Tearsheet

Kosmos Energy (KOS)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $1.04 | Market Cap: $497.4 Mil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Kosmos Energy (KOS)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $1.04
Market Cap: $497.4 Mil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -132%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -156%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -105 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -7.6%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Energy Supply. Themes include Deepwater Oil & Gas Exploration & Production, and LNG Project Development & Supply.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 367%
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -22%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -14%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -24%
3   Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.4%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -46%
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Energy Supply. Themes include Deepwater Oil & Gas Exploration & Production, and LNG Project Development & Supply.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -132%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -156%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -105 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -7.6%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 367%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -22%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -14%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -24%
7 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.4%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -46%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

KOS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Kosmos Energy (KOS) stock moved by -43% from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 15, 2025:

1. Weaker than Expected Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results: Kosmos Energy reported a net loss of $124 million, or $0.26 per diluted share, and an adjusted net loss of $72 million, or $0.15 per diluted share, for the third quarter of 2025, missing analysts' consensus estimates for both earnings per share and revenue. The company's revenue of $311 million fell short of the consensus estimate of $360.82 million.

2. Lowered Production Guidance and Operational Challenges: The company adjusted its full-year 2025 production guidance to between 65,000 – 70,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boepd) due to a slower ramp-up at the Greater Tortue Ahmeyim (GTA) project and lower production at the Jubilee field. Additionally, Ghana gas production was lower than planned due to extended maintenance, and Equatorial Guinea production faced issues with subsea pump mechanical failures.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
KOS Return-58%47%84%6%-49%-71%-82%
Peers Return86%-18%-31%9%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
KOS Win Rate42%58%67%42%25%25% 
Peers Win Rate64%62%37%28%65% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
KOS Max Drawdown-91%-22%0%-15%-60%-71% 
Peers Max Drawdown-0%-31%-38%-33% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: APA, OXY, MUR, TALO, WTI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventKOSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-52.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven111.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven60 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-92.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1162.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven736 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-62.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven166.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to CVI, NOG, BSM, COP, CNQ


In The Past

Kosmos Energy's stock fell -52.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/24/2021. A -52.7% loss requires a 111.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Kosmos Energy (KOS)

Better Bets than Kosmos Energy (KOS)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to KOS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.5%12.5%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.1%12.1%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
31.1%31.1%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.0%-2.0%-5.7%
KOS_6302024_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy06302024KOSKosmos EnergyDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-41.2%-69.0%-72.6%
KOS_5312023_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312023KOSKosmos EnergyDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%1.7%-9.4%
KOS_9302022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302022KOSKosmos EnergyDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
43.9%58.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.5%12.5%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.1%12.1%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
31.1%31.1%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.0%-2.0%-5.7%
KOS_6302024_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy06302024KOSKosmos EnergyDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-41.2%-69.0%-72.6%
KOS_5312023_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312023KOSKosmos EnergyDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%1.7%-9.4%
KOS_9302022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302022KOSKosmos EnergyDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
43.9%58.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Kosmos Energy

Peers to compare with:

Financials

KOSAPAOXYMURTALOWTIMedian
NameKosmos E.APA Occident.Murphy O.Talos En.W&T Offs. 
Mkt Price1.0225.9341.0733.3711.381.7018.66
Mkt Cap0.59.346.64.82.00.33.4
Rev LTM1,3919,64126,6012,7461,8735002,310
Op Inc LTM-1052,9474,802492-5-51243
FCF LTM-1311,9033,7994051,083-7744
FCF 3Y Avg-1821,2735,046648789-5719
CFO LTM2744,77311,2541,4321,083471,258
CFO 3Y Avg6033,96611,8731,664796801,230

Growth & Margins

KOSAPAOXYMURTALOWTIMedian
NameKosmos E.APA Occident.Murphy O.Talos En.W&T Offs. 
Rev Chg LTM-22.1%4.9%-2.0%-13.9%-0.0%-6.9%-4.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-14.5%-3.1%-9.6%-11.7%5.3%-16.7%-10.7%
Rev Chg Q-23.7%-16.4%-7.7%-4.3%-11.6%5.1%-9.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-6.5%-4.1%-2.0%-1.2%-3.1%1.2%-2.5%
Op Mgn LTM-7.6%30.6%18.1%17.9%-0.3%-10.1%8.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg24.7%35.3%21.5%25.4%9.1%-0.1%23.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-11.4%-0.8%-2.0%-2.1%-2.6%1.4%-2.1%
CFO/Rev LTM19.7%49.5%42.3%52.1%57.8%9.4%45.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg35.9%43.2%42.8%52.6%45.4%14.5%43.0%
FCF/Rev LTM-9.4%19.7%14.3%14.8%57.8%-1.4%14.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-11.0%13.8%18.1%20.3%45.0%-0.9%15.9%

Valuation

KOSAPAOXYMURTALOWTIMedian
NameKosmos E.APA Occident.Murphy O.Talos En.W&T Offs. 
Mkt Cap0.59.346.64.82.00.33.4
P/S0.60.91.81.50.90.50.9
P/EBIT-8.22.8-11.6-6.8-4.4-4.4
P/E-2.45.722.228.4-4.7-1.81.9
P/CFO2.91.84.12.81.55.82.9
Total Yield-41.5%21.6%4.5%8.0%-21.4%-51.9%-8.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%4.2%0.0%4.5%0.0%2.2%1.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-11.8%13.2%-12.4%43.9%-1.6%12.4%
D/E3.80.5-0.50.71.30.7
Net D/E3.70.5-0.40.50.80.5

Returns

KOSAPAOXYMURTALOWTIMedian
NameKosmos E.APA Occident.Murphy O.Talos En.W&T Offs. 
1M Rtn-28.2%4.6%-3.4%10.7%5.0%-11.5%0.6%
3M Rtn-38.9%14.8%-9.5%30.7%18.5%-1.2%6.8%
6M Rtn-54.7%26.5%-10.6%34.5%21.7%-20.1%5.6%
12M Rtn-66.1%19.4%-11.9%15.9%14.3%2.5%8.4%
3Y Rtn-82.4%-35.8%-31.7%-12.4%-40.9%-70.1%-38.3%
1M Excs Rtn-29.3%8.9%-1.1%17.3%9.9%-10.2%3.9%
3M Excs Rtn-42.9%11.2%-12.4%25.8%16.5%-5.0%3.1%
6M Excs Rtn-68.9%12.3%-24.8%20.3%7.5%-34.3%-8.7%
12M Excs Rtn-85.6%9.5%-25.8%2.9%-3.7%-16.4%-10.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-156.2%-107.3%-105.9%-86.2%-114.6%-142.8%-110.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Exploration, development and production of oil and gas1,702    
Gas sales 30191216
Natural gas liquid (NGL) sales 151568
Oil sales 2,2011,2997861,476
Total1,7022,2451,3328041,499


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity60,833,113
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520254.8%
Average Daily Volume13,395,942
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.54
Basic Shares Quantity478,254,000
Short % of Basic Shares12.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/3/2025-5.7%-7.0%-30.6%
8/4/2025-2.6%-10.3%-6.7%
5/6/2025-3.1%20.1%13.8%
11/4/2024-1.6%-1.6%3.5%
8/5/2024-4.5%-2.2%-7.6%
5/7/20242.0%2.4%-2.4%
2/26/2024-3.4%4.9%-0.3%
11/6/2023-6.6%-7.5%-17.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive81213
# Negative151110
Median Positive5.1%5.8%11.1%
Median Negative-5.7%-6.7%-8.7%
Max Positive28.3%29.3%119.2%
Max Negative-18.7%-38.6%-85.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025804202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024224202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241104202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024805202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023226202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231106202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023807202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221107202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021