Tearsheet

Landstar System (LSTR)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $144.15 | Market Cap: $5.0 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Cargo Ground Transportation

Landstar System (LSTR)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $144.15
Market Cap: $5.0 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Cargo Ground Transportation

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.2%, Dividend Yield is 2.9%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -61%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -79%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -14%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.7%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
  Key risks
LSTR key risks include [1] financial and reputational damage from a significant supply chain fraud incident highlighting weak internal controls and [2] substantial cost and operational threats to its independent contractor model from zero-emission vehicle regulations.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Freight Technology, and Supply Chain Digitization.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.2%, Dividend Yield is 2.9%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Freight Technology, and Supply Chain Digitization.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -61%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -79%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -14%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.7%
5 Key risks
LSTR key risks include [1] financial and reputational damage from a significant supply chain fraud incident highlighting weak internal controls and [2] substantial cost and operational threats to its independent contractor model from zero-emission vehicle regulations.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

LSTR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Landstar System (LSTR) experienced a notable upward movement around early December 2025, with increases reported as high as 13.16% over two weeks as of December 12, 2025, and 10.65% over a 10-day period as of December 15, 2025. This positive trend can be attributed to several key factors:

1. Special Cash Dividend Declaration: On December 3, 2025, Landstar's Board of Directors declared a special one-time cash dividend of $2.00 per share, payable in January 2026, which signaled the company's strong balance sheet and commitment to returning value to shareholders. This announcement was reported to have caused an immediate positive reaction in the stock price, with one source indicating a 6.3% increase following the news.

2. Ongoing Share Repurchase Program: The company continued its share repurchase initiatives throughout 2025, having repurchased 1,281,863 shares for approximately $180.9 million by November 2025 and an additional 0.9% of its shares in the third quarter of 2025 alone. This consistent effort to reduce share count typically enhances shareholder value and can contribute to positive stock performance.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LSTR Return21%36%-7%21%-10%-14%44%
Peers Return31%132%-16%37%-0%12%289%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LSTR Win Rate50%58%33%50%58%42% 
Peers Win Rate70%72%38%52%55%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LSTR Max Drawdown-22%-1%-22%0%-13%-28% 
Peers Max Drawdown-42%-3%-31%-6%-24%-31% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: KNX, SAIA, R, CAR, SNDR. See LSTR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLSTRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-25.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven34.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven355 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-26.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven116 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-28.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven40.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven595 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-53.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven114.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,417 days1,480 days

Compare to KNX, SAIA, R, CAR, SNDR


In The Past

Landstar System's stock fell -25.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/4/2021. A -25.6% loss requires a 34.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Landstar System (LSTR)

Better Bets than Landstar System (LSTR)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to LSTR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Landstar System

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LSTRKNXSAIARCARSNDRMedian
NameLandstar.Knight-S.Saia Ryder Sy.Avis Bud.Schneide. 
Mkt Price144.2652.66328.00188.49130.3426.75137.30
Mkt Cap5.08.58.87.74.64.76.3
Rev LTM4,7797,4783,23312,70811,4025,6146,546
Op Inc LTM1953213901,112-3175258
FCF LTM199-62-14-88-9,865114-38
FCF 3Y Avg316-2-97-458-9,62132-50
CFO LTM2138186222,4033,631651734
CFO 3Y Avg3409475832,3293,683699823

Growth & Margins

LSTRKNXSAIARCARSNDRMedian
NameLandstar.Knight-S.Saia Ryder Sy.Avis Bud.Schneide. 
Rev Chg LTM-0.7%-0.0%2.0%1.3%-3.2%5.5%0.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-14.1%0.1%5.7%2.0%-3.6%-5.0%-1.8%
Rev Chg Q-0.7%2.7%-0.3%-0.3%3.3%10.4%1.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.2%0.7%-0.1%-0.1%1.0%2.5%0.3%
Op Mgn LTM4.1%4.3%12.1%8.8%-0.0%3.1%4.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.3%4.8%14.5%8.8%8.9%4.4%7.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%0.0%-0.2%0.0%1.5%-0.2%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM4.5%10.9%19.2%18.9%31.8%11.6%15.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg6.5%13.1%19.0%18.7%30.8%12.6%15.9%
FCF/Rev LTM4.2%-0.8%-0.4%-0.7%-86.5%2.0%-0.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg6.0%-0.0%-2.9%-3.7%-80.0%0.6%-1.5%

Valuation

LSTRKNXSAIARCARSNDRMedian
NameLandstar.Knight-S.Saia Ryder Sy.Avis Bud.Schneide. 
Mkt Cap5.08.58.87.74.64.76.3
P/S0.90.92.50.60.50.70.8
P/EBIT21.718.320.57.0-2.220.619.4
P/E30.945.128.215.3-2.732.529.6
P/CFO19.97.812.93.21.65.76.8
Total Yield6.2%3.6%3.5%8.4%-37.2%4.9%4.2%
Dividend Yield2.9%1.4%0.0%1.9%0.0%1.8%1.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.4%-0.1%-0.8%-8.5%-195.9%0.9%-0.5%
D/E0.00.50.01.25.10.10.3
Net D/E-0.10.50.01.15.00.10.3

Returns

LSTRKNXSAIARCARSNDRMedian
NameLandstar.Knight-S.Saia Ryder Sy.Avis Bud.Schneide. 
1M Rtn16.7%26.3%25.0%14.6%0.7%29.3%20.9%
3M Rtn15.2%26.7%6.4%2.7%-14.9%15.3%10.8%
6M Rtn5.9%23.9%25.9%25.7%0.4%12.7%18.3%
12M Rtn-17.7%-0.9%-38.4%18.8%46.2%-9.7%-5.3%
3Y Rtn-9.0%0.6%43.1%139.6%-22.5%15.0%7.8%
1M Excs Rtn16.0%25.5%24.3%13.9%-0.0%28.6%20.1%
3M Excs Rtn12.9%26.5%2.8%0.7%-17.8%15.3%7.8%
6M Excs Rtn-6.5%11.5%13.5%13.3%-12.0%0.3%5.9%
12M Excs Rtn-31.4%-14.6%-49.0%5.0%30.3%-23.5%-19.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-79.3%-71.5%-30.3%68.8%-95.5%-57.5%-64.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Transportation Logistics5,2317,3586,4664,0774,028
Insurance14079725656
Internal revenue-68    
Total5,3037,4376,5384,1334,085


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Transportation Logistics289524464221259
Insurance5647413240
Total344571506253299


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,189,720
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-15.5%
Average Daily Volume370,024
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.22
Basic Shares Quantity34,581,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/28/2025-3.8%-1.1%1.3%
7/29/2025-3.3%-5.4%-3.2%
4/25/2025-3.5%-5.3%-2.1%
1/29/2025-3.5%-6.3%-8.0%
10/29/2024-1.9%0.1%3.4%
7/30/2024-1.9%-2.4%-5.8%
4/25/20243.7%0.7%4.9%
1/31/2024-0.4%-0.7%-2.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101114
# Negative141310
Median Positive2.8%2.9%3.9%
Median Negative-2.5%-2.2%-3.8%
Max Positive3.8%8.1%15.0%
Max Negative-4.0%-6.3%-9.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251028202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025729202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025513202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024224202510-K 12/28/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023226202410-K 12/30/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023505202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221028202210-Q 9/24/2022
6302022729202210-Q 6/25/2022
3312022429202210-Q 3/26/2022
12312021218202210-K 12/25/2021