Talos Energy (TALO)
Market Price (5/7/2026): $15.03 | Market Cap: $2.5 BilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Talos Energy (TALO)
Market Price (5/7/2026): $15.03Market Cap: $2.5 BilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 48%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 48% Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 33% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 49% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Energy Security & Supply. Themes include Carbon Capture & Storage, and Offshore Hydrocarbon Production. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -30%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -66% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -124 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -7.1% Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 104% Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -15%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.9% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -34% Key risksTALO key risks include [1] its operational concentration in the U.S. Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 48%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 48% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 33% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 49% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Energy Security & Supply. Themes include Carbon Capture & Storage, and Offshore Hydrocarbon Production. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -30%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -66% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -124 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -7.1% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 104% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -15%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.9% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -34% |
| Key risksTALO key risks include [1] its operational concentration in the U.S. Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Macroeconomic Tailwinds from Surging Oil Prices: The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) significantly revised its Brent crude oil price forecast for 2026, projecting an average of $96 per barrel in April, a nearly 46% increase from its January forecast of $66 per barrel. This upward revision, driven by global supply disruptions, saw Brent spot prices average $103 per barrel in March 2026 and peak at $115 per barrel in the second quarter of 2026, providing a strong positive external factor for oil producers like Talos Energy.
2. Strong Q1 2026 Operational Performance and Earnings Beat: Talos Energy reported robust first-quarter 2026 results, exceeding analyst expectations. The company's revenue of $472.31 million surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 8.9%, and its adjusted EPS of -$0.07 outperformed the consensus estimate of -$0.09 by 19.26%. Additionally, Talos exceeded its production guidance for the quarter and successfully initiated first production at its Cardona well ahead of schedule.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 26.3% change in TALO stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 32.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 11.92 | 15.05 | 26.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,873 | 1,739 | -7.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.1 | 1.5 | 32.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 173 | 168 | 2.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 26.3% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TALO | 26.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.6% | -29.8% |
| Sector (XLE) | 12.4% | 72.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 53.4% change in TALO stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 61.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 9.81 | 15.05 | 53.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,932 | 1,739 | -10.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.9 | 1.5 | 61.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 177 | 168 | 5.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 53.4% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TALO | 53.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 5.5% | -17.9% |
| Sector (XLE) | 31.3% | 69.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 118.8% change in TALO stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 132.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 6.88 | 15.05 | 118.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,974 | 1,739 | -11.9% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.6 | 1.5 | 132.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 180 | 168 | 7.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 118.8% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TALO | 118.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 30.4% | 1.9% |
| Sector (XLE) | 46.2% | 73.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 10.4% change in TALO stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 113.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302023 | 5062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 13.63 | 15.05 | 10.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,652 | 1,739 | 5.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.7 | 1.5 | 113.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 83 | 168 | -50.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 10.4% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TALO | 10.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 78.7% | 34.3% |
| Sector (XLE) | 47.7% | 73.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TALO Return | 19% | 93% | -25% | -32% | 13% | 44% | 93% |
| Peers Return | 108% | 65% | -12% | -22% | 2% | 61% | 287% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 6% | 93% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TALO Win Rate | 58% | 67% | 42% | 33% | 67% | 80% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 72% | 60% | 42% | 32% | 58% | 72% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TALO Max Drawdown | 0% | -0% | -41% | -36% | -34% | -5% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -0% | 0% | -27% | -29% | -23% | -4% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: COP, EOG, DVN, MUR, WTI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/6/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | TALO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -32.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.6% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 70 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -12.1% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 13.8% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -22.0% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.2% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 840 days | 24 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -72.7% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 266.2% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 742 days | 140 days |
In The Past
Talos Energy's stock fell -32.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 47.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | TALO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -32.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.6% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 70 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -22.0% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.2% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 840 days | 24 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -72.7% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 266.2% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 742 days | 140 days |
In The Past
Talos Energy's stock fell -32.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 47.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Talos Energy (TALO)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-2 brief analogies for Talos Energy (TALO):
- Think of them as a mining company, but instead of digging for metals or coal on land, they drill for oil and natural gas under the sea, primarily in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico.
- They're like a smaller, independent version of ExxonMobil's or Chevron's oil and gas drilling (upstream) operations, specifically targeting the U.S. Gulf of Mexico.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Oil and Natural Gas Exploration: Identifying and evaluating potential drilling sites for oil and natural gas reserves.
- Oil and Natural Gas Production: Extracting crude oil and natural gas from discovered reserves for commercial sale.
- Crude Oil: A raw fossil fuel extracted from the earth, which is processed into various petroleum products.
- Natural Gas: A gaseous fossil fuel extracted from the earth, primarily used for energy generation and heating.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Talos Energy (TALO) is an independent exploration and production company focused on oil and natural gas. As such, it sells its extracted crude oil and natural gas commodities to other companies, primarily refiners, pipeline operators, marketers, and integrated energy companies.
According to their most recent annual filings, Talos Energy's major customers and their approximate share of total oil and natural gas sales in 2023 were:
- Shell Trading (US) Company (a subsidiary of Shell plc, symbol: SHEL) - approximately 25%
- Plains Marketing, L.P. (a subsidiary of Plains All American Pipeline, L.P., symbol: PAA) - approximately 15%
- Phillips 66 Company (symbol: PSX) - approximately 14%
AI Analysis | Feedback
Paul Goodfellow, President and Chief Executive Officer
Paul Goodfellow was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer of Talos Energy Inc. in March 2025. He brings over 34 years of domestic and international experience in the oil and gas industry, having held a distinguished career at Shell plc from 1991 until joining Talos. During his tenure at Shell, Mr. Goodfellow held various senior executive roles, including leading Shell's global deepwater business across regions such as the U.S. Gulf of America, Offshore Mexico, and Brazil. He also oversaw Shell's global drilling, completion, and well intervention organization and was a key member of the Projects & Technology and Upstream leadership teams. Most recently, he served as Shell's Executive Vice President and Group Chief Internal Auditor from August 2023 to February 2025, and Executive Vice President, Deep Water, Shell Upstream from April 2019 to August 2023. Mr. Goodfellow also served as the Chairman of the Board of Shell Midstream Partners GP LP from October 2019 to August 2023.
Zachary B. Dailey, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Zachary B. Dailey was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Talos Energy, effective August 18, 2025. He has over 17 years of experience in the oil and gas sector. Mr. Dailey previously served as Vice President, Controller, and Chief Accounting Officer at Marathon Oil Corporation before its acquisition by ConocoPhillips. His nearly decade-long tenure at Marathon Oil included various leadership positions in Internal Audit, Business Development, Planning, Operations, CEO Advisor, and Investor Relations. Prior to Marathon Oil, he held finance leadership roles at LINN Energy, Berry Petroleum Company, and Morgan Keegan & Company.
Megan Dick, Executive Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer
Megan Dick was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer in August 2025. She has 23 years of experience in human resources, with more than 17 years specifically within the oil and gas industry. Ms. Dick has been with Talos Energy since July 2014, having previously served as Vice President, Human Resources, Director, Human Resources, and Manager Human Resources. Before joining Talos, Ms. Dick was a Human Resources Manager for Aurora Oil & Gas Limited, which was acquired by Baytex Energy Corp.
William S. Moss III, Executive Vice President and General Counsel
William S. Moss III (Bill Moss) is the Executive Vice President and General Counsel of Talos Energy, having joined the company in May 2013. Prior to Talos, Mr. Moss was a partner at Mayer Brown LLP in Houston, where he led the Houston Corporate Practice. His legal practice focused on mergers and acquisitions, securities offerings, and general corporate and securities matters for clients across the energy value chain. Mr. Moss initially represented Talos as outside counsel during its formation and its subsequent acquisition of Energy Resource Technology, LLC. He also represented Phoenix Exploration Company LP in its initial formation, acquisitions, and its eventual sale to a group of buyers led by Apache Corporation.
William R. Langin, Executive Vice President, Exploration & Development
William R. Langin was appointed Executive Vice President of Exploration & Development at Talos Energy in September 2025. He possesses over 22 years of domestic and international experience in the oil and gas industry, with a career encompassing exploration, development, and portfolio growth across multiple global basins. Before joining Talos, Mr. Langin served as Vice President of Exploration Portfolio and Technology at Hess Corporation, where he was responsible for defining the company's exploration portfolio and overseeing corporate planning, commercial, engineering, and seismic technology functions, until Hess's merger with Chevron. He commenced his career at Shell in 2003, holding various roles including Senior Vice President, West/Deepwater Exploration, and Vice President, Exploration – North America & Brazil.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Talos Energy (TALO) are primarily linked to the inherent volatility of the oil and natural gas industry, the operational complexities of its deepwater focus, and the evolving regulatory and geopolitical landscape.
- Volatility in Oil and Natural Gas Prices: Talos Energy's financial performance is highly susceptible to the fluctuating prices of crude oil and natural gas. Given that approximately 68% of its output is tied to crude, sustained declines in commodity prices can materially and adversely affect the company's revenue, cash flow, profitability, and access to capital, despite hedging strategies.
- Operational and Environmental Risks in the Gulf of Mexico: The company's significant concentration in the deepwater United States Gulf of Mexico exposes it to substantial operational challenges. These include weather-related risks, such as hurricanes, and the inherent hazards associated with deepwater drilling and production. Operational incidents, such as equipment failures, can lead to production delays, considerable financial costs, and reputational damage.
- Regulatory and Geopolitical Risks, Including Energy Transition: Talos Energy operates within a heavily regulated sector, making it vulnerable to changes in laws and regulations, particularly those pertaining to environmental protection and the broader energy transition. New or evolving government policies related to climate change and environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors can increase operating costs and restrict exploration and production activities. Furthermore, the company's activities in regions like offshore Mexico expose it to risks associated with legal and political instability.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The accelerating global energy transition and increasing commitments to decarbonization leading to forecasts of peak oil and natural gas demand.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The addressable markets for Talos Energy's main products, crude oil and natural gas, in their operating regions are as follows:
- United States Gulf of Mexico: The Gulf of Mexico oil and gas market was valued at approximately USD 52.20 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 73.67 billion by 2032, exhibiting a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 4.4% from 2026 to 2032.
- Offshore Mexico: The Mexico oil and gas market size specifically for offshore operations is expected to exceed USD 3.24 billion by 2031.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Talos Energy (TALO) anticipates several key drivers for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, stemming from its strategic operational initiatives and capital allocation. These drivers are primarily focused on enhancing production volumes, optimizing asset performance, and improving the value mix of its output.
- Increased Production from New Development and Exploration Projects: Talos Energy plans to drive revenue growth through new drilling activities and the development of recent discoveries. The company has commenced drilling activities at its operated Brutus, Cardona, and CPM projects, as well as the non-operated Monterrey and Monument projects. These development projects are noted to have a low break-even point. Furthermore, Talos is advancing a "very promising exploration discovery at Daenerys", with an appraisal well planned for spudding in late Q2 2026. Monument is also identified as a "High-Impact Subsalt Wilcox Discovery." The company's 2026 capital budget of $500-550 million is allocated significantly towards these development, exploration, and appraisal activities. This resource expansion from new discoveries such as Daenerys and Monument is a key operational growth driver.
- Higher Percentage of Oil Production: Talos Energy expects an increase in the proportion of oil within its total production mix. In 2026, the company forecasts oil as a percentage of total production to increase by a couple of percentage points year-over-year, reaching approximately 73%. Since oil typically commands a higher price per barrel equivalent compared to natural gas, a richer oil mix is expected to contribute positively to overall revenue.
- Debottlenecking and Optimization of Existing Infrastructure: Operational enhancements at existing facilities are projected to boost throughput and, consequently, revenue. Specifically, successful debottlenecking efforts at the Talos-operated Tarantula facility have already increased its gross processing capacity. This allowed production from the Katmai field to average over 36,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day and further raised throughput to approximately 38,000 barrels through debottlenecking. Continued optimization efforts at such facilities are a key operational growth driver.
- Return of Shut-in Wells to Production: The re-initiation of production from previously shut-in wells is also a driver for revenue growth. For instance, the Genovesa well, which experienced a shut-in due to a surface-controlled subsurface safety valve failure and impacted Q4 2025 production, is expected to return online in the second half of 2026. The anticipated return of this well, alongside other new projects, is expected to result in a higher year-end 2026 exit production rate compared to 2025.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- In 2025, Talos Energy repurchased approximately 12.6 million shares for $119.1 million, which represented about 29% of its annual free cash flow.
- During the second quarter of 2024, the company repurchased approximately 3.8 million shares for $43 million at an average price of $11.26 per share.
- As of December 31, 2025, approximately $81 million remained authorized for future share repurchases.
Share Issuance
- The acquisition of QuarterNorth Energy in January 2024 involved consideration that included 24.8 million shares of Talos common stock, alongside approximately $965 million in cash.
- In June 2021, affiliates of Apollo Global Management and Riverstone Holdings LLC, as selling stockholders, offered 5,000,000 shares of Talos Energy's common stock in a public offering; Talos did not sell any shares itself and received no proceeds from this offering.
- As part of compensation, Director Neal P. Goldman exercised restricted stock units into 25,528 shares of common stock on March 10, 2026.
Outbound Investments
- Talos Energy acquired QuarterNorth Energy Inc. for $1.29 billion in January 2024. This acquisition added approximately 30 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day (MBoe/d) in production and about 69 million barrels of oil equivalent (MMBoe) in proved reserves.
- In February 2023, Talos Energy completed the acquisition of EnVen Energy Corporation, which significantly scaled and diversified its business by integrating high-margin, oil-weighted assets and operated infrastructure.
- Talos purchased a 21.4% working interest in the Monument discovery in the Gulf of Mexico, with an expected net investment of approximately $25 million in 2024 and about $160 million over 2025 and 2026.
Capital Expenditures
- For 2026, Talos Energy anticipates capital expenditures to range from $500 million to $550 million, with a primary focus on infrastructure-led development, exploration and appraisal, and the Monument project.
- In 2025, capital expenditures totaled $494.067 million, with approximately $500 million invested in exploration and development activities.
- Talos Energy's 2024 upstream capital expenditures were projected to be between $570 million and $600 million, later revised to $510-$530 million, with drilling and subsea tie-backs being a primary focus.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Talos Energy Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| How Low Can Talos Energy Stock Really Go? | 10/17/2025 | |
| After TALO's 18% Climb in a Week, FANG Looks Like the Stronger Long-Term Play | 08/27/2025 | |
| Talos Energy (TALO) Net Income Comparison | 08/09/2025 | |
| Talos Energy (TALO) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | 08/09/2025 | |
| Talos Energy (TALO) Debt Comparison | 08/09/2025 | |
| Talos Energy (TALO) Revenue Comparison | 08/09/2025 | |
| Talos Energy (TALO) EBITDA Comparison | 08/09/2025 | |
| Talos Energy (TALO) Tax Expense Comparison | 08/09/2025 | |
| Talos Energy (TALO) Operating Income Comparison | 08/09/2025 | |
| ARTICLES | ||
| Small Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | 03/27/2026 | |
| After TALO’s 18% Climb in a Week, FANG Looks Like the Stronger Long-Term Play | 08/26/2025 |
Trade Ideas
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 03312026 | KGS | Kodiak Gas Services | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 16.3% | 16.3% | -0.7% |
| 03312026 | KOS | Kosmos Energy | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 10.8% | 10.8% | -10.8% |
| 12262025 | TPL | Texas Pacific Land | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 54.5% | 54.5% | -2.1% |
| 12122025 | NOV | NOV | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 25.4% | 25.4% | -6.5% |
| 06302024 | TALO | Talos Energy | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | -24.0% | -30.2% | -47.5% |
| 11302023 | TALO | Talos Energy | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | -17.4% | -19.2% | -31.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 42.77 |
| Mkt Cap | 17.2 |
| Rev LTM | 9,939 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,141 |
| FCF LTM | 1,819 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,176 |
| CFO LTM | 3,979 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 4,097 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -2.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -6.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | -5.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -1.4% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -23.8% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -30.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 17.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 23.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 42.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 43.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 13.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 17.2 |
| P/S | 1.9 |
| P/Op Inc | 8.4 |
| P/EBIT | 8.6 |
| P/E | 12.0 |
| P/CFO | 5.6 |
| Total Yield | 6.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.1% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -5.8% |
| 3M Rtn | 20.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 47.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 75.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 19.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -18.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 13.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 36.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 47.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -61.3% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Upstream | 1,974 | 1,458 | 1,652 | ||
| Carbon capture and sequestration (CCS) | 0 | 0 | |||
| All Other | 0 | ||||
| Natural gas | 131 | 54 | |||
| Natural gas liquid (NGL) | 50 | 15 | |||
| Oil | 1,064 | 507 | |||
| Total | 1,974 | 1,458 | 1,652 | 1,245 | 576 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carbon capture and sequestration (CCS) | 65 | -11 | |||
| Upstream | -141 | 198 | |||
| Total | -76 | 187 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $15.05 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 2.6 | |
| First Trading Date | 04/02/2018 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -9.2% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $14.59 | $11.41 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 3.2% | 31.9% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 61.4% | 48.8% |
| Downside Capture | -1.05 | -0.39 |
| Upside Capture | -60.38 | 33.52 |
| Correlation (SPY) | -28.2% | 1.1% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -3.09 | -1.77 | -1.20 | -0.68 | 0.07 | 1.08 |
| Up Beta | -3.16 | -3.60 | -2.61 | -1.96 | -0.29 | 1.30 |
| Down Beta | -7.75 | -0.21 | 1.29 | 0.88 | 1.11 | 1.63 |
| Up Capture | -106% | -47% | -57% | -7% | 27% | 29% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 39 | 72 | 140 | 381 |
| Down Capture | -780% | -285% | -277% | -208% | -113% | 89% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 14 | 24 | 49 | 106 | 357 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TALO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TALO | 121.3% | 48.8% | 1.80 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 46.4% | 19.9% | 1.79 | 73.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 28.5% | 12.5% | 1.78 | 0.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 40.6% | 27.2% | 1.23 | -2.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 50.9% | 18.0% | 2.20 | 53.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 12.8% | 13.5% | 0.65 | -0.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -14.2% | 42.1% | -0.25 | 13.3% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TALO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TALO | 5.7% | 56.1% | 0.32 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 22.1% | 26.1% | 0.76 | 75.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.7% | 17.1% | 0.58 | 34.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.0% | 17.9% | 0.96 | 10.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 13.9% | 19.1% | 0.60 | 57.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.5% | 18.8% | 0.09 | 27.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 8.7% | 56.1% | 0.37 | 14.2% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TALO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TALO | -7.8% | 64.4% | 0.12 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 9.6% | 29.5% | 0.36 | 71.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.9% | 17.9% | 0.71 | 38.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.7% | 16.0% | 0.71 | 2.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.5% | 17.7% | 0.45 | 53.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.7% | 20.7% | 0.24 | 30.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 68.4% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 10.2% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/6/2026 | |||
| 2/25/2026 | 2.1% | 15.1% | 46.1% |
| 11/6/2025 | 6.1% | 7.9% | 21.2% |
| 8/6/2025 | 0.8% | 6.7% | 21.6% |
| 5/22/2025 | 0.1% | 1.4% | 7.9% |
| 2/27/2025 | -1.5% | -8.5% | 4.0% |
| 11/12/2024 | 1.7% | -3.1% | -12.9% |
| 8/8/2024 | -3.4% | -1.0% | -9.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 13 | 12 |
| # Negative | 10 | 9 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 3.2% | 6.0% | 21.4% |
| Median Negative | -3.5% | -8.5% | -12.1% |
| Max Positive | 7.6% | 17.5% | 61.5% |
| Max Negative | -10.7% | -15.5% | -19.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/06/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/25/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/27/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/29/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/01/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/05/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/25/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Avg Daily Production (MBo/d) | 60.00 Mil | 62.00 Mil | 64.00 Mil | Higher New | |||
| Q1 2026 Avg Daily Production (MBoe/d) | 84.00 Mil | 86.00 Mil | 88.00 Mil | Higher New | |||
| 2026 Capital Expenditures | 500.00 Mil | 525.00 Mil | 550.00 Mil | Higher New | |||
| 2026 P&A Expenditures | 100.00 Mil | 115.00 Mil | 130.00 Mil | Higher New | |||
| 2026 Avg Daily Production (MBoe/d) | 85 | 87.5 | 90 | -99.9% | Lower New | Guidance: 95,500 for 2025 | |
| 2026 Avg Daily Production (MBo/d) | 62 | 64 | 66 | Higher New | |||
| 2026 Cash Operating Expenses and Workovers | 560.00 Mil | 575.00 Mil | 590.00 Mil | Higher New | |||
| 2026 G&A | 130.00 Mil | 135.00 Mil | 140.00 Mil | Higher New | |||
| 2026 Interest Expense | 155.00 Mil | 160.00 Mil | 165.00 Mil | Higher New | |||
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/6/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2025 Oil Production Percentage | 0.72 | ||||||
| 2025 Average Daily Production | 94,000 | 95,500 | 97,000 | 2.7% | Raised | Guidance: 93,000 for 2025 | |
| 2026 Free Cash Flow Enhancements | 100.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 100.00 Mil for 2026 | |||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Control, Empresarial DE Capitales SA DE CV | Direct | Sell | 3302026 | 16.68 | 1,352,000 | 22,551,630 | 687,784,761 | Form | |
| 2 | Control, Empresarial DE Capitales SA DE CV | Direct | Sell | 3302026 | 16.65 | 960,000 | 15,988,320 | 709,241,942 | Form | |
| 3 | Glover, Paula R | Direct | Sell | 9052025 | 9.69 | 6,159 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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