PAGS Stock Surges 20% With A 8-day Winning Spree On UBS Price Target Hike
PagSeguro Digital (PAGS) – a digital banking and payment solutions provider. – hit a 8-day winning streak, with cumulative gains over this period amounting to 20%. The company’s market cap has surged by about $590 Mil over the last 8 days and currently stands at $3.5 Bil.
The stock has YTD (year-to-date) return of 25.8% compared to 1.8% for S&P 500. Let’s take a look at what’s driving the stock.
What Triggered The Rally?
[1] UBS Price Target Upgrade
- Price target raised to $14.00 from $13.00
- Maintained “Buy” rating
- Impact: Positive Institutional Signal, Increased Investor Confidence
[2] KeyCorp Boosts EPS Estimates
- Q1 2026 EPS estimate raised to $0.44 from $0.37
- Positive revision signals underlying business strength
- Impact: Improved Earnings Outlook, Strengthened Analyst Consensus
Why This Matters?
Momentum often precedes conviction. A multi-day win streak can signal growing investor confidence or spark follow-on buying. Tracking such trends can help you ride the strength, or prepare for a well-timed entry if momentum fades.
But here is the real interesting point.
You are reading about this 20% move after it happened. The market has already priced in the news. To catch the next winner before the headlines, you need predictive signals, not notifications. Our High Quality Portfolio has flagged 5 new opportunities that have not surged yet.
Returns vs S&P 500
The following table summarizes the return for PAGS stock vs. the S&P 500 index over different periods, including the current streak:
| Return Period | PAGS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1D | 0.3% | -0.1% |
| 8D (Current Streak) | 20.3% | 0.4% |
| 1M (21D) | 25.2% | 0.9% |
| 3M (63D) | 25.2% | 1.1% |
| YTD 2026 | 25.8% | 1.8% |
| 2025 | 60.7% | 16.4% |
| 2024 | -49.8% | 23.3% |
| 2023 | 42.7% | 24.2% |
Gains and Losses Streaks: S&P 500 Constituents
There are currently 60 S&P constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive gains and 87 constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive losses.
| Consecutive Days | # of Gainers | # of Losers |
|---|---|---|
| 3D | 26 | 43 |
| 4D | 25 | 20 |
| 5D | 6 | 14 |
| 6D | 1 | 8 |
| 7D or more | 2 | 2 |
| Total >=3 D | 60 | 87 |
Key Financials for PagSeguro Digital (PAGS)
Last 2 Fiscal Years:
| Metric | FY2023 | FY2024 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $15.7 Bil | $18.3 Bil |
| Operating Income | $5.4 Bil | $6.0 Bil |
| Net Income | $1.7 Bil | $2.1 Bil |
Last 2 Fiscal Quarters:
| Metric | 2025 FQ2 | 2025 FQ3 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $4.9 Bil | $4.9 Bil |
| Operating Income | $1.8 Bil | $1.9 Bil |
| Net Income | $536.8 Mil | $554.5 Mil |
While PAGS stock looks attractive given its winning streak, investing in a single stock without detailed, thorough analysis can be risky. The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 — the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.