Gap (GAP)
Market Price (12/24/2025): $26.41 | Market Cap: $9.8 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel Retail
Gap (GAP)
Market Price (12/24/2025): $26.41Market Cap: $9.8 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Apparel Retail
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.5%, FCF Yield is 7.9% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -16% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.2% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Eco-friendly Products, Show more. | Key risksGAP key risks include [1] a continued failure to maintain brand relevance and adapt to shifting consumer preferences, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.5%, FCF Yield is 7.9% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Eco-friendly Products, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -16% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.2% |
| Key risksGAP key risks include [1] a continued failure to maintain brand relevance and adapt to shifting consumer preferences, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
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The Gap Inc. (symbol: GAP) stock experienced a rally following its strong third-quarter fiscal 2024 results, reported on November 21, 2024. While the exact 20.8% movement over the specified future period (August 31, 2025, to December 24, 2025) cannot be provided with current information, the company's stock did see a significant surge of 12.7% to 16% in the days following its Q3 2024 earnings announcement. Here are some key points that contributed to the positive movement in Gap's stock around that time:1. Strong Third Quarter Fiscal 2024 Results: Gap Inc. reported net sales of $3.8 billion for the third quarter ended November 2, 2024, representing a 2% increase compared to the previous year and marking the fourth consecutive quarter of net sales growth. This performance exceeded financial expectations and analyst estimates for earnings per share and revenues.
2. Raised Full-Year Outlook: Following the strong Q3 performance, Gap Inc. raised its full-year fiscal 2024 outlook for sales, gross margin, and operating income growth. This upward revision signaled management's confidence in continued positive performance, particularly driven by optimism around its holiday collection and strategic initiatives.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 16.3% change in GAP stock from 9/23/2025 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a 21.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 9232025 | 12232025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 22.68 | 26.37 | 16.26% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 15166.00 | 15279.00 | 0.75% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 5.86% | 5.57% | -4.98% |
| P/E Multiple | 9.52 | 11.53 | 21.13% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 373.00 | 372.00 | 0.27% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 16.26% |
Market Drivers
9/23/2025 to 12/23/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GAP | 16.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.7% | 51.4% |
| Sector (XLY) | 2.7% | 54.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 24.1% change in GAP stock from 6/24/2025 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a 27.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 6242025 | 12232025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 21.25 | 26.37 | 24.12% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 15161.00 | 15279.00 | 0.78% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 5.80% | 5.57% | -3.93% |
| P/E Multiple | 9.06 | 11.53 | 27.18% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 375.00 | 372.00 | 0.80% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 24.11% |
Market Drivers
6/24/2025 to 12/23/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GAP | 24.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 13.7% | 44.8% |
| Sector (XLY) | 13.5% | 46.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 13.3% change in GAP stock from 12/23/2024 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a 8.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 12232024 | 12232025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 23.28 | 26.37 | 13.28% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 15235.00 | 15279.00 | 0.29% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 5.40% | 5.57% | 3.10% |
| P/E Multiple | 10.66 | 11.53 | 8.10% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 377.00 | 372.00 | 1.33% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 13.26% |
Market Drivers
12/23/2024 to 12/23/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GAP | 13.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.7% | 50.4% |
| Sector (XLY) | 7.3% | 53.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 145.9% change in GAP stock from 12/24/2022 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a 1510.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| 12242022 | 12232025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 10.72 | 26.37 | 145.89% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 15898.00 | 15279.00 | -3.89% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 0.35% | 5.57% | 1509.96% |
| P/E Multiple | 71.17 | 11.53 | -83.80% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 365.00 | 372.00 | -1.92% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 145.80% |
Market Drivers
12/24/2023 to 12/23/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GAP | 32.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 48.4% | 44.1% |
| Sector (XLY) | 38.2% | 45.7% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GAP Return | 16% | -11% | -33% | 97% | 16% | 19% | 88% |
| Peers Return | 18% | 24% | -20% | 75% | 28% | 21% | 217% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 114% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GAP Win Rate | 58% | 67% | 33% | 58% | 33% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 55% | 53% | 42% | 65% | 55% | 55% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GAP Max Drawdown | -68% | -20% | -53% | -32% | -11% | -25% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -48% | -6% | -49% | -19% | -8% | -30% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TJX, ROST, BURL, ANF, AEO. See GAP Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/23/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | GAP | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -79.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 389.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -70.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 239.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 186 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -56.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 131.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 634 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -56.5% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 130.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 301 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to URBN, ANF, AEO, LB, GES
In The Past
Gap's stock fell -79.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/17/2021. A -79.6% loss requires a 389.6% gain to breakeven.
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AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-2 brief analogies for Gap Inc.:
- It's like the Procter & Gamble of everyday fashion, owning popular apparel brands such as Old Navy, Banana Republic, and Athleta, in addition to its namesake Gap brand.
- Think of it as a company that runs several distinct clothing store chains you'd typically find in shopping malls, similar to how Darden Restaurants operates multiple eatery brands like Olive Garden and LongHorn Steakhouse.
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- Apparel: Offers a wide range of clothing for men, women, and children, including casual wear, denim, dresses, and outerwear across its various brands.
- Accessories: Provides complementary items such as shoes, bags, belts, hats, jewelry, and scarves to complete outfits.
- Athletic and Activewear: Features performance-focused clothing for activities like yoga, running, and training, primarily through its Athleta brand.
- Children's and Baby Apparel: Specializes in clothing for infants, toddlers, and older children, encompassing everyday wear, sleepwear, and special occasion outfits.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The Gap (symbol: GAP) is a retail company that primarily sells its products directly to individual consumers through its various brands (Gap, Old Navy, Banana Republic, Athleta) via physical stores and e-commerce platforms.
Based on its brand portfolio, the company serves the following major categories of individual customers:
Families and Everyday Value Shoppers: This segment is primarily served by Old Navy, and to some extent Gap. These customers are typically budget-conscious and seek affordable, comfortable, and versatile clothing for themselves and their entire families, including children and babies. They prioritize practicality and value for everyday wear and casual occasions.
Modern Casual & Professional Adults: This category encompasses customers primarily served by the Gap brand and Banana Republic. These individuals look for classic, stylish, and quality apparel suitable for a range of occasions, from work to weekend. They appreciate timeless designs, good fit, and a balance of comfort and sophistication in their wardrobe choices.
Active & Wellness-Oriented Individuals (primarily Women): Athleta specifically targets this customer segment. These individuals, predominantly women, prioritize performance, comfort, and style in their activewear and athleisure choices. They are often engaged in fitness activities, sports, or desire comfortable yet fashionable clothing that supports an active and healthy lifestyle.
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Richard Dickson, President and Chief Executive Officer
Richard Dickson joined Gap Inc. as a Board Director in 2022 and was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer in August 2023. Prior to Gap Inc., he served as President and Chief Operating Officer of Mattel, where he led a portfolio of global brands and was a key architect in the company's transformation, contributing to the growth of iconic brands like Barbie, Hot Wheels, and Fisher-Price. Before Mattel, Mr. Dickson was President and CEO of Branded Businesses for The Jones Group (now Premier Brands Group Holdings). He also co-founded Gloss.com, the first online retailer dedicated to high-end cosmetics, which was acquired by Estee Lauder in 2000.
Katrina O'Connell, Chief Financial Officer, Executive Vice President
Katrina O'Connell has served as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Gap Inc. since March 2020, leading the company's global finance function. She brings over 25 years of experience at Gap Inc. across various brands and functions. Her previous roles include Chief Financial Officer and head of Strategy & Innovation for Old Navy, and Chief Financial Officer and Senior Vice President of Strategy for Banana Republic. Her extensive background also encompasses brand finance, inventory management, and investor relations.
Zac Posen, Executive Vice President, Creative Director of Gap Inc. and Chief Creative Officer of Old Navy
Zac Posen serves as the Executive Vice President, Creative Director of Gap Inc., acting as a cultural curator and creative partner to CEO Richard Dickson. He is also the Chief Creative Officer of Old Navy, where he leads design, merchandising, and marketing for the brand. Posen is an award-winning fashion designer and entrepreneur.
Mark Breitbard, President & CEO, Gap Brand
Mark Breitbard is the President and CEO of the Gap brand.
Julie Gruber, Chief Legal & Compliance Officer & Corporate Secretary
Julie Gruber holds the position of Chief Legal & Compliance Officer and Corporate Secretary for Gap Inc.
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The key risks to Gap Inc. (GAP) include intense competition and changing consumer preferences, macroeconomic and regulatory challenges, and risks associated with global supply chains and sourcing.
- Intense Competition and Failure to Adapt to Changing Consumer Preferences: Gap operates in a highly competitive and fast-paced apparel retail industry with low barriers to entry. The company faces significant competition from fast-fashion retailers, specialized brands, department stores, and online-only players, all vying for market share. Consumers exhibit high bargaining power and negligible switching costs, and their preferences, including trends such as "athleisure," are constantly evolving. Gap has struggled to maintain brand relevance and adapt to these shifts, particularly among younger demographics, leading to declining sales and store closures for its flagship brand.
- Macroeconomic and Regulatory Risks: Gap Inc. is susceptible to broader economic fluctuations and regulatory changes. These include economic downturns, inflationary pressures, geopolitical instability, and shifts in consumer spending patterns, all of which can significantly impact retail sales. Additionally, evolving environmental, social, and governance (ESG) regulations and increased scrutiny can impose new compliance costs and affect business strategies.
- Supply Chain and Global Sourcing Risks: The company's reliance on global sourcing and manufacturing, with a substantial portion of its merchandise produced in countries like Vietnam and China, exposes it to various supply chain risks. These include potential disruptions from natural disasters, public health crises, political instability, trade disputes (such as tariffs or import restrictions), and the financial or operational failure of vendors. Such events can lead to increased costs, delays, and inventory management challenges.
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- The accelerating rise of ultra-fast fashion retailers (e.g., Shein, Temu). These companies leverage highly agile supply chains, real-time trend data, and direct-to-consumer models to offer fashionable apparel at significantly lower price points and faster production cycles than traditional retailers. This model directly threatens Gap's value and trend-sensitive segments by capturing market share from younger, price-conscious consumers seeking constant novelty.
- The significant and growing consumer adoption of secondhand and resale clothing platforms (e.g., ThredUp, Poshmark). This trend, driven by increasing consumer awareness of sustainability and a desire for value, directly diverts discretionary spending from new apparel purchases, impacting demand for products offered by Gap's brands.
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The addressable markets for Gap Inc.'s main products and services, which include apparel, accessories, and personal care products for men, women, and children, can be sized as follows: * Global Apparel Market: The global apparel market is valued at approximately $1.84 trillion in 2025. * U.S. Apparel Market: The U.S. apparel market is estimated to be around $395 billion in 2025. * Global Fashion Accessories Market: The global fashion accessories market, which includes items such as jewelry, bags, belts, scarves, watches, eyewear, and footwear, reached $2.93 trillion in 2025 and is projected to grow to $3.67 trillion by 2030. * U.S. Fashion Accessories Market: The United States fashion accessories market was valued at $254.48 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $505.69 billion by 2033.AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Gap Inc. (GAP) over the next 2-3 years:
- Brand Reinvigoration and Market Share Gains: Gap Inc. is focused on the reinvigoration of its core brands, which has been cited as a driver of sales growth and consistent market share gains. This strategic priority is expected to continue contributing to revenue growth.
- Growth in Online Sales and Digital Investments: The company has demonstrated positive trends in online sales, with digital channels representing a significant portion of total net sales. Continued refinement of digital retail strategies and strategic investments in this area are anticipated to drive further revenue expansion.
- Revitalization of the Athleta Brand: Initiatives aimed at revitalizing the Athleta brand are expected to be a key area for monitoring future revenue growth.
- Improved Inventory Management and Operational Efficiency: While directly impacting profitability, enhanced inventory management and a focus on operational efficiency are crucial for supporting healthier sales by ensuring optimal product availability and reducing the need for markdowns. The company's commitment to financial and operational rigor is expected to deliver sustainable, profitable growth.
- Strategic Investments in Brand Development and Supply Chain Improvements: Gap Inc. is making strategic investments in brand development and supply chain improvements. These investments are projected to drive operating income growth, which can indirectly support revenue by strengthening product offerings, improving product availability, and mitigating risks through supply chain diversification.
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1. Share Repurchases
- In May 2021, Gap Inc. announced the resumption of its share repurchase program, with $800 million remaining under a $1 billion authorization. The company intended to repurchase up to $200 million of shares in the remainder of fiscal year 2021.
- During fiscal year 2024, Gap Inc. repurchased 3 million shares for approximately $75 million in the fourth quarter, contributing to a total of $300 million returned to shareholders through dividends and repurchases for the full fiscal year.
- For the first quarter of fiscal year 2025, Gap Inc. repurchased 4 million shares for $70 million, and in the second quarter of fiscal year 2025, it repurchased 3 million shares for $82 million. Approximately $400 million remained under the current share repurchase authorization as of Q1 2025.
2. Share Issuance
- Gap Inc. issued modest common equity over the last year, balancing this with share repurchases.
- In July 2025, 20,631 common shares were issued upon the settlement of previously granted stock units.
3. Outbound Investments
- In October 2021, Gap Inc. acquired CB4, a startup specializing in AI and machine learning tools to enhance retail operations, sales, and customer experience through predictive analytics.
- Earlier in 2021, the company acquired Drapr, an e-commerce startup that provides 3D-fit technology and virtual fitting rooms to help reduce online returns.
- Gap Inc. also participated in a funding round for obé fitness, a digital fitness platform that partners with its Athleta brand.
4. Capital Expenditures
- Gap Inc.'s capital expenditures were $392 million in fiscal year 2021, $694 million in fiscal year 2022, $685 million in fiscal year 2023, and $447 million in fiscal year 2024.
- For fiscal year 2025, capital expenditures are expected to be approximately $500 million to $550 million.
- The primary focus of these expenditures includes strategic investments to support long-term growth and operational improvements, such as advancing inventory management, digital product creation, and AI-enabled tools, as well as optimizing the retail footprint and store refreshes. In 2021, a significant investment of $140 million was made to build a new 850,000 square foot distribution center in Longview, Texas.
Latest Trefis Analyses
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| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to GAP. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.6% | 10.6% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.6% | 2.6% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.5% | 19.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.9% | 3.9% | -1.6% |
| 12312016 | GAP | Gap | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.0% | 56.1% | -3.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Gap
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 139.87 |
| Mkt Cap | 13.8 |
| Rev LTM | 13,238 |
| Op Inc LTM | 966 |
| FCF LTM | 582 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 741 |
| CFO LTM | 1,030 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,159 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 9.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 8.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 9.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 13.8 |
| P/S | 1.4 |
| P/EBIT | 18.1 |
| P/E | 24.7 |
| P/CFO | 15.7 |
| Total Yield | 5.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.8% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.8% |
| 3M Rtn | 20.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 33.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 18.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 101.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 0.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 14.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 21.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 1.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 24.6% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $26.37 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 9.8 | |
| First Trading Date | 07/23/1987 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -7.3% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $24.63 | $22.29 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 7.1% | 18.3% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 42.3% | 56.7% |
| Downside Capture | 143.53 | 189.85 |
| Upside Capture | 190.86 | 174.36 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 52.5% | 50.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.07 | 2.06 | 2.00 | 1.69 | 1.49 | 1.53 |
| Up Beta | 1.35 | 1.92 | 2.65 | 2.30 | 1.43 | 1.47 |
| Down Beta | 1.23 | 1.16 | 0.67 | 1.07 | 0.88 | 1.01 |
| Up Capture | 423% | 394% | 328% | 197% | 342% | 906% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 12 | 25 | 38 | 73 | 141 | 426 |
| Stock +ve Days | 8 | 20 | 31 | 64 | 119 | 359 |
| Down Capture | 145% | 171% | 196% | 161% | 142% | 110% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 21 | 31 | 61 | 129 | 384 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Comparison of GAP With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAP | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 14.2% | 7.8% | 18.8% | 72.9% | 9.0% | 3.7% | -11.4% |
| Annualized Volatility | 56.4% | 24.3% | 19.5% | 19.2% | 15.3% | 17.2% | 35.0% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.44 | 0.25 | 0.76 | 2.72 | 0.36 | 0.05 | -0.14 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 53.5% | 50.3% | -1.0% | 22.6% | 34.8% | 16.5% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Comparison of GAP With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAP | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 9.0% | 9.9% | 14.8% | 18.9% | 11.8% | 4.7% | 35.5% |
| Annualized Volatility | 55.6% | 23.8% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 48.9% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.37 | 0.38 | 0.70 | 0.98 | 0.51 | 0.16 | 0.62 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 47.6% | 46.5% | 1.8% | 16.3% | 35.9% | 17.5% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Comparison of GAP With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAP | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 3.8% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 69.1% |
| Annualized Volatility | 55.2% | 22.0% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.8% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.29 | 0.55 | 0.71 | 0.85 | 0.31 | 0.23 | 0.90 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 49.2% | 46.9% | -2.2% | 19.1% | 41.4% | 12.3% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/20/2025 | 8.2% | 19.3% | 14.4% |
| 8/28/2025 | 1.5% | 9.8% | -1.6% |
| 5/29/2025 | -20.2% | -22.8% | -22.0% |
| 3/6/2025 | 18.8% | 6.6% | -1.8% |
| 11/21/2024 | 12.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% |
| 8/29/2024 | 1.6% | -5.0% | -4.5% |
| 5/30/2024 | 28.6% | 14.4% | 3.3% |
| 3/7/2024 | 8.2% | 19.0% | 21.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 16 | 13 | 9 |
| # Negative | 7 | 10 | 14 |
| Median Positive | 7.6% | 16.8% | 14.4% |
| Median Negative | -6.1% | -11.7% | -6.6% |
| Max Positive | 30.6% | 38.0% | 53.4% |
| Max Negative | -24.1% | -32.0% | -26.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | 11252025 | 10-Q 11/1/2025 |
| 7312025 | 8292025 | 10-Q 8/2/2025 |
| 4302025 | 5302025 | 10-Q 5/3/2025 |
| 1312025 | 3182025 | 10-K 1/31/2025 |
| 10312024 | 11262024 | 10-Q 11/2/2024 |
| 7312024 | 8302024 | 10-Q 8/3/2024 |
| 4302024 | 5312024 | 10-Q 5/4/2024 |
| 1312024 | 3192024 | 10-K 2/3/2024 |
| 10312023 | 11212023 | 10-Q 10/28/2023 |
| 7312023 | 8252023 | 10-Q 7/29/2023 |
| 4302023 | 5262023 | 10-Q 4/29/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3142023 | 10-K 1/28/2023 |
| 10312022 | 11222022 | 10-Q 10/29/2022 |
| 7312022 | 8262022 | 10-Q 7/30/2022 |
| 4302022 | 5272022 | 10-Q 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3152022 | 10-K 1/29/2022 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Donohue Elisabeth B | 11262025 | Sell | 27.11 | 3,000 | 81,332 | 27,110 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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