Tearsheet

Landstar System (LSTR)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $138.85 | Market Cap: $4.8 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Cargo Ground Transportation

Landstar System (LSTR)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $138.85
Market Cap: $4.8 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Cargo Ground Transportation

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.2%, Dividend Yield is 2.9%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -66%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -87%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -14%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.7%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
  
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Freight Technology, and Supply Chain Digitization.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.2%, Dividend Yield is 2.9%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Freight Technology, and Supply Chain Digitization.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -66%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -87%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -14%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.7%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

LSTR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Q3 2025 Revenue Exceeds Expectations Despite Broader Challenges

Landstar System reported third-quarter 2025 total revenue of $1,205 million, which marginally surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.20 billion, even though it represented a slight decrease year-over-year. This revenue beat, amidst a "challenging freight backdrop," may have contributed to positive investor sentiment.

2. Strong Performance in Specialized Freight Segments

The company highlighted strong performance within its services hauled by unsided/platform equipment. Notably, heavy haul service revenue increased by 17% in the third quarter of 2025 compared to the same period in 2024, driven by an 8% increase in heavy haul volume and a 9% rise in revenue per load. This strength in specialized freight offerings helped offset declines in other areas of truck transportation.

3. Sequential Growth in Business Capacity Owner (BCO) Truck Count

For the first time since the first quarter of 2022, Landstar achieved sequential quarter-over-quarter growth in its independent business capacity owner (BCO) truck count during Q3 2025. This increase in available capacity could signal a healthier operational outlook to investors.

4. Continued Share Repurchase Program and Dividend Declaration

Landstar continued to return value to shareholders through its capital allocation strategy. During the third quarter of 2025, the company repurchased 308,709 shares of its common stock for an aggregate cost of $40.6 million. Additionally, the Board of Directors declared a quarterly dividend of $0.40 per share, payable on December 9, 2025. These actions can reinforce investor confidence.

5. Optimistic Outlook for an Improved Freight Environment

Despite acknowledging ongoing economic uncertainty and soft demand in the truckload freight market, Landstar's management expressed optimism for an improved freight transportation environment. The increase in truck revenue per load and the growth in BCO truck count were cited as indicators that the market may be moving towards a more balanced state, providing a positive forward-looking perspective for investors.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LSTR Return21%36%-7%21%-10%-20%33%
Peers Return31%132%-16%37%-0%4%261%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LSTR Win Rate50%58%33%50%58%30% 
Peers Win Rate70%72%38%52%55%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LSTR Max Drawdown-22%-1%-22%0%-13%-28% 
Peers Max Drawdown-42%-3%-31%-6%-24%-31% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: KNX, SAIA, R, CAR, SNDR. See LSTR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLSTRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-25.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven34.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven355 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-26.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven116 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-28.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven40.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven595 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-53.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven114.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1417 days1480 days

Compare to KNX, SAIA, R, CAR, SNDR


In The Past

Landstar System's stock fell -25.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/4/2021. A -25.6% loss requires a 34.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Landstar System (LSTR)

Better Bets than Landstar System (LSTR)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to LSTR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Landstar System

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LSTRKNXSAIARCARSNDRMedian
NameLandstar.Knight-S.Saia Ryder Sy.Avis Bud.Schneide. 
Mkt Price138.9150.72326.22178.49134.8225.17136.87
Mkt Cap4.88.28.77.34.74.46.0
Rev LTM4,7797,4783,23312,70811,4025,6146,546
Op Inc LTM1953213901,112-3175258
FCF LTM199-62-14-88-9,865114-38
FCF 3Y Avg316-2-97-458-9,62132-50
CFO LTM2138186222,4033,631651734
CFO 3Y Avg3409475832,3293,683699823

Growth & Margins

LSTRKNXSAIARCARSNDRMedian
NameLandstar.Knight-S.Saia Ryder Sy.Avis Bud.Schneide. 
Rev Chg LTM-0.7%-0.0%2.0%1.3%-3.2%5.5%0.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-14.1%0.1%5.7%2.0%-3.6%-5.0%-1.8%
Rev Chg Q-0.7%2.7%-0.3%-0.3%3.3%10.4%1.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.2%0.7%-0.1%-0.1%1.0%2.5%0.3%
Op Mgn LTM4.1%4.3%12.1%8.8%-0.0%3.1%4.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.3%4.8%14.5%8.8%8.9%4.4%7.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%0.0%-0.2%0.0%1.5%-0.2%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM4.5%10.9%19.2%18.9%31.8%11.6%15.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg6.5%13.1%19.0%18.7%30.8%12.6%15.9%
FCF/Rev LTM4.2%-0.8%-0.4%-0.7%-86.5%2.0%-0.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg6.0%-0.0%-2.9%-3.7%-80.0%0.6%-1.5%

Valuation

LSTRKNXSAIARCARSNDRMedian
NameLandstar.Knight-S.Saia Ryder Sy.Avis Bud.Schneide. 
Mkt Cap4.88.28.77.34.74.46.0
P/S0.90.92.50.60.50.70.8
P/EBIT21.718.320.57.0-2.220.619.4
P/E30.945.128.215.3-2.732.529.6
P/CFO19.97.812.93.21.65.76.8
Total Yield6.2%3.6%3.5%8.4%-37.2%4.9%4.2%
Dividend Yield2.9%1.4%0.0%1.9%0.0%1.8%1.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.4%-0.1%-0.8%-8.5%-195.9%0.9%-0.5%
D/E0.00.50.01.25.10.10.3
Net D/E-0.10.50.01.15.00.10.3

Returns

LSTRKNXSAIARCARSNDRMedian
NameLandstar.Knight-S.Saia Ryder Sy.Avis Bud.Schneide. 
1M Rtn10.8%15.6%14.6%6.5%1.9%17.7%12.7%
3M Rtn6.1%16.4%12.1%-3.5%-14.2%3.5%4.8%
6M Rtn-0.9%14.4%23.1%21.4%20.1%6.0%17.3%
12M Rtn-22.8%-9.3%-40.5%9.6%31.0%-19.8%-14.6%
3Y Rtn-14.5%-7.5%37.2%112.3%-34.7%2.1%-2.7%
1M Excs Rtn10.8%15.6%14.7%6.6%2.0%17.8%12.7%
3M Excs Rtn-1.6%9.6%4.4%-10.2%-19.2%-3.4%-2.5%
6M Excs Rtn-15.6%-0.3%8.3%6.6%5.4%-8.7%2.5%
12M Excs Rtn-37.1%-26.8%-56.2%-5.7%10.1%-37.5%-32.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-86.9%-76.4%-29.4%35.1%-108.3%-68.8%-72.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Transportation Logistics5,2317,3586,4664,0774,028
Insurance14079725656
Internal revenue-68    
Total5,3037,4376,5384,1334,085


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Transportation Logistics289524464221259
Insurance5647413240
Total344571506253299


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,407,531
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-7.6%
Average Daily Volume439,354
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.20
Basic Shares Quantity34,581,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251028202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025729202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025513202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024224202510-K 12/28/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023226202410-K 12/30/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023505202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221028202210-Q 9/24/2022
6302022729202210-Q 6/25/2022
3312022429202210-Q 3/26/2022
12312021218202210-K 12/25/2021