RH (RH)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $170.46 | Market Cap: $3.2 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Homefurnishing Retail
RH (RH)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $170.46Market Cap: $3.2 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Homefurnishing Retail
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Experiential Retail, Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -83%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -101% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.2% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 19% | Key risksRH key risks include [1] high financial leverage from a substantial debt load and [2] the significant execution risk of its ambitious, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Experiential Retail, Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -83%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -101% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 19% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.2% |
| Key risksRH key risks include [1] high financial leverage from a substantial debt load and [2] the significant execution risk of its ambitious, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
RH Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the stock movement for RH from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. RH Reported a Significant Q3 2025 Earnings Miss and Lowered Fiscal Year Guidance.
RH's adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.71 for the third quarter, which ended November 1, 2025, fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.13 by 19.7%. Concurrently, the company trimmed its fiscal 2025 guidance for revenue growth, adjusted operating margin, and adjusted EBITDA margin, signaling a less optimistic outlook for the remainder of the fiscal year.
2. Persistent Weakness in the Housing Market Continued to Pressure Performance.
CEO Gary Friedman repeatedly emphasized the challenges posed by "the worst housing market in almost 50 years," which significantly impacted RH's business. This macro-economic headwind created an unfavorable environment for luxury home furnishings, directly affecting consumer demand and sales.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| RH Return | 110% | 20% | -50% | 9% | 35% | -57% | -22% |
| Peers Return | � | � | -26% | 46% | 14% | -3% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| RH Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 58% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | 65% | 40% | 58% | 47% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| RH Max Drawdown | -62% | -1% | -60% | -20% | -26% | -65% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | -44% | -14% | -14% | -27% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WSM, ARHS, ETD, MLKN, LZB. See RH Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | RH | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -71.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 247.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -68.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 213.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 72 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -47.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 88.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 103 days | 120 days |
Compare to WSM, LOVE, RH
In The Past
RH's stock fell -71.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/12/2021. A -71.3% loss requires a 247.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to RH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.0% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.4% | 6.4% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.1% | 17.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -1.6% |
| 11302022 | RH | RH | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -14.6% | -5.9% | -25.7% |
| 01312022 | RH | RH | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -30.0% | -22.5% | -47.3% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.0% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.4% | 6.4% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.1% | 17.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -1.6% |
| 11302022 | RH | RH | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -14.6% | -5.9% | -25.7% |
| 01312022 | RH | RH | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -30.0% | -22.5% | -47.3% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for RH
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 31.73 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.6 |
| Rev LTM | 2,758 |
| Op Inc LTM | 189 |
| FCF LTM | 103 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 100 |
| CFO LTM | 201 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 208 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -3.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 8.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 10.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 10.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 5.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.6 |
| P/S | 1.1 |
| P/EBIT | 13.8 |
| P/E | 19.2 |
| P/CFO | 10.3 |
| Total Yield | 5.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 8.7% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 23.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -8.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 5.1% |
| 12M Rtn | -12.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 15.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 22.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -11.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -7.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -23.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -51.2% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 12/11/2025 | 5.7% | ||
| 9/11/2025 | -4.6% | 2.3% | -24.0% |
| 6/12/2025 | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% |
| 4/2/2025 | -40.1% | -23.0% | -21.2% |
| 12/12/2024 | 17.0% | 1.7% | 12.4% |
| 9/12/2024 | 25.5% | 36.0% | 28.7% |
| 6/13/2024 | -17.1% | -22.0% | 6.2% |
| 3/27/2024 | 17.3% | -4.8% | -16.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 11 | 12 |
| # Negative | 9 | 11 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 7.8% | 7.6% | 15.9% |
| Median Negative | -14.0% | -7.1% | -14.2% |
| Max Positive | 25.5% | 36.0% | 41.8% |
| Max Negative | -40.1% | -23.0% | -32.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | 12112025 | 10-Q 11/1/2025 |
| 7312025 | 9112025 | 10-Q 8/2/2025 |
| 4302025 | 6122025 | 10-Q 5/3/2025 |
| 1312025 | 4022025 | 10-K 2/1/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12122024 | 10-Q 11/2/2024 |
| 7312024 | 9122024 | 10-Q 8/3/2024 |
| 4302024 | 6132024 | 10-Q 5/4/2024 |
| 1312024 | 3282024 | 10-K 2/3/2024 |
| 10312023 | 12072023 | 10-Q 10/28/2023 |
| 7312023 | 9072023 | 10-Q 7/29/2023 |
| 4302023 | 5262023 | 10-Q 4/29/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3292023 | 10-K 1/28/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12082022 | 10-Q 10/29/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9082022 | 10-Q 7/30/2022 |
| 4302022 | 6032022 | 10-Q 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3302022 | 10-K 1/29/2022 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |