Tearsheet

Chord Energy (CHRD)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $93.75 | Market Cap: $5.4 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Chord Energy (CHRD)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $93.75
Market Cap: $5.4 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.9%, Dividend Yield is 5.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.8%, FCF Yield is 15%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -76%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -83%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -9.5%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, CFO LTM is 2.2 Bil
  Key risks
CHRD key risks include [1] its heavy operational and geographic concentration in the Williston Basin.
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 42%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies, and US LNG.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.9%, Dividend Yield is 5.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.8%, FCF Yield is 15%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, CFO LTM is 2.2 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 42%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies, and US LNG.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -76%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -83%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -9.5%
6 Key risks
CHRD key risks include [1] its heavy operational and geographic concentration in the Williston Basin.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CHRD Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate -13.5% movement in Chord Energy (CHRD) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:

1. Q3 2025 Earnings Report and Market Reaction: Despite Chord Energy reporting stronger-than-expected third-quarter 2025 earnings per share of $2.35 (beating a $2.24 consensus) and revenue of $1.31 billion (above a $1.09 billion forecast) on November 4, 2025, the stock experienced a decline of 3.11% on the following day. This indicates that even positive financial results were met with selling pressure, suggesting broader market concerns or profit-taking that overshadowed the strong performance.

2. Bearish Outlook for Global Oil Prices: Forecasts from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) and other reports in the fourth quarter of 2025 projected an anticipated oversupply in global oil markets extending into 2026. This outlook, driven by robust non-OPEC+ production growth and moderating global demand, was expected to put downward pressure on crude oil prices, with Brent crude potentially falling to an average of $55 per barrel in the first quarter of 2026. Such a bearish commodity price environment directly impacts the revenue and profitability of exploration and production companies like Chord Energy.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CHRD Return261%35%32%-25%-17%
Peers Return-39%141%49%11%-10%-16%85%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CHRD Win Rate100%75%58%83%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate35%75%57%58%45%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CHRD Max Drawdown0%-5%-8%-29%-29% 
Peers Max Drawdown-75%-0%-1%-15%-19%-30% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: COP, DVN, NOG, CIVI, FANG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCHRDS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-43.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven77.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven631 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-5.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven5.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven5 days148 days

Compare to RRC, MUR, MGY, BSM, COP


In The Past

Chord Energy's stock fell -43.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/7/2022. A -43.7% loss requires a 77.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Chord Energy (CHRD)

Better Bets than Chord Energy (CHRD)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CHRD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.4%4.4%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.5%4.5%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
24.5%24.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.1%-7.1%-7.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.4%4.4%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.5%4.5%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
24.5%24.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.1%-7.1%-7.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Chord Energy

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CHRDCOPDVNNOGCIVIFANGMedian
NameChord En.ConocoPh.Devon En.Northern.Civitas .Diamondb. 
Mkt Price93.7594.9636.9522.6228.51154.0765.35
Mkt Cap5.4118.223.22.22.544.514.3
Rev LTM5,16259,78817,4702,1934,69715,28410,223
Op Inc LTM90512,5493,9586931,0405,5842,499
FCF LTM8567,0882,818-141933-1,094894
FCF 3Y Avg8918,9101,677-313598-1,966745
CFO LTM2,20219,9356,8411,4832,7358,7564,788
CFO 3Y Avg2,01020,7206,7441,3572,4986,7304,614

Growth & Margins

CHRDCOPDVNNOGCIVIFANGMedian
NameChord En.ConocoPh.Devon En.Northern.Civitas .Diamondb. 
Rev Chg LTM8.4%8.2%11.4%1.5%-6.7%60.1%8.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg18.1%-6.6%-2.1%5.9%14.4%20.8%10.1%
Rev Chg Q-9.5%15.3%7.6%-5.7%-8.8%48.2%0.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.6%3.4%1.8%-1.3%-2.3%9.1%0.2%
Op Mgn LTM17.5%21.0%22.7%31.6%22.1%36.5%22.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg25.4%24.1%28.3%39.6%30.7%46.8%29.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.5%-1.0%-1.7%-2.9%-1.1%-1.3%-1.4%
CFO/Rev LTM42.7%33.3%39.2%67.6%58.2%57.3%50.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg43.6%35.6%41.8%65.9%58.4%62.5%51.0%
FCF/Rev LTM16.6%11.9%16.1%-6.4%19.9%-7.2%14.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg19.5%15.3%10.2%-17.1%13.6%-18.6%11.9%

Valuation

CHRDCOPDVNNOGCIVIFANGMedian
NameChord En.ConocoPh.Devon En.Northern.Civitas .Diamondb. 
Mkt Cap5.4118.223.22.22.544.514.3
P/S1.12.01.31.10.62.71.2
P/EBIT12.48.15.45.82.36.96.4
P/E33.313.38.113.34.59.911.6
P/CFO2.65.93.21.61.14.72.9
Total Yield8.9%10.8%15.1%14.6%25.4%12.9%13.8%
Dividend Yield5.9%3.3%2.8%7.1%3.4%2.7%3.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg13.3%6.9%6.5%-9.0%15.9%-5.2%6.7%
D/E0.30.20.41.01.80.40.4
Net D/E0.20.10.31.01.80.40.4

Returns

CHRDCOPDVNNOGCIVIFANGMedian
NameChord En.ConocoPh.Devon En.Northern.Civitas .Diamondb. 
1M Rtn4.0%7.0%6.0%3.5%4.7%5.3%5.0%
3M Rtn-9.7%2.2%5.0%-11.1%-10.1%10.4%-3.8%
6M Rtn-7.9%3.0%10.0%-25.3%-8.0%5.0%-2.4%
12M Rtn-14.1%-0.0%18.1%-37.7%-32.5%-1.1%-7.6%
3Y Rtn-13.7%-4.4%-30.6%-17.7%-34.3%30.0%-15.7%
1M Excs Rtn3.2%6.3%5.3%2.7%3.9%4.5%4.2%
3M Excs Rtn-10.2%1.2%4.9%-13.8%-10.5%9.0%-4.5%
6M Excs Rtn-20.3%-9.4%-2.4%-37.7%-20.4%-7.4%-14.8%
12M Excs Rtn-28.2%-13.8%1.0%-52.2%-47.8%-14.1%-21.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-82.6%-74.0%-100.1%-87.8%-102.8%-38.3%-85.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Exploration and production (E&P) of crude oil, Natural gas liquids (NGLs) and natural gas3,897   
Crude oil revenues 2,367910 
Natural gas liquids (NGL) and natural gas revenues 609290 
Other services revenues 01 
Purchased Natural gas liquids (NGL) and natural gas sales 159132 
Purchased crude oil sales 511247 
Total3,8973,6471,580 


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,474,416
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-1.8%
Average Daily Volume720,386
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.82
Basic Shares Quantity57,157,000
Short % of Basic Shares6.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/2025-4.4%2.3%11.4%
8/6/2025-5.1%-3.3%-0.1%
5/6/2025-0.5%9.8%2.9%
2/25/20254.4%-4.1%6.0%
11/6/20240.7%-2.2%-10.2%
6/6/2024-1.3%0.7%-0.2%
5/7/20240.9%2.1%-4.5%
2/21/2024-3.0%-3.8%3.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111013
# Negative11129
Median Positive1.5%4.0%6.0%
Median Negative-2.1%-3.8%-2.9%
Max Positive4.8%9.8%19.1%
Max Negative-5.1%-7.7%-10.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023226202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021