DTE Energy (DTE)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $128.93 | Market Cap: $26.7 BilSector: Utilities | Industry: Multi-Utilities
DTE Energy (DTE)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $128.93Market Cap: $26.7 BilSector: UtilitiesIndustry: Multi-Utilities
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.7%, Dividend Yield is 2.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.5% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -20%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -48% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 86% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.5% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, CFO LTM is 3.4 Bil | Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.9% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 17% | Key risksDTE key risks include [1] unfavorable regulatory outcomes in Michigan impacting its ability to recover significant capital investments, Show more. | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Renewable Energy Transition, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Grid Automation, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.7%, Dividend Yield is 2.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.5% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, CFO LTM is 3.4 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 17% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Renewable Energy Transition, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Grid Automation, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -20%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -48% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 86% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.5% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.9% |
| Key risksDTE key risks include [1] unfavorable regulatory outcomes in Michigan impacting its ability to recover significant capital investments, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
DTE Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Between August 31, 2025, and December 17, 2025, DTE Energy (DTE) experienced a stock price decline of approximately 4.1%. Several key factors likely contributed to this movement:
1. Mixed Third-Quarter 2025 Earnings Report. On October 30, 2025, DTE Energy announced its third-quarter 2025 earnings, which presented a mixed financial picture. While the company reported a significant earnings per share (EPS) beat of $2.25 against analyst estimates of $2.13 or $2.11, it also recorded an atypical and substantial revenue shortfall, reporting approximately -$1.0 billion against projected revenues of $3.27 billion. Despite an initial modest positive market reaction to the EPS beat, the puzzling revenue figure could have fostered investor uncertainty over the subsequent weeks.
2. Regulatory Delays for Major Data Center Project. In December 2025, the Michigan Public Service Commission (MPSC) failed to approve DTE Energy's power contracts for a significant $7 billion, 1.4-gigawatt data center project with Oracle and Open AI. This delay occurred despite DTE's warning that the project could be canceled if approval was not granted by December 5, creating significant uncertainty and potential financial implications for the company.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| DTE Return | -3% | 20% | 1% | -3% | 13% | 10% | 44% |
| Peers Return | 4% | 21% | 3% | -11% | 17% | 17% | 56% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| DTE Win Rate | 67% | 50% | 67% | 50% | 58% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 60% | 60% | 52% | 60% | 65% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| DTE Max Drawdown | -40% | -3% | -12% | -18% | -7% | -3% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -27% | -8% | -15% | -23% | -6% | -3% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CMS, NEE, DUK, AEP, EXC. See DTE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | DTE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -32.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 546 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -43.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 75.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 238 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -18.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 22.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 135 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -56.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 129.6% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,017 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to NU, ETR, FE, PPL, EIX
In The Past
DTE Energy's stock fell -32.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -32.3% loss requires a 47.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| DTE Energy Earnings Notes | |||
| How Low Can DTE Energy Stock Really Go? | Return | ||
| DTE Energy vs Newmont: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| DTE Energy vs Eversource Energy: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| DTE Energy vs NiSource: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| Better Bet Than DTE Stock: Pay Less Than DTE Energy To Get More From OKE, UTHR | |||
| Better Bet Than DTE Stock: Pay Less Than DTE Energy To Get More From WTRG, BIPC | |||
| DTE Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| DTE YTD Stock Return Of 14% Outperforms EIX by 40% and Underperforms NU by -13% | Return | ||
| DTE Energy (DTE) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Mid Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | August 14th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to DTE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.9% | -0.9% | -2.4% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -0.8% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.7% | 6.7% | -3.2% |
| 09302022 | DTE | DTE Energy | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -3.2% | -10.7% | -11.3% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.9% | -0.9% | -2.4% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -0.8% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.7% | 6.7% | -3.2% |
| 09302022 | DTE | DTE Energy | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -3.2% | -10.7% | -11.3% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for DTE Energy
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 97.50 |
| Mkt Cap | 53.0 |
| Rev LTM | 22,787 |
| Op Inc LTM | 5,180 |
| FCF LTM | -1,258 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -1,556 |
| CFO LTM | 6,647 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 5,586 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 22.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 20.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 29.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 28.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -6.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -8.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 53.0 |
| P/S | 2.7 |
| P/EBIT | 10.7 |
| P/E | 20.1 |
| P/CFO | 8.6 |
| Total Yield | 7.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.9% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -3.9% |
| D/E | 0.8 |
| Net D/E | 0.8 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -5.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 1.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 5.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 13.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 24.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -6.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 0.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -7.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 1.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -47.9% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Electric | 5,818 | 6,412 | 5,821 | 5,520 | 5,229 |
| Energy Trading | 4,612 | 10,308 | 6,831 | 3,863 | 4,610 |
| Gas | 1,748 | 1,924 | 1,553 | 1,414 | 1,482 |
| DTE Vantage | 809 | 848 | 1,482 | 1,224 | 1,560 |
| Corporate and Other | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Reclassifications and Eliminations | -242 | -264 | -725 | -600 | -715 |
| Gas Storage and Pipelines | 501 | ||||
| Total | 12,745 | 19,228 | 14,964 | 11,423 | 12,669 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Electric | 772 | 956 | 864 | 777 | 714 |
| Energy Trading | 336 | -92 | -83 | 36 | 49 |
| Gas | 294 | 272 | 214 | 186 | 185 |
| DTE Vantage | 153 | 92 | 168 | 134 | 133 |
| Reclassifications and Eliminations | 0 | 0 | |||
| Corporate and Other | -158 | -145 | -367 | -79 | -116 |
| Discontinued Operations | 111 | 314 | |||
| Gas Storage and Pipelines | 204 | ||||
| Total | 1,397 | 1,083 | 907 | 1,368 | 1,169 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Electric | 32,292 | 30,342 | 28,524 | 26,588 | 24,617 |
| Gas | 7,722 | 7,321 | 6,729 | 6,339 | 5,717 |
| Corporate and Other | 4,150 | 4,409 | 4,281 | 5,063 | 7,610 |
| Energy Trading | 1,166 | 1,385 | 1,174 | 807 | 798 |
| DTE Vantage | 1,122 | 1,077 | 983 | 696 | 537 |
| Reclassifications and Eliminations | -1,697 | -1,851 | -1,972 | -2,073 | -1,843 |
| Discontinued Operations | 8,076 | ||||
| Gas Storage and Pipelines | 4,832 | ||||
| Total | 44,755 | 42,683 | 39,719 | 45,496 | 42,268 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/30/2025 | -0.6% | -3.5% | -4.0% |
| 7/29/2025 | -0.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| 5/1/2025 | -0.8% | 1.2% | -0.3% |
| 2/13/2025 | 2.9% | 5.6% | 8.9% |
| 10/24/2024 | -0.2% | -4.5% | -4.6% |
| 7/25/2024 | 0.2% | 2.2% | 4.6% |
| 4/25/2024 | -0.4% | -0.2% | 0.5% |
| 2/8/2024 | -0.9% | 0.1% | 7.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 14 | 14 |
| # Negative | 11 | 10 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 0.9% | 1.3% | 5.2% |
| Median Negative | -0.8% | -2.8% | -3.8% |
| Max Positive | 3.5% | 5.6% | 9.2% |
| Max Negative | -3.8% | -5.3% | -12.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7292025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2132025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10242024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7252024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4252024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2082024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11012023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7272023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4272023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10272022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7282022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4282022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2102022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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