This week’s model depicts a “what-if” scenario wherein Donald Trump wins the election; this scenario quantifies the dynamic of “social desirability bias.” If you would like to skip the blog…
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Barely an hour before the second Presidential Debate, Donald Trump trails Hillary Clinton by 155 electoral votes (poll data source: 270towin.com/2016-polls-clinton-trump/), a loss of an additional 24 from a week ago…
Here is a visual summary of our election series to date. The margin of electoral votes has gone in and out like an accordion. Click on the blog title to read the original post;…
Welcome back. If this is your first time visiting our election series, you may want to click here for background to get up to speed. In our last post we mentioned “vote swapping” aka…
Welcome to Week 2 of our “What-If” Presidential Election Series. If you missed our first few posts, start here. Let’s review what happened in a single week (based on polling data…
Third-Party Votes Would Impact Tighter Races Based on current polling data (9/6), several states are neck-and-neck between Trump and Clinton, with Clinton holding a small lead over Trump. This means that if the…
What If A Third Party Candidate Wins A Large Percentage of the Popular Vote? All Presidential elections feature candidates on the ballot from parties other than the Republicans or Democrats….
Another morning, another news cycle, another set of polls, another pundit-filled click-baited talking-headed Twitter-ranted day on cable news and the Internet. Enemy camps dig in, hoist their banners and ratchet…
For the last few months we have been citing a statistic regarding the accuracy of company forecasting; namely, that nearly 25% of all public companies miss their expected or forecasted…