Kosmos Energy (KOS)
Market Price (4/4/2026): $2.91 | Market Cap: $1.4 BilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Kosmos Energy (KOS)
Market Price (4/4/2026): $2.91Market Cap: $1.4 BilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Global Energy Supply. Themes include Deepwater Oil & Gas Exploration & Production, and LNG Project Development & Supply. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.0% Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -76%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -125% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -271 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -21% Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 212% Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -23%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -16%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -26% Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14% Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 90% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -54% Key risksKOS key risks include [1] its significant debt burden creating considerable refinancing and liquidity challenges, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Global Energy Supply. Themes include Deepwater Oil & Gas Exploration & Production, and LNG Project Development & Supply. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.0% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -76%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -125% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -271 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -21% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 212% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -23%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -16%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -26% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 90% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -54% |
| Key risksKOS key risks include [1] its significant debt burden creating considerable refinancing and liquidity challenges, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Kosmos Energy provided strong 2026 operational and financial guidance, targeting a 15% increase in production and a 20% reduction in total operating costs. This outlook was released with the Q4 2025 earnings report on March 2, 2026, and was identified as the primary catalyst for the stock's aggressive upward movement, overshadowing missed Q4 estimates. The company anticipates these improvements will result in an approximately 35% reduction in OpEx per barrel.
2. Significant operational advancements in key West African projects, particularly the Greater Tortue Ahmeyim (GTA) LNG project and the Ghanaian Jubilee and TEN fields, bolstered investor confidence. The GTA LNG project in Mauritania and Senegal reached and exceeded its nameplate capacity of 2.7 million tonnes per annum (mtpa) in December 2025, with peak production of approximately 3.0 mtpa and expectations to nearly double cargo liftings in 2026. Concurrently, the second producer well (J-74) in Ghana's Jubilee field was successfully brought online in early 2026, adding over 10,000 barrels of oil per day (bopd) and bringing Jubilee's gross production to nearly 70,000 bopd. Furthermore, license extensions for the Jubilee and TEN fields to 2040 were ratified in February 2026, leading to an expected increase in the company's 1P and 2P reserves in Ghana.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 221.8% change in KOS stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 247.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 0.91 | 2.92 | 221.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,391 | 1,288 | -7.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.3 | 1.1 | 247.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 478 | 478 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 221.8% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| KOS | 221.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 13.2% |
| Sector (XLE) | 32.5% | 36.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 75.9% change in KOS stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 103.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.66 | 2.92 | 75.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,488 | 1,288 | -13.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.5 | 1.1 | 103.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 478 | 478 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 75.9% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| KOS | 75.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 10.6% |
| Sector (XLE) | 33.8% | 38.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 28.1% change in KOS stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 68.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.28 | 2.92 | 28.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,675 | 1,288 | -23.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.6 | 1.1 | 68.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 472 | 478 | -1.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 28.1% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| KOS | 28.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 32.3% |
| Sector (XLE) | 30.0% | 58.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -60.8% change in KOS stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/3/2026 was primarily driven by a -42.6% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 7.44 | 2.92 | -60.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,245 | 1,288 | -42.6% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.5 | 1.1 | -28.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 456 | 478 | -4.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -60.8% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| KOS | -60.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 28.8% |
| Sector (XLE) | 56.7% | 58.2% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| KOS Return | 47% | 84% | 6% | -49% | -73% | 196% | 14% |
| Peers Return | 59% | 86% | -18% | -31% | 4% | 54% | 168% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -4% | 75% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| KOS Win Rate | 58% | 67% | 42% | 25% | 25% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 62% | 37% | 28% | 60% | 70% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| KOS Max Drawdown | -22% | 0% | -15% | -60% | -75% | -2% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -4% | -0% | -31% | -38% | -33% | -5% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: APA, OXY, MUR, TALO, WTI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/2/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | KOS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -52.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 111.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 60 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -92.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1162.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 736 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -62.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 166.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to APA, OXY, MUR, TALO, WTI
In The Past
Kosmos Energy's stock fell -52.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/24/2021. A -52.7% loss requires a 111.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Kosmos Energy (KOS)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are a couple of brief analogies for Kosmos Energy:
An independent deep-water oil and gas company, like a smaller, offshore-focused Chevron.
Think of it as an independent oil and gas exploration and production company, akin to an ExxonMobil specialized exclusively in deep-water projects off the Atlantic Margins.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Oil Production: Kosmos Energy extracts crude oil from deep-water reservoirs primarily offshore Ghana, Equatorial Guinea, and the U.S. Gulf of Mexico.
- Gas Production and Development: The company develops and produces natural gas, with a significant focus on projects offshore Mauritania and Senegal.
- Oil and Gas Exploration: Kosmos Energy actively explores new deep-water basins along the Atlantic Margins to identify and appraise potential oil and gas reserves.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Kosmos Energy (KOS) is a deep-water independent oil and gas exploration and production company. As such, it sells its crude oil and natural gas primarily to other companies rather than to individual consumers.
Based on Kosmos Energy's public filings (such as its annual 10-K reports), the company states that it does not have any single customer that individually accounts for 10% or more of its total revenues. This indicates that Kosmos Energy maintains a diversified customer base, and therefore, no single "major customer" by name is publicly identified or accounts for a dominant portion of its sales.
The company generally sells its crude oil and natural gas production to the following categories of businesses:
- Integrated oil companies
- Commodity trading houses
- National oil companies
These buyers operate in the global energy market, purchasing crude oil for refining and natural gas for distribution, power generation, or liquefaction and export.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- TechnipFMC (FTI)
- Saipem (SPM.MI)
- Golar LNG (GLNG)
- Noble Corporation (NE)
- Schlumberger (SLB)
- Halliburton (HAL)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Andrew G. Inglis Chief Executive Officer and Chairman of the Board of Directors
Andrew G. Inglis joined Kosmos Energy on March 1, 2014. Prior to joining Kosmos, he served as the Chief Executive of Petrofac's Integrated Energy Services business and was a member of its board of directors. He spent 30 years at BP plc, where his roles included Chief Executive of Exploration & Production and an executive director on the BP board from 2007 to 2010.
Neal D. Shah Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Neal D. Shah became Kosmos Energy's Chief Financial Officer in May 2020. He joined Kosmos in 2010, initially serving in various finance, treasury, investor relations, and international operations roles, including leading the Equatorial Guinea business unit. Before his tenure at Kosmos, Mr. Shah worked as an investment banker at Morgan Stanley, where he provided financing advice to oil and gas companies.
William Tuttle Senior Vice President, External Affairs
William Tuttle serves as the Senior Vice President of External Affairs at Kosmos Energy.
Josh R. Marion Senior Vice President and General Counsel
Josh R. Marion holds the position of Senior Vice President and General Counsel at Kosmos Energy.
Tim Nicholson Senior Vice President, Exploration
Tim Nicholson was promoted to Senior Vice President and Head of Exploration in April 2021. He joined Kosmos Energy in 2018 and has been instrumental in the company's infrastructure-led exploration (ILX) efforts, particularly in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico and Equatorial Guinea.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Kosmos Energy (KOS) primarily revolve around its financial leverage, the inherent volatility of the energy market, and operational challenges associated with its deep-water projects.
- High Net Debt and Interest Costs: Kosmos Energy faces significant financial risk due to its substantial net debt, which has been reported around $2.8 billion to $3.0 billion. This high debt burden leads to heavy interest costs, putting considerable pressure on the company's profitability and cash flow. Servicing this debt is a major challenge, diverting a large portion of generated cash. The company recently raised capital through an equity offering to reduce its debt, signaling the urgency of addressing this issue.
- Volatile Commodity Prices: As an oil and gas exploration and production company, Kosmos Energy's financial performance is highly susceptible to fluctuations in global oil and gas prices. Over 60% of its production is linked to the oil market, meaning even a 10% price change could significantly impact quarterly profit potential. This makes the company's profitability vulnerable to the cyclical nature of commodity markets and geopolitical events that influence energy prices.
- Execution Risks and Operational Challenges: The successful execution and ramp-up of major projects, such as the Greater Tortue Ahmeyim (GTA) LNG project and Jubilee drilling, carry considerable execution risks. The company has experienced instances of weaker financial results, including negative earnings per share and revenue decline, despite operational progress, and has adjusted its annual output guidance due to slower project ramp-ups. Additionally, Kosmos Energy faces challenges related to limited proved reserves and a dependency on third-party infrastructure.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Kosmos Energy Ltd. (symbol: KOS) operates primarily in deep-water oil and gas exploration and production (E&P) along the Atlantic Margins, with key assets in Ghana, Equatorial Guinea, the U.S. Gulf of Mexico, Mauritania, and Senegal.
The addressable markets for Kosmos Energy's main products and services are:
- Global Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Market: The global oil & gas exploration & production market size was estimated at approximately USD 5,820.40 Billion in 2024. This market is projected to grow to around USD 18,986.90 Billion by 2035, exhibiting a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 11.35% from 2025 to 2035.
- Global Deepwater Hydrocarbon Exploration Market: The global deepwater hydrocarbon exploration market, which aligns with Kosmos Energy's specialized focus, was valued at approximately USD 56.8 billion in 2024. It is projected to reach USD 81.1 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 6.1%.
For specific regional addressable market sizes for their exploration and production activities in Ghana, Equatorial Guinea, the U.S. Gulf of Mexico, and Mauritania/Senegal, direct market value (USD) figures for the E&P sector are not readily available in the provided information.
AI Analysis | Feedback
For Kosmos Energy (KOS), the following are expected drivers of future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years:
- Increased Production from Jubilee Field: Kosmos Energy anticipates meaningful production growth from its Jubilee field offshore Ghana. This is driven by the ongoing drilling campaign, with the J-74 producer well having come online in early 2026 and four additional wells planned for later in 2026. Current gross Jubilee production is already exceeding 70,000 barrels of oil per day (bopd). The recent license extensions for Jubilee until 2040 also support increased long-term investment in the field.
- Greater Tortue Ahmeyim (GTA) LNG Project Ramp-up: The GTA liquefied natural gas (LNG) project offshore Mauritania and Senegal, which commenced commercial operations in June 2025, is a significant growth driver. Production has been strong, averaging around 2.9 million tonnes per annum (mtpa) equivalent year-to-date in 2026, surpassing its nameplate capacity of 2.7 mtpa. Kosmos is targeting 32 to 36 gross LNG cargoes and three gross condensate cargoes to be shipped in 2026.
- Production from Winterfell Wells: New wells in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico, specifically the Winterfell field, are expected to contribute to sequential production increases into 2026. The Winterfell four well was drilled and operations were underway in late 2025, contributing to current production levels.
- Favorable Commodity Price Environment: While not directly an operational factor, an elevated commodity price environment for oil and gas can significantly boost revenue. BofA Securities, for instance, raised its fiscal 2026 and 2027 EBITDA estimates for Kosmos Energy, citing higher commodity prices. The company also proactively hedges its oil production to underpin cash flow stability.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Issuance
- In March 2026, Kosmos Energy launched a public offering of common stock aiming to raise $175 million, with an option for underwriters to purchase an additional $26.25 million.
- The offering was priced at $1.90 per share for 97.5 million shares, generating gross proceeds of $185.25 million, and the underwriters fully exercised their option for an additional 14.625 million shares.
- The net proceeds from this offering are intended to repay outstanding borrowings under the company's commercial debt facility and other outstanding debt.
Outbound Investments
- Kosmos Energy acquired additional interests in the Jubilee and TEN fields offshore Ghana in 2021.
- The company acquired the Kodiak field in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico in 2022.
- In February 2026, Kosmos announced the sale of its producing assets in Equatorial Guinea for up to $219.5 million, with an effective date of January 1, 2025, and expected to close midyear 2026, to accelerate debt reduction.
Capital Expenditures
- Full year capital expenditures for 2025 were approximately $290-$292 million, representing a significant reduction of nearly 70% year-on-year and the lowest level since 2017.
- Capital expenditures for 2024 were approximately $967 million, based on the stated 70% year-on-year reduction to 2025 figures.
- For 2026, expected capital expenditures are around $350 million, with approximately two-thirds (around 70%) allocated to the high-return drilling program in Jubilee, Ghana, and approximately $40 million for the acquisition of the TEN FPSO.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Kosmos Energy (KOS +7.1%): Strong 2026 Guidance Overshadows Q4 Earnings Miss | 03/04/2026 | |
| Kosmos Energy Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| Can Kosmos Energy Stock Recover If Markets Fall? | 10/17/2025 | |
| Kosmos Energy (KOS) Tax Expense Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Kosmos Energy (KOS) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Kosmos Energy (KOS) Debt Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Kosmos Energy (KOS) Operating Income Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Kosmos Energy (KOS) EBITDA Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Kosmos Energy (KOS) Net Income Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Kosmos Energy (KOS) Revenue Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| ARTICLES | ||
| Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | 12/03/2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to KOS.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03312026 | KGS | Kodiak Gas Services | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 03312026 | KOS | Kosmos Energy | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 12262025 | TPL | Texas Pacific Land | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 65.2% | 65.2% | -2.1% |
| 12122025 | NOV | NOV | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 15.3% | 15.3% | -6.5% |
| 12122025 | RIG | Transocean | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 60.5% | 60.5% | -7.0% |
| 06302024 | KOS | Kosmos Energy | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -41.2% | -69.0% | -72.6% |
| 05312023 | KOS | Kosmos Energy | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 1.7% | -9.4% |
| 09302022 | KOS | Kosmos Energy | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 43.9% | 58.2% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 28.36 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.3 |
| Rev LTM | 2,235 |
| Op Inc LTM | 187 |
| FCF LTM | 567 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 677 |
| CFO LTM | 1,092 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,191 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -9.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -14.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | -16.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -3.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 5.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 18.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -1.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 47.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 43.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 13.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.3 |
| P/S | 1.6 |
| P/EBIT | 0.6 |
| P/E | 4.2 |
| P/CFO | 5.3 |
| Total Yield | -7.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 11.1% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 19.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 58.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 63.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 80.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 2.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 23.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 67.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 66.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 41.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -59.1% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $2.92 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.4 | |
| First Trading Date | 05/11/2011 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -2.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $2.12 | $1.71 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 37.6% | 70.6% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 125.2% | 93.7% |
| Downside Capture | -1.61 | 0.14 |
| Upside Capture | 401.00 | 69.32 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 11.6% | 32.2% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -3.31 | 0.75 | 1.29 | 0.84 | 1.63 | 1.31 |
| Up Beta | -6.22 | 4.47 | 3.86 | 2.18 | 1.72 | 1.39 |
| Down Beta | -5.99 | 0.62 | 2.51 | 1.70 | 2.87 | 2.21 |
| Up Capture | -70% | 265% | 483% | 98% | 58% | 23% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 25 | 38 | 58 | 112 | 349 |
| Down Capture | -270% | -195% | -407% | -63% | 60% | 102% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 17 | 24 | 64 | 129 | 375 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with KOS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KOS | 28.0% | 95.9% | 0.69 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 29.4% | 25.2% | 0.98 | 58.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 16.1% | 19.0% | 0.67 | 32.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 50.5% | 28.0% | 1.46 | 10.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 16.2% | 17.7% | 0.77 | 63.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.6% | 16.5% | 0.04 | 22.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -21.5% | 44.0% | -0.42 | 24.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with KOS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KOS | -2.4% | 70.5% | 0.27 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 23.0% | 26.1% | 0.79 | 66.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.6% | 17.0% | 0.53 | 30.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.7% | 17.8% | 1.00 | 13.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.6% | 18.8% | 0.51 | 53.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.3% | 18.8% | 0.08 | 22.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 3.9% | 56.5% | 0.29 | 14.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with KOS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KOS | -6.2% | 76.8% | 0.28 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 11.1% | 29.5% | 0.41 | 67.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.0% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 39.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.0% | 15.9% | 0.73 | 7.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.4% | 17.6% | 0.40 | 52.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.2% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 31.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 66.2% | 66.8% | 1.06 | 11.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/3/2025 | -5.7% | -7.0% | -30.6% |
| 8/4/2025 | -2.6% | -10.3% | -6.7% |
| 5/6/2025 | -3.1% | 20.1% | 13.8% |
| 11/4/2024 | -1.6% | -1.6% | 3.5% |
| 8/5/2024 | -4.5% | -2.2% | -7.6% |
| 5/7/2024 | 2.0% | 2.4% | -2.4% |
| 2/26/2024 | -3.4% | 4.9% | -0.3% |
| 11/6/2023 | -6.6% | -7.5% | -17.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 12 | 13 |
| # Negative | 14 | 10 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 5.1% | 5.8% | 11.1% |
| Median Negative | -5.3% | -5.7% | -8.7% |
| Max Positive | 28.3% | 29.3% | 119.2% |
| Max Negative | -17.1% | -10.3% | -30.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 03/02/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/24/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/04/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/26/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/06/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/28/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/07/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/09/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/3/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2025 Production | 66,000 | 69,000 | 72,000 | 1.5% | Raised | Guidance: 68,000 for Q3 2025 | |
| Q4 2025 Opex | 15 | 16.5 | 18 | ||||
| Q4 2025 DD&A | 21 | 22 | 23 | ||||
| Q4 2025 G&A | 15.00 Mil | ||||||
| Q4 2025 Exploration Expense | 10.00 Mil | ||||||
| Q4 2025 Net Interest Expense | 55.00 Mil | 57.50 Mil | 60.00 Mil | ||||
| Q4 2025 Tax | 4 | 5 | 6 | ||||
| Q4 2025 Capital Expenditure | 80.00 Mil | 90.00 Mil | 100.00 Mil | 2.9% | Raised | Guidance: 87.50 Mil for Q3 2025 | |
| 2025 Production | 65,000 | -3.7% | Lowered | Guidance: 67,500 for 2025 | |||
| 2025 Opex | 22 | ||||||
| 2025 DD&A | 22 | 23 | 24 | ||||
| 2025 G&A | 75.00 Mil | ||||||
| 2025 Exploration Expense | 25.00 Mil | 35.00 Mil | 45.00 Mil | ||||
| 2025 Net Interest Expense | 220.00 Mil | ||||||
| 2025 Tax | 4 | 5 | 6 | ||||
| 2025 Capital Expenditure | 350.00 Mil | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 350.00 Mil for 2025 | |||
Prior: Q2 2025 Earnings Reported 8/4/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q3 2025 Production | 65,000 | 68,000 | 71,000 | ||||
| Q3 2025 Capital Expenditure | 75.00 Mil | 87.50 Mil | 100.00 Mil | ||||
| 2025 Production | 65,000 | 67,500 | 70,000 | -10.0% | Lowered | Guidance: 75,000 for 2025 | |
| 2025 Capital Expenditure | 350.00 Mil | -12.5% | Lowered | Guidance: 400.00 Mil for 2025 | |||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grant, John Douglas Kelso | Direct | Sell | 6062025 | 1.81 | 27,923 | 50,541 | 54,157 | Form | |
| 2 | Marion, Josh R | SVP and General Counsel | Direct | Sell | 2052026 | 1.37 | 19,656 | 26,929 | 270,450 | Form |
| 3 | Marion, Josh R | SVP and General Counsel | Direct | Sell | 2052026 | 1.42 | 3,284 | 4,663 | 275,658 | Form |
| 4 | Shah, Nealesh D | SVP and CFO | Direct | Sell | 2052026 | 1.37 | 54,434 | 74,575 | 2,369,904 | Form |
| 5 | Shah, Nealesh D | SVP and CFO | Direct | Sell | 2052026 | 1.42 | 24,690 | 35,060 | 2,421,337 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.