Tearsheet

Lovesac (LOVE)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $14.15 | Market Cap: $206.9 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Household Appliances

Lovesac (LOVE)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $14.15
Market Cap: $206.9 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Household Appliances

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -28%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -82%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -115%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 60%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Sustainable Consumption, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more.
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.5%
2   Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 26%
0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -28%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Sustainable Consumption, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -82%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -115%
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 60%
4 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.5%
5 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 26%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

LOVE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The user is asking to explain a hypothetical -26.2% stock movement for Lovesac (LOVE) between 8/31/2025 and 12/4/2025. Since these dates are in the future, I cannot provide actual reasons for a stock movement that has not yet occurred. However, the instructions state to "ignore that date and use the most recent date for which you have information" if the end date is in the future, and not to apologize for being unable to complete the request. I also need to provide key points and use specific HTML formatting. Given the constraints, I will synthesize information from recent Lovesac news and financial reports (up to late 2024 and early 2025, as suggested by the search results) to identify *factors that could generally lead to a significant stock decline* for the company. I will present these as potential reasons that *could* contribute to such a downturn, without directly attributing them to the specified future period. The search results provide information up to December 2024 and some forward-looking statements for 2025. Here are the key points extracted from the search results that could lead to a stock decline: 1. **Disappointing Financial Performance and Outlook:** Lovesac recently reported a net loss of $4.9 million or $0.32 per share for Q3 2024, missing analysts' expectations of a $0.28 loss per share. Revenue also fell short of forecasts at $149.9 million against an expected $155.26 million, reflecting a 2.7% year-over-year decline. The company also slashed its full-year earnings-per-share guidance in a prior quarter. These misses and lowered guidance can significantly impact investor confidence and stock price. 2. **Challenges in the Furniture and Discretionary Spending Market:** The broader furniture sector has been experiencing a downturn, described as a "post-COVID hangover," with a decline in sales in the industry. Lovesac, despite gaining market share, is not immune to these macroeconomic headwinds, including lower consumer confidence, a housing market in limbo, and inflationary pressures. Discretionary spending, particularly on goods like furniture, can be sensitive to economic struggles. 3. **Margin Erosion and Increased Operating Risk:** Lovesac's Q2 results (fiscal 2026, reported September 2025 in the search results) revealed margin erosion and a guidance cut, highlighting increased operating risk and a diminished profit outlook. While gross margin increased in Q3 2024 due to lower transportation costs, it was partially offset by increased promotional discounting, suggesting pricing pressure. SG&A expenses also rose significantly as a percentage of net sales. 4. **Weak Comparable Sales Growth:** Lovesac's comparable net sales growth was only 2% in Q3 fiscal 2024. In Q4 (fiscal year ending Feb 2025), comparable sales declined -9.4% year-over-year, indicating that sales growth is primarily driven by aggressive showroom expansion rather than organic growth in existing channels. This indicates a struggle to generate demand from established locations. 5. **Tariff Uncertainty and Supply Chain Risks:** Lovesac faces ongoing uncertainty regarding tariffs, particularly with respect to its sourcing from countries like China and Vietnam. While the company is working to diversify its supply chain, potential tariff impacts and global supply chain issues can create headwinds for margins and scalability. Based on these points, I can construct the answer. I need to be careful with the dates in the search results. Some refer to Q3 2024 earnings *reported* in December 2024, but fiscal Q3 2024 *ended* October 29, 2023. Other results mention Q2 Fiscal 2026 results reported in September 2025. The prompt's context states "Current time is Thursday, December 4, 2025," so information up to that date is relevant *within the prompt's context*. The search results indeed provide information *past* 8/31/2025 and up to December 2025, specifically on Lovesac's Q2 Fiscal 2026 results (reported Sept 11, 2025), and also references to Q3 2025 earnings conference call (Nov 26, 2025) and Q3 2024 earnings reported in December 2024 (fiscal year ending Jan/Feb). Therefore, I can actually draw on information within the requested timeframe (August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025) and immediately preceding it. The search results from "2025-09-26" and "2025-09-11" are directly relevant to the period. Specifically, result discusses a downgrade on 2025-09-26 due to weak comp sales and macroeconomic headwinds, and result discusses a 17% stock drop on 2025-09-11 due to management slashing full-year EPS guidance following Q2 results. These are very strong direct hits for explaining a stock drop within the requested period. I will use these direct hits.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LOVE Return168%54%-67%16%-7%-40%-12%
Peers Return38%11%-23%34%30%26%159%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LOVE Win Rate58%58%33%58%42%30% 
Peers Win Rate23%20%10%37%35%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LOVE Max Drawdown-74%-6%-73%-34%-26%-51% 
Peers Max Drawdown-26%-3%-24%-2%-10%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WSM, W, ALH, XWIN, SN. See LOVE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLOVES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-84.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven532.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-74.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven287.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven34 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-76.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven318.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven375 days120 days

Compare to WSM, W, ALH, XWIN, SN


In The Past

Lovesac's stock fell -84.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/11/2021. A -84.2% loss requires a 532.9% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Lovesac (LOVE)

Better Bets than Lovesac (LOVE)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to LOVE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Lovesac

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LOVEWSMWALHXWINSNMedian
NameLovesac Williams.Wayfair Alliance.XMax SharkNin. 
Mkt Price14.11178.3495.2022.495.49107.4458.84
Mkt Cap0.221.812.4--15.213.8
Rev LTM6907,83012,241-106,0856,085
Op Inc LTM161,435-58--478216
FCF LTM-111,028286--1392286
FCF 3Y Avg161,12982--217682
CFO LTM111,289494--1537494
CFO 3Y Avg431,370365--2313313

Growth & Margins

LOVEWSMWALHXWINSNMedian
NameLovesac Williams.Wayfair Alliance.XMax SharkNin. 
Rev Chg LTM-0.5%3.3%3.4%--0.0%18.9%3.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg5.5%-2.9%-0.3%--9.1%--1.6%
Rev Chg Q2.5%2.7%8.1%--4.9%14.3%2.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.6%0.6%1.9%--1.3%3.5%0.6%
Op Mgn LTM2.3%18.3%-0.5%--38.4%12.8%2.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg2.3%17.3%-3.9%--68.5%10.5%2.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%0.5%1.0%-2.5%1.0%1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM1.5%16.5%4.0%--9.5%8.8%4.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg6.3%17.4%3.0%--23.2%6.0%6.0%
FCF/Rev LTM-1.5%13.1%2.3%--9.5%6.4%2.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg2.4%14.3%0.7%--23.3%3.3%2.4%

Valuation

LOVEWSMWALHXWINSNMedian
NameLovesac Williams.Wayfair Alliance.XMax SharkNin. 
Mkt Cap0.221.812.4--15.213.8
P/S0.42.50.9--2.41.7
P/EBIT16.513.9-53.0--18.415.2
P/E20.717.9-35.7--25.319.3
P/CFO25.115.523.5--27.124.3
Total Yield4.8%7.1%-2.8%--3.9%4.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.5%0.0%--0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.7%8.6%0.6%--1.6%2.7%
D/E0.70.10.3--0.10.2
Net D/E0.60.00.2--0.00.1

Returns

LOVEWSMWALHXWINSNMedian
NameLovesac Williams.Wayfair Alliance.XMax SharkNin. 
1M Rtn0.9%-7.4%-7.8%-16.2%-26.0%-7.4%
3M Rtn-24.1%-6.8%20.0%---8.9%-7.9%
6M Rtn-27.3%12.3%114.9%--22.2%17.3%
12M Rtn-62.9%-0.5%95.2%--8.7%4.1%
3Y Rtn-43.2%224.4%126.1%---126.1%
1M Excs Rtn1.0%-7.4%-7.8%-16.2%-26.0%-7.4%
3M Excs Rtn-34.8%-17.1%9.6%---16.7%-16.9%
6M Excs Rtn-42.0%-2.4%100.2%--7.5%2.5%
12M Excs Rtn-76.1%-8.3%92.3%---6.7%-7.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-114.5%151.5%122.2%---122.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Sactionals637584437271188
Sacs5255524540
Other1112955
Total700651498321233


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,874,090
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202511.2%
Average Daily Volume562,590
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.89
Basic Shares Quantity14,623,823
Short % of Basic Shares26.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
7312025911202510-Q 8/3/2025
4302025612202510-Q 5/4/2025
1312025410202510-K 2/2/2025
103120241212202410-Q 11/3/2024
7312024912202410-Q 8/4/2024
4302024613202410-Q 5/5/2024
1312024411202410-K 1/31/2024
103120231206202310-Q 10/29/2023
73120231103202310-Q 7/30/2023
4302023609202310-Q 4/30/2023
1312023329202310-K 1/29/2023
103120221208202210-Q 10/30/2022
7312022909202210-Q 7/31/2022
4302022608202210-Q 5/1/2022
1312022330202210-K 1/30/2022
103120211209202110-Q 10/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Nelson Shawn DavidChief Executive Officer10142025Buy14.411,00014,4102,523,335Form