Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 11%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -39%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -93%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 213%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Freight Technology, and Process / Warehouse Automation.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.83
Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -17%
0 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 11%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Freight Technology, and Process / Warehouse Automation.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -39%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -93%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.83
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 213%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -17%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AIRT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The requested time period for the stock movement of Air T (AIRT) is from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025. As this entire period lies in the future, it is not possible to provide an analysis of specific stock movements or their contributing factors. Information regarding future stock performance is not available. However, based on available information for recent periods, Air T's stock has experienced some volatility. As of November 17, 2025, shares of Air T, Inc. had lost 8.2% over the past month. This prior period movement is the closest relevant data to the requested future timeframe. Here are some key points related to Air T's recent past performance and business activities: 1. Revenue Decline in Q2 Fiscal 2026.

Air T's revenues for the second quarter ended September 30, 2025, declined 21% year-over-year to $64.2 million from $81.2 million. This was primarily attributed to reduced activity in the Commercial Aircraft, Engines and Parts segment. 2. Profitability Gains Despite Revenue Dip.

Despite the decrease in revenue, Air T reported an increase in profitability for the second quarter of fiscal 2026. Operating income rose by 52.2% to $5.5 million, and adjusted EBITDA increased by 56.6% to $7.9 million. Earnings per share also climbed by 76.9% to $1.61. These gains were driven by stronger margins and effective cost controls, as well as the sale of two Airbus A321-111 aircraft, generating net proceeds of $19.9 million.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AIRT Return24%1%-2%-32%18%-5%
Peers Return-11%95%9%4%6%22%154%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AIRT Win Rate42%42%50%33%50%- 
Peers Win Rate43%53%48%45%48%46% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AIRT Max Drawdown-55%-19%-44%-34%-16%- 
Peers Max Drawdown-54%-4%-18%-28%-18%-25% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HON, TTI, HHS, MMM, CSL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

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In The Past

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About Air T (AIRT)

Better Bets than Air T (AIRT)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AIRT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Air T

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AIRTHONTTIHHSMMMCSLMedian
NameAir T Honeywel.Tetra Te.Harte-Ha.3M Carlisle. 
Mkt Price19.00193.478.653.68173.09321.1896.05
Mkt Cap0.1122.91.20.092.413.77.4
Rev LTM29640,67061917524,8255,0152,817
Op Inc LTM37,6926165,0821,036549
FCF LTM76,1646-71,588958483
FCF 3Y Avg145,212342,393987500
CFO LTM227,48574-52,5411,086580
CFO 3Y Avg206,3365673,7151,120588

Growth & Margins

AIRTHONTTIHHSMMMCSLMedian
NameAir T Honeywel.Tetra Te.Harte-Ha.3M Carlisle. 
Rev Chg LTM5.1%7.5%0.2%-6.5%1.1%0.1%0.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg16.9%5.2%6.4%-4.1%-10.3%-0.7%2.3%
Rev Chg Q6.7%7.0%8.1%-14.2%3.5%1.0%5.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.5%1.7%1.9%-3.5%0.9%0.3%1.2%
Op Mgn LTM1.1%18.9%9.8%3.2%20.5%20.7%14.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg0.8%19.5%8.2%4.4%1.1%21.5%6.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%-0.9%-0.3%-0.8%1.0%-0.5%-0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM7.5%18.4%12.0%-2.6%10.2%21.7%11.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg7.0%16.4%9.1%3.3%13.8%23.1%11.4%
FCF/Rev LTM2.3%15.2%1.0%-4.3%6.4%19.1%4.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.0%13.5%0.5%1.7%8.8%20.3%6.9%

Valuation

AIRTHONTTIHHSMMMCSLMedian
NameAir T Honeywel.Tetra Te.Harte-Ha.3M Carlisle. 
Mkt Cap0.1122.91.20.092.413.77.4
P/S0.23.31.20.23.32.82.0
P/EBIT19.315.213.16.916.013.414.3
P/E-8.021.86.3-9.724.418.012.1
P/CFO2.717.910.3-6.432.612.911.6
Total Yield-12.5%6.8%15.9%-10.3%5.0%6.8%5.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.2%0.0%0.0%0.9%1.3%0.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg21.2%4.0%0.2%7.6%4.7%6.6%5.6%
D/E2.40.30.30.80.20.20.3
Net D/E2.10.20.20.60.10.10.2

Returns

AIRTHONTTIHHSMMMCSLMedian
NameAir T Honeywel.Tetra Te.Harte-Ha.3M Carlisle. 
1M Rtn-13.9%-1.6%20.6%22.3%7.2%-1.0%3.1%
3M Rtn-13.2%-3.5%83.3%3.7%14.4%-14.2%0.1%
6M Rtn5.5%-8.8%202.4%-15.2%19.0%-15.4%-1.6%
12M Rtn-5.8%-7.6%122.4%-31.9%34.5%-26.9%-6.7%
3Y Rtn-21.9%-0.1%125.3%-66.8%82.0%27.9%13.9%
1M Excs Rtn-13.8%-1.6%20.7%22.3%7.2%-1.0%3.1%
3M Excs Rtn-18.5%-9.4%76.0%-6.6%6.4%-23.1%-8.0%
6M Excs Rtn-9.2%-23.5%187.7%-29.9%4.2%-30.1%-16.4%
12M Excs Rtn-17.3%-23.5%111.1%-50.5%18.5%-42.4%-20.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-93.0%-71.4%70.2%-136.4%12.7%-43.7%-57.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Commercial Aircraft, Engines and Parts1281025847101
Overnight Air Cargo11691746675
Ground Support Equipment3748426159
Digital Solutions67311
Other revenue4    
Elimination of intersegment revenue-3    
Total287247177175237


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity18,985
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-3.1%
Average Daily Volume1,480
Days-to-Cover Short Interest12.83
Basic Shares Quantity2,703,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025813202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025627202510-K 3/31/2025
12312024212202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024626202410-K 3/31/2024
12312023212202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023811202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023627202310-K 3/31/2023
12312022210202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022812202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022628202210-K 3/31/2022
12312021214202210-Q 12/31/2021
93020211112202110-Q 9/30/2021