Sweetgreen (SG)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $6.805 | Market Cap: $804.9 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants
Sweetgreen (SG)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $6.805Market Cap: $804.9 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Restaurants
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -68% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -81%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -106% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -96 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -14% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, Vegan & Alternative Foods, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Show more. | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 19% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 454x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.6% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -16% | ||
| Key risksSG key risks include [1] a premium pricing model that has created a significant "value perception problem," leading to declining customer traffic, Show more. |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -68% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, Vegan & Alternative Foods, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -81%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -106% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 19% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -96 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -14% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 454x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.6% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -16% |
| Key risksSG key risks include [1] a premium pricing model that has created a significant "value perception problem," leading to declining customer traffic, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
SG Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining the approximate -25.4% movement in Sweetgreen (SG) stock during the specified period:
1. Disappointing Q2 2025 Earnings Report. Sweetgreen's stock experienced a significant plunge, reportedly around 25.6% on August 8, 2025, following a disappointing second-quarter earnings report. The company reported a comparable sales decline and a widening loss, missing analyst estimates.
2. Lowered Full-Year 2025 Guidance and Outlook. Sweetgreen revised its 2025 performance guidance downward for the second time in less than three months, leading to investor concern. This included a projected decline in full-year revenue and same-store sales.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SG Return | � | � | -73% | 32% | 184% | -78% | � |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | � | 62% | -29% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SG Win Rate | � | 0% | 42% | 50% | 58% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | � | 55% | 67% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SG Max Drawdown | � | � | -75% | -26% | -10% | -84% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | -7% | -41% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CAVA, CMG, SHAK, WING, LOCO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -88.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 739.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to GST, BH, RICK, BRCB, CADV
In The Past
Sweetgreen's stock fell -88.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/19/2021. A -88.1% loss requires a 739.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Sweetgreen Earnings Notes | |||
| With Sweetgreen Stock Surging, Have You Considered The Downside? | Return | ||
| Why Sweetgreen Stock Moved: SG Stock Has Lost 77% Since 2024 Fiscal End, Primarily Due To Unfavorable Change In Price To Sales Multiple (P/S) | |||
| SG Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Sweetgreen (SG) Valuation Ratios Comparison | Financials | ||
| Sweetgreen Total Shareholder Return (TSR): 186.5% in 2024 and 1.1% 3-yr compounded annual returns (below peer average) | |||
| Should You Buy Sweetgreen Stock? | Buy or Fear | ||
| Sweetgreen (SG) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Sweetgreen (SG) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Sweetgreen (SG) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | November 11th, 2025 | ||
| Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | September 27th, 2025 | ||
| Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | August 21st, 2025 | ||
| Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | August 12th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.0% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.4% | 6.4% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.1% | 17.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -1.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.0% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.4% | 6.4% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.1% | 17.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Sweetgreen
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 45.06 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.7 |
| Rev LTM | 909 |
| Op Inc LTM | 78 |
| FCF LTM | 44 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 21 |
| CFO LTM | 139 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 134 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 15.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 7.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 7.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 15.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.7 |
| P/S | 3.6 |
| P/EBIT | 26.1 |
| P/E | 37.2 |
| P/CFO | 31.9 |
| Total Yield | 2.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 0.6% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 13.7% |
| 3M Rtn | -10.8% |
| 6M Rtn | -28.9% |
| 12M Rtn | -39.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 26.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 13.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -13.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -41.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -51.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -49.9% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/6/2025 | -7.5% | -5.0% | 10.4% |
| 8/7/2025 | -23.1% | -27.7% | -35.2% |
| 5/8/2025 | -16.2% | -16.2% | -22.9% |
| 2/26/2025 | 0.0% | -0.6% | 14.6% |
| 11/7/2024 | -5.9% | -20.2% | -10.7% |
| 8/8/2024 | 33.4% | 40.1% | 9.2% |
| 5/9/2024 | 34.0% | 34.9% | 38.4% |
| 2/29/2024 | 28.4% | 45.4% | 99.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 6 | 8 |
| # Negative | 7 | 9 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 19.1% | 37.5% | 22.8% |
| Median Negative | -12.1% | -14.0% | -22.9% |
| Max Positive | 34.0% | 48.3% | 99.1% |
| Max Negative | -23.1% | -27.7% | -36.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/28/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8082025 | 10-Q 6/29/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/30/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/29/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 10-Q 9/29/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8092024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5102024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 9/24/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7282023 | 10-Q 6/25/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/26/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/25/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/25/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8102022 | 10-Q 6/26/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/27/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3042022 | 10-K 12/26/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |