Should You Buy Coeur Mining Stock After 27% Drop?
Coeur Mining (CDE) stock has fallen by 26.8% in less than a month, from $26.11 on 23rd Jan, 2026 to $19.11 now. Should you buy this dip?
Dip buying is a viable strategy for quality stocks that have a history of recovering from dips. As it turns out, CDE stock passes basic quality checks. Historically, the median return for the 12-month period following sharp dips was 9.6% , with median peak return reaching 55%. We define sharp dip as stock going down 30% or more, in less than 30 day period.
Below, we get into details of historical dips and subsequent returns.
Historical Median Returns Post Dips
| Period | Past Median Return |
|---|---|
| 1M | 1.9% |
| 3M | 10.3% |
| 6M | 3.6% |
| 12M | 9.6% |
Historical Dip-Wise Details
CDE had 20 events since 1/1/2010 where the dip threshold of -30% within 30 days was triggered
- 55% median peak return within 1 year of dip event
- 187 days is the median time to peak return after a dip event
- -33% median max drawdown within 1 year of dip event
| 30 Day Dip | CDE Subsequent Performance | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | CDE | SPY | 1Y | Peak Return |
Max Drop |
# Days to Peak |
||
| Median | 10% | 55% | -33% | 187 | ||||
| 11192025 | -30% | -2% | 41% | 78% | -6% | 65 | ||
| 9072023 | -30% | -2% | 135% | 202% | -11% | 313 | ||
| 5252023 | -33% | 0% | 89% | 100% | -33% | 361 | ||
| 3092023 | -31% | -2% | 12% | 53% | -30% | 35 | ||
| 7182022 | -33% | -8% | 19% | 56% | -8% | 269 | ||
| 5122022 | -31% | -14% | 7% | 43% | -15% | 336 | ||
| 12292021 | -31% | 3% | -28% | 12% | -46% | 21 | ||
| 7232021 | -34% | 4% | -62% | 4% | -64% | 6 | ||
| 2272020 | -32% | -9% | 102% | 150% | -42% | 340 | ||
| 4032019 | -30% | 3% | -19% | 109% | -34% | 267 | ||
| 11292018 | -32% | -2% | 67% | 73% | -29% | 356 | ||
| 8162018 | -32% | 4% | -10% | 6% | -49% | 62 | ||
| 3022017 | -30% | 5% | -2% | 23% | -15% | 47 | ||
| 1192016 | -34% | -8% | 563% | 824% | 0% | 204 | ||
| 7242015 | -30% | -1% | 238% | 266% | -55% | 360 | ||
| 3272015 | -30% | -1% | 13% | 26% | -66% | 83 | ||
| 9232014 | -30% | 3% | -52% | 25% | -54% | 139 | ||
| 10082013 | -31% | 0% | -58% | 14% | -61% | 14 | ||
| 5152012 | -31% | -6% | -21% | 91% | -19% | 170 | ||
| 5182011 | -31% | 1% | -34% | 19% | -35% | 286 | ||
Coeur Mining Passes Basic Financial Quality Checks
Revenue growth, profitability, cash flow, and balance sheet strength need to be evaluated to reduce the risk of a dip being the sign of a deteriorating business situation.
| Quality Metrics | Value | Quality Check |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (LTM) | 68.3% | Pass |
| Revenue Growth (3-Yr Avg) | 32.6% | Pass |
| Operating Cash Flow Margin (LTM) | 33.9% | Pass |
| Leverage (see below) | – | Pass |
| => Interest Coverage Ratio | 12.9 | |
| => Cash To Interest Expense Ratio | 7.7 |
Not sure if you can take a call on CDE stock? Consider portfolio approach
A Multi Asset Portfolio Gives You Safer Smarter Growth
Markets move differently but a mix of assets smooths volatility. A multi asset portfolio keeps you invested and reduces the impact of sharp drops in any single area.
The asset allocation framework of Trefis’ Boston-based, wealth management partner yielded positive returns during the 2008-09 period when the S&P lost more than 40%. Our partner’ strategy now includes Trefis High Quality Portfolio, which has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 – the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices