Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.7%, Dividend Yield is 2.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.5%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -20%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -48%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 86%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.5%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, CFO LTM is 3.4 Bil
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.9%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 17%
  Key risks
DTE key risks include [1] unfavorable regulatory outcomes in Michigan impacting its ability to recover significant capital investments, Show more.
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Renewable Energy Transition, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Grid Automation, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.7%, Dividend Yield is 2.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.5%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, CFO LTM is 3.4 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 17%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Renewable Energy Transition, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Grid Automation, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -20%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -48%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 86%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.5%
8 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.9%
9 Key risks
DTE key risks include [1] unfavorable regulatory outcomes in Michigan impacting its ability to recover significant capital investments, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

DTE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Between August 31, 2025, and December 17, 2025, DTE Energy (DTE) experienced a stock price decline of approximately 4.1%. Several key factors likely contributed to this movement:

1. Mixed Third-Quarter 2025 Earnings Report. On October 30, 2025, DTE Energy announced its third-quarter 2025 earnings, which presented a mixed financial picture. While the company reported a significant earnings per share (EPS) beat of $2.25 against analyst estimates of $2.13 or $2.11, it also recorded an atypical and substantial revenue shortfall, reporting approximately -$1.0 billion against projected revenues of $3.27 billion. Despite an initial modest positive market reaction to the EPS beat, the puzzling revenue figure could have fostered investor uncertainty over the subsequent weeks.

2. Regulatory Delays for Major Data Center Project. In December 2025, the Michigan Public Service Commission (MPSC) failed to approve DTE Energy's power contracts for a significant $7 billion, 1.4-gigawatt data center project with Oracle and Open AI. This delay occurred despite DTE's warning that the project could be canceled if approval was not granted by December 5, creating significant uncertainty and potential financial implications for the company.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DTE Return-3%20%1%-3%13%10%44%
Peers Return4%21%3%-11%17%17%56%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DTE Win Rate67%50%67%50%58%42% 
Peers Win Rate52%60%60%52%60%65% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DTE Max Drawdown-40%-3%-12%-18%-7%-3% 
Peers Max Drawdown-27%-8%-15%-23%-6%-3% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CMS, NEE, DUK, AEP, EXC. See DTE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDTES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-32.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven47.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven546 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-43.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven75.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven238 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-18.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven22.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven135 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-56.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven129.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,017 days1,480 days

Compare to NU, ETR, FE, PPL, EIX


In The Past

DTE Energy's stock fell -32.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -32.3% loss requires a 47.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About DTE Energy (DTE)

Better Bets than DTE Energy (DTE)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DTE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.7%6.7%-3.2%
DTE_9302022_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%09302022DTEDTE EnergyQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-3.2%-10.7%-11.3%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.7%6.7%-3.2%
DTE_9302022_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%09302022DTEDTE EnergyQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-3.2%-10.7%-11.3%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for DTE Energy

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DTECMSNEEDUKAEPEXCMedian
NameDTE Ener.CMS Ener.NextEra .Duke Ene.American.Exelon  
Mkt Price128.8970.2680.29117.43114.7144.2297.50
Mkt Cap26.721.1165.891.461.444.753.0
Rev LTM14,8228,29526,29831,65921,25724,31722,787
Op Inc LTM2,4101,7177,4048,5835,3005,0605,180
FCF LTM-868-1,7193,073-921-1,736-1,595-1,258
FCF 3Y Avg-886-1,1802,421-2,122-1,932-2,186-1,556
CFO LTM3,4452,16011,96712,0496,8586,4366,647
CFO 3Y Avg3,2632,20811,84710,5395,8345,3375,586

Growth & Margins

DTECMSNEEDUKAEPEXCMedian
NameDTE Ener.CMS Ener.NextEra .Duke Ene.American.Exelon  
Rev Chg LTM19.4%11.0%0.2%4.8%8.4%6.1%7.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-6.5%0.1%11.4%5.2%4.2%8.9%4.7%
Rev Chg Q21.4%15.9%5.3%4.8%10.9%9.0%9.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.4%3.5%1.5%1.2%2.9%2.3%2.6%
Op Mgn LTM16.3%20.7%28.2%27.1%24.9%20.8%22.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg16.5%18.2%31.5%25.1%21.6%19.0%20.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.4%0.7%-1.4%0.3%0.1%0.8%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM23.2%26.0%45.5%38.1%32.3%26.5%29.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg24.0%28.2%44.6%34.6%29.0%23.3%28.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-5.9%-20.7%11.7%-2.9%-8.2%-6.6%-6.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-6.5%-14.8%9.3%-7.1%-9.7%-9.9%-8.4%

Valuation

DTECMSNEEDUKAEPEXCMedian
NameDTE Ener.CMS Ener.NextEra .Duke Ene.American.Exelon  
Mkt Cap26.721.1165.891.461.444.753.0
P/S2.02.65.93.02.81.92.7
P/EBIT12.110.820.710.410.68.610.7
P/E21.121.024.019.316.416.120.1
P/CFO8.510.213.08.08.87.18.6
Total Yield7.7%6.0%7.1%6.0%9.4%9.7%7.4%
Dividend Yield2.9%1.2%2.9%0.8%3.3%3.5%2.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-3.6%-6.2%1.3%-2.9%-4.3%-5.5%-3.9%
D/E0.90.80.60.90.81.10.8
Net D/E0.90.80.60.90.81.10.8

Returns

DTECMSNEEDUKAEPEXCMedian
NameDTE Ener.CMS Ener.NextEra .Duke Ene.American.Exelon  
1M Rtn-5.5%-5.6%-5.7%-6.2%-7.3%-5.1%-5.7%
3M Rtn-3.7%0.6%15.0%-2.2%7.5%3.2%1.9%
6M Rtn-0.5%3.7%13.8%4.3%15.2%6.2%5.2%
12M Rtn10.4%8.0%14.6%12.8%29.1%25.5%13.7%
3Y Rtn23.5%24.9%4.1%31.8%36.0%18.0%24.2%
1M Excs Rtn-6.2%-6.4%-6.5%-6.9%-8.0%-5.8%-6.4%
3M Excs Rtn-5.1%-0.5%12.8%-3.0%7.3%2.1%0.8%
6M Excs Rtn-12.9%-8.7%1.4%-8.1%2.8%-6.2%-7.1%
12M Excs Rtn-0.2%-3.5%1.4%0.7%17.0%13.2%1.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-48.4%-47.4%-67.2%-39.2%-38.0%-52.1%-47.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Electric5,8186,4125,8215,5205,229
Energy Trading4,61210,3086,8313,8634,610
Gas1,7481,9241,5531,4141,482
DTE Vantage8098481,4821,2241,560
Corporate and Other00222
Reclassifications and Eliminations-242-264-725-600-715
Gas Storage and Pipelines    501
Total12,74519,22814,96411,42312,669


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Electric772956864777714
Energy Trading336-92-833649
Gas294272214186185
DTE Vantage15392168134133
Reclassifications and Eliminations00   
Corporate and Other-158-145-367-79-116
Discontinued Operations  111314 
Gas Storage and Pipelines    204
Total1,3971,0839071,3681,169


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Electric32,29230,34228,52426,58824,617
Gas7,7227,3216,7296,3395,717
Corporate and Other4,1504,4094,2815,0637,610
Energy Trading1,1661,3851,174807798
DTE Vantage1,1221,077983696537
Reclassifications and Eliminations-1,697-1,851-1,972-2,073-1,843
Discontinued Operations   8,076 
Gas Storage and Pipelines    4,832
Total44,75542,68339,71945,49642,268


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,862,595
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202520.0%
Average Daily Volume1,176,546
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.28
Basic Shares Quantity207,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/2025-0.6%-3.5%-4.0%
7/29/2025-0.2%2.5%0.5%
5/1/2025-0.8%1.2%-0.3%
2/13/20252.9%5.6%8.9%
10/24/2024-0.2%-4.5%-4.6%
7/25/20240.2%2.2%4.6%
4/25/2024-0.4%-0.2%0.5%
2/8/2024-0.9%0.1%7.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131414
# Negative111010
Median Positive0.9%1.3%5.2%
Median Negative-0.8%-2.8%-3.8%
Max Positive3.5%5.6%9.2%
Max Negative-3.8%-5.3%-12.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025729202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024213202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241024202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024725202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024425202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023208202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023427202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022728202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022428202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021210202210-K 12/31/2021