Kosmos Energy (KOS)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.1 | Market Cap: $526.1 MilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Kosmos Energy (KOS)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.1Market Cap: $526.1 MilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -134%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -155% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -105 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -7.6% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Global Energy Supply. Themes include Deepwater Oil & Gas Exploration & Production, and LNG Project Development & Supply. | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 367% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -22%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -14%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -24% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.4% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -46% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Global Energy Supply. Themes include Deepwater Oil & Gas Exploration & Production, and LNG Project Development & Supply. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -134%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -155% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -105 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -7.6% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 367% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -22%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -14%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -24% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.4% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -46% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
KOS Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
From approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, Kosmos Energy (KOS) experienced a stock decline of 39.1% due to several key factors:
1. Significant Q3 2025 Earnings Miss: Kosmos Energy announced its third-quarter 2025 results on November 3, 2025, reporting a net loss of $124 million, or $0.26 per diluted share, and an adjusted net loss of $72 million, or $0.15 per diluted share. This performance missed analysts' consensus estimates for both earnings per share and revenue, which was reported at $311 million against an estimated $360.82 million.
2. Substantial Year-over-Year Decline in Net Income: The net loss of $124.3 million in Q3 2025 represented a significant deterioration compared to a net income of $44.97 million in the third quarter of 2024, marking a 376.4% decline.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| KOS Return | -58% | 47% | 84% | 6% | -49% | -69% | -81% |
| Peers Return | -44% | 83% | 78% | 14% | -8% | 11% | 110% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| KOS Win Rate | 42% | 58% | 67% | 42% | 25% | 30% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 40% | 63% | 63% | 55% | 43% | 46% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| KOS Max Drawdown | -91% | -22% | 0% | -15% | -60% | -69% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -73% | -2% | 0% | -16% | -18% | -21% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CVI, NOG, BSM, COP, CNQ.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | KOS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -52.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 111.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 60 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -92.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1162.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 736 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -62.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 166.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to CVI, NOG, BSM, COP, CNQ
In The Past
Kosmos Energy's stock fell -52.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/24/2021. A -52.7% loss requires a 111.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Kosmos Energy Stock Drop Looks Sharp, But How Deep Can It Go? | Return | ||
| Kosmos Energy (KOS) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | ||
| Kosmos Energy (KOS) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Kosmos Energy (KOS) Debt Comparison | Financials | ||
| Kosmos Energy (KOS) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Kosmos Energy (KOS) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | ||
| Kosmos Energy (KOS) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Kosmos Energy (KOS) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| Why Kosmos Energy Stock Moved: KOS Stock Has Lost 84% Since 2023 Fiscal End, Primarily Due To Unfavorable Change In Price To Sales Multiple (P/S) | |||
| KOS Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | December 3rd, 2025 | ||
| Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | November 27th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to KOS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.3% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 22.5% | 22.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.4% | -0.4% | -5.7% |
| 06302024 | KOS | Kosmos Energy | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -41.2% | -69.0% | -72.6% |
| 05312023 | KOS | Kosmos Energy | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 1.7% | -9.4% |
| 09302022 | KOS | Kosmos Energy | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 43.9% | 58.2% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.3% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 22.5% | 22.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.4% | -0.4% | -5.7% |
| 06302024 | KOS | Kosmos Energy | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -41.2% | -69.0% | -72.6% |
| 05312023 | KOS | Kosmos Energy | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 1.7% | -9.4% |
| 09302022 | KOS | Kosmos Energy | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 43.9% | 58.2% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Kosmos Energy
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 34.13 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.4 |
| Rev LTM | 4,746 |
| Op Inc LTM | 497 |
| FCF LTM | 47 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 305 |
| CFO LTM | 909 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 980 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -2.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -8.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 20.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 24.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -1.9% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 33.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 35.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.4 |
| P/S | 1.1 |
| P/EBIT | 7.6 |
| P/E | 13.3 |
| P/CFO | 4.5 |
| Total Yield | 10.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.9% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.6% |
| 3M Rtn | -2.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 8.7% |
| 12M Rtn | -10.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | -16.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -8.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -6.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -25.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -90.4% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11042025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8042025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5062025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2242025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11042024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8052024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2262024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11062023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8072023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2282023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11072022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8082022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5092022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2282022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |