Tearsheet

Talos Energy (TALO)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $11.875 | Market Cap: $2.1 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Talos Energy (TALO)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $11.875
Market Cap: $2.1 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 58%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 58%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -5.1 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.3%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 65%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -66%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -111%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 55%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Energy Security & Supply. Themes include Carbon Capture & Storage, and Offshore Hydrocarbon Production.
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -12%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -26%
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 58%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 58%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 65%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Energy Security & Supply. Themes include Carbon Capture & Storage, and Offshore Hydrocarbon Production.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -66%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -111%
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -5.1 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.3%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 55%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -12%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -26%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TALO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Talos Energy (TALO) experienced significant positive stock movement, with several key factors contributing to its performance in the approximate period leading up to early December 2025.

1. Strategic Acquisition of QuarterNorth Energy. In January 2024, Talos Energy announced the acquisition of QuarterNorth Energy for $1.29 billion. This transaction was projected to immediately increase Talos's production by approximately 30 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day (MBoe/d) for 2024 and add about 69 million barrels of oil equivalent (MMBoe) in proved reserves. The acquisition was expected to be immediately accretive to shareholders on key financial metrics and generate approximately $50 million in annual run-rate synergies by year-end 2024.

2. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results. Talos Energy reported impressive third-quarter 2025 earnings, surpassing analysts' expectations for both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue. The company achieved an EPS of -$0.19 against an anticipated -$0.36, and revenue reached $450 million, exceeding the forecasted $426 million. This marked the fifth consecutive quarter where the company exceeded EPS forecasts, indicating robust financial performance.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TALO Return-73%19%93%-25%-32%16%-63%
Peers Return-37%91%57%10%1%-1%109%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TALO Win Rate42%58%67%42%33%70% 
Peers Win Rate40%68%62%58%50%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TALO Max Drawdown-83%0%-0%-41%-36%-34% 
Peers Max Drawdown-71%-1%0%-14%-9%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BSM, COP, CNQ, EOG, FANG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTALOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-55.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven126.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-83.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven511.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-62.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven164.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to BSM, COP, CNQ, EOG, FANG


In The Past

Talos Energy's stock fell -55.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/7/2022. A -55.8% loss requires a 126.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Talos Energy (TALO)

Better Bets than Talos Energy (TALO)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TALO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
11.8%11.8%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.7%17.7%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.7%5.7%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
25.5%25.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.7%0.7%-5.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
11.8%11.8%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.7%17.7%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.7%5.7%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
25.5%25.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.7%0.7%-5.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Talos Energy

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TALOBSMCOPCNQEOGFANGMedian
NameTalos En.Black St.ConocoPh.Canadian.EOG Reso.Diamondb. 
Mkt Price11.78-91.8134.13111.51158.3891.81
Mkt Cap2.0-114.371.360.345.760.3
Rev LTM1,87343159,78844,52122,57915,28418,932
Op Inc LTM-527812,5499,0227,5395,5846,562
FCF LTM1,0832247,0888,1243,891-1,0942,487
FCF 3Y Avg7893718,9108,2845,167-1,9662,978
CFO LTM1,08333619,93514,77010,1958,7569,476
CFO 3Y Avg79643720,72013,87411,4536,7309,091

Growth & Margins

TALOBSMCOPCNQEOGFANGMedian
NameTalos En.Black St.ConocoPh.Canadian.EOG Reso.Diamondb. 
Rev Chg LTM-0.0%-8.5%8.2%8.3%-5.0%60.1%4.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg5.3%-16.4%-6.6%-2.4%-7.6%20.8%-4.5%
Rev Chg Q-11.6%1.9%15.3%6.4%-2.3%48.2%4.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-3.1%0.5%3.4%1.5%-0.6%9.1%1.0%
Op Mgn LTM-0.3%64.3%21.0%20.3%33.4%36.5%27.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.1%66.2%24.1%21.9%36.4%46.8%30.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-2.6%1.0%-1.0%-4.3%-0.8%-1.3%-1.1%
CFO/Rev LTM57.8%77.9%33.3%33.2%45.2%57.3%51.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg45.4%88.7%35.6%32.8%49.0%62.5%47.2%
FCF/Rev LTM57.8%52.0%11.9%18.2%17.2%-7.2%17.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg45.0%73.9%15.3%19.6%22.1%-18.6%20.9%

Valuation

TALOBSMCOPCNQEOGFANGMedian
NameTalos En.Black St.ConocoPh.Canadian.EOG Reso.Diamondb. 
Mkt Cap2.0-114.371.360.345.760.3
P/S0.9-2.01.52.72.72.0
P/EBIT-6.8-8.17.68.36.97.6
P/E-4.7-13.310.011.09.910.0
P/CFO1.5-5.94.55.94.74.7
Total Yield-21.4%-10.8%17.1%12.6%12.9%12.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%-3.3%7.1%3.5%2.7%3.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg43.9%-6.9%12.0%7.6%-5.2%7.6%
D/E0.7-0.20.30.10.40.3
Net D/E0.5-0.10.30.10.40.3

Returns

TALOBSMCOPCNQEOGFANGMedian
NameTalos En.Black St.ConocoPh.Canadian.EOG Reso.Diamondb. 
1M Rtn19.4%-4.6%6.8%5.6%12.9%6.8%
3M Rtn22.7%--2.1%10.7%-6.6%12.1%10.7%
6M Rtn44.2%-8.7%13.4%2.5%15.3%13.4%
12M Rtn7.0%--10.4%5.1%-12.5%-7.3%-7.3%
3Y Rtn-40.4%--16.5%31.6%-9.3%23.4%-9.3%
1M Excs Rtn19.4%-4.7%6.8%5.6%12.9%6.8%
3M Excs Rtn16.1%--8.6%4.9%-12.8%6.4%4.9%
6M Excs Rtn29.5%--6.0%-1.4%-12.2%0.5%-1.4%
12M Excs Rtn-8.8%--25.9%-7.2%-27.0%-21.8%-21.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-110.9%--90.4%-39.2%-80.6%-47.9%-80.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Upstream1,4581,652   
Carbon capture and sequestration (CCS)0    
All Other 0  20
Natural gas  1315455
Natural gas liquid (NGL)  501520
Oil  1,064507833
Total1,4581,6521,245576928


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Upstream198    
Carbon capture and sequestration (CCS)-11    
Total187    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity9,792,629
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-14.9%
Average Daily Volume2,131,757
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.59
Basic Shares Quantity173,291,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021