Noodles & Co (NDLS)


Market Price (11/11/2026): $13.91 | Market Cap: $83.0 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants

Noodles & Co (NDLS)


Market Price (11/11/2026): $13.91
Market Cap: $83.0 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Restaurants

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Vegan & Alternative Foods, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Vegan Products, and Last-Mile Delivery.

Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -95%

Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 295%

Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 147%

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.4%

Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 64%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -33%

High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 100%

Key risks
NDLS key risks include [1] significant financial distress from a high debt load and persistent net losses, Show more.

0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Vegan & Alternative Foods, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Vegan Products, and Last-Mile Delivery.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -95%
2 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 295%
3 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 147%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.4%
5 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 64%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -33%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 100%
8 Key risks
NDLS key risks include [1] significant financial distress from a high debt load and persistent net losses, Show more.

NDLS in ETFs

Weight = NDLS's share of each fund

VTI0.00%

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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Prices as of 11/10/2026

Nov 6: down 6.6% in one day (S&P 500 up 0.3%)
The stock declined without company news. The S&P 500 moved in the opposite direction that day.

Up 35.2% from its Oct 23 low to Nov 4, down 11.1% since (S&P 500 up 0.9%)
The stock advanced significantly over this period without company news. The S&P 500 also rose 0.9% during the run.

Show more
Prices as of 11/10/2026

Nov 6: down 6.6% in one day (S&P 500 up 0.3%)
The stock declined without company news. The S&P 500 moved in the opposite direction that day.

Up 35.2% from its Oct 23 low to Nov 4, down 11.1% since (S&P 500 up 0.9%)
The stock advanced significantly over this period without company news. The S&P 500 also rose 0.9% during the run.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -25.3% change in NDLS stock from 7/31/2026 to 11/10/2026 was primarily driven by a -25.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)731202611102026Change
Stock Price ($)18.6213.90-25.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4964960.0%
P/S Multiple0.20.2-25.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)660.0%
Cumulative Contribution-25.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2026 to 11/10/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NDLS-25.3% 
Market (SPY)0.4%20.5%
Sector (XLY)4.3%24.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 9.8% change in NDLS stock from 4/30/2026 to 11/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 11.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)430202611102026Change
Stock Price ($)12.6613.909.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4954960.1%
P/S Multiple0.10.211.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)66-1.3%
Cumulative Contribution9.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 11/10/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NDLS9.8% 
Market (SPY)4.6%15.1%
Sector (XLY)2.5%18.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 166.6% change in NDLS stock from 10/31/2025 to 11/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 173.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)1031202511102026Change
Stock Price ($)5.2113.90166.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4954960.2%
P/S Multiple0.10.2173.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)66-2.6%
Cumulative Contribution166.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 11/10/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NDLS166.6% 
Market (SPY)10.9%9.4%
Sector (XLY)1.5%10.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The -18.4% change in NDLS stock from 10/31/2023 to 11/10/2026 was primarily driven by a -13.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)1031202311102026Change
Stock Price ($)17.0413.90-18.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)517496-4.1%
P/S Multiple0.20.2-13.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)66-2.2%
Cumulative Contribution-18.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2023 to 11/10/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NDLS-18.4% 
Market (SPY)85.5%16.7%
Sector (XLY)62.8%16.8%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
NDLS Return15%-39%-43%-82%22%146%-78%
Peers Return2%-38%52%93%-44%12%16%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%10%101%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NDLS Win Rate58%25%50%17%42%55% 
Peers Win Rate35%35%58%67%37%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%36% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NDLS Max Drawdown-32%-54%-70%-82%-65%-43% 
Peers Max Drawdown-32%-55%-32%-29%-59%-49% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: CMG, CAVA, SG, SHAK, WING.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 11/10/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventNDLSS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-54.3%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven118.6%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven371 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-10.9%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven12.2%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven4 days18 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-60.0%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven149.9%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven136 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-43.3%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven76.4%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven811 days105 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-31.4%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven45.8%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven20 days6 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-24.4%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven32.3%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven34 days62 days

Compare to CMG, CAVA, SG, SHAK, WING

In The Past

Noodles & Co's stock fell -54.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 118.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventNDLSS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-54.3%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven118.6%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven371 days79 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-60.0%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven149.9%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven136 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-43.3%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven76.4%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven811 days105 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-31.4%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven45.8%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven20 days6 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-24.4%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven32.3%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven34 days62 days

Compare to CMG, CAVA, SG, SHAK, WING

In The Past

Noodles & Co's stock fell -54.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 118.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Noodles & Co (NDLS)

Noodles & Company (NDLS) is a restaurant concept company that develops and operates fast-casual restaurants. Founded in 1995, the company focuses on providing a convenient and approachable dining experience within the restaurant industry.

The company's menu primarily features cooked-to-order dishes, with its main products encompassing a wide variety of noodles and pasta, complemented by soups, salads, and appetizers. Noodles & Company serves a broad customer base seeking quick, customizable, and freshly prepared meals. As of December 28, 2021, the company operated 448 restaurants across 29 states, comprising both 372 company-owned and 76 franchise locations.

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Here are a few brief analogies for Noodles & Co (NDLS):

  • Chipotle for noodles and pasta.

  • Panera Bread, but with a focus on cooked-to-order noodle and pasta dishes.

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  • Noodles and Pasta dishes: Cooked-to-order main courses featuring various noodle and pasta types.
  • Soups: Hot, savory liquid dishes.
  • Salads: Fresh, uncooked vegetable-based dishes, often with proteins.
  • Appetizers: Small dishes served before the main course.

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Noodles & Company (NDLS) primarily sells its cooked-to-order dishes directly to individual consumers through its fast-casual restaurant locations. As a restaurant chain, it does not have major corporate customers in the traditional business-to-business sense.

The company serves a diverse individual customer base, which can be broadly categorized as:

  1. Lunchtime Diners: Individuals, including office workers, students, and shoppers, seeking a quick, convenient, and satisfying meal during the midday hours.
  2. Families and Dinner Guests: Customers looking for a casual, relatively affordable, and family-friendly dining option for dinner, offering a variety of dishes to appeal to different tastes.
  3. Young Adults and Students: Demographics often seeking customizable, diverse, and reasonably priced meal options that cater to various dietary preferences and provide a step up from traditional fast food.
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  • McLane Foodservice (a subsidiary of Berkshire Hathaway Inc. BRK.A, BRK.B)

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Here is the management team for Noodles & Co:

Joseph Christina
President and Chief Executive Officer

Joseph Christina became President and Chief Executive Officer of Noodles & Company on August 31, 2025. He joined the company in February 2025 as President and Chief Operating Officer. Before joining Noodles & Company, Mr. Christina was Chief Executive Officer of Tijuana Flats from 2022 to 2024. Prior to that, he served as EVP, U.S. Operations, and then CEO, President, and board member of Church's Chicken from 2013 to 2022. His career started at Burger King, where he worked for 29 years in various roles including Restaurant Manager, Franchise Owner, VP of Global Operations and Training, and SVP of Franchise Operations for the West Division.

Mike Hynes
Chief Financial Officer

Mike Hynes joined Noodles & Company as Chief Financial Officer in July 2023, bringing over 25 years of finance and accounting experience. Before Noodles & Company, he held multiple leadership roles at Ruth's Hospitality Group, including Vice President of Finance and Accounting for Ruth's Chris Steak House, where he oversaw investor relations, SEC reporting, strategic planning, and financial analysis. Earlier in his career, Mr. Hynes worked at firms including RSM and Deloitte. Ruth's Hospitality Group was acquired by Darden Restaurants in 2023. He is a Certified Public Accountant.

Frank Rodriguez
Senior Vice President of Operations

Frank Rodriguez joined Noodles & Company as Vice President of Operations, West in October 2019 and was promoted to Vice President, Company Operations in June 2025, then to Senior Vice President of Operations, effective June 3, 2026. He has over 35 years of restaurant industry experience. Prior to Noodles & Company, Mr. Rodriguez held multiple senior leadership roles, including Vice President of Operations at Bojangles' Restaurants, Inc. and Regional Director of Operations with Whataburger Restaurants, LLC.

Kathy Lockhart
Chief Accounting Officer

Kathy Lockhart has served as Chief Accounting Officer of Noodles & Company since August 2020, following 14 years as the company's Vice President and Controller. She has extensive experience from leadership roles at Einstein Bros., Boston Market, VICORP, and Ultimate Electronics. Ms. Lockhart is a Certified Public Accountant (CPA) and a Chartered Global Management Accountant (CGMA).

Corey Kline
Executive Vice President of Technology

Corey Kline is the Executive Vice President of Technology at Noodles & Company. He joined the company in September 2011 as Director of IT and was promoted to VP in 2016, and then to Executive Vice President of Technology in March 2021. Mr. Kline previously held roles at Famous Dave's, Accenture, Jefferson Wells, and IBM, with a background in enterprise applications and risk management.

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The key risks to Noodles & Company's business (NDLS) primarily revolve around its ability to sustain operational improvements and manage its financial obligations.

  1. Maintaining Comparable Sales Growth and Margin Expansion: A significant risk for Noodles & Company is the difficulty in sustaining its recent comparable sales growth and continuing to expand restaurant contribution margins. The company's earnings recovery is heavily reliant on these factors. Challenges such as food inflation, higher labor costs, and weaker customer traffic could quickly impede margin recovery. The success of promotional strategies and the consistent launch of successful new menu items are crucial to maintaining this growth.
  2. Debt and Refinancing Risk: Noodles & Company carries a notable amount of debt, with its credit facility maturing in the third quarter of 2027. The company is actively evaluating refinancing options and other strategic alternatives to manage this debt. This represents a significant balance sheet and refinancing risk that could impact the company's financial stability.
  3. Achieving Operational, Strategic, and Financial Goals: The company faces the overarching risk of not successfully achieving its stated operational, strategic, and financial goals. These goals include improving restaurant operations, increasing restaurant revenue, comparable restaurant sales, net income, and adjusted EBITDA. The success of initiatives such as menu innovation, enhancing menu structure, improving operational effectiveness, and refining pricing strategies is critical, and there is no guarantee these strategies will be entirely successful.

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The clear emerging threat for Noodles & Co is the proliferation and increasing sophistication of ghost kitchens and virtual brands.

These entities operate without traditional physical dining rooms, focusing solely on delivery and sometimes pickup. They leverage shared kitchen spaces and optimized digital ordering platforms to offer a wide variety of cuisines, often at lower operational costs compared to traditional brick-and-mortar fast-casual restaurants like Noodles & Co. This business model fundamentally disrupts the traditional restaurant industry by:

  • Undercutting overhead: Eliminating the need for prime real estate, front-of-house staff, and extensive build-outs.
  • Maximizing efficiency: Streamlining operations for delivery-only fulfillment.
  • Rapid menu innovation: The ability to quickly launch and test new concepts and cuisines based on demand, including specialized noodle or pasta dishes that directly compete with Noodles & Co's core offerings.
  • Directly competing on convenience: By focusing purely on delivery, they offer ultimate convenience to customers seeking prepared meals, directly challenging Noodles & Co's takeout and delivery segments.

This shift represents a new distribution and operational paradigm in the food service industry, analogous to how Netflix's streaming model disrupted Blockbuster's physical rental business or Uber's platform disrupted traditional taxi services, by offering a potentially more efficient and convenient alternative for a significant portion of the target market.

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Noodles & Company (NDLS) operates in the U.S. fast-casual restaurant market, offering a menu that includes a variety of noodle and pasta dishes, soups, and salads. The addressable markets for their main products and services in the United States are as follows:

  • Fast Casual Restaurants Market (U.S.): The United States fast-casual restaurant market was approximately USD 48.50 billion in 2025. It is projected to grow at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 6.40% between 2026 and 2035, reaching an estimated value of USD 90.19 billion by 2035.
  • Pasta and Noodles Market (U.S.): The U.S. pasta and noodles market generated a revenue of USD 5,919.2 million in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 8,187.3 million by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 4.2% from 2026 to 2033.
  • Soup Market (U.S.): The U.S. soup market is anticipated to reach US$6.95 billion by 2034, up from US$5.03 billion in 2025, exhibiting a CAGR of 3.66% from 2026 to 2034.
  • Prepared Salads Market (U.S.): The market for prepared salads in the U.S. was valued at US$9.8 billion in 2023.
  • Appetizers: Null

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Noodles & Company (NDLS) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through a combination of strategies focusing on enhancing existing restaurant performance, leveraging digital channels, and optimizing its menu offerings. Based on recent earnings reports and company statements, the key drivers include:

  1. Comparable Sales Growth through Increased Traffic and Average Check: Noodles & Company has demonstrated consistent comparable sales growth, fueled by both an increase in customer traffic and a rise in the average check size per order. For instance, in Q2 2026, system-wide comparable sales increased by 10.3%, with company-owned restaurants seeing an 11.4% rise. This was driven by a 7.6% increase in company comparable traffic and a 3.8% increase in average check, which included a 2.1% effective price increase. The company expects full-year 2026 comparable restaurant sales growth of 8%-11%.
  2. Expansion of Digital Channels and Loyalty Program: The company is actively focusing on growing its digital presence and leveraging its Noodles Rewards program. Digital channel comparable sales increased by 18% in Q2 2026, indicating a strong shift towards online orders. This growth is attributed to attracting new guests through relevant brand messaging, food news, social content, and smarter media investments, rather than solely relying on discounts. The Noodles Rewards program, which had approximately 5.6 million members in 2024, allows for targeted and personalized offers to drive engagement and repeat business.
  3. Menu Innovation and Culinary Changes: Noodles & Company aims to enhance its appeal and attract customers through ongoing menu innovation. In 2025, the company planned to introduce five new contemporary dishes and make culinary changes to four other existing dishes. These menu enhancements contribute to an improved guest experience and can lead to increased sales.
  4. Strategic Portfolio Optimization: The company is undertaking a strategy of closing underperforming restaurants, which has resulted in the transfer of sales to nearby, higher-performing locations. This "portfolio optimization" has a positive impact on comparable sales. Management estimated that sales transfer boosted comparable sales by about 250 to 300 basis points in Q2 2026. For the full year 2026, Noodles & Company expects to close 30 to 35 company-owned and 5 franchise restaurants, with this optimization anticipated to drive a 200-300 basis point uplift in comparable sales.

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Share Repurchases

  • Noodles & Company announced a share repurchase program in July 2023, authorizing the repurchase of up to $5.0 million of its Class A common stock.
  • During 2023, the Company repurchased 1,731,952 shares of its Class A common stock under this program.

Share Issuance

  • In May 2023, Noodles & Company filed for a 2023 Stock Incentive Plan (S-8 registration).
  • On August 21, 2026, Noodles & Company filed a $100 million mixed securities shelf registration statement, allowing for future securities offerings.
  • In fiscal year 2025, the company experienced a modest share issuance resulting in a +1.83% change in shares.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures were approximately $33.89 million in fiscal year 2025, $52.04 million in fiscal year 2024, and $28.77 million in fiscal year 2023.
  • The company projects capital expenditures of $9.5 million to $10.5 million for fiscal year 2026, with a focus on restaurant development.
  • In 2024, Noodles & Company opened ten new company-owned restaurants, and planned to open two new company-owned restaurants in 2025.

Better Bets vs. Noodles & Co (NDLS)

Peer Outperformance in Restaurants

NDLS has trailed 97% of its 35 Restaurants peers over 5Y. Restaurants ranks 8th of 22 industries in Consumer Discretionary by median 5Y return.
Share of Restaurants constituents that NDLS has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
100%
of 43 industry peers · 146.8% return
3Y
32%
of 41 industry peers · -33.7% return
5Y
3%
of 35 industry peers · -85.4% return
No Restaurants peer with a comparable growth profile has beaten NDLS by more than 20pp over 5Y.
Median price return by industry across the Consumer Discretionary sector, ranked by 5Y. Restaurants is NDLS's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Education Services 15 -11.4%37.2%58.8% LAUR 267% · CVSA 244% · LRN 115%
Homebuilding 17 0.8%25.9%27.8% PHM 170% · TOL 157% · GRBK 153%
Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines 21 22.7%70.7%13.7% RCL 296% · MAR 177% · HLT 163%
Automotive Retail 17 -1.5%14.5%12.7% MUSA 195% · PAG 117% · ORLY 107%
Home Improvement Retail 5 -2.6%8.8%6.2% LOW 10% · HD 8% · FND -60%
Home Furnishings 3 8.4%72.4%1.1% SGI 51% · MHK -13%
Footwear 9 83.8%100.4%-8.3% DECK 27% · SHOO -4% · CROX -8%
Restaurants ← 36 4.8%-2.0%-18.8% EAT 348% · CAKE 172% · TXRH 122%
Distributors 4 -3.3%-14.9%-24.0% ARMK 106% · GPC 7% · POOL -55%
Specialized Consumer Services 10 -12.5%34.9%-26.3% FTDR 169% · HRB 141% · ADT 26%
Computer & Electronics Retail 3 40.3%87.9%-27.6% BBY 0% · GME -49%
Leisure Products 14 -16.5%-3.1%-32.6% GOLF 63% · HAS 51% · BC -12%
Leisure Facilities 12 23.7%10.2%-33.7% OSW 174% · LTH 143% · PLNT -33%
Household Appliances 18 43.8%17.6%-40.0%
Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods 29 17.1%24.5%-42.6% TPR 261% · RL 249% · KTB 67%
Broadline Retail 13 -10.0%29.0%-45.3% EBAY 84% · AMZN 56% · OLLI 41%
Casinos & Gaming 21 -31.4%-17.2%-51.3% BYD 30% · RRR 21% · LVS 10%
Apparel Retail 28 -5.8%10.9%-52.8% ANF 242% · VSXY 123% · ROST 113%
Automotive Parts & Equipment 37 -14.1%-18.6%-53.1% GTX 190% · PATK 68% · ALV 38%
Other Specialty Retail 25 -4.1%-8.3%-54.6% ULTA 70% · ASO 62% · ARHS 41%
Consumer Electronics 11 -32.6%-24.4%-79.5% GRMN 124% · SONO -50%
Automobile Manufacturers 9 -55.2%-43.5%-86.4% GM 56% · TSLA 7% · F -13%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are limited to companies above $2B market cap.

Latest Trefis Analyses

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Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NDLSCMGCAVASGSHAKWINGMedian
NameNoodles .Chipotle.Cava Sweetgre.Shake Sh.Wingstop  
Mkt Price13.9135.8360.3513.2475.89169.6148.09
Mkt Cap0.145.37.11.63.14.63.8
Rev LTM49612,7131,4386851,6087301,084
Op Inc LTM71,900102-1248820395
FCF LTM41,51040-108-2211722
FCF 3Y Avg-111,44536-842510631
CFO LTM132,348222-37199187193
CFO 3Y Avg142,1361844190159172

Growth & Margins

NDLSCMGCAVASGSHAKWINGMedian
NameNoodles .Chipotle.Cava Sweetgre.Shake Sh.Wingstop  
Rev Chg LTM0.2%7.9%27.0%0.0%17.1%6.9%7.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-1.4%10.1%28.3%8.1%15.7%19.1%12.9%
Rev Chg Q0.5%9.6%22.0%2.1%15.2%5.3%7.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.1%2.3%4.7%0.5%3.6%1.3%1.8%
Op Inc Chg LTM154.2%-4.8%29.9%-29.3%13.8%12.7%13.3%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-1,995.2%7.4%64.3%-4.4%57.4%22.3%14.9%
Op Mgn LTM1.3%14.9%7.1%-18.2%5.5%27.7%6.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-0.4%16.5%6.7%-15.0%4.8%26.7%5.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.0%-0.5%-0.2%-0.1%0.2%-0.1%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM2.7%18.5%15.4%-5.4%12.4%25.6%13.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg2.8%18.0%15.9%0.6%13.7%24.2%14.8%
FCF/Rev LTM0.8%11.9%2.8%-15.8%-1.4%16.0%1.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-2.1%12.2%3.3%-12.2%2.0%16.2%2.6%

Valuation

NDLSCMGCAVASGSHAKWINGMedian
NameNoodles .Chipotle.Cava Sweetgre.Shake Sh.Wingstop  
Mkt Cap0.145.37.11.63.14.63.8
P/S0.23.64.92.31.96.32.9
P/Op Inc12.523.968.9-12.735.022.723.3
P/EBIT-6.523.968.976.044.122.834.0
P/E-3.532.9109.082.770.139.354.7
P/CFO6.119.331.8-42.515.424.617.4
Total Yield-28.3%3.0%0.9%1.2%1.4%3.3%1.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.7%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-210.0%2.8%0.4%-7.5%0.5%2.0%0.5%
D/E3.00.10.10.20.30.30.2
Net D/E2.90.10.00.10.20.30.2

Returns

NDLSCMGCAVASGSHAKWINGMedian
NameNoodles .Chipotle.Cava Sweetgre.Shake Sh.Wingstop  
1M Rtn-2.2%13.4%12.5%37.5%13.4%38.7%13.4%
3M Rtn-10.7%12.0%-0.8%145.6%5.7%52.8%8.9%
6M Rtn7.4%9.7%-21.8%103.4%14.9%37.8%12.3%
12M Rtn147.0%17.6%21.5%143.8%-19.2%-28.2%19.5%
3Y Rtn-33.6%-15.5%94.2%48.4%37.9%-18.4%11.2%
1M Excs Rtn1.3%21.1%18.1%37.7%12.7%37.9%19.6%
3M Excs Rtn-12.8%12.3%-10.6%130.1%6.7%54.3%9.5%
6M Excs Rtn5.4%7.7%-23.8%101.4%12.9%35.8%10.3%
12M Excs Rtn132.5%5.0%11.9%116.9%-28.9%-40.4%8.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-95.0%-85.3%-5.2%-37.2%-45.7%-90.0%-65.5%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil2025202420232021
Single segment495503509 
Franchising royalties and fees, and other   8
Restaurant revenue   467
Total495503509475


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil202520242023
Single segment-32-5-1
Total-32-5-1


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024
Single segment262325
Total262325


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$13.90 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.1 
First Trading Date06/28/2013 
Distance from 52W High-25.3% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$13.80$11.60
DMA Trenddownup
Distance from DMA0.7%19.9%
 3M1YR
Volatility68.6%100.1%
Downside Capture160.58102.49
Upside Capture101.85194.45
Correlation (S&P 500)25.1%11.0%
NDLS Betas & Captures as of 10/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta2.331.331.030.830.621.02
Up Beta-2.53-2.90-1.32-0.95-0.171.01
Down Beta2.902.111.961.22-0.900.74
Up Capture407%204%81%139%323%102%
Bmk +ve Days12182862130427
Stock +ve Days10182557123340
Down Capture109%118%188%95%93%107%
Bmk -ve Days10253664121325
Stock -ve Days12253969127387

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NDLS
NDLS145.4%100.1%1.30-
Sector ETF (XLY)3.3%19.9%0.0412.2%
Equity (SPY)12.7%13.7%0.6210.5%
Gold (GLD)0.3%28.9%0.000.3%
Commodities (DBC)34.5%21.3%1.282.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)11.7%14.2%0.5315.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-27.7%43.5%-0.637.0%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NDLS
NDLS-31.6%82.2%-0.11-
Sector ETF (XLY)4.4%24.2%0.1426.7%
Equity (SPY)11.6%17.3%0.5025.3%
Gold (GLD)17.2%19.1%0.723.4%
Commodities (DBC)7.4%19.6%0.267.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.4%18.9%-0.0424.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)3.4%51.5%0.2511.5%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NDLS
NDLS-9.5%72.6%0.18-
Sector ETF (XLY)13.1%22.3%0.5331.7%
Equity (SPY)15.2%18.0%0.7130.4%
Gold (GLD)11.7%16.6%0.582.5%
Commodities (DBC)7.5%18.1%0.3312.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.9%20.7%0.2427.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)59.5%66.3%0.999.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity0.2 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 1015202640.0%
Average Daily Volume0.1 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.6 days
Basic Shares Quantity5.9 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares3.3%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 8/26/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/24/202624.4%42.3%21.7%
5/6/20266.0%12.5%8.7%
1/12/202614.6%13.3%-32.0%
11/5/202513.3%13.0%40.3%
8/13/2025-29.2%-32.9%-35.3%
5/7/2025-15.8%-17.7%-20.7%
3/6/202513.7%-14.1%-10.0%
1/13/2025-0.9%24.4%117.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111513
# Negative151113
Median Positive13.3%13.0%13.9%
Median Negative-6.6%-18.0%-20.8%
Max Positive24.4%46.4%117.6%
Max Negative-29.2%-32.9%-47.7%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/24/202624.4%42.3%21.7%
5/6/20266.0%12.5%8.7%
1/12/202614.6%13.3%-32.0%
11/5/202513.3%13.0%40.3%
8/13/2025-29.2%-32.9%-35.3%
5/7/2025-15.8%-17.7%-20.7%
3/6/202513.7%-14.1%-10.0%
1/13/2025-0.9%24.4%117.6%
11/6/2024-15.8%-27.3%-47.7%
8/7/2024-4.8%17.1%-4.1%
5/8/202424.3%24.3%13.9%
3/7/2024-8.6%-26.5%-36.7%
11/7/202312.7%46.4%50.0%
8/9/2023-3.0%-13.8%-16.5%
5/10/2023-19.3%-22.1%-29.6%
3/8/2023-9.2%-18.0%-20.8%
11/3/2022-3.6%7.1%-6.4%
7/27/20223.6%7.6%11.2%
4/27/202213.3%14.7%25.3%
2/23/2022-12.0%-18.3%-26.5%
10/27/2021-0.3%-2.9%-13.1%
8/3/20214.2%3.5%5.6%
4/29/20218.1%6.3%15.2%
2/25/2021-0.1%9.3%12.6%
10/28/2020-6.6%-8.4%10.6%
8/6/2020-0.3%12.7%3.7%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111513
# Negative151113
Median Positive13.3%13.0%13.9%
Median Negative-6.6%-18.0%-20.8%
Max Positive24.4%46.4%117.6%
Max Negative-29.2%-32.9%-47.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202607/24/202610-Q
03/31/202605/07/202610-Q
12/31/202503/26/202610-K
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202508/14/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202403/07/202510-K
09/30/202411/07/202410-Q
06/30/202408/08/202410-Q
03/31/202405/09/202410-Q
12/31/202303/08/202410-K
09/30/202311/08/202310-Q
06/30/202308/10/202310-Q
03/31/202305/11/202310-Q
12/31/202203/09/202310-K
09/30/202211/04/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202607/24/202610-Q
03/31/202605/07/202610-Q
12/31/202503/26/202610-K
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202508/14/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202403/07/202510-K
09/30/202411/07/202410-Q
06/30/202408/08/202410-Q
03/31/202405/09/202410-Q
12/31/202303/08/202410-K
09/30/202311/08/202310-Q
06/30/202308/10/202310-Q
03/31/202305/11/202310-Q
12/31/202203/09/202310-K
09/30/202211/04/202210-Q
06/30/202207/28/202210-Q
03/31/202204/28/202210-Q
12/31/202102/24/202210-K
09/30/202111/09/202110-Q
06/30/202108/04/202110-Q
03/31/202104/30/202110-Q
12/31/202002/26/202110-K
09/30/202010/29/202010-Q
06/30/202008/06/202010-Q
03/31/202006/17/202010-Q
12/31/201902/26/202010-K
09/30/201911/08/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 11/2/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 7/24/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Comparable Restaurant Sales GrowthReported8.0%9.5%11.0% 1.0%RaisedGuidance: 8.5% for 2026
2026 Restaurant Level Contribution MarginsReported16.0%16.5%17.0% 0.2%RaisedGuidance: 16.25% for 2026
2026 General and Administrative ExpensesReported51.00 Mil52.50 Mil54.00 Mil1.9% RaisedGuidance: 51.50 Mil for 2026
2026 Stock-based Compensation ExpenseReported2.50 Mil2.75 Mil3.00 Mil   
2026 Depreciation and AmortizationReported24.00 Mil24.50 Mil25.00 Mil0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 24.50 Mil for 2026
2026 Total RevenueReported485.00 Mil492.50 Mil500.00 Mil0.4% RaisedGuidance: 490.50 Mil for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDAReported34.00 Mil36.00 Mil38.00 Mil2.9% RaisedGuidance: 35.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Net Interest ExpenseReported10.00 Mil10.50 Mil11.00 Mil0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 10.50 Mil for 2026
2026 Capital ExpendituresReported9.00 Mil9.50 Mil10.00 Mil-5.0% LoweredGuidance: 10.00 Mil for 2026


Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/6/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Comparable Restaurant Sales GrowthReported7.0%8.5%10.0%   
2026 Restaurant Level Contribution MarginReported15.5%16.25%17.0%   
2026 General and Administrative ExpensesReported50.00 Mil51.50 Mil53.00 Mil   
2026 Depreciation and AmortizationReported24.00 Mil24.50 Mil25.00 Mil   
2026 RevenueReported483.00 Mil490.50 Mil498.00 Mil   
2026 Adjusted EBITDAReported32.50 Mil35.00 Mil37.50 Mil   
2026 Net Interest ExpenseReported10.00 Mil10.50 Mil11.00 Mil   
2026 Capital ExpendituresReported9.50 Mil10.00 Mil10.50 Mil   

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 1/12/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Restaurant ClosuresReported3032.535   

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/5/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2025 Comparable Restaurant Sales GrowthReported3.6%3.9%4.2% 0.6%RaisedGuidance: 3.25% for 2025
2025 Restaurant Level Contribution MarginReported12.3%12.5%12.7% 0.3%RaisedGuidance: 12.2% for 2025
2025 General and Administrative ExpensesReported48.00 Mil48.50 Mil49.00 Mil-1.0% LoweredGuidance: 49.00 Mil for 2025
2025 Depreciation and AmortizationReported28.00 Mil28.50 Mil29.00 Mil1.8% RaisedGuidance: 28.00 Mil for 2025
2025 Total RevenueReported492.00 Mil493.50 Mil495.00 Mil0.5% RaisedGuidance: 491.00 Mil for 2025
2025 Net Interest ExpenseReported 11.00 Mil 0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 11.00 Mil for 2025
2025 Capital ExpendituresReported12.00 Mil12.50 Mil13.00 Mil0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 12.50 Mil for 2025
Core Cache Last Updated: 11/10/2026