W&T Offshore (WTI)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.835 | Market Cap: $272.7 MilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
W&T Offshore (WTI)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.835Market Cap: $272.7 MilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 2.2% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -96%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -145% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -51 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -10% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US Oil & Gas Production, and Offshore Oil & Gas Production. | Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.81, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 84% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -17% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.4% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -56% |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 2.2% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US Oil & Gas Production, and Offshore Oil & Gas Production. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -96%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -145% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.81, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -51 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -10% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 84% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -17% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.4% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -56% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
WTI Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The requested time period for W&T Offshore (WTI) stock movement, from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, is in the future. Therefore, actual historical stock performance data and definitive reasons for a -1.1% movement during this period are not available. However, based on available forward-looking statements and recent announcements that precede and fall within parts of this specified period, here are some key points that could influence the stock: 1. W&T Offshore's Q3 2025 Earnings and Outlook: W&T Offshore announced its third-quarter 2025 results on November 5, 2025. The company reported beating EPS forecasts but missing revenue forecasts, which caused shares to drop 2.78% after hours. Management highlighted a 6% quarter-over-quarter production increase and an 11% growth in adjusted EBITDA, despite lower commodity prices. They also noted a reduction in lease operating expenses and net debt, and projected Q4 2025 production to be around 36,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day. 2. EIA and Analyst Price Forecasts for WTI Crude: Throughout the latter half of 2025, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) and various financial institutions (J.P. Morgan, Macquarie, Standard Chartered) have provided forecasts for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil prices. These forecasts show varying expectations for WTI crude prices, with some predicting a move into the $50s (or below) by late 2025/early 2026 due to anticipated inventory builds, while others offered slightly higher price outlooks for 2025 due to geopolitical risks. Since W&T Offshore is an oil and natural gas producer, movements in crude oil prices directly impact its profitability and, consequently, its stock performance.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| WTI Return | -61% | 49% | 73% | -41% | -48% | 1% | -69% |
| Peers Return | -36% | 83% | 62% | 2% | -2% | -4% | 81% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| WTI Win Rate | 25% | 58% | 58% | 25% | 8% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 63% | 65% | 53% | 47% | 54% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| WTI Max Drawdown | -80% | 0% | 0% | -47% | -57% | -33% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -66% | -2% | 0% | -18% | -11% | -17% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EPM, BSM, COP, CNQ, EOG. See WTI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | WTI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -67.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 205.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -81.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 433.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 721 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -62.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 165.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -91.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1028.9% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1480 days |
Compare to EPM, BSM, COP, CNQ, EOG
In The Past
W&T Offshore's stock fell -67.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/7/2022. A -67.3% loss requires a 205.8% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to WTI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.8% | 11.8% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.7% | 17.7% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.7% | 5.7% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 25.5% | 25.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.7% | 0.7% | -5.7% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.8% | 11.8% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.7% | 17.7% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.7% | 5.7% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 25.5% | 25.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.7% | 0.7% | -5.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for W&T Offshore
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 34.13 |
| Mkt Cap | 60.3 |
| Rev LTM | 11,540 |
| Op Inc LTM | 3,908 |
| FCF LTM | 2,058 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,769 |
| CFO LTM | 5,266 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 5,945 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -2.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -7.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 20.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 23.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.9% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 35.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 35.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 15.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 60.3 |
| P/S | 1.8 |
| P/EBIT | 8.1 |
| P/E | 11.0 |
| P/CFO | 5.8 |
| Total Yield | 11.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.9% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.6% |
| 3M Rtn | -2.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 8.7% |
| 12M Rtn | -10.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | -16.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -8.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -6.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -25.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -90.4% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8052025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3042025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5102024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3062024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3082023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8082022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3092022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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