Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.2%, Dividend Yield is 3.3%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -64%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -86%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -12%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
  Key risks
WY key risks include [1] potential failure to maintain its timberlands REIT qualification under complex regulations and [2] the concentrated real estate investment risk inherent in its massive portfolio of approximately 11 million acres of timberlands.
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Green Building Materials, Resource Efficiency Solutions, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.2%, Dividend Yield is 3.3%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Green Building Materials, Resource Efficiency Solutions, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -64%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -86%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -12%
6 Key risks
WY key risks include [1] potential failure to maintain its timberlands REIT qualification under complex regulations and [2] the concentrated real estate investment risk inherent in its massive portfolio of approximately 11 million acres of timberlands.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

WY Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Weyerhaeuser's (WY) stock moved by -7.4% in the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:

1. Weakness in Housing Construction Activity and Lumber Demand: The persistent downturn in housing construction significantly impacted lumber demand and pricing, creating a substantial challenge for Weyerhaeuser's core wood products business and contributing to reduced profitability.

2. Declining Sales and Earnings: Weyerhaeuser experienced a reduction in sales and earnings across its segments, driven by decreases in both sales volumes and pricing. For example, in its third-quarter 2025 earnings, despite an EPS beat, overall investor sentiment was cautious due to broader market trends and operational difficulties.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
WY Return13%27%-20%18%-17%-15%-4%
Peers Return61%-17%34%2%-16%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
WY Win Rate50%58%33%42%50%33% 
Peers Win Rate51%65%48%52%52%47% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
WY Max Drawdown-55%-7%-29%-6%-21%-22% 
Peers Max Drawdown-2%-28%-12%-14%-24% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RYN, PCH, WFG, LPX, BCC. See WY Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventWYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-34.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven52.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-57.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven132.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven261 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-45.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven81.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven843 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-77.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven345.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1,480 days

Compare to PLD, RYN, PCH, WY


In The Past

Weyerhaeuser's stock fell -34.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/4/2022. A -34.3% loss requires a 52.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Weyerhaeuser (WY)

Better Bets than Weyerhaeuser (WY)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to WY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-1.7%-1.7%-5.8%
WY_9302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302022WYWeyerhaeuserDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.6%12.9%0.0%
WY_12312018_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield12312018WYWeyerhaeuserDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
24.2%45.6%-1.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-1.7%-1.7%-5.8%
WY_9302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302022WYWeyerhaeuserDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.6%12.9%0.0%
WY_12312018_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield12312018WYWeyerhaeuserDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
24.2%45.6%-1.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Weyerhaeuser

Peers to compare with:

Financials

WYRYNPCHWFGLPXBCCMedian
NameWeyerhae.Rayonier Potlatch.West Fra.Louisian.Boise Ca. 
Mkt Price23.7322.4641.3061.6184.4476.2951.45
Mkt Cap17.13.53.24.85.92.94.2
Rev LTM7,0721,2931,1165,7032,8226,5124,262
Op Inc LTM59542892-253340260300
FCF LTM8919911913142-64104
FCF 3Y Avg466366572149264110
CFO LTM894293201441420218356
CFO 3Y Avg1,095275179533426492459

Growth & Margins

WYRYNPCHWFGLPXBCCMedian
NameWeyerhae.Rayonier Potlatch.West Fra.Louisian.Boise Ca. 
Rev Chg LTM-1.6%60.6%5.4%-9.2%-3.3%-4.3%-2.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-11.8%15.7%-4.7%-16.2%-8.8%-8.2%-8.5%
Rev Chg Q2.1%43.1%23.1%-9.0%-8.2%-2.7%-0.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.5%4.3%5.6%-2.2%-2.0%-0.7%-0.1%
Op Mgn LTM8.4%33.2%8.2%-4.4%12.0%4.0%8.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg11.4%23.3%5.3%-1.3%14.1%7.1%9.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.5%0.4%2.4%-3.3%-2.7%-1.3%-0.9%
CFO/Rev LTM12.6%22.6%18.0%7.7%14.9%3.3%13.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg14.9%29.2%16.7%8.6%15.0%7.3%14.9%
FCF/Rev LTM1.3%15.4%10.6%0.2%5.0%-1.0%3.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg6.2%1.8%6.1%1.1%4.9%3.9%4.4%

Valuation

WYRYNPCHWFGLPXBCCMedian
NameWeyerhae.Rayonier Potlatch.West Fra.Louisian.Boise Ca. 
Mkt Cap17.13.53.24.85.92.94.2
P/S2.53.22.80.92.20.42.4
P/EBIT30.89.334.2-20.020.510.315.4
P/E54.05.349.2-21.628.815.021.9
P/CFO20.014.015.712.114.813.314.4
Total Yield5.2%24.7%6.5%-2.7%4.7%7.9%5.8%
Dividend Yield3.3%5.8%4.4%1.9%1.2%1.2%2.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.0%0.7%2.0%1.1%1.4%5.7%1.7%
D/E0.30.30.30.10.10.20.2
Net D/E0.30.00.3-0.00.00.00.0

Returns

WYRYNPCHWFGLPXBCCMedian
NameWeyerhae.Rayonier Potlatch.West Fra.Louisian.Boise Ca. 
1M Rtn11.4%5.9%8.7%4.3%13.2%14.8%10.0%
3M Rtn-2.2%-6.2%3.4%-14.9%-6.2%-4.9%-5.5%
6M Rtn-7.0%7.8%10.1%-16.0%-1.8%-8.6%-4.4%
12M Rtn-16.5%-10.4%4.2%-28.7%-22.8%-42.1%-19.7%
3Y Rtn-15.1%-18.5%4.8%-10.5%42.1%24.4%-2.9%
1M Excs Rtn10.6%5.2%8.0%3.5%12.5%14.1%9.3%
3M Excs Rtn-3.7%-8.7%1.3%-17.1%-8.2%-7.5%-7.8%
6M Excs Rtn-19.4%-4.6%-2.3%-28.4%-14.2%-21.0%-16.8%
12M Excs Rtn-29.5%-23.8%-9.0%-41.1%-35.3%-54.5%-32.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-86.2%-89.7%-67.4%-83.8%-33.1%-46.8%-75.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Wood Products5,6577,9588,2215,7904,623
Timberlands2,2262,4191,6361,4661,618
Real Estate, Energy and Natural Resources (ENR)363368344276313
Unallocated items and intersegment eliminations-572-561   
Total7,67410,18410,2017,5326,554


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Timberlands and Real Estate & ENR (Energy and Natural Resources)12,59612,68212,73712,87413,130
Wood Products3,0732,9332,8912,6192,452
Unallocated Items1,3141,7252,024818824
Total16,98317,34017,65216,31116,406


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity15,493,814
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520251.9%
Average Daily Volume5,839,564
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.65
Basic Shares Quantity721,598,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/2025-2.2%-2.9%-6.0%
7/24/20253.1%-2.5%4.5%
4/24/2025-2.7%1.3%-1.1%
1/30/2025-1.1%-1.7%1.4%
10/24/2024-1.0%-3.0%-2.8%
7/25/20244.3%5.3%3.5%
4/25/2024-1.3%-1.4%-4.0%
1/25/2024-0.6%0.4%-1.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121211
# Negative121213
Median Positive1.9%3.4%6.2%
Median Negative-1.5%-3.0%-3.9%
Max Positive4.6%9.1%9.0%
Max Negative-17.8%-14.8%-8.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251031202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025725202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025425202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024214202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241025202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024726202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024426202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023216202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231027202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023728202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023428202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022217202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221028202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022729202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022429202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021218202210-K 12/31/2021