Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.7%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -76%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -49%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.3%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.2%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.7%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 37%
  
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Green Building Materials, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.7%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 37%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Green Building Materials, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -76%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -49%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.3%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.2%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.7%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BCC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Boise Cascade (BCC) stock moved by -11.5% during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Significant Decline in Q3 2025 Net Income: Boise Cascade reported a substantial 76% year-over-year decrease in net income for the third quarter of 2025, falling to $21.8 million ($0.58 per share) from $91.0 million ($2.33 per share) in Q3 2024. This figure also missed analyst expectations of $0.73 per share.

2. Year-over-Year Drop in Consolidated Sales: The company's consolidated sales for Q3 2025 decreased by 3% to $1.7 billion compared to the same period in 2024.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BCC Return37%62%2%107%-4%-36%186%
Peers Return35%133%-22%35%33%-12%289%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BCC Win Rate50%58%50%67%58%30% 
Peers Win Rate67%72%33%58%58%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BCC Max Drawdown-43%-3%-19%-12%-11%-44% 
Peers Max Drawdown-47%-3%-48%-17%-11%-33% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EXP, TGLS, ASPN, TT, JCI. See BCC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBCCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-34.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven53.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven275 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-49.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven98.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven117 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-55.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven122.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven725 days120 days

Compare to EXP, TGLS, ASPN, TT, JCI


In The Past

Boise Cascade's stock fell -34.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/7/2022. A -34.9% loss requires a 53.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Boise Cascade (BCC)

Better Bets than Boise Cascade (BCC)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BCC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
BCC_6302022_Dip_Buyer_2_Growing_With_High_FCF_Yield06302022BCCBoise CascadeDip BuyDB | Growth | FCF YieldDip Buy with Growth and High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with growth, and significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap)
20.3%61.5%-6.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
BCC_6302022_Dip_Buyer_2_Growing_With_High_FCF_Yield06302022BCCBoise CascadeDip BuyDB | Growth | FCF YieldDip Buy with Growth and High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with growth, and significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap)
20.3%61.5%-6.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Boise Cascade

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BCCEXPTGLSASPNTTJCIMedian
NameBoise Ca.Eagle Ma.Tecnogla.Aspen Ae.Trane Te.Johnson . 
Mkt Price76.56224.0150.893.48409.07114.2295.39
Mkt Cap2.97.22.40.391.174.95.0
Rev LTM6,5122,30297835321,05123,4024,407
Op Inc LTM260585258123,9562,898423
FCF LTM-642445832,5332,868151
FCF 3Y Avg26437667-1202,4312,014320
CFO LTM218524166522,9363,367371
CFO 3Y Avg492565155-12,7772,448529

Growth & Margins

BCCEXPTGLSASPNTTJCIMedian
NameBoise Ca.Eagle Ma.Tecnogla.Aspen Ae.Trane Te.Johnson . 
Rev Chg LTM-4.3%1.5%15.7%-14.7%8.6%22.2%5.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-8.2%4.1%16.2%39.7%10.8%-0.9%7.4%
Rev Chg Q-2.7%2.5%9.3%-37.8%5.5%2.6%2.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.7%0.7%2.3%-11.2%1.5%0.7%0.7%
Op Mgn LTM4.0%25.4%26.4%3.3%18.8%12.4%15.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg7.1%27.1%28.7%-4.8%17.4%11.1%14.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.3%-0.5%-0.9%-4.5%0.4%-1.7%-1.1%
CFO/Rev LTM3.3%22.8%17.0%14.9%13.9%14.4%14.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg7.3%25.0%17.4%-4.4%14.4%11.3%12.8%
FCF/Rev LTM-1.0%10.6%6.0%0.8%12.0%12.3%8.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.9%16.7%7.6%-49.2%12.6%9.3%8.4%

Valuation

BCCEXPTGLSASPNTTJCIMedian
NameBoise Ca.Eagle Ma.Tecnogla.Aspen Ae.Trane Te.Johnson . 
Mkt Cap2.97.22.40.391.174.95.0
P/S0.43.33.21.64.53.03.1
P/EBIT10.312.312.1-2.024.027.112.2
P/E15.016.817.4-1.932.031.017.1
P/CFO13.314.418.910.932.020.616.6
Total Yield7.9%6.2%6.6%-53.2%4.0%4.6%5.4%
Dividend Yield1.2%0.2%0.8%0.0%0.9%1.4%0.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.7%5.1%2.7%-16.4%3.4%3.7%3.5%
D/E0.20.20.00.30.00.10.2
Net D/E0.00.2-0.0-0.00.00.10.0

Returns

BCCEXPTGLSASPNTTJCIMedian
NameBoise Ca.Eagle Ma.Tecnogla.Aspen Ae.Trane Te.Johnson . 
1M Rtn12.4%8.8%-13.2%-55.1%-8.3%0.9%-3.7%
3M Rtn-8.6%0.1%-27.6%-47.8%0.4%8.8%-4.2%
6M Rtn-12.1%11.7%-40.1%-41.1%-5.0%12.4%-8.5%
12M Rtn-47.2%-25.6%-37.3%-74.8%0.1%40.8%-31.5%
3Y Rtn21.0%66.5%65.5%-73.1%136.2%78.6%66.0%
1M Excs Rtn12.4%8.9%-13.2%-55.1%-8.3%1.0%-3.7%
3M Excs Rtn-17.3%-8.9%-34.5%-50.5%-6.1%1.7%-13.1%
6M Excs Rtn-26.8%-3.0%-54.9%-55.8%-19.7%-2.3%-23.3%
12M Excs Rtn-61.1%-40.7%-50.2%-90.0%-14.4%24.9%-45.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-48.9%-1.3%12.4%-143.7%70.5%12.0%5.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Building Materials Distribution6,1797,6447,1744,9524,138
Wood Products1,9332,1161,9711,3241,275
Intersegment eliminations-1,273-1,372-1,219-801-769
Total6,8388,3877,9265,4754,643


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Wood Products33757553112854
Building Materials Distribution336627481247116
Unallocated corporate costs-49-44-41-40-34
Total6241,158972335136


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Building Materials Distribution1,4401,0761,192957768
Wood Products1,0841,120721605635
Corporate9351,045659403290
Total3,4593,2412,5731,9661,693


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity975,697
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120253.0%
Average Daily Volume580,411
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.68
Basic Shares Quantity37,385,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251103202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025804202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025505202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241104202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024805202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024506202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023220202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231030202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023731202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022221202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221031202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022801202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021222202210-K 12/31/2021