Air T (AIRT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $19.0 | Market Cap: $51.4 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Conglomerates
Air T (AIRT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $19.0Market Cap: $51.4 MilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Industrial Conglomerates
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 11% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -39%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -93% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 213% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Freight, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Freight Technology, and Process / Warehouse Automation. | Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.83 | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -17% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 11% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Freight, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Freight Technology, and Process / Warehouse Automation. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -39%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -93% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.83 |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 213% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -17% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
AIRT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The requested time period for the stock movement of Air T (AIRT) is from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025. As this entire period lies in the future, it is not possible to provide an analysis of specific stock movements or their contributing factors. Information regarding future stock performance is not available.
However, based on available information for recent periods, Air T's stock has experienced some volatility. As of November 17, 2025, shares of Air T, Inc. had lost 8.2% over the past month. This prior period movement is the closest relevant data to the requested future timeframe.
Here are some key points related to Air T's recent past performance and business activities:
1. Revenue Decline in Q2 Fiscal 2026.
Air T's revenues for the second quarter ended September 30, 2025, declined 21% year-over-year to $64.2 million from $81.2 million. This was primarily attributed to reduced activity in the Commercial Aircraft, Engines and Parts segment.
2. Profitability Gains Despite Revenue Dip.
Despite the decrease in revenue, Air T reported an increase in profitability for the second quarter of fiscal 2026. Operating income rose by 52.2% to $5.5 million, and adjusted EBITDA increased by 56.6% to $7.9 million. Earnings per share also climbed by 76.9% to $1.61. These gains were driven by stronger margins and effective cost controls, as well as the sale of two Airbus A321-111 aircraft, generating net proceeds of $19.9 million.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AIRT Return | 24% | 1% | -2% | -32% | 18% | -5% | � |
| Peers Return | -11% | 95% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 22% | 154% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AIRT Win Rate | 42% | 42% | 50% | 33% | 50% | - | |
| Peers Win Rate | 43% | 53% | 48% | 45% | 48% | 46% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AIRT Max Drawdown | -55% | -19% | -44% | -34% | -16% | - | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -54% | -4% | -18% | -28% | -18% | -25% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HON, TTI, HHS, MMM, CSL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
In The Past
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Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to AIRT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Air T
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 96.05 |
| Mkt Cap | 7.4 |
| Rev LTM | 2,817 |
| Op Inc LTM | 549 |
| FCF LTM | 483 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 500 |
| CFO LTM | 580 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 588 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 0.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 14.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 6.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 11.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 7.4 |
| P/S | 2.0 |
| P/EBIT | 14.3 |
| P/E | 12.1 |
| P/CFO | 11.6 |
| Total Yield | 5.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.6% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 0.1% |
| 6M Rtn | -1.6% |
| 12M Rtn | -6.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 13.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -8.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -16.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -20.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -57.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8132025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 6272025 | 10-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2122025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8142024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 6262024 | 10-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2122024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11142023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8112023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 6272023 | 10-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2102023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11102022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8122022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 6282022 | 10-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2142022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11122021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |