KLA Stock To $997?

KLAC: KLA logo
KLAC
KLA

KLA (KLAC) stock has jumped 6.3% during the past day, and is currently trading at $1,429.10. Our multi-factor assessment suggests that it may be time to reduce exposure to KLAC stock. We are primarily concerned current valuation and a price of $997 may not be out of reach. We believe there is not much to fear in KLAC stock given its overall Strong operating performance and financial condition. But given its Very High valuation, the stock appears Relatively Expensive.

Below is our assessment:

  CONCLUSION
What you pay:
Valuation Very High
What you get:
Growth Moderate
Profitability Very Strong
Financial Stability Very Strong
Downturn Resilience Moderate
Operating Performance Strong
 
Stock Opinion Relatively Expensive

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Let’s get into details of each of the assessed factors but before that, for quick background: With $188 Bil in market cap, KLA provides process control and yield management solutions for semiconductor industries, including defect inspection, metrology, process monitoring, computational lithography software, and data analytics systems.

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[1] Valuation Looks Very High

  KLAC S&P 500
Price-to-Sales Ratio 14.7 3.2
Price-to-Earnings Ratio 41.0 24.5
Price-to-Free Cash Flow Ratio 42.7 20.6

This table highlights how KLAC is valued vs broader market. For more details see: KLAC Valuation Ratios

[2] Growth Is Moderate

  • KLA has seen its top line grow at an average rate of 7.3% over the last 3 years
  • Its revenues have grown 17% from $11 Bil to $13 Bil in the last 12 months
  • Also, its quarterly revenues grew 7.2% to $3.3 Bil in the most recent quarter from $3.1 Bil a year ago.

  KLAC S&P 500
3-Year Average 7.3% 5.7%
Latest Twelve Months* 17.5% 6.6%
Most Recent Quarter (YoY)* 7.2% 7.2%

This table highlights how KLAC is growing vs broader market. For more details see: KLAC Revenue Comparison

[3] Profitability Appears Very Strong

  • KLAC last 12 month operating income was $5.4 Bil representing operating margin of 42.0%
  • With cash flow margin of 37.4%, it generated nearly $4.8 Bil in operating cash flow over this period
  • For the same period, KLAC generated nearly $4.6 Bil in net income, suggesting net margin of about 35.8%

  KLAC S&P 500
Current Operating Margin 42.0% 18.8%
Current OCF Margin 37.4% 20.7%
Current Net Income Margin 35.8% 12.8%

This table highlights how KLAC profitability vs broader market. For more details see: KLAC Operating Income Comparison

[4] Financial Stability Looks Very Strong

  • KLAC Debt was $6.1 Bil at the end of the most recent quarter, while its current Market Cap is $188 Bil. This implies Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 3.3%
  • KLAC Cash (including cash equivalents) makes up $5.2 Bil of $17 Bil in total Assets. This yields a Cash-to-Assets Ratio of 31.1%

  KLAC S&P 500
Current Debt-to-Equity Ratio 3.3% 20.9%
Current Cash-to-Assets Ratio 31.1% 7.3%

[5] Downturn Resilience Is Moderate

KLAC saw an impact slightly worse than the S&P 500 index during various economic downturns. We assess this based on both (a) how much the stock fell and, (b) how quickly it recovered.

2022 Inflation Shock

  • KLAC stock fell 40.8% from a high of $445.00 on 14 January 2022 to $263.22 on 17 October 2022 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 25.4% for the S&P 500.
  • However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 26 May 2023
  • Since then, the stock increased to a high of $1,684.71 on 29 January 2026 , and currently trades at $1,429.10

  KLAC S&P 500
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -40.8% -25.4%
Time to Full Recovery 221 days 464 days

 
2020 Covid Pandemic

  • KLAC stock fell 37.5% from a high of $182.57 on 2 January 2020 to $114.02 on 20 March 2020 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 33.9% for the S&P 500.
  • However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 3 June 2020

  KLAC S&P 500
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -37.5% -33.9%
Time to Full Recovery 75 days 148 days

 
2008 Global Financial Crisis

  • KLAC stock fell 75.6% from a high of $62.46 on 19 July 2007 to $15.24 on 19 November 2008 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 56.8% for the S&P 500.
  • However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 14 October 2013

  KLAC S&P 500
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -75.6% -56.8%
Time to Full Recovery 1,790 days 1,480 days

 

But the risk is not limited to major market crashes. Stocks fall even when markets are good – think events like earnings, business updates, outlook changes. Read KLAC Dip Buyer Analyses to see how the stock has recovered from sharp dips in the past.

The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 – the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.