Williams-Sonoma (WSM)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $191.53 | Market Cap: $23.3 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Homefurnishing Retail
Williams-Sonoma (WSM)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $191.53Market Cap: $23.3 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Homefurnishing Retail
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.2% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.0% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% | Key risksWSM key risks include [1] tariffs and supply chain disruptions, Show more. |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 42% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.2% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 42% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more. |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.0% |
| Key risksWSM key risks include [1] tariffs and supply chain disruptions, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
WSM Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Williams-Sonoma (WSM) experienced notable stock movements between late August and mid-December 2025, influenced by various corporate and macroeconomic factors.
**1. Positive Q3 Fiscal 2025 Results:** Williams-Sonoma reported better-than-expected third-quarter fiscal 2025 results (quarter ended November 2), with comparable brand revenue increasing by 4%. Net revenues grew 4.6% year-over-year to $1.88 billion, surpassing analyst estimates of $1.85 billion. Earnings per share (EPS) were $1.96, up 4.8% year-over-year and higher than the anticipated $1.87. This positive earnings report contributed to investor confidence.
**2. Increased Operating Margin Outlook:** Following the strong Q3 performance, Williams-Sonoma raised its operating margin outlook for fiscal 2025 to a range of 17.8% to 18.1%, an increase from the previously expected 17.4% to 17.8%.
**3. Dividend Declaration:** The company's Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.66 per share, with payment scheduled for February 20, 2026. Such dividend announcements often positively influence the market by signaling financial health and confidence in future earnings, thereby boosting investor sentiment.
**4. Impact of Federal Reserve Actions:** The Federal Reserve's actions, including a third and final interest rate cut of the year by 25 basis points to a 3.50%-3.75% range, along with signals of expanding its balance sheet by buying short-term bonds, positively impacted the broader market. This dovish action contributed to a bullish market reaction and likely benefited WSM's stock performance.
**5. Tariff Concerns and Broader Market Performance:** While the stock saw upward movements, it also faced headwinds from tariff concerns and broader market sentiments. Over the three months leading up to December 18, 2025, WSM's stock declined 5.6% due to tariff concerns. However, over the past six months, the stock gained 18.3%, outperforming the Nasdaq Composite index, which increased by 16.3% in the same period. The stock has been trading above its 200-day moving average since early December, indicating a generally positive trend despite recent dips.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| WSM Return | 42% | 69% | -30% | 80% | 87% | 4% | 482% |
| Peers Return | � | � | -44% | 33% | -5% | 9% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| WSM Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 33% | 67% | 58% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | 63% | 37% | 57% | 48% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| WSM Max Drawdown | -58% | 0% | -37% | -2% | -4% | -25% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | -61% | -19% | -26% | -41% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RH, ARHS, W, ETD, LOVE. See WSM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | WSM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -52.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 110.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 629 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -60.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 149.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 72 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -37.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 60.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 329 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -87.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 673.7% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 811 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to BBBY, HVT, WSM, RH
In The Past
Williams-Sonoma's stock fell -52.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/16/2021. A -52.4% loss requires a 110.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to WSM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.7% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.8% | 5.8% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.6% | 3.6% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.4% | 18.4% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.9% | 11.9% | -1.6% |
| 02282025 | WSM | Williams-Sonoma | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -2.4% | -0.7% | -29.3% |
| 06302024 | WSM | Williams-Sonoma | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 32.8% | 17.5% | -8.7% |
| 11302022 | WSM | Williams-Sonoma | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.6% | 64.7% | -4.4% |
| 05312022 | WSM | Williams-Sonoma | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -8.5% | -8.9% | -13.3% |
| 12312016 | WSM | Williams-Sonoma | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.7% | 10.2% | -9.3% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.7% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.8% | 5.8% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.6% | 3.6% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.4% | 18.4% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.9% | 11.9% | -1.6% |
| 02282025 | WSM | Williams-Sonoma | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -2.4% | -0.7% | -29.3% |
| 06302024 | WSM | Williams-Sonoma | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 32.8% | 17.5% | -8.7% |
| 11302022 | WSM | Williams-Sonoma | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.6% | 64.7% | -4.4% |
| 05312022 | WSM | Williams-Sonoma | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -8.5% | -8.9% | -13.3% |
| 12312016 | WSM | Williams-Sonoma | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.7% | 10.2% | -9.3% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Williams-Sonoma
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 62.65 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.4 |
| Rev LTM | 2,385 |
| Op Inc LTM | 76 |
| FCF LTM | 103 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 62 |
| CFO LTM | 248 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 184 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -1.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 8.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 10.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 10.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.4 |
| P/S | 1.0 |
| P/EBIT | 12.6 |
| P/E | 21.3 |
| P/CFO | 13.7 |
| Total Yield | 4.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.3% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 12.9% |
| 3M Rtn | -10.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 5.8% |
| 12M Rtn | -1.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 16.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 10.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -12.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -6.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -22.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -56.5% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/19/2025 | -3.4% | -0.6% | |
| 8/27/2025 | -2.9% | -2.9% | 1.6% |
| 3/19/2025 | -3.5% | -1.8% | -20.1% |
| 11/20/2024 | 27.5% | 26.8% | 30.9% |
| 8/22/2024 | -9.3% | -6.1% | 3.4% |
| 5/22/2024 | -11.0% | -10.1% | -3.5% |
| 3/13/2024 | 17.8% | 21.7% | 22.2% |
| 11/16/2023 | 6.2% | 12.4% | 26.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 11 | 12 |
| # Negative | 8 | 10 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 13.1% | 13.8% | 13.4% |
| Median Negative | -4.8% | -5.1% | -9.2% |
| Max Positive | 27.5% | 42.7% | 68.4% |
| Max Negative | -11.0% | -10.7% | -22.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | 11252025 | 10-Q 11/2/2025 |
| 7312025 | 8292025 | 10-Q 8/3/2025 |
| 4302025 | 5282025 | 10-Q 5/4/2025 |
| 1312025 | 3272025 | 10-K 2/2/2025 |
| 10312024 | 11222024 | 10-Q 10/27/2024 |
| 7312024 | 8232024 | 10-Q 7/28/2024 |
| 4302024 | 5242024 | 10-Q 4/28/2024 |
| 1312024 | 3202024 | 10-K 1/28/2024 |
| 10312023 | 11282023 | 10-Q 10/29/2023 |
| 7312023 | 9012023 | 10-Q 7/30/2023 |
| 4302023 | 5262023 | 10-Q 4/30/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3242023 | 10-K 1/29/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12022022 | 10-Q 10/30/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9022022 | 10-Q 7/31/2022 |
| 4302022 | 6022022 | 10-Q 5/1/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3282022 | 10-K 1/30/2022 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |