DTE Energy (DTE)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $133.02 | Market Cap: $27.5 BilSector: Utilities | Industry: Multi-Utilities
DTE Energy (DTE)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $133.02Market Cap: $27.5 BilSector: UtilitiesIndustry: Multi-Utilities
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Renewable Energy Transition, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Grid Automation, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Renewable Energy Transition, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Grid Automation, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
DTE Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
For the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, DTE Energy (DTE) experienced a stock movement of -1.8%. Several key factors likely contributed to this decline:
**1. Regulatory and Public Scrutiny Over Data Center Contracts.**
DTE Energy faced increased regulatory and public scrutiny in November and December 2025 regarding its fast-track application for electricity supply contracts to a large data center. Concerns were raised by the Michigan Attorney General and environmental groups about the lack of transparency, potential cost burdens on other customers, and the impact on Michigan's energy reliability and climate goals. This heightened scrutiny introduced regulatory risk and uncertainty for investors.
**2. Q3 2025 Revenue Shortfall Despite Earnings Beat.**
While DTE Energy reported third-quarter 2025 operating earnings per share (EPS) of $2.25, surpassing analyst estimates of $2.11 to $2.13, the company simultaneously experienced a notable revenue shortfall. This mixed financial performance, with strong profitability overshadowed by a significant miss on revenue, could have tempered investor enthusiasm and contributed to a downward pressure on the stock.
**3. Lowered FY2026 EPS Estimates by Scotiabank.**
On November 28, 2025, Scotiabank, a research analyst firm, lowered its FY2026 earnings per share (EPS) estimates for DTE Energy, revising its forecast from $7.80 to $7.69. A downward adjustment in future earnings expectations from analysts can negatively influence investor sentiment and stock valuations.
**4. Underperformance of the DTE Gas Segment in Q3 2025.**
In its third-quarter 2025 earnings report, DTE Energy's DTE Gas segment reported unfavorable results, with a $25 million year-over-year decline in operating earnings. This underperformance was attributed to higher operating and maintenance costs, offsetting some of the gains seen in other segments like DTE Electric.
**5. Perception of Overvaluation in Early December 2025.**
Analysis on December 2, 2025, indicated that DTE Energy appeared overvalued when compared to its InvestingPro Fair Value. Such a perception of overvaluation in the market can lead to investors re-evaluating the stock's price, potentially contributing to a slight decline as the market adjusts.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| DTE Return | -3% | 20% | 1% | -3% | 13% | 12% | 46% |
| Peers Return | -16% | 17% | -10% | 21% | 27% | 21% | 64% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| DTE Win Rate | 67% | 50% | 67% | 50% | 58% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 43% | 58% | 52% | 55% | 65% | 64% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| DTE Max Drawdown | -40% | -3% | -12% | -18% | -7% | -3% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -33% | -7% | -25% | -15% | -5% | -10% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NU, ETR, FE, PPL, EIX. See DTE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | DTE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -32.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 546 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -43.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 75.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 238 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -18.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 22.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 135 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -56.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 129.6% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1017 days | 1480 days |
Compare to NU, ETR, FE, PPL, EIX
In The Past
DTE Energy's stock fell -32.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -32.3% loss requires a 47.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| DTE Energy Earnings Notes | |||
| How Low Can DTE Energy Stock Really Go? | Return | ||
| DTE Energy vs Newmont: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| DTE Energy vs Eversource Energy: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| DTE Energy vs NiSource: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| Better Bet Than DTE Stock: Pay Less Than DTE Energy To Get More From OKE, UTHR | |||
| Better Bet Than DTE Stock: Pay Less Than DTE Energy To Get More From WTRG, BIPC | |||
| DTE Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| DTE YTD Stock Return Of 14% Outperforms EIX by 40% and Underperforms NU by -13% | Return | ||
| DTE Energy (DTE) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Mid Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | August 14th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to DTE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.7% | -0.7% | -0.7% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.3% | 9.3% | -3.2% |
| 09302022 | DTE | DTE Energy | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -3.2% | -10.7% | -11.3% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.7% | -0.7% | -0.7% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.3% | 9.3% | -3.2% |
| 09302022 | DTE | DTE Energy | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -3.2% | -10.7% | -11.3% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for DTE Energy
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
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Growth & Margins
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Valuation
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Returns
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Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Electric | 5,818 | 6,412 | 5,821 | 5,520 | 5,229 |
| Energy Trading | 4,612 | 10,308 | 6,831 | 3,863 | 4,610 |
| Gas | 1,748 | 1,924 | 1,553 | 1,414 | 1,482 |
| DTE Vantage | 809 | 848 | 1,482 | 1,224 | 1,560 |
| Corporate and Other | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Reclassifications and Eliminations | -242 | -264 | -725 | -600 | -715 |
| Gas Storage and Pipelines | 501 | ||||
| Total | 12,745 | 19,228 | 14,964 | 11,423 | 12,669 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Electric | 772 | 956 | 864 | 777 | 714 |
| Energy Trading | 336 | -92 | -83 | 36 | 49 |
| Gas | 294 | 272 | 214 | 186 | 185 |
| DTE Vantage | 153 | 92 | 168 | 134 | 133 |
| Reclassifications and Eliminations | 0 | 0 | |||
| Corporate and Other | -158 | -145 | -367 | -79 | -116 |
| Discontinued Operations | 111 | 314 | |||
| Gas Storage and Pipelines | 204 | ||||
| Total | 1,397 | 1,083 | 907 | 1,368 | 1,169 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Electric | 32,292 | 30,342 | 28,524 | 26,588 | 24,617 |
| Gas | 7,722 | 7,321 | 6,729 | 6,339 | 5,717 |
| Corporate and Other | 4,150 | 4,409 | 4,281 | 5,063 | 7,610 |
| Energy Trading | 1,166 | 1,385 | 1,174 | 807 | 798 |
| DTE Vantage | 1,122 | 1,077 | 983 | 696 | 537 |
| Reclassifications and Eliminations | -1,697 | -1,851 | -1,972 | -2,073 | -1,843 |
| Discontinued Operations | 8,076 | ||||
| Gas Storage and Pipelines | 4,832 | ||||
| Total | 44,755 | 42,683 | 39,719 | 45,496 | 42,268 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7292025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2132025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10242024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7252024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4252024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2082024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11012023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7272023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4272023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10272022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7282022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4282022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2102022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |