Ross Stores (ROST)
Market Price (5/9/2026): $226.33 | Market Cap: $72.4 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel Retail
Ross Stores (ROST)
Market Price (5/9/2026): $226.33Market Cap: $72.4 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Apparel Retail
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, CFO LTM is 3.0 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.2 Bil Stock buyback supportStock Buyback 3Y Total is 3.3 Bil Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 25% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Value Retail & Off-Price. Themes include Discount Apparel & Home Goods, Efficient Inventory Management (Off-Price Model), and In-Store Experiential Shopping (Treasure Hunt). | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.4%, Dist 3Y High is -1.4% | Key risksROST key risks include [1] the high sensitivity of its low-to-moderate income customer base to economic pressures that reduce discretionary spending and [2] significant exposure to trade tariffs and margin compression due to its heavy reliance on merchandise sourced from China. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, CFO LTM is 3.0 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.2 Bil |
| Stock buyback supportStock Buyback 3Y Total is 3.3 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 25% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Value Retail & Off-Price. Themes include Discount Apparel & Home Goods, Efficient Inventory Management (Off-Price Model), and In-Store Experiential Shopping (Treasure Hunt). |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.4%, Dist 3Y High is -1.4% |
| Key risksROST key risks include [1] the high sensitivity of its low-to-moderate income customer base to economic pressures that reduce discretionary spending and [2] significant exposure to trade tariffs and margin compression due to its heavy reliance on merchandise sourced from China. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Ross Stores (ROST) stock has gained about 20% since 1/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Ross Stores reported stronger-than-expected fourth-quarter and full-year fiscal 2025 financial results, alongside robust guidance for fiscal 2026. The company announced on March 3, 2026, that its fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 earnings per share (EPS) reached $2.00, surpassing analysts' consensus estimates of $1.90 by $0.10. Quarterly revenue also exceeded expectations, growing 12.2% year-over-year to $6.64 billion, above the consensus of $6.42 billion. Additionally, comparable store sales increased a strong 9%. For fiscal 2026, Ross Stores projected comparable store sales to rise 7% to 8% in the first quarter and anticipated full-year EPS to be in the range of $7.02 to $7.36, up from $6.61 in fiscal 2025.
2. The company announced a significant new share repurchase authorization and an increased quarterly cash dividend, signaling confidence in future performance and a commitment to shareholder returns. On March 3, 2026, Ross Stores' Board of Directors approved a new two-year stock repurchase authorization totaling $2.55 billion for fiscal years 2026 and 2027. This program represents a 21% increase compared to the $2.1 billion repurchased in the preceding two fiscal years. Concurrently, the Board authorized a 10% increase in the quarterly cash dividend, raising it to $0.445 per share.
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1. Ross Stores reported stronger-than-expected fourth-quarter and full-year fiscal 2025 financial results, alongside robust guidance for fiscal 2026. The company announced on March 3, 2026, that its fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 earnings per share (EPS) reached $2.00, surpassing analysts' consensus estimates of $1.90 by $0.10. Quarterly revenue also exceeded expectations, growing 12.2% year-over-year to $6.64 billion, above the consensus of $6.42 billion. Additionally, comparable store sales increased a strong 9%. For fiscal 2026, Ross Stores projected comparable store sales to rise 7% to 8% in the first quarter and anticipated full-year EPS to be in the range of $7.02 to $7.36, up from $6.61 in fiscal 2025.
2. The company announced a significant new share repurchase authorization and an increased quarterly cash dividend, signaling confidence in future performance and a commitment to shareholder returns. On March 3, 2026, Ross Stores' Board of Directors approved a new two-year stock repurchase authorization totaling $2.55 billion for fiscal years 2026 and 2027. This program represents a 21% increase compared to the $2.1 billion repurchased in the preceding two fiscal years. Concurrently, the Board authorized a 10% increase in the quarterly cash dividend, raising it to $0.445 per share.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 20.0% change in ROST stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/8/2026 was primarily driven by a 16.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5082026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 188.25 | 225.81 | 20.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 22,027 | 22,751 | 3.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 9.5% | 9.4% | -0.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 29.0 | 33.7 | 16.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 321 | 320 | 0.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 20.0% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ROST | 20.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.6% | 50.1% |
| Sector (XLY) | -0.6% | 54.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 42.7% change in ROST stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/8/2026 was primarily driven by a 35.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5082026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 158.22 | 225.81 | 42.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 21,498 | 22,751 | 5.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 9.6% | 9.4% | -1.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 24.8 | 33.7 | 35.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 323 | 320 | 1.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 42.7% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ROST | 42.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 5.5% | 43.7% |
| Sector (XLY) | 0.6% | 51.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 64.1% change in ROST stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/8/2026 was primarily driven by a 56.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5082026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 137.63 | 225.81 | 64.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 21,129 | 22,751 | 7.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 9.9% | 9.4% | -4.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 21.5 | 33.7 | 56.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 326 | 320 | 2.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 64.1% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ROST | 64.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 30.4% | 45.2% |
| Sector (XLY) | 22.8% | 50.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 118.4% change in ROST stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/8/2026 was primarily driven by a 44.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302023 | 5082026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 103.42 | 225.81 | 118.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 18,696 | 22,751 | 21.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 8.1% | 9.4% | 16.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 23.2 | 33.7 | 44.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 340 | 320 | 6.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 118.4% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ROST | 118.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 78.7% | 48.2% |
| Sector (XLY) | 66.6% | 50.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ROST Return | -6% | 3% | 21% | 10% | 20% | 25% | 94% |
| Peers Return | 98% | -10% | 15% | 6% | 33% | -8% | 165% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 7% | 95% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ROST Win Rate | 42% | 42% | 67% | 58% | 67% | 80% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 42% | 52% | 52% | 57% | 32% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ROST Max Drawdown | -14% | -38% | -13% | -8% | -18% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -7% | -40% | -28% | -21% | -32% | -15% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: TJX, BURL, M, KSS, DDS. See ROST Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/8/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ROST | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -11.8% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 13.3% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 29 days | 79 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -13.6% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 15.7% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 144 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -37.5% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 60.0% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 144 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -51.1% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 104.4% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 285 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -20.9% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.4% | 23.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 101 days | 105 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -11.1% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.5% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 95 days | 6 days |
In The Past
Ross Stores's stock fell -11.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 13.3% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | ROST | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -37.5% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 60.0% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 144 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -51.1% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 104.4% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 285 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -20.9% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.4% | 23.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 101 days | 105 days |
In The Past
Ross Stores's stock fell -11.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 13.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Ross Stores (ROST)
Ross Stores, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates off-price retail apparel and home fashion stores under the Ross Dress for Less and dd's DISCOUNTS brand names. Its stores primarily offer apparel, accessories, footwear, and home fashions. The company's Ross Dress for Less stores sell its products at department and specialty stores primarily to middle income households; and dd's DISCOUNTS stores sell its products at department and discount stores for households with moderate income. As of March 7, 2022, it operated approximately 1,649 stores under the Ross Dress for Less name' and 303 dd's DISCOUNTS stores in 40 states, the District of Columbia, and Guam. Ross Stores, Inc. was incorporated in 1957 and is headquartered in Dublin, California.
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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Ross Stores:
- Like a deeply discounted TJ Maxx or Marshalls.
- A bargain-focused department store, similar to a much cheaper Kohl's or Macy's for apparel and home goods.
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- Apparel: A wide range of clothing for men, women, and children.
- Accessories: Items such as handbags, jewelry, scarves, and other fashion add-ons.
- Footwear: Shoes, boots, sandals, and other types of foot coverings.
- Home Fashions: Products for decorating and furnishing the home, including textiles, decor, and small household goods.
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```htmlRoss Stores (ROST) primarily sells its products directly to individual consumers through its retail store brands, Ross Dress for Less and dd's DISCOUNTS. The company targets the following customer categories:
- Middle-income households seeking off-price apparel, accessories, footwear, and home fashions, primarily served by Ross Dress for Less stores.
- Moderate-income households looking for similar products at discount prices, primarily served by dd's DISCOUNTS stores.
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Here is the management team for Ross Stores (ROST):James Conroy – Chief Executive Officer (CEO) and Director
James Conroy was appointed Chief Executive Officer of Ross Stores in February 2025. He brings significant experience as a retail operator to his role.William Sheehan – Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer (CFO)
William Sheehan was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, effective October 1, 2025. He succeeded Adam Orvos in this position.Michael J. Hartshorn – Group President, Chief Operating Officer (COO) and Director
Michael J. Hartshorn has served as Group President and Chief Operating Officer of Ross Stores since 2019 and as a Board member since 2021. He joined Ross in 2000 and advanced through various finance, treasury, and CFO roles before becoming COO. Prior to his tenure at Ross, Hartshorn spent seven years in financial roles at The May Department Stores Company.Michael Balmuth – Executive Chairman of the Board
Michael Balmuth serves as the Executive Chairman of the Board for Ross Stores. He has a long history with the company, having joined in 1989 and serving as CEO from 1996 to 2014. His time as CEO was characterized by sustained growth, strong financial performance, and increased shareholder value for the company. He rejoined the Board in 2023 after previous service from 1996–2021.AI Analysis | Feedback
Key Risks to Ross Stores (ROST)
- Macroeconomic Environment and Consumer Spending: Ross Stores' financial performance is highly sensitive to the overall macroeconomic environment, including inflation, and consumer confidence and spending patterns. While the off-price model can benefit from consumers "trading down" during economic downturns, a severe or prolonged recession could significantly reduce discretionary spending across all retail segments. Conversely, an improving economy could lead consumers to "trade up" to traditional department stores or higher-end brands, thereby impacting Ross's sales and profitability. Additionally, factors like tariffs and supply chain disruptions can affect the company's costs and, consequently, its pricing and margins.
- Intense Competition: The retail industry, particularly the off-price sector, is highly competitive and fragmented. Ross Stores faces significant competition from other off-price retailers such as TJX Companies (TJ Maxx, Marshalls, HomeGoods) and Burlington, as well as from traditional department stores, discount stores, and an increasing number of online platforms and flash sale sites. This intense competition can lead to pressure on pricing, margins, and market share, requiring continuous efforts in merchandising, marketing, and store presentation.
- Supply Chain and Inventory Management: The off-price business model relies on the opportunistic purchasing of excess, over-produced, or out-of-season branded goods. This inherently leads to an inconsistent and unpredictable inventory assortment in terms of brand mix, sizes, and quantities. Successfully executing this model requires maintaining strong, reliable relationships with a vast network of suppliers and efficient inventory management. Disruptions in the global supply chain, rising costs of goods, and challenges like "retail shrink" (theft) can negatively impact product availability, increase operating costs, and reduce profitability.
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The rapid growth and increasing mainstream adoption of online second-hand and resale marketplaces (e.g., ThredUp, Poshmark, Depop). These platforms leverage technology to offer a vast and constantly updated inventory of apparel, accessories, and home goods at significantly discounted prices, often appealing to the same value-conscious, middle-to-moderate income households targeted by Ross Stores. This model offers convenience, a potentially wider selection, and aligns with growing consumer preferences for sustainability, directly competing for market share without the overhead of traditional brick-and-mortar retail.
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Ross Stores (ROST) operates within the United States off-price retail market, offering apparel, accessories, footwear, and home fashions. The addressable market sizes for its main product categories and the overarching off-price retail sector in the U.S. are detailed below.Addressable Markets for Ross Stores' Main Products and Services (U.S. Region)
The overall off-price retail market in the United States, where Ross Stores operates, was estimated at approximately $372.46 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach $668.30 billion by 2032. Another estimate places the market at $404.86 billion in 2026, with a projection to reach $858.3 billion by 2035. Specific product categories that constitute Ross Stores' offerings within the U.S. market include:- Apparel: The United States apparel market is valued at approximately $365.70 billion in 2025. This market is projected to grow to approximately $399.77 billion by 2026.
- Accessories: The U.S. fashion accessories market generated revenue of approximately $223.2 billion in 2024. It is expected to grow to about $289.34 billion by 2026 and is projected to reach approximately $477.4 billion by 2034.
- Footwear: The U.S. shoe and footwear market size was approximately $95.1 billion in 2024, and $97.16 billion in 2025. This market is projected to reach around $125.7 billion by 2032.
- Home Fashions: The United States home decor market was valued at approximately $225.58 billion in 2024. It is expected to reach approximately $518.84 billion by 2033. The broader furniture and home furnishings market was forecasted to reach $338 billion in 2023. More specifically, the U.S. home textile market was valued at about $44.3 billion in 2024.
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Ross Stores (ROST) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives and market trends: * **Continued Store Expansion:** Ross Stores plans significant physical expansion by opening approximately 110 new stores in fiscal year 2026, comprising about 85 Ross Dress for Less and 25 dd's DISCOUNTS locations. This represents a 5% increase in total unit count for the year. The company has a long-term goal of reaching 2,900 Ross locations and 700 dd's DISCOUNTS stores across the country. This expansion focuses on strengthening its presence in key Sunbelt states and expanding into Mountain, Midwest, and Northeast regions for Ross Dress for Less, and in core markets like California and Texas for dd's DISCOUNTS, alongside new markets such as Utah. * **Comparable Store Sales Growth:** The company anticipates positive comparable store sales growth, forecasting a 7% to 8% increase for the first quarter of fiscal 2026 and a 3% to 4% increase for the full fiscal year 2026. This growth is expected to be fueled by increased customer transactions and traffic, as seen in the robust 9% comparable store sales growth in Q4 fiscal 2025. * **Leveraging the "Trade-Down" Effect and Value Proposition:** The current macroeconomic environment is driving consumers, including higher-income earners, to seek value at off-price retailers. Ross Stores benefits from this "trade-down" effect, as consumers look to offset high costs of living and utilize discretionary income freed up by factors like cooling gasoline prices. The company's consistent offering of brand-name merchandise at significant discounts positions it well to attract and retain value-conscious shoppers. * **Enhanced Merchandising and Customer Experience:** Improvements in merchandise assortments, effective marketing campaigns, and enhanced in-store execution are expected to continue driving customer engagement and sales. These strategic initiatives, including better inventory management and a focus on the "treasure hunt" shopping experience, contribute to stronger customer traffic and increased sales at existing locations.AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Ross Stores' Board of Directors authorized a new $2.55 billion stock repurchase plan for fiscal years 2026 and 2027.
- The company repurchased $2.1 billion of common stock during fiscal years 2024 and 2025 combined.
- In fiscal 2025, Ross repurchased 7.1 million shares for $1.05 billion, completing its existing two-year program.
Share Issuance
- Ross Stores' shares outstanding have generally declined, with a 1.91% decrease in fiscal 2025 from 2024, indicating net repurchases.
- The number of shares outstanding decreased by 2.26% in fiscal 2024 from 2023.
Capital Expenditures
- Ross Stores expects to open approximately 110 new stores in fiscal year 2026, comprising about 85 Ross and 25 dd's DISCOUNTS locations, representing approximately 5% unit growth.
- The company's long-term growth potential includes expanding the Ross and dd's DISCOUNTS chains to 2,900 and 700 stores, respectively.
- The latest reported Capital Expenditure (Last 12 Months as of December 19, 2025) was $167 million.
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Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 189.59 |
| Mkt Cap | 14.0 |
| Rev LTM | 19,074 |
| Op Inc LTM | 864 |
| FCF LTM | 849 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 627 |
| CFO LTM | 1,405 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,202 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.0% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 2.5% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 12.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 8.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 8.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 10.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 14.0 |
| P/S | 1.5 |
| P/Op Inc | 17.7 |
| P/EBIT | 16.8 |
| P/E | 23.2 |
| P/CFO | 13.9 |
| Total Yield | 8.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.4% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -2.3% |
| 3M Rtn | -7.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 2.1% |
| 12M Rtn | 60.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 88.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -11.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -14.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -7.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 31.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 4.1% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2026 | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Accents and Bed and Bath | 5,298 | 4,861 | 4,918 | 3,509 | 4,491 |
| Ladies | 4,687 | 4,487 | 4,729 | 2,882 | 3,689 |
| Accessories, Lingerie, Fine Jewelry, and Cosmetics | 3,057 | 2,617 | 2,648 | 1,754 | 2,245 |
| Men's | 3,057 | 2,804 | 2,648 | 1,754 | 2,245 |
| Shoes | 2,649 | 2,243 | 2,270 | 1,504 | 1,925 |
| Children's | 1,630 | 1,683 | 1,702 | 1,128 | 1,444 |
| Total | 20,377 | 18,696 | 18,916 | 12,532 | 16,039 |
Price Behavior
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $225.81 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 72.2 | |
| First Trading Date | 07/09/1986 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -1.4% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $218.10 | $179.15 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 3.5% | 26.0% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 25.2% | 24.6% |
| Downside Capture | 0.21 | 0.36 |
| Upside Capture | 111.60 | 105.51 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 49.7% | 45.4% |
ROST Betas & Captures as of 4/30/2026
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.40 | 1.06 | 0.82 | 0.76 | 0.89 | 0.73 |
| Up Beta | 1.74 | 1.65 | 1.32 | 1.20 | 1.38 | 0.89 |
| Down Beta | -0.23 | 0.72 | 0.48 | 0.44 | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| Up Capture | 75% | 105% | 108% | 115% | 104% | 67% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 13 | 24 | 40 | 76 | 143 | 392 |
| Down Capture | 183% | 70% | 31% | 33% | 74% | 90% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 9 | 19 | 23 | 47 | 106 | 354 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ROST | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROST | 59.7% | 24.6% | 1.85 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 21.8% | 18.7% | 0.92 | 50.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 29.0% | 12.5% | 1.83 | 45.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 39.8% | 27.0% | 1.22 | 0.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 50.6% | 18.0% | 2.21 | -11.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.0% | 13.5% | 0.66 | 29.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -17.9% | 42.1% | -0.35 | 21.6% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ROST | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROST | 12.6% | 29.3% | 0.43 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 7.1% | 23.8% | 0.26 | 55.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.8% | 17.1% | 0.59 | 53.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.9% | 17.9% | 0.95 | 4.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 13.8% | 19.1% | 0.59 | 8.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.4% | 18.8% | 0.08 | 42.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 6.9% | 56.0% | 0.34 | 19.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ROST | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROST | 15.9% | 31.5% | 0.54 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 12.9% | 22.0% | 0.54 | 59.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.1% | 17.9% | 0.72 | 57.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.4% | 15.9% | 0.69 | 1.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.3% | 17.8% | 0.44 | 19.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.8% | 20.7% | 0.24 | 50.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.7% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 14.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 3/3/2026 | 8.0% | 8.0% | 11.5% |
| 11/20/2025 | 8.4% | 10.6% | 12.8% |
| 8/21/2025 | 1.1% | 2.4% | -0.4% |
| 5/22/2025 | -9.8% | -8.0% | -15.5% |
| 3/4/2025 | 2.0% | -5.4% | -2.3% |
| 11/21/2024 | 2.2% | 8.3% | 4.2% |
| 8/22/2024 | 1.8% | -0.5% | -1.4% |
| 5/23/2024 | 7.8% | 6.0% | 12.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 12 | 12 |
| # Negative | 11 | 12 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% |
| Median Negative | -2.7% | -3.5% | -6.2% |
| Max Positive | 9.9% | 18.4% | 17.7% |
| Max Negative | -22.5% | -8.0% | -18.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 01/31/2026 | 03/31/2026 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2025 | 12/10/2025 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2025 | 09/10/2025 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2025 | 06/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2025 | 04/01/2025 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2024 | 12/11/2024 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2024 | 09/11/2024 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2024 | 06/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2024 | 04/02/2024 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2023 | 12/06/2023 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2023 | 09/06/2023 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2023 | 06/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2023 | 03/28/2023 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2022 | 12/07/2022 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2022 | 09/07/2022 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2022 | 06/08/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/3/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Comparable Store Sales Growth | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 114.3% | 4.0% | Higher New | Guidance: 3.5% for Q4 2025 |
| Q1 2026 EPS | 1.6 | 1.64 | 1.67 | -9.7% | Lower New | Guidance: 1.81 for Q4 2025 | |
| 2026 Same Store Sales Growth | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | -30.0% | -1.5% | Lower New | Actual: 5.0% for 2025 |
| 2026 EPS | 7.02 | 7.19 | 7.36 | 12.0% | Higher New | Guidance: 6.42 for 2025 | |
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/20/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2025 Comparable Store Sales | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 40.0% | 1.0% | Raised | Guidance: 0.03 for Q4 2025 |
| Q4 2025 EPS | 1.77 | 1.81 | 1.85 | 2.0% | Raised | Guidance: 1.77 for Q4 2025 | |
| 2025 EPS | 6.38 | 6.42 | 6.46 | 4.5% | Raised | Guidance: 6.14 for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sheehan, William W II | EVP, CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER | Direct | Sell | 3302026 | 216.95 | 4,883 | 1,059,367 | 6,798,999 | Form |
| 2 | Hartshorn, Michael J | GROUP PRESIDENT, COO | Direct | Sell | 3262026 | 214.91 | 15,813 | 3,398,312 | 24,935,137 | Form |
| 3 | Brinkley, Stephen C | PRESIDENT, OPERATIONS | Direct | Sell | 3262026 | 212.91 | 4,154 | 884,429 | 13,784,439 | Form |
| 4 | Fleming, Karen | PRES, CMO ROSS DRESS FOR LESS | Direct | Sell | 3262026 | 212.75 | 7,000 | 1,489,285 | 19,447,191 | Form |
| 5 | Hartshorn, Michael J | GROUP PRESIDENT, COO | Direct | Sell | 3262026 | 214.52 | 6,061 | 1,300,203 | 28,282,465 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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