RH (RH)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $159.96 | Market Cap: $3.0 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Homefurnishing Retail
RH (RH)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $159.96Market Cap: $3.0 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Homefurnishing Retail
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -54% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -91%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -114% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 109% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Experiential Retail, Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more. | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 19% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.1% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.6% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -54% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Experiential Retail, Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -91%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -114% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 19% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 109% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.1% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.6% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
RH Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The requested time period (8/31/2025 to December 4, 2025) is in the future. Therefore, I cannot provide an explanation for a stock movement that has not yet occurred. However, based on the search results for RH's recent performance and analyst forecasts, some information is available leading up to and slightly beyond the current date of December 4, 2025. It appears there was a significant stock movement between August and November 2025, although the exact -28.1% is not precisely matched by a single reported event within that specific timeframe.
Based on available information regarding RH's performance and analyst expectations around the latter half of 2025, here are potential key points that could lead to a significant stock decline:
1. Lower-than-expected Q2 Fiscal 2025 Results and Lowered Guidance: RH reported second-quarter fiscal 2025 results that missed both adjusted earnings and net revenue estimates. This led the company to lower its full-year fiscal 2025 guidance for revenue growth, adjusted operating margin, and adjusted EBITDA margin.
2. Weak Multi-Year Price Returns and Valuation Becoming Less Expensive: RH has experienced weak multi-year price returns, with a 2-year excess return of -90% and a 3-year excess return of -112%. The company's price-to-sales ratio has declined by -54% over 6 months, indicating a less expensive valuation.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| RH Return | 110% | 20% | -50% | 9% | 35% | -60% | -26% |
| Peers Return | 107% | 47% | -49% | 35% | 38% | -34% | 90% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| RH Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 58% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 53% | 33% | 58% | 53% | 43% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| RH Max Drawdown | -62% | -1% | -60% | -20% | -26% | -65% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -65% | -3% | -57% | -19% | -19% | -47% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WSM, LOVE, RH. See RH Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | RH | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -71.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 247.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -68.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 213.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 72 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -47.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 88.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 103 days | 120 days |
Compare to WSM, LOVE, RH
In The Past
RH's stock fell -71.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/12/2021. A -71.3% loss requires a 247.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Would You Still Hold RH Stock If It Fell Another 30%? | Return | ||
| Better Bet Than RH Stock: Pay Less Than RH To Get More From OKE, FANG | |||
| Better Bet Than RH Stock: Pay Less Than RH To Get More From CCL, NVR | |||
| RH Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| RH Total Shareholder Return (TSR): 63.7% in 2025 and 2.3% 3-yr compounded annual returns (below peer average) | |||
| RH (RH) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| RH (RH) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| RH (RH) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| RH (RH) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| RH vs. UnitedHealth: RH stock's significantly higher valuation vs. UNH appears counterintuitive | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| How RH Stock Could Fall to $110? | September 12th, 2025 | ||
| What’s Next After A 40% Dip in RH Stock? | August 27th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to RH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
| 11302022 | RH | RH | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -14.6% | -5.9% | -25.7% |
| 01312022 | RH | RH | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -30.0% | -22.5% | -47.3% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
| 11302022 | RH | RH | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -14.6% | -5.9% | -25.7% |
| 01312022 | RH | RH | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -30.0% | -22.5% | -47.3% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for RH
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 162.31 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.0 |
| Rev LTM | 3,337 |
| Op Inc LTM | 357 |
| FCF LTM | -11 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 16 |
| CFO LTM | 174 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 218 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -2.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 2.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 10.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 12.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 5.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -1.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 2.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.0 |
| P/S | 1.1 |
| P/EBIT | 13.9 |
| P/E | 20.7 |
| P/CFO | 20.3 |
| Total Yield | 4.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.7% |
| D/E | 0.7 |
| Net D/E | 0.6 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -4.6% |
| 3M Rtn | -24.1% |
| 6M Rtn | -8.9% |
| 12M Rtn | -57.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | -42.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -4.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -34.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -23.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -71.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -113.8% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restoration Hardware (RH) Segment | 2,836 | 3,399 | 3,594 | 2,729 | 2,514 |
| Waterworks | 194 | 192 | 165 | 119 | 133 |
| Total | 3,029 | 3,590 | 3,759 | 2,849 | 2,647 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restoration Hardware (RH) Segment | 369 | 762 | 945 | 617 | 375 |
| Waterworks | 24 | 28 | 18 | 4 | 4 |
| Recall accrual | 2 | -1 | -2 | -7 | 4 |
| Compensation settlements | 0 | -3 | 0 | ||
| Employer payroll taxes on option exercise | 0 | -14 | 0 | ||
| Gain on sale of building and land | 0 | 1 | 0 | ||
| Non-cash compensation related to consolidated variable interest entities (VIEs) | 0 | -4 | 0 | ||
| Professional fees | 0 | -7 | 0 | ||
| Asset impairments | -4 | -24 | -10 | -13 | -22 |
| Reorganization related costs | -8 | 0 | -0 | -7 | -1 |
| Legal settlements - net | -8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | |
| Non-cash compensation | -10 | -18 | -23 | -117 | |
| Gain (loss) on sale leaseback transaction | -9 | 1 | |||
| Asset held for sale gain (loss) | 0 | ||||
| Total | 366 | 722 | 927 | 467 | 363 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restoration Hardware (RH) Segment | 3,799 | 2,660 | 2,302 | ||
| Waterworks | 184 | 138 | 144 | ||
| Real Estate | 162 | 101 | |||
| Total | 4,144 | 2,898 | 2,446 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 7312025 | 9112025 | 10-Q 8/2/2025 |
| 4302025 | 6122025 | 10-Q 5/3/2025 |
| 1312025 | 4022025 | 10-K 2/1/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12122024 | 10-Q 11/2/2024 |
| 7312024 | 9122024 | 10-Q 8/3/2024 |
| 4302024 | 6132024 | 10-Q 5/4/2024 |
| 1312024 | 3282024 | 10-K 2/3/2024 |
| 10312023 | 12072023 | 10-Q 10/28/2023 |
| 7312023 | 9072023 | 10-Q 7/29/2023 |
| 4302023 | 5262023 | 10-Q 4/29/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3292023 | 10-K 1/28/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12082022 | 10-Q 10/29/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9082022 | 10-Q 7/30/2022 |
| 4302022 | 6032022 | 10-Q 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3302022 | 10-K 1/29/2022 |
| 10312021 | 12092021 | 10-Q 10/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |