Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Renewable Energy Transition, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Grid Automation, Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Renewable Energy Transition, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Grid Automation, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

DTE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, DTE Energy (DTE) experienced a stock movement of -1.8%. Several key factors likely contributed to this decline: **1. Regulatory and Public Scrutiny Over Data Center Contracts.** DTE Energy faced increased regulatory and public scrutiny in November and December 2025 regarding its fast-track application for electricity supply contracts to a large data center. Concerns were raised by the Michigan Attorney General and environmental groups about the lack of transparency, potential cost burdens on other customers, and the impact on Michigan's energy reliability and climate goals. This heightened scrutiny introduced regulatory risk and uncertainty for investors.

**2. Q3 2025 Revenue Shortfall Despite Earnings Beat.** While DTE Energy reported third-quarter 2025 operating earnings per share (EPS) of $2.25, surpassing analyst estimates of $2.11 to $2.13, the company simultaneously experienced a notable revenue shortfall. This mixed financial performance, with strong profitability overshadowed by a significant miss on revenue, could have tempered investor enthusiasm and contributed to a downward pressure on the stock.

**3. Lowered FY2026 EPS Estimates by Scotiabank.** On November 28, 2025, Scotiabank, a research analyst firm, lowered its FY2026 earnings per share (EPS) estimates for DTE Energy, revising its forecast from $7.80 to $7.69. A downward adjustment in future earnings expectations from analysts can negatively influence investor sentiment and stock valuations.

**4. Underperformance of the DTE Gas Segment in Q3 2025.** In its third-quarter 2025 earnings report, DTE Energy's DTE Gas segment reported unfavorable results, with a $25 million year-over-year decline in operating earnings. This underperformance was attributed to higher operating and maintenance costs, offsetting some of the gains seen in other segments like DTE Electric.

**5. Perception of Overvaluation in Early December 2025.** Analysis on December 2, 2025, indicated that DTE Energy appeared overvalued when compared to its InvestingPro Fair Value. Such a perception of overvaluation in the market can lead to investors re-evaluating the stock's price, potentially contributing to a slight decline as the market adjusts.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DTE Return-3%20%1%-3%13%12%46%
Peers Return-16%17%-10%21%27%21%64%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DTE Win Rate67%50%67%50%58%40% 
Peers Win Rate43%58%52%55%65%64% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DTE Max Drawdown-40%-3%-12%-18%-7%-3% 
Peers Max Drawdown-33%-7%-25%-15%-5%-10% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NU, ETR, FE, PPL, EIX. See DTE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDTES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-32.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven47.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven546 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-43.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven75.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven238 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-18.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven22.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven135 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-56.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven129.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1017 days1480 days

Compare to NU, ETR, FE, PPL, EIX


In The Past

DTE Energy's stock fell -32.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -32.3% loss requires a 47.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About DTE Energy (DTE)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DTE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.7%-0.7%-0.7%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.5%2.5%0.0%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.3%9.3%-3.2%
DTE_9302022_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%09302022DTEDTE EnergyQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-3.2%-10.7%-11.3%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.7%-0.7%-0.7%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.5%2.5%0.0%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.3%9.3%-3.2%
DTE_9302022_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%09302022DTEDTE EnergyQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-3.2%-10.7%-11.3%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for DTE Energy

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DTENUETRFEPPLEIXMedian
NameDTE Ener.Nu Entergy FirstEne.PPL Edison I. 
Mkt Price-------
Mkt Cap-------
Rev LTM-------
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM-------
FCF 3Y Avg-------
CFO LTM-------
CFO 3Y Avg-------

Growth & Margins

DTENUETRFEPPLEIXMedian
NameDTE Ener.Nu Entergy FirstEne.PPL Edison I. 
Rev Chg LTM-------
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-------
Rev Chg Q-------
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-------
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM-------
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-------
FCF/Rev LTM-------
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-------

Valuation

DTENUETRFEPPLEIXMedian
NameDTE Ener.Nu Entergy FirstEne.PPL Edison I. 
Mkt Cap-------
P/S-------
P/EBIT-------
P/E-------
P/CFO-------
Total Yield-------
Dividend Yield-------
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-------
D/E-------
Net D/E-------

Returns

DTENUETRFEPPLEIXMedian
NameDTE Ener.Nu Entergy FirstEne.PPL Edison I. 
1M Rtn-------
3M Rtn-------
6M Rtn-------
12M Rtn-------
3Y Rtn-------
1M Excs Rtn-------
3M Excs Rtn-------
6M Excs Rtn-------
12M Excs Rtn-------
3Y Excs Rtn-------

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Electric5,8186,4125,8215,5205,229
Energy Trading4,61210,3086,8313,8634,610
Gas1,7481,9241,5531,4141,482
DTE Vantage8098481,4821,2241,560
Corporate and Other00222
Reclassifications and Eliminations-242-264-725-600-715
Gas Storage and Pipelines    501
Total12,74519,22814,96411,42312,669


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Electric772956864777714
Energy Trading336-92-833649
Gas294272214186185
DTE Vantage15392168134133
Reclassifications and Eliminations00   
Corporate and Other-158-145-367-79-116
Discontinued Operations  111314 
Gas Storage and Pipelines    204
Total1,3971,0839071,3681,169


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Electric32,29230,34228,52426,58824,617
Gas7,7227,3216,7296,3395,717
Corporate and Other4,1504,4094,2815,0637,610
Energy Trading1,1661,3851,174807798
DTE Vantage1,1221,077983696537
Reclassifications and Eliminations-1,697-1,851-1,972-2,073-1,843
Discontinued Operations   8,076 
Gas Storage and Pipelines    4,832
Total44,75542,68339,71945,49642,268


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,220,153
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-17.1%
Average Daily Volume1,961,838
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.64
Basic Shares Quantity207,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025729202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024213202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241024202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024725202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024425202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023208202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023427202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022728202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022428202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021210202210-K 12/31/2021