YETI (YETI)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $42.96 | Market Cap: $3.5 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Leisure Products
YETI (YETI)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $42.96Market Cap: $3.5 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Leisure Products
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.0%, FCF Yield is 6.8% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -55%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -74% | Key risksYETI key risks include [1] earnings pressure from tariffs on its Chinese-manufactured goods and [2] sales headwinds from inventory constraints and supply disruptions as it strategically diversifies its manufacturing away from China. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 46% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Outdoor Lifestyle & Recreation, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Premium Outdoor Gear, Durable Consumer Goods, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.0%, FCF Yield is 6.8% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 46% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Outdoor Lifestyle & Recreation, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Premium Outdoor Gear, Durable Consumer Goods, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -55%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -74% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% |
| Key risksYETI key risks include [1] earnings pressure from tariffs on its Chinese-manufactured goods and [2] sales headwinds from inventory constraints and supply disruptions as it strategically diversifies its manufacturing away from China. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
YETI Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The search results indicate that YETI's stock has indeed moved significantly within the specified period, and multiple articles discuss its performance and the reasons behind it. Several sources mention YETI reaching a new 52-week high in December 2025 and a 90-day gain of 21.48% as of December 17, 2025. This aligns with the user's requested 22.2% movement. I can now extract the key points. 1. **Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Beat:** YETI reported Q3 2025 earnings per share (EPS) of $0.61, surpassing analyst expectations of $0.58. Revenue also exceeded forecasts, reaching $487.8 million against an anticipated $480.3 million. This positive earnings surprise contributed to a positive outlook among investors. 2. **Increased Full-Year 2025 Guidance:** Following the strong third-quarter results, YETI raised its full-year earnings outlook for 2025. The company now expects adjusted earnings per share between $2.38 and $2.49, an improvement from its previous guidance, and adjusted sales growth of 1% to 2%. This optimistic revision signaled confidence in future performance. 3. **International Expansion and Coolers & Equipment Growth:** The company experienced robust 14% growth in international markets and strong performance in its Coolers & Equipment category, which grew 12% year-over-year. This helped offset challenges in the domestic drinkware business. International sales now represent approximately 20% of total revenue in fiscal year 2025 to date, with strong growth in Europe and the launch in Japan. 4. **Share Repurchase Program and Strategic Acquisitions:** YETI continued its share repurchase program, buying back approximately $173 million worth of shares year-to-date by Q3 2025. In the second quarter of 2025, YETI repurchased 0.7 million shares for $23 million and announced plans to complete approximately $200 million in share repurchases for 2025. Additionally, in August 2025, the company acquired assets related to a shaker bottle for $38 million in cash, reflecting its commitment to product innovation and portfolio diversification. 5. **Positive Analyst Revisions and Price Target Increases:** Multiple analysts revised their earnings expectations upwards and increased price targets for YETI. For example, Stifel raised its price target to $43 from $34, and Morgan Stanley lifted its target from $37.00 to $39.00. William Blair reiterated an "Outperform" rating, expressing confidence in the company's growth prospects into 2026. These favorable analyst sentiments likely contributed to investor confidence and stock appreciation.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| YETI Return | 97% | 21% | -50% | 25% | -26% | 12% | 24% |
| Peers Return | 25% | 18% | -24% | 15% | 5% | -38% | -15% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| YETI Win Rate | 75% | 67% | 25% | 58% | 33% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 63% | 62% | 35% | 53% | 50% | 47% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| YETI Max Drawdown | -55% | -5% | -66% | -15% | -34% | -30% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -46% | -3% | -42% | -20% | -27% | -55% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HELE, NWL, COLM, DECK, BC. See YETI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | YETI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -73.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 277.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -58.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 143.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 87 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -34.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 53.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 52 days | 120 days |
Compare to HAS, MAT, PTON, MODG, THO
In The Past
YETI's stock fell -73.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/5/2021. A -73.5% loss requires a 277.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to YETI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.0% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.4% | 6.4% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.1% | 17.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -1.6% |
| 10102025 | YETI | YETI | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 33.8% | 33.8% | 0.0% |
| 02292024 | YETI | YETI | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.6% | -13.2% | -16.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.0% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.4% | 6.4% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.1% | 17.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -1.6% |
| 10102025 | YETI | YETI | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 33.8% | 33.8% | 0.0% |
| 02292024 | YETI | YETI | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.6% | -13.2% | -16.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for YETI
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 49.81 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.3 |
| Rev LTM | 4,274 |
| Op Inc LTM | 275 |
| FCF LTM | 176 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 322 |
| CFO LTM | 280 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 487 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -1.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -3.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 1.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 8.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 10.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 10.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.3 |
| P/S | 0.8 |
| P/EBIT | 9.4 |
| P/E | 7.2 |
| P/CFO | 8.7 |
| Total Yield | 4.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.9% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 18.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -1.7% |
| 6M Rtn | -1.6% |
| 12M Rtn | -43.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | -13.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 17.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -4.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -14.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -53.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -87.4% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/6/2025 | 5.2% | 15.6% | 28.5% |
| 8/7/2025 | -10.3% | -2.9% | -0.3% |
| 5/8/2025 | 6.0% | 12.3% | 13.0% |
| 2/13/2025 | -0.9% | -2.6% | -15.1% |
| 11/7/2024 | 7.6% | 12.5% | 17.5% |
| 8/8/2024 | 16.4% | 8.0% | 0.8% |
| 5/9/2024 | 12.8% | 18.0% | 23.6% |
| 2/15/2024 | -13.8% | -21.3% | -23.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 13 | 13 |
| # Negative | 11 | 11 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 6.0% | 12.3% | 17.5% |
| Median Negative | -1.6% | -5.1% | -9.6% |
| Max Positive | 31.6% | 41.9% | 47.2% |
| Max Negative | -18.8% | -21.3% | -34.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/27/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/28/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/29/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2242025 | 10-K 12/28/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/28/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/29/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/30/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2262024 | 10-K 12/30/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8102023 | 10-Q 7/1/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5112023 | 10-Q 4/1/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2272023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11102022 | 10-Q 10/1/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8112022 | 10-Q 7/2/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5112022 | 10-Q 4/2/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2282022 | 10-K 1/1/2022 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |