CMS Energy (CMS)
Market Price (7/22/2026): $72.49 | Market Cap: $22.2 BilInvestor Relations Sector: Utilities | Industry: Multi-Utilities
CMS Energy (CMS)
Market Price (7/22/2026): $72.49Market Cap: $22.2 BilSector: UtilitiesIndustry: Multi-Utilities
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.1%, Dividend Yield is 3.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.7% Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 17% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Wind Energy Development, and Battery Storage & Grid Modernization. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -6.8%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -36% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 85% Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -26% Key risksCMS key risks include [1] adverse regulatory rulings by the Michigan Public Service Commission, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.1%, Dividend Yield is 3.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.7% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 17% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Wind Energy Development, and Battery Storage & Grid Modernization. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -6.8%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -36% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 85% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -26% |
| Key risksCMS key risks include [1] adverse regulatory rulings by the Michigan Public Service Commission, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
CMS Energy (CMS) stock has lost about 5% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Q1 2026 Financial Performance and Reaffirmed Guidance.
CMS Energy reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.13 for fiscal Q1 2026, exceeding analysts' consensus estimates of $1.11 by $0.02. Quarterly revenue also rose 11.6% year-over-year to $2.73 billion, surpassing the consensus estimate of $2.46 billion. The company reaffirmed its 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $3.83 to $3.90 per share and a long-term adjusted EPS growth rate of 6% to 8%, providing a stable financial outlook that supported the stock's valuation.
2. Significant Capital Investment Plan Driving Future Rate Base Growth.
The company's updated five-year capital plan for 2026-2030 totals $24 billion, an increase of $4 billion from its previous plan. With 72% of investments allocated to the electric system, this plan focuses on grid modernization, renewable energy integration, and natural gas system enhancements. This robust capital program is projected to grow the regulatory rate base from $28.4 billion in 2025 to $46.8 billion by 2030, at an average annual rate of approximately 10.5%, signaling stable future earnings.
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CMS Energy (CMS) stock has lost about 5% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Q1 2026 Financial Performance and Reaffirmed Guidance.
CMS Energy reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.13 for fiscal Q1 2026, exceeding analysts' consensus estimates of $1.11 by $0.02. Quarterly revenue also rose 11.6% year-over-year to $2.73 billion, surpassing the consensus estimate of $2.46 billion. The company reaffirmed its 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $3.83 to $3.90 per share and a long-term adjusted EPS growth rate of 6% to 8%, providing a stable financial outlook that supported the stock's valuation.
2. Significant Capital Investment Plan Driving Future Rate Base Growth.
The company's updated five-year capital plan for 2026-2030 totals $24 billion, an increase of $4 billion from its previous plan. With 72% of investments allocated to the electric system, this plan focuses on grid modernization, renewable energy integration, and natural gas system enhancements. This robust capital program is projected to grow the regulatory rate base from $28.4 billion in 2025 to $46.8 billion by 2030, at an average annual rate of approximately 10.5%, signaling stable future earnings.
3. Counterbalancing Macroeconomic Headwinds in the Utilities Sector.
While the broader utilities sector (XLU) underperformed in fiscal Q2 2026, declining by 0.96% amid rising interest rates and inflation concerns, CMS Energy's stock largely maintained its level. The defensive characteristics of regulated utilities, combined with company-specific positives such as increased power demand from data centers and anticipated favorable regulatory outcomes for rate increases by its subsidiary, Consumers Energy, likely helped to offset these sector-wide pressures.
4. Analyst Consensus and Limited Upside Potential.
Analysts maintained a generally positive outlook, with 11 to 16 analysts providing a consensus "Buy" or "Moderate Buy" rating for CMS Energy. The average 12-month price target ranged from $79.79 to $81.00, suggesting a modest upside potential of 1.24% to 2.78% from its closing price of $78.81 on June 25, 2026. This largely stable, but not significantly bullish, analyst sentiment contributed to the stock trading within a narrow range.
5. Capital Funding Efforts and Minor Leadership Transition Impact.
CMS Energy filed a $3 billion "at the market" follow-on equity program in May 2026 to support its substantial capital expenditure needs. Additionally, a leadership change in late June, specifically a chief financial officer transition, resulted in mixed analyst reactions; some firms, like Jefferies, downgraded the stock to "Hold" with an adjusted price target of $74, while others, like KeyBanc, reiterated an "Overweight" rating with an $83 price target. These factors introduced considerations around capital structure and minor uncertainty, contributing to the stock's largely level movement.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -5.8% change in CMS stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -8.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 7212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 76.98 | 72.50 | -5.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 8,539 | 8,822 | 3.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 12.5% | 12.5% | 0.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 21.9 | 20.1 | -8.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 305 | 306 | -0.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -5.8% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 7/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CMS | -5.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.1% | -24.7% |
| Sector (XLU) | -2.1% | 87.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 5.3% change in CMS stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 6.4% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 7212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 68.88 | 72.50 | 5.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 8,295 | 8,822 | 6.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 12.6% | 12.5% | -0.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 19.7 | 20.1 | 1.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 300 | 306 | -2.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 5.3% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 7/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CMS | 5.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 10.0% | -14.7% |
| Sector (XLU) | 6.0% | 85.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 7.8% change in CMS stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 13.3% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 6302025 | 7212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 67.23 | 72.50 | 7.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 7,786 | 8,822 | 13.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 13.1% | 12.5% | -4.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 19.7 | 20.1 | 2.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 298 | 306 | -2.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 7.8% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2025 to 7/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CMS | 7.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 22.1% | -9.1% |
| Sector (XLU) | 12.4% | 79.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 35.7% change in CMS stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 55.1% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 6302023 | 7212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 53.42 | 72.50 | 35.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 8,506 | 8,822 | 3.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 8.1% | 12.5% | 55.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 22.6 | 20.1 | -11.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 291 | 306 | -5.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 35.7% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2023 to 7/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CMS | 35.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 74.8% | 6.8% |
| Sector (XLU) | 49.3% | 79.6% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CMS Return | 10% | 0% | -5% | 19% | 8% | 6% | 41% |
| Peers Return | 16% | 1% | -10% | 17% | 17% | 12% | 63% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 98% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CMS Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 58% | 67% | 50% | 43% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 62% | 55% | 55% | 62% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 43% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CMS Max Drawdown | -11% | -26% | -21% | -8% | -9% | -11% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -12% | -24% | -25% | -13% | -11% | -10% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: DTE, WEC, AEP, DUK, NEE. See CMS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/21/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CMS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -19.2% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 23.7% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 214 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -15.8% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.8% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 61 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -29.2% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 41.2% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 232 days | 140 days |
| 2013 Taper Tantrum | ||
| % Loss | -11.9% | -0.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 13.5% | 0.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 225 days | 1 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -12.9% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 14.9% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 38 days | 123 days |
| 2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash | ||
| % Loss | -13.0% | -15.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 15.0% | 18.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 53 days | 125 days |
In The Past
CMS Energy's stock fell -1.2% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 1.3% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | CMS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -29.2% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 41.2% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 232 days | 140 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -49.2% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 96.9% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 522 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
CMS Energy's stock fell -1.2% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 1.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About CMS Energy (CMS)
CMS Energy (NYSE: CMS) is a Michigan-based energy company that primarily operates as a regulated utility. The company's core business revolves around two main services: generating, transmitting, and distributing electricity, and procuring, transmitting, storing, and distributing natural gas. It sources electricity from a diverse mix, including coal, wind, gas, renewable energy, oil, and nuclear sources, while managing extensive infrastructure for natural gas delivery.
Through its Electric Utility and Gas Utility segments, CMS Energy provides essential energy services to a broad customer base. Its Enterprises segment also focuses on independent power production and marketing, particularly in the development and operation of renewable generation facilities, contributing to a more sustainable energy portfolio.
The company primarily serves the state of Michigan. Its main customers include approximately 1.9 million electric customers and 1.8 million natural gas customers, encompassing residential homes, commercial businesses, and various diversified industrial clients throughout the region.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Think of CMS Energy as the **Comcast or Spectrum for electricity and natural gas** services across a large part of Michigan.
Alternatively, it's like **AT&T for Michigan's electric and natural gas grid**, managing the infrastructure and supply of essential power and gas.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Sale of Electricity: CMS Energy generates, transmits, and distributes electricity to approximately 1.9 million residential, commercial, and industrial customers in Michigan.
- Sale of Natural Gas: The company purchases, transmits, stores, and distributes natural gas to around 1.8 million residential, commercial, and industrial customers in Michigan.
AI Analysis | Feedback
CMS Energy (symbol: CMS) primarily serves individuals and businesses as a utility provider. It does not sell primarily to a few other companies. The company serves the following categories of customers:
- Residential customers
- Commercial customers
- Diversified industrial customers
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Garrick J. Rochow, President and Chief Executive Officer
Garrick J. Rochow was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer of CMS Energy and its principal subsidiary, Consumers Energy, in December 2020. He joined Consumers Energy in 2003 and has held various leadership positions, including executive vice president of operations, vice president of customer experience, rates and regulation and quality and chief customer officer, and vice president of energy delivery. Rochow began his utility career as an environmental lead at the Holland Board of Public Works.
Rejji P. Hayes, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Rejji P. Hayes has served as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of CMS Energy and Consumers Energy since 2017. He is responsible for treasury, tax, investor relations, accounting, financial planning & analysis, internal audit services, supply chain, fleet, facilities, and mergers & acquisitions. Prior to joining CMS Energy, Hayes served as executive vice president and chief financial officer of ITC Holdings Corp., a publicly traded electric transmission utility, where he co-led the strategic review that resulted in the sale of ITC to Fortis, Inc. He also held strategy and financial leadership roles for Exelon Corporation, Lazard Freres & Co., and Banc of America Securities. Hayes serves as chair of the audit committee for Fortive Corporation (NYSE: FTV).
Tonya L. Berry, Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer
Tonya L. Berry was named Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer of CMS Energy and Consumers Energy in 2025. In this role, she oversees the company's electric supply, electric distribution, and natural gas delivery business units. Previously, Berry was Senior Vice President of Transformation and Engineering for CMS Energy and Consumers Energy.
Shaun M. Johnson, Senior Vice President and General Counsel
Shaun M. Johnson was appointed Senior Vice President and General Counsel of CMS Energy and Consumers Energy, effective May 16, 2019. He leads the company's legal team and has overall responsibility for corporate secretary activities, corporate records, and compliance. Johnson previously served as vice president and deputy general counsel.
LeeRoy Wells, Jr., SVP and President of Gas Delivery, Consumers Energy Company
LeeRoy Wells, Jr. was named SVP and President of Gas Delivery of Consumers Energy Company in 2025. He oversees the company's natural gas delivery business unit, including its operations and engineering, and the enterprise-wide safety strategy. Wells joined Consumers Energy in 2006 and has held various leadership positions, including senior vice president of operations, vice president of gas operations, and vice president of operations support.
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The key risks to CMS Energy (symbol: CMS) include:
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Regulatory and Legal Risks: As a regulated utility, CMS Energy's operations, financial performance, and strategic initiatives are significantly influenced by regulatory decisions and legal frameworks. Key risks include the potential for regulatory bodies to delay or not approve desired rate increases, Integrated Resource Plans (IRPs), or proposed returns on equity (ROE). Unfavorable outcomes in rate cases or changes in regulatory policies can directly impact the company's ability to recover costs for investments in infrastructure and clean energy projects, affecting revenue and profitability.
-
Energy Transition and Environmental Compliance Risks: CMS Energy is undertaking a substantial energy transformation, aiming to end coal usage by 2025 and significantly expand its renewable energy capacity. This transition presents risks such as the potential for regulatory bodies to delay or disapprove aspects of its IRPs, challenges in acquiring sufficient generation capacity due to supply chain bottlenecks, and the considerable costs associated with environmental compliance. These costs include managing and closing coal ash disposal facilities and adhering to tightening carbon emission rules.
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Operational Risks (including Severe Weather and Cybersecurity): The company faces inherent operational risks critical to maintaining reliable service. These include increased exposure to severe weather events, which can lead to significant costs for storm recovery and grid resilience measures. Additionally, the threat of cyberattacks and other operational disruptions remains a constant concern, requiring robust cybersecurity measures to protect assets, customer data, and ensure service continuity. Supply chain disruptions and inflationary pressures can also impact the timely and on-budget delivery of essential projects.
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- The increasing adoption of distributed generation, such as rooftop solar panels combined with battery storage, allows customers to generate and store their own electricity, reducing their reliance on the traditional utility grid and impacting the volume of electricity purchased from CMS Energy.
- The growing trend towards the electrification of heating and appliances (e.g., heat pumps replacing natural gas furnaces, induction cooktops) poses a long-term threat to the natural gas utility segment by reducing demand for natural gas.
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The addressable markets for CMS Energy's main products and services in Michigan are as follows:
- Electric Utility Services: The total revenue for electric utilities in Michigan for the year ended December 31, 2024, was approximately $30.3 billion. This represents the addressable market for electricity generation, purchase, transmission, distribution, and sale in Michigan.
- Gas Utility Services: The total retail sales revenue for gas utilities in Michigan for the year ended December 31, 2024, was approximately $3.98 billion. This constitutes the addressable market for the purchase, transmission, storage, distribution, and sale of natural gas in Michigan.
- Enterprises (Independent Power Production and Marketing, including Renewable Generation): While a specific annual market size in monetary terms for this segment is not readily available, the renewable energy sector in Michigan represents a significant and growing addressable market. Total solar investment in the state has reached $4 billion. Michigan's regulated electric utilities had over 7,500 megawatts (MW) of renewable capacity at the end of 2024, with projections to reach more than 8,300 MW by the end of 2025. Furthermore, the state's renewable energy capacity is expected to expand to 17,800 MW by 2030, driven by requirements for electric providers to meet a 50% renewable portfolio by 2030 and 60% by 2035. Michigan is also poised for a significant surge in solar power, with over 3,600 new MW scheduled to come online by 2028, the largest amount of any state in the Midwest Independent System Operator (MISO) region. The energy storage market in Michigan is also slated for exponential growth, with a procurement mandate of 2,500 MW by 2030.
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CMS Energy (symbol: CMS) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives and underlying factors:
- Accelerated Capital Investment and Rate Base Growth: CMS Energy has significantly increased its five-year (2026-2030) utility capital investment plan to $24 billion, a $4 billion increase from the previous plan. This substantial investment is directed towards infrastructure modernization, system reliability, and clean energy generation across its electric and gas utility segments. These investments are projected to drive a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.5% in the rate base through 2030, excluding contributions from new data centers, directly supporting revenue generation through regulated returns on these assets.
- Renewable Energy Expansion: The company's approved 20-year Renewable Energy Plan (REP) is a significant growth driver, aiming to add approximately 8 gigawatts (GW) of solar and 2.8 GW of wind capacity, with updated plans outlining up to 9 GW of purchased and owned solar resources and as much as 4 GW of new wind capacity over the next two decades. This plan represents an estimated $14 billion of capital investment through 2045. The NorthStar Clean Energy segment is expected to contribute to adjusted earnings per share (EPS) in 2026 through favorable capacity contract pricing and the completion of renewable projects, directly increasing revenue from clean energy generation.
- Constructive Regulatory Outcomes and Rate Relief: CMS Energy operates within a stable and supportive regulatory environment in Michigan. Positive regulatory outcomes and rate relief are anticipated to be ongoing contributors to revenue growth. Management has highlighted that recent performance has been bolstered by constructive regulatory results. Expected rate case orders, such as the electric rate case (U-21870) in March 2026 and the gas rate case (U-21981) in October 2026, are poised to provide sustained revenue streams through approved rate adjustments and cost recovery mechanisms.
- Growth from Large Load Customers: The company anticipates significant future revenue contributions from an expanding base of large load customers, particularly data centers and other industrial clients. CMS Energy has reported that commercial terms for its first data center are largely finalized, with potential online operation by 2028, and discussions for a second data center are in advanced stages. The addition of such large industrial loads requires substantial investment in distribution and supply, which will translate into increased electricity sales and associated revenue.
- Energy Efficiency Program and Financial Compensation Mechanism (FCM) Incentives: Revenue growth will also be supported by incentives derived from energy efficiency programs and the Financial Compensation Mechanism (FCM). Energy efficiency programs are expected to generate approximately $65 million per year in incentive benefits, enhanced by recent energy law changes. The FCM is projected to provide nearly $50 million in incentives by the end of the decade, contributing to the company's overall financial performance and revenue through approved mechanisms designed to promote energy conservation and infrastructure investment.
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Share Issuance
- CMS Energy issued $1 billion from a convertible offering in November 2025.
- The company plans approximately $700 million in equity issuance for 2026.
- CMS Energy had planned to issue up to $500 million in equity for 2025, which was completed.
Outbound Investments
- Consumers Energy, CMS Energy's subsidiary, acquired three wind projects totaling 517 MW of nameplate capacity since 2020.
Capital Expenditures
- CMS Energy has a planned capital expenditure of approximately $24 billion for the 2026-2030 period, which is an increase of $4 billion from the previous 2025-2029 plan.
- The $20 billion capital plan for 2025-2029 was allocated with $8.5 billion for electric distribution, $6.3 billion for gas utility infrastructure, and $5.2 billion for clean energy generation.
- Long-term capital investment opportunities of over $25 billion are projected through 2035, with $10 billion for electric reliability improvements and $10 billion for renewable energy development.
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 118.86 |
| Mkt Cap | 53.6 |
| Rev LTM | 19,474 |
| Op Inc LTM | 3,955 |
| FCF LTM | -1,890 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -1,216 |
| CFO LTM | 5,224 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 4,969 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 11.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 10.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.9% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 5.2% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 9.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 24.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 23.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 32.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 33.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -10.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -6.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 53.6 |
| P/S | 3.1 |
| P/Op Inc | 12.9 |
| P/EBIT | 12.3 |
| P/E | 21.1 |
| P/CFO | 10.3 |
| Total Yield | 7.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -2.6% |
| D/E | 0.8 |
| Net D/E | 0.8 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 0.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -0.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 7.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 8.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 37.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 0.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -7.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -1.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -9.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -27.4% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Electric utility | 5,638 | 5,061 | 4,745 | 5,419 | 4,958 |
| Gas utility | 2,493 | 2,138 | 2,420 | 2,732 | 2,063 |
| NorthStar Clean Energy | 408 | 316 | 297 | 445 | 308 |
| Other reconciling items | 0 | 0 | |||
| Total | 8,539 | 7,515 | 7,462 | 8,596 | 7,329 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Electric utility | 1,099 | 982 | |||
| Gas utility | 671 | 534 | |||
| Other reconciling items | -15 | -19 | |||
| NorthStar Clean Energy | -28 | -10 | |||
| Marketing, Services and Trading | -42 | ||||
| Other | -552 | ||||
| Compression and Power Systems | 19 | 6 | |||
| Leasing | 6 | 4 | |||
| Service | 14 | 11 | |||
| Total | 1,727 | 1,487 | -594 | 39 | 21 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Electric utility | 719 | 681 | 550 | 567 | 565 |
| Gas utility | 409 | 328 | 315 | 378 | 302 |
| NorthStar Clean Energy | 71 | 63 | 67 | 34 | 23 |
| Other reconciling items | -138 | -79 | -55 | -152 | 458 |
| Total | 1,061 | 993 | 877 | 827 | 1,348 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Electric utility | 22,760 | 20,710 | 19,358 | 17,907 | 16,493 |
| Gas utility | 14,188 | 13,247 | 12,353 | 11,873 | 10,517 |
| NorthStar Clean Energy | 2,496 | 1,893 | 1,604 | 1,464 | 1,312 |
| Other reconciling items | 497 | 70 | 202 | 109 | 431 |
| Total | 39,941 | 35,920 | 33,517 | 31,353 | 28,753 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $72.50 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 22.2 | |
| First Trading Date | 12/31/1984 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -8.6% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $73.96 | $73.30 |
| DMA Trend | up | down |
| Distance from DMA | -2.0% | -1.1% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 21.0% | 16.9% |
| Downside Capture | -59.51 | -19.68 |
| Upside Capture | -57.96 | -11.43 |
| Correlation (SPY) | -29.1% | -10.1% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.62 | -0.56 | -0.29 | -0.17 | -0.10 | 0.08 |
| Up Beta | -0.34 | -0.54 | -0.12 | -0.17 | -0.03 | 0.09 |
| Down Beta | -0.35 | -0.34 | -0.55 | -0.09 | -0.17 | 0.01 |
| Up Capture | -48% | -47% | -17% | -4% | 0% | 4% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 24 | 40 | 67 | 140 | 429 |
| Stock +ve Days | 14 | 22 | 32 | 69 | 138 | 411 |
| Down Capture | -109% | -82% | -47% | -42% | -30% | 16% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 10 | 17 | 23 | 58 | 112 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 7 | 19 | 31 | 56 | 113 | 338 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CMS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CMS | 3.9% | 16.9% | 0.06 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLU) | 9.6% | 14.8% | 0.41 | 79.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 20.3% | 12.6% | 1.19 | -10.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.6% | 28.1% | 0.69 | 6.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 31.4% | 19.1% | 1.30 | -12.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 15.0% | 14.0% | 0.76 | 55.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -44.6% | 42.9% | -1.25 | -5.2% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CMS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CMS | 7.1% | 19.0% | 0.26 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLU) | 10.0% | 17.3% | 0.43 | 84.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.9% | 17.1% | 0.58 | 22.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.3% | 18.4% | 0.76 | 15.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.9% | 19.5% | 0.35 | 1.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.9% | 18.9% | 0.05 | 56.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 14.9% | 53.4% | 0.46 | 4.1% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CMS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CMS | 8.0% | 20.7% | 0.34 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLU) | 8.8% | 19.3% | 0.39 | 88.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.2% | 17.9% | 0.72 | 38.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.2% | 16.1% | 0.57 | 15.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.2% | 17.9% | 0.32 | 6.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.1% | 20.7% | 0.21 | 62.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 58.7% | 66.2% | 0.99 | 4.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/3/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/28/2026 | -0.2% | -0.5% | -1.6% |
| 2/5/2026 | 1.8% | 4.1% | 8.6% |
| 10/30/2025 | 1.3% | 0.4% | 2.0% |
| 7/31/2025 | 2.3% | 2.7% | -0.6% |
| 4/24/2025 | 0.9% | 0.2% | -4.9% |
| 2/6/2025 | 1.8% | 3.6% | 9.7% |
| 10/31/2024 | -0.7% | -3.2% | 0.2% |
| 7/25/2024 | 1.2% | 3.7% | 8.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 18 | 16 | 14 |
| # Negative | 6 | 8 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 1.3% | 1.7% | 5.1% |
| Median Negative | -0.7% | -1.3% | -3.7% |
| Max Positive | 2.9% | 4.1% | 10.5% |
| Max Negative | -2.9% | -5.0% | -9.8% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/28/2026 | -0.2% | -0.5% | -1.6% |
| 2/5/2026 | 1.8% | 4.1% | 8.6% |
| 10/30/2025 | 1.3% | 0.4% | 2.0% |
| 7/31/2025 | 2.3% | 2.7% | -0.6% |
| 4/24/2025 | 0.9% | 0.2% | -4.9% |
| 2/6/2025 | 1.8% | 3.6% | 9.7% |
| 10/31/2024 | -0.7% | -3.2% | 0.2% |
| 7/25/2024 | 1.2% | 3.7% | 8.5% |
| 4/25/2024 | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% |
| 2/1/2024 | 2.9% | -1.3% | 2.7% |
| 10/26/2023 | 1.3% | 0.5% | 6.7% |
| 7/27/2023 | -2.9% | -5.0% | -9.8% |
| 4/27/2023 | 1.3% | -0.9% | -6.6% |
| 2/2/2023 | 0.0% | -4.4% | -5.3% |
| 10/27/2022 | 1.3% | 2.0% | 10.5% |
| 7/28/2022 | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% |
| 5/3/2022 | -0.5% | 2.7% | 5.2% |
| 2/3/2022 | 1.1% | 1.3% | 5.5% |
| 10/28/2021 | 0.6% | -0.3% | 0.4% |
| 7/29/2021 | 0.1% | 1.6% | 3.2% |
| 4/29/2021 | 1.4% | 1.8% | -0.5% |
| 2/4/2021 | 0.2% | 0.3% | -2.5% |
| 10/29/2020 | -0.7% | 0.9% | -2.5% |
| 8/3/2020 | -1.9% | -1.4% | -5.1% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 18 | 16 | 14 |
| # Negative | 6 | 8 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 1.3% | 1.7% | 5.1% |
| Median Negative | -0.7% | -1.3% | -3.7% |
| Max Positive | 2.9% | 4.1% | 10.5% |
| Max Negative | -2.9% | -5.0% | -9.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 04/28/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/10/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/31/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/24/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/11/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/25/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 04/25/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/08/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 10/26/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 07/27/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 04/27/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/09/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 10/27/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/28/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 04/28/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/10/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/31/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/24/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/11/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/25/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 04/25/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/08/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 10/26/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 07/27/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 04/27/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/09/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 10/27/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/28/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/10/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 10/28/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 07/29/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 04/29/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 02/11/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 10/29/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 08/03/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 04/27/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 02/06/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 10/24/2019 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2019 | 07/25/2019 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 7/8/2026Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/28/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Adjusted EPS | 3.83 | 3.87 | 3.9 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 3.87 for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EPS Growth | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 7.0% for 2026 | |
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/5/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Adjusted EPS | 3.83 | 3.87 | 3.9 | 0.8% | Raised | Guidance: 3.83 for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EPS Growth | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 0 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 7.0% for 2026 |
| 2026 Dividends | 2.28 | ||||||
Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/30/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 Adjusted EPS | 3.56 | 3.58 | 3.6 | 0.3% | Raised | Guidance: 3.57 for 2025 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EPS | 3.8 | 3.83 | 3.87 | 7.1% | Higher New | Guidance: 3.58 for 2025 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EPS Growth | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 7.0% for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Updated 6/16/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hofmeister, Brandon J | Senior Vice President | Direct | Sell | 5272026 | 74.31 | 3,000 | 222,930 | 4,987,018 | Form |
| 2 | McIntosh, Scott B | VP, Controller, CAO | Direct | Sell | 3042026 | 78.20 | 1,750 | 136,859 | 1,894,360 | Form |
| 3 | Hofmeister, Brandon J | Senior Vice President | Direct | Sell | 3022026 | 78.23 | 4,000 | 312,940 | 5,528,867 | Form |
| 4 | Leopold, Diane | Direct | Buy | 2272026 | 76.70 | 2,000 | 153,398 | 212,380 | Form | |
| 5 | Russell, John G | Direct | Sell | 2232026 | 75.75 | 14,914 | 1,129,810 | 9,966,934 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hofmeister, Brandon J | Senior Vice President | Direct | Sell | 5272026 | 74.31 | 3,000 | 222,930 | 4,987,018 | Form |
| 2 | McIntosh, Scott B | VP, Controller, CAO | Direct | Sell | 3042026 | 78.20 | 1,750 | 136,859 | 1,894,360 | Form |
| 3 | Hofmeister, Brandon J | Senior Vice President | Direct | Sell | 3022026 | 78.23 | 4,000 | 312,940 | 5,528,867 | Form |
| 4 | Leopold, Diane | Direct | Buy | 2272026 | 76.70 | 2,000 | 153,398 | 212,380 | Form | |
| 5 | Russell, John G | Direct | Sell | 2232026 | 75.75 | 14,914 | 1,129,810 | 9,966,934 | Form | |
| 6 | Hofmeister, Brandon J | Senior Vice President | Direct | Sell | 11042025 | 72.47 | 4,000 | 289,882 | 4,656,886 | Form |
| 7 | Snyder, Lauren Y | Senior Vice President | Direct | Sell | 9082025 | 71.26 | 2,220 | 158,199 | 962,873 | Form |
| 8 | Hofmeister, Brandon J | Senior Vice President | Direct | Sell | 8122025 | 73.62 | 2,000 | 147,246 | 5,009,014 | Form |
Investor Activity (13F)
Updated Jul 22, 2026Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.
| Active Manager |
|---|
Industry Resources
| Utilities Resources |
| Data.gov Energy Infrastructure |
| Data.gov Energy Resources |
| Utility Dive |
| Multi-Utilities Resources |
| Public Utilities Fortnightly |
| Power Magazine |
| Energy Central |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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