Ameren (AEE)
Market Price (12/17/2025): $97.94 | Market Cap: $26.5 BilSector: Utilities | Industry: Multi-Utilities
Ameren (AEE)
Market Price (12/17/2025): $97.94Market Cap: $26.5 BilSector: UtilitiesIndustry: Multi-Utilities
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.7%, Dividend Yield is 2.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.5% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -14%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -49% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 71% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23% | Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, CFO LTM is 3.2 Bil | Key risksAEE key risks include [1] regulatory pushback, Show more. | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 17% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Renewable Energy Transition, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include Grid Automation, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.7%, Dividend Yield is 2.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.5% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, CFO LTM is 3.2 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 17% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Renewable Energy Transition, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include Grid Automation, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -14%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -49% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 71% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14% |
| Key risksAEE key risks include [1] regulatory pushback, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
AEE Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The time period requested, from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, is in the future. Therefore, specific reasons for a 0.2% stock movement for Ameren (AEE) during this future period cannot be provided. However, general factors and recent developments related to Ameren and the broader utility sector that could influence stock performance are available.
1. Strong Earnings and Future Guidance: Ameren announced strong 2024 results, with GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $4.42, up from $4.38 in 2023. The company also affirmed its 2025 earnings guidance range of $4.85 to $5.05 per diluted share and issued long-term diluted EPS compound annual growth rate guidance of 6% to 8% for 2025 through 2029. This consistent growth and positive outlook can generally support investor confidence.
2. Infrastructure Investments and Rate Base Growth: Ameren expects its multi-year earnings growth to be driven by projected rate base growth of approximately 9.2% compounded annually from 2024 through 2029, stemming from investments to modernize the energy grid and power growth with reliable and cleaner energy resources. The company deployed over $3 billion in infrastructure upgrades in 2025 and has a ten-year capital investment pipeline exceeding $68 billion. These investments are crucial for utility companies to ensure grid reliability and efficiency, especially with the growing influx of renewable energy.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AEE Return | 4% | 17% | 3% | -16% | 27% | 13% | 52% |
| Peers Return | -1% | 19% | 6% | -6% | 16% | 17% | 59% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AEE Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 55% | 63% | 55% | 58% | 65% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AEE Max Drawdown | -20% | -10% | -14% | -18% | -6% | -3% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -28% | -8% | -11% | -16% | -6% | -2% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EXC, WEC, DUK, SO, AEP. See AEE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AEE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -27.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 38.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 508 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -29.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 41.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 504 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -18.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 22.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 190 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -63.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 175.6% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2909 days | 1480 days |
Compare to SRE, DTE, PNW, NEE, D
In The Past
Ameren's stock fell -27.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -27.8% loss requires a 38.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Ameren Earnings Notes | |||
| How Low Can Ameren Stock Really Go? | Return | ||
| Ameren vs Newmont: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| Ameren vs Chesapeake Utilities: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| How Does Ameren Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? | Peer Comparison | ||
| Better Bet Than AEE Stock: Pay Less Than Ameren To Get More From ADBE, MMC | |||
| Better Bet Than AEE Stock: Pay Less Than Ameren To Get More From AWK, ES | |||
| Better Bet Than AEE Stock: Pay Less Than Ameren To Get More From PNW | |||
| Ameren Total Shareholder Return (TSR): 30.0% in 2024 and ...% 3-yr compounded annual returns (below peer average) | |||
| Ameren vs. Large Cap Stocks: Which Is A Better Investment? | Investment Theme Comparisons | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Mid Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | September 30th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to AEE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.9% | -0.9% | -2.4% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -0.8% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.7% | 6.7% | -3.2% |
| 08312023 | AEE | Ameren | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -8.7% | 7.8% | -12.9% |
| 02282023 | AEE | Ameren | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.1% | -10.8% | -15.3% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.9% | -0.9% | -2.4% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -0.8% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.7% | 6.7% | -3.2% |
| 08312023 | AEE | Ameren | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -8.7% | 7.8% | -12.9% |
| 02282023 | AEE | Ameren | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.1% | -10.8% | -15.3% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Ameren
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 101.67 |
| Mkt Cap | 53.0 |
| Rev LTM | 22,787 |
| Op Inc LTM | 5,180 |
| FCF LTM | -1,422 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -1,608 |
| CFO LTM | 6,647 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 5,586 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 25.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 22.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 34.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 31.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -6.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -8.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 53.0 |
| P/S | 3.1 |
| P/EBIT | 11.5 |
| P/E | 19.7 |
| P/CFO | 8.8 |
| Total Yield | 7.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.9% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -3.6% |
| D/E | 0.8 |
| Net D/E | 0.7 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -6.0% |
| 3M Rtn | -0.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 5.1% |
| 12M Rtn | 14.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 27.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -6.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -1.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -7.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 2.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -44.1% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ameren Missouri | 3,859 | 4,046 | 3,353 | 3,109 | 3,243 |
| Ameren Illinois Electric Distribution | 2,218 | 2,256 | 1,639 | 1,498 | 1,504 |
| Ameren Illinois Natural Gas | 897 | 1,180 | 957 | 760 | 797 |
| Ameren Transmission | 677 | 615 | 562 | 523 | 464 |
| Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Intersegment Eliminations | -151 | -140 | -117 | -96 | -98 |
| Total | 7,500 | 7,957 | 6,394 | 5,794 | 5,910 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ameren Missouri | 545 | 562 | 518 | 436 | 426 |
| Ameren Transmission | 296 | 263 | 230 | 216 | 185 |
| Ameren Illinois Electric Distribution | 258 | 202 | 165 | 143 | 146 |
| Ameren Illinois Natural Gas | 134 | 123 | 108 | 99 | 84 |
| Intersegment Eliminations | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Other | -81 | -76 | -31 | -23 | -13 |
| Total | 1,152 | 1,074 | 990 | 871 | 828 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/5/2025 | 0.7% | 4.4% | -1.2% |
| 7/31/2025 | 1.0% | 1.2% | -1.3% |
| 5/1/2025 | 1.4% | -0.4% | -1.0% |
| 2/13/2025 | -0.2% | 0.3% | 3.2% |
| 11/6/2024 | -1.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% |
| 8/1/2024 | 1.6% | -1.3% | 1.5% |
| 5/2/2024 | -1.5% | -0.6% | -2.0% |
| 2/22/2024 | 1.1% | 0.5% | 2.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 13 | 13 |
| # Negative | 12 | 11 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% |
| Median Negative | -1.5% | -1.0% | -2.0% |
| Max Positive | 2.0% | 5.1% | 8.6% |
| Max Negative | -2.9% | -4.0% | -18.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8042025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5052025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2182025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8052024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5062024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2222023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8082022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2232022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |