M Excs Rtn32.3%-6.1%-35.6%---7.7%-6.9%
6M Excs Rtn4.0%3.8%-52.5%---14.8%-5.5%
12M Excs Rtn26.1%33.1%-65.2%---6.5%9.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-155.4%47.2%-143.8%---51.3%-97.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single segment503509 394462
Franchising royalties and fees, and other  8  
Restaurant revenue  467  
Total503509475394462


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single segment-5-1   
Total-5-1   


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single segment368    
Total368    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,107,557
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-5.0%
Average Daily Volume393,321
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.82
Basic Shares Quantity46,161,993
Short % of Basic Shares2.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025814202510-Q 7/1/2025
3312025508202510-Q 4/1/2025
12312024307202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 10/1/2024
6302024808202410-Q 7/2/2024
3312024509202410-Q 4/2/2024
12312023308202410-K 1/2/2024
93020231108202310-Q 10/3/2023
6302023810202310-Q 7/4/2023
3312023511202310-Q 4/4/2023
12312022309202310-K 1/3/2023
93020221104202210-Q 9/27/2022
6302022728202210-Q 6/28/2022
3312022428202210-Q 3/29/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/28/2021
93020211109202110-Q 9/28/2021