How Will Entergy Stock React To Its Upcoming Earnings?
Entergy (NYSE:ETR) is set to report its earnings on Wednesday, April 29, 2026. The company has $51 Bil in current market capitalization. Revenue over the last twelve months was $13 Bil, and it was operationally profitable with $3.2 Bil in operating profits and net income of $1.8 Bil. While the post-earnings stock reaction will depend on how the results and outlook stack up against investor expectations, a detailed look at historical results can aid you if you are an event-driven trader.
Here is how: either understand the historical odds and position yourself prior to the earnings announcement, or look at the correlation between immediate and medium-term returns post earnings and enter a trade one day after the announcement.
See earnings reaction history of all stocks
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Entergy’s Historical Odds Of Positive Post-Earnings Return
Some observations on one-day (1D) post-earnings returns:
- There are 16 earnings data points recorded over the last five years, with 13 positive and 3 negative one-day (1D) returns observed. In summary, positive 1D returns were seen about 81% of the time.
- Notably, this percentage increases to 90% if we consider data for the last 3 years instead of 5.
- Median of the 13 positive returns = 1.2%, and median of the 3 negative returns = -0.4%
Additional data for observed 5-Day (5D) and 21-Day (21D) returns post earnings are summarized along with the statistics in the table below.
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D | 5D | 21D |
| 2/12/2026 | 1.8% | 3.1% | 5.4% |
| 10/29/2025 | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% |
| 7/30/2025 | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% |
| 4/29/2025 | -1.8% | -0.1% | -3.2% |
| 2/18/2025 | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| 10/31/2024 | 15.2% | 8.7% | 17.1% |
| 8/1/2024 | 4.2% | 0.9% | 4.3% |
| 2/22/2024 | 0.3% | -0.7% | 2.1% |
| 10/30/2023 | 3.7% | 7.4% | 12.6% |
| 8/2/2023 | 0.2% | -3.7% | -3.3% |
| 2/16/2023 | 0.7% | -0.3% | -2.8% |
| 11/2/2022 | 0.4% | -0.2% | 9.5% |
| 8/3/2022 | 2.0% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| 2/23/2022 | 0.2% | -0.6% | 6.1% |
| 11/3/2021 | -0.4% | -1.4% | -0.8% |
| 8/4/2021 | -0.3% | 4.5% | 9.2% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 9 | 12 |
| # Negative | 3 | 7 | 4 |
| Median Positive | 1.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% |
| Median Negative | -0.4% | -0.6% | -3.0% |
| Max Positive | 15.2% | 8.7% | 17.1% |
| Max Negative | -1.8% | -3.7% | -3.3% |
Correlation Between 1D, 5D and 21D Historical Returns
A relatively less risky strategy (though not useful if the correlation is low) is to understand the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns post earnings, find a pair that has the highest correlation, and execute the appropriate trade. For example, if 1D and 5D show the highest correlation, a trader can position themselves “long” for the next 5 days if the 1D post-earnings return is positive. Here is some correlation data based on a 5-year and a 3-year (more recent) history. Note that the correlation 1D_5D refers to the correlation between 1D post-earnings returns and subsequent 5D returns.
| History | 1D_5D | 1D_21D | 5D_21D |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5Y History | -55.1% | -16.9% | -2.5% |
| 3Y History | -58.9% | 2.5% | 32.4% |
Is There Any Correlation With Peer Earnings?
Sometimes, peer performance can have an influence on post-earnings stock reaction. In fact, the pricing-in might begin before the earnings are announced. Here is some historical data on the past post-earnings performance of Entergy stock compared with the stock performance of peers that reported earnings just before Entergy. For fair comparison, peer stock returns also represent post-earnings one-day (1D) returns.
| 1D Return | Peer Post-Earnings 1D Return | |
|---|---|---|
| ETR Earnings Dates | ETR | NEE |
| 2/12/2026 | 1.8% | 5.5% |
| 10/29/2025 | 0.5% | -2.2% |
| 7/30/2025 | 1.2% | -2.5% |
| 4/29/2025 | -1.8% | -0.0% |
| 2/18/2025 | 6.0% | -5.9% |
| 10/31/2024 | 15.2% | -6.7% |
| 8/1/2024 | 4.2% | 4.0% |
| 2/22/2024 | 0.3% | -2.3% |
| 10/30/2023 | 3.7% | 3.8% |
| 8/2/2023 | 0.2% | -4.7% |
| 2/16/2023 | 0.7% | -1.2% |
| 11/2/2022 | 0.4% | -2.2% |
| 8/3/2022 | 2.0% | 7.7% |
| 2/23/2022 | 0.2% | -3.7% |
| 11/3/2021 | -0.4% | 1.6% |
| 8/4/2021 | -0.3% | 3.5% |
| CORRELATION | 17.0% |
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