Tearsheet

PagSeguro Digital (PAGS)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $10.3 | Market Cap: $3.1 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software

PagSeguro Digital (PAGS)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $10.3
Market Cap: $3.1 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Systems Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 76%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 72%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -43%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -63%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 1361%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 35%
  
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, CFO LTM is 2.2 Bil
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Digital Payments, and Online Banking & Lending.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 76%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 72%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 35%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, CFO LTM is 2.2 Bil
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Digital Payments, and Online Banking & Lending.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -43%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -63%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 1361%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PAGS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why PagSeguro Digital (PAGS) stock moved by approximately 17.2% from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025:

1. Strong Q2 2025 Performance and Carry-Over Sentiment: PagSeguro Digital reported robust second-quarter 2025 results in mid-August, just prior to the specified period. These results highlighted a 14.3% growth in diluted EPS for the first half of the year, driven by revenue diversification and a strong performance in its banking sector, which saw a 61% year-over-year revenue increase. The positive sentiment from these results likely carried over and contributed to the stock's upward trend.

2. Exceeding Q3 2025 Earnings Per Share (EPS) Expectations: On November 12, 2025, PagSeguro Digital announced its third-quarter 2025 earnings, reporting an EPS of $0.36, which surpassed analysts' consensus estimates of $0.35. This beat on the bottom line, despite a slight revenue miss, generally indicates better-than-expected profitability and can positively influence investor confidence.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PAGS Return67%-54%-67%43%-50%73%-68%
Peers Return9%6%-31%39%-9%4%4%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PAGS Win Rate58%42%42%50%33%60% 
Peers Win Rate12%27%20%38%33%72% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PAGS Max Drawdown-56%-58%-71%-19%-50%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown0%-1%-34%-10%-22%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GEN, PATH, S, CHOW, NTSK.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPAGSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-88.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven778.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-59.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven148.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven78 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-55.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven123.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven193 days120 days

Compare to GEN, PATH, S, CHOW, NTSK


In The Past

PagSeguro Digital's stock fell -88.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/11/2021. A -88.6% loss requires a 778.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About PagSeguro Digital (PAGS)

Better Bets than PagSeguro Digital (PAGS)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1Fundamental Metrics: ... 
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PAGS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.9%1.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.7%3.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.0%8.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.9%1.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.7%3.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.0%8.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for PagSeguro Digital

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PAGSGENPATHSCHOWNTSKMedian
NamePagSegur.Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.ChowChow.Netskope  
Mkt Price10.3727.0618.4816.9710.1819.6817.73
Mkt Cap3.116.79.95.6--7.8
Rev LTM19,3094,4731,497907--2,985
Op Inc LTM6,6731,697-46-328--825
FCF LTM-1411,30031017--163
FCF 3Y Avg2331,463268-44--251
CFO LTM2,1621,32433541--829
CFO 3Y Avg2,3551,480282-22--881

Growth & Margins

PAGSGENPATHSCHOWNTSKMedian
NamePagSegur.Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.ChowChow.Netskope  
Rev Chg LTM14.5%16.2%8.3%25.4%--15.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg13.6%16.5%14.6%45.6%--15.5%
Rev Chg Q10.5%25.3%14.4%21.7%--18.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.5%5.8%3.1%5.0%--4.1%
Op Mgn LTM34.6%37.9%-3.1%-36.2%--15.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg34.2%36.7%-12.6%-53.2%--10.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.2%-1.3%5.8%2.1%--1.7%
CFO/Rev LTM11.2%29.6%22.4%4.5%--16.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg14.2%37.1%20.7%-5.5%--17.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-0.7%29.1%20.7%1.8%--11.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg1.8%36.7%19.6%-8.7%--10.7%

Valuation

PAGSGENPATHSCHOWNTSKMedian
NamePagSegur.Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.ChowChow.Netskope  
Mkt Cap3.116.79.95.6--7.8
P/S0.13.94.66.7--4.2
P/EBIT0.410.9-148.1-19.8---9.7
P/E1.330.7340.3-14.1--16.0
P/CFO1.313.220.5148.8--16.9
Total Yield76.4%5.0%0.3%-7.1%--2.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.8%0.0%0.0%--0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg10.0%9.5%3.6%-1.0%--6.6%
D/E14.20.50.00.0--0.3
Net D/E13.60.5-0.2-0.1--0.2

Returns

PAGSGENPATHSCHOWNTSKMedian
NamePagSegur.Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.ChowChow.Netskope  
1M Rtn11.4%5.1%29.5%0.6%19.3%-10.7%8.2%
3M Rtn13.4%-7.9%70.3%-6.5%--3.5%
6M Rtn20.5%-6.3%39.4%-6.3%--7.1%
12M Rtn44.7%-13.1%20.5%-40.8%--3.7%
3Y Rtn17.3%22.2%39.9%19.1%--20.6%
1M Excs Rtn10.1%3.8%28.2%-0.7%18.1%-11.9%7.0%
3M Excs Rtn3.6%-13.6%55.0%-15.2%---5.0%
6M Excs Rtn5.1%-21.8%23.9%-21.8%---8.3%
12M Excs Rtn29.0%-24.4%13.9%-51.5%---5.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-63.1%-45.8%-16.3%-63.4%---54.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Financial service agents15,68015,15910,2996,6865,581
Total15,68015,15910,2996,6865,581


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity15,817,366
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120253.4%
Average Daily Volume4,248,084
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.72
Basic Shares Quantity297,690,083
Short % of Basic Shares5.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
630202581320256-K 6/30/2025
331202551320256-K 3/31/2025
12312024429202520-F 12/31/2024
9302024111320246-K 9/30/2024
630202482020246-K 6/30/2024
331202452320246-K 3/31/2024
12312023429202420-F 12/31/2023
9302023111720236-K 9/30/2023
630202382420236-K 6/30/2023
331202352520236-K 3/31/2023
12312022428202320-F 12/31/2022
9302022112220226-K 9/30/2022
630202282520226-K 6/30/2022
331202260820226-K 3/31/2022
12312021502202220-F 12/31/2021
9302021111220216-K 9/30/2021