CMS Energy (CMS)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $70.27 | Market Cap: $21.1 BilSector: Utilities | Industry: Multi-Utilities
CMS Energy (CMS)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $70.27Market Cap: $21.1 BilSector: UtilitiesIndustry: Multi-Utilities
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.0% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -18%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -47% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 81% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, CFO LTM is 2.2 Bil | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.1% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 17% | Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Wind Energy Development, and Battery Storage & Grid Modernization. | Key risksCMS key risks include [1] adverse regulatory rulings by the Michigan Public Service Commission, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.0% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, CFO LTM is 2.2 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 17% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Wind Energy Development, and Battery Storage & Grid Modernization. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -18%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -47% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 81% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.1% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21% |
| Key risksCMS key risks include [1] adverse regulatory rulings by the Michigan Public Service Commission, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CMS Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The stock of CMS Energy (CMS) moved by -1.1% in the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025. Here are some key points that may have contributed to this movement:
1. Natural Gas Rate Hike Request and Attorney General Intervention.
On December 17, 2025, Consumers Energy, the principal subsidiary of CMS Energy, submitted an application to increase natural gas distribution rates, which could result in an average 8% increase for single-family homes. Michigan Attorney General Dana Nessel announced her office's intervention in this request, citing a history of Consumers Energy filing for unjustified costs. This intervention by the Attorney General could signal potential challenges or reductions to the proposed rate hike, potentially impacting future revenue expectations for CMS Energy.
2. Analyst Rating Changes and Price Target Adjustments.
During this period, there were some adjustments in analyst ratings and price targets. For instance, on December 11, 2025, JPMorgan decreased its price objective for CMS Energy from $85.00 to $80.00 while maintaining an "overweight" rating. Also, on October 28, 2025, Wells Fargo initiated coverage with a "Hold" rating and a $77 price target. While other analysts like Morgan Stanley and Barclays maintained or increased their price targets with "outperform" or "overweight" ratings in late October, a downgrade or a lower-than-expected new rating from any firm could contribute to negative investor sentiment.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CMS Return | -0% | 10% | 0% | -5% | 19% | 8% | 33% |
| Peers Return | 5% | 16% | 1% | -10% | 17% | 16% | 52% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CMS Win Rate | 42% | 50% | 50% | 58% | 67% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 55% | 58% | 62% | 55% | 55% | 62% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CMS Max Drawdown | -22% | -11% | -16% | -18% | -4% | -2% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -28% | -7% | -15% | -22% | -7% | -4% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DTE, WEC, AEP, DUK, NEE. See CMS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CMS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -31.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 45.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 518 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -29.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 42.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 732 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -17.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 21.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 210 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -53.5% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 114.9% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 754 days | 1480 days |
Compare to D, XEL, ED, NEE, SRE
In The Past
CMS Energy's stock fell -31.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/6/2022. A -31.3% loss requires a 45.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| CMS Energy Earnings Notes | ||
| With CMS Energy Stock Sliding, Have You Assessed The Risk? | Return | |
| CMS Energy vs Apollo Asset Management: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | |
| CMS Energy vs Exelon: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | |
| CMS Energy vs Consolidated Edison: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | |
| How Does CMS Energy Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? | Peer Comparison | |
| Better Bet Than CMS Stock: Pay Less Than CMS Energy To Get More From FI, EXC | ||
| Better Bet Than CMS Stock: Pay Less Than CMS Energy To Get More From EXC, NI | ||
| Better Bet Than CMS Stock: Pay Less Than CMS Energy To Get More From NI | ||
| CMS Energy vs. Renewable Energy Stocks: Which Is A Better Investment? | Investment Theme Comparisons |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CMS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.9% | -0.9% | -2.4% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -0.8% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.7% | 6.7% | -3.2% |
| 03312020 | CMS | CMS Energy | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 5.5% | 7.2% | -7.9% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.9% | -0.9% | -2.4% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -0.8% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.7% | 6.7% | -3.2% |
| 03312020 | CMS | CMS Energy | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 5.5% | 7.2% | -7.9% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for CMS Energy
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 109.73 |
| Mkt Cap | 47.5 |
| Rev LTM | 18,040 |
| Op Inc LTM | 3,855 |
| FCF LTM | -894 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -1,033 |
| CFO LTM | 5,152 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 4,549 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 12.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 25.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 22.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 34.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 30.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -4.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -6.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 47.5 |
| P/S | 2.9 |
| P/EBIT | 11.5 |
| P/E | 21.1 |
| P/CFO | 9.5 |
| Total Yield | 7.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.9% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -3.2% |
| D/E | 0.8 |
| Net D/E | 0.8 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -6.0% |
| 3M Rtn | -0.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 4.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 13.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 24.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -6.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -1.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -8.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 1.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -47.9% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/30/2025 | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% |
| 7/31/2025 | 2.3% | 2.7% | -0.6% |
| 4/24/2025 | 0.9% | 0.2% | -4.9% |
| 2/6/2025 | 1.8% | 3.6% | 9.7% |
| 10/31/2024 | -0.7% | -3.2% | 0.2% |
| 7/25/2024 | 1.2% | 3.7% | 8.5% |
| 4/25/2024 | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% |
| 2/1/2024 | 2.9% | -1.3% | 2.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 18 | 16 | 13 |
| # Negative | 6 | 8 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 1.2% | 1.5% | 5.1% |
| Median Negative | -1.3% | -2.3% | -5.1% |
| Max Positive | 2.9% | 3.9% | 10.5% |
| Max Negative | -2.9% | -5.8% | -9.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4242025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2112025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7252024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4252024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2082024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10262023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7272023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4272023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2092023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10272022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7282022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5032022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2102022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Hofmeister Brandon J. | Senior Vice President | 11042025 | Sell | 72.47 | 3,777 | 273,719 | 4,656,850 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |