Tearsheet

Chord Energy (CHRD)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $96.0 | Market Cap: $5.5 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Chord Energy (CHRD)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $96.0
Market Cap: $5.5 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.9%, Dividend Yield is 5.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.8%, FCF Yield is 15%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -84%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -93%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -9.5%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, CFO LTM is 2.2 Bil
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 42%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies, and US LNG.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.9%, Dividend Yield is 5.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.8%, FCF Yield is 15%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, CFO LTM is 2.2 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 42%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies, and US LNG.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -84%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -93%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -9.5%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CHRD Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Chord Energy's stock (CHRD) moved by -11.5% from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Strategic Acquisition and Senior Notes Offering. Chord Energy announced a strategic acquisition of Williston Basin assets on September 15, 2025, followed by the upsizing and pricing of a $750 million offering of senior notes on September 16, 2025. This debt issuance, likely to fund the acquisition, may have raised concerns about increased leverage and future interest expenses among investors.

2. Weakening Crude Oil Prices. Crude oil prices experienced a general downtrend during the period. After tumbling in early August due to OPEC+ plans to unwind output cuts, WTI crude futures were around $62.84 per barrel by August 13, 2025, and by December 1, 2025, crude oil was trading at approximately $59.050, marking a medium-term downtrend. This sustained weakness in a primary commodity for Chord Energy likely impacted investor sentiment.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CHRD Return-261%35%32%-25%-16%303%
Peers Return-27%122%58%5%-1%2%170%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CHRD Win Rate100%75%58%83%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate45%60%62%52%45%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CHRD Max Drawdown-0%-5%-8%-29%-29% 
Peers Max Drawdown-69%-0%-1%-17%-14%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RRC, MUR, MGY, BSM, COP.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCHRDS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-43.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven77.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven631 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-5.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven5.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven5 days148 days

Compare to RRC, MUR, MGY, BSM, COP


In The Past

Chord Energy's stock fell -43.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/7/2022. A -43.7% loss requires a 77.6% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Chord Energy (CHRD)

Better Bets than Chord Energy (CHRD)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CHRD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Chord Energy

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CHRDRRCMURMGYBSMCOPMedian
NameChord En.Range Re.Murphy O.Magnolia.Black St.ConocoPh. 
Mkt Price95.8739.8932.9623.49-91.8139.89
Mkt Cap5.59.54.74.3-114.35.5
Rev LTM5,1622,8782,7461,32143159,7882,812
Op Inc LTM90578149246927812,549636
FCF LTM8564974054082247,088452
FCF 3Y Avg8915406484373718,910594
CFO LTM2,2021,1321,43289333619,9351,282
CFO 3Y Avg2,0101,1501,66490543720,7201,407

Growth & Margins

CHRDRRCMURMGYBSMCOPMedian
NameChord En.Range Re.Murphy O.Magnolia.Black St.ConocoPh. 
Rev Chg LTM8.4%24.7%-13.9%0.7%-8.5%8.2%4.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg18.1%-14.5%-11.7%-6.6%-16.4%-6.6%-9.2%
Rev Chg Q-9.5%16.1%-4.3%-2.5%1.9%15.3%-0.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.6%3.3%-1.2%-0.6%0.5%3.4%-0.1%
Op Mgn LTM17.5%27.2%17.9%35.5%64.3%21.0%24.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg25.4%25.1%25.4%41.4%66.2%24.1%25.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.5%1.7%-2.1%-1.9%1.0%-1.0%-1.3%
CFO/Rev LTM42.7%39.3%52.1%67.6%77.9%33.3%47.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg43.6%41.6%52.6%69.9%88.7%35.6%48.1%
FCF/Rev LTM16.6%17.3%14.8%30.9%52.0%11.9%16.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg19.5%19.1%20.3%33.7%73.9%15.3%19.9%

Valuation

CHRDRRCMURMGYBSMCOPMedian
NameChord En.Range Re.Murphy O.Magnolia.Black St.ConocoPh. 
Mkt Cap5.59.54.74.3-114.35.5
P/S1.13.11.53.3-2.02.0
P/EBIT12.411.611.69.6-8.111.6
P/E33.315.628.412.9-13.315.6
P/CFO2.67.92.84.9-5.94.9
Total Yield8.9%7.1%8.0%9.1%-10.8%8.9%
Dividend Yield5.9%0.7%4.5%1.3%-3.3%3.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg13.3%6.7%12.4%9.8%-6.9%9.8%
D/E0.30.20.50.1-0.20.2
Net D/E0.20.20.40.0-0.10.2

Returns

CHRDRRCMURMGYBSMCOPMedian
NameChord En.Range Re.Murphy O.Magnolia.Black St.ConocoPh. 
1M Rtn7.0%8.0%20.4%4.2%-4.6%7.0%
3M Rtn-9.1%16.4%33.0%-1.7%--2.1%-1.7%
6M Rtn6.4%6.3%55.9%6.7%-8.7%6.7%
12M Rtn-20.7%14.6%7.3%-12.1%--10.4%-10.4%
3Y Rtn-20.9%53.3%-19.4%-2.3%--16.5%-16.5%
1M Excs Rtn7.0%8.1%20.4%4.2%-4.7%7.0%
3M Excs Rtn-14.9%9.1%24.3%-9.2%--8.6%-8.6%
6M Excs Rtn-8.3%-8.4%41.2%-8.0%--6.0%-8.0%
12M Excs Rtn-34.2%-0.9%-6.7%-26.6%--25.9%-25.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-93.0%-27.5%-91.6%-72.1%--90.4%-90.4%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,538,556
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120254.2%
Average Daily Volume868,974
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.07
Basic Shares Quantity57,157,000
Short % of Basic Shares6.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023226202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021