Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

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Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 46%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing, Fintech & Digital Payments, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -17%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -37%

Key risks
TOST key risks include [1] its heavy reliance on the volatile restaurant industry, Show more.

0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 46%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing, Fintech & Digital Payments, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -17%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -37%
4 Key risks
TOST key risks include [1] its heavy reliance on the volatile restaurant industry, Show more.

TOST in ETFs

Weight = TOST's share of each fund

VTI0.02%
ITOT0.02%
IWB0.02%
IJH0.38%
VB0.16%
XOVR2.6%
ARKW1.2%
MDYG0.73%
+14 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 7/1/2026

Toast (TOST) stock has gained about 15% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q1 2026 Operational Performance and Profitability.

Toast reported diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.20 for fiscal Q1 2026, an increase from $0.09 in fiscal Q1 2025. Despite some analyst estimates for EPS being higher, the company demonstrated robust operational growth with Annualized Recurring Run-Rate (ARR) increasing 26% year-over-year to $2.2 billion as of March 31, 2026, and Gross Payment Volume (GPV) growing 22% year-over-year to $51.3 billion. Net income more than doubled to $126 million in fiscal Q1 2026 from $56 million in the prior year, and Adjusted EBITDA rose to $179 million from $133 million year-over-year, surpassing the $168 million estimate by 6%. Additionally, the GAAP Operating Income margin expanded to 21%, a significant milestone.

2. Raised Full-Year 2026 Financial Guidance.

Following strong Q1 results, Toast raised its financial outlook for the full fiscal year 2026. The company now expects non-GAAP subscription services and financial technology solutions gross profit in the range of $2.29 billion to $2.32 billion, representing 21%-23% growth compared to 2025, an increase from its prior guidance of 20-22% growth. Adjusted EBITDA guidance was also increased to a range of $790 million to $810 million, up from the previous range of $775 million to $795 million. This upward revision signals management's confidence in sustained growth and profitability, contributing positively to investor sentiment.

Show more
Updated on 7/1/2026

Toast (TOST) stock has gained about 15% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q1 2026 Operational Performance and Profitability.

Toast reported diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.20 for fiscal Q1 2026, an increase from $0.09 in fiscal Q1 2025. Despite some analyst estimates for EPS being higher, the company demonstrated robust operational growth with Annualized Recurring Run-Rate (ARR) increasing 26% year-over-year to $2.2 billion as of March 31, 2026, and Gross Payment Volume (GPV) growing 22% year-over-year to $51.3 billion. Net income more than doubled to $126 million in fiscal Q1 2026 from $56 million in the prior year, and Adjusted EBITDA rose to $179 million from $133 million year-over-year, surpassing the $168 million estimate by 6%. Additionally, the GAAP Operating Income margin expanded to 21%, a significant milestone.

2. Raised Full-Year 2026 Financial Guidance.

Following strong Q1 results, Toast raised its financial outlook for the full fiscal year 2026. The company now expects non-GAAP subscription services and financial technology solutions gross profit in the range of $2.29 billion to $2.32 billion, representing 21%-23% growth compared to 2025, an increase from its prior guidance of 20-22% growth. Adjusted EBITDA guidance was also increased to a range of $790 million to $810 million, up from the previous range of $775 million to $795 million. This upward revision signals management's confidence in sustained growth and profitability, contributing positively to investor sentiment.

3. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Price Target Upgrades.

Analyst ratings for Toast (TOST) remain predominantly positive, with a consensus ranging from "Moderate Buy" to "Buy" based on ratings from 21 to 27 Wall Street analysts. The average 12-month price target is approximately $37.62, implying a potential upside of 31.12% from the stock's price of $28.69 as of July 1, 2026. Several analysts also revised their EPS estimates higher for the current and next fiscal year, with current year EPS moving from $1.30 to $1.34 and next year's from $1.66 to $1.74 over a 30-day period ending June 8, 2026. This favorable analyst sentiment and re-rating likely supported the stock's recovery and upward trend.

4. Strategic Initiatives and AI-Powered Solutions.

Toast has been actively pursuing strategic initiatives and product innovations, including the integration of Artificial Intelligence (AI) to enhance its platform. The company launched Toast IQ Grow, its first AI agent designed to help restaurants optimize their digital presence and drive demand, which has shown an 8% sales lift in pilot restaurants and is actively used by 40,000 weekly locations. Furthermore, Toast is expanding into new markets and verticals, including a Drive-Thru offering and securing enterprise clients like Hungry Howie's Pizza for 500 locations and The Alinea Group. These efforts demonstrate ongoing innovation and expansion of Toast's market reach.

5. Significant Share Repurchase Program.

Toast's share repurchase program also contributed to positive investor perception. The company repurchased 14 million shares for a total of $378 million year-to-date through May 6, 2026. Share buybacks can increase earnings per share by reducing the number of outstanding shares and often signal management's belief that the company's stock is undervalued, which can act as a catalyst for price appreciation.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 13.0% change in TOST stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/13/2026 was primarily driven by a 15.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)33120267132026Change
Stock Price ($)26.5129.9613.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6,1536,4464.8%
Net Income Margin (%)5.6%6.4%15.0%
P/E Multiple45.642.7-6.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)5885870.2%
Cumulative Contribution13.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 7/13/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TOST13.0% 
Market (SPY)15.2%14.7%
Sector (XLK)36.4%1.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The -15.6% change in TOST stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/13/2026 was primarily driven by a -43.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)123120257132026Change
Stock Price ($)35.5129.96-15.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5,8586,44610.0%
Net Income Margin (%)4.7%6.4%37.1%
P/E Multiple76.142.7-43.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)585587-0.3%
Cumulative Contribution-15.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 7/13/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TOST-15.6% 
Market (SPY)10.2%26.3%
Sector (XLK)26.1%16.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The -32.4% change in TOST stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/13/2026 was primarily driven by a -73.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)63020257132026Change
Stock Price ($)44.2929.96-32.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5,2226,44623.4%
Net Income Margin (%)3.0%6.4%111.2%
P/E Multiple161.242.7-73.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)575587-2.0%
Cumulative Contribution-32.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2025 to 7/13/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TOST-32.4% 
Market (SPY)22.3%31.0%
Sector (XLK)43.8%19.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 32.7% change in TOST stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/13/2026 was primarily driven by a 113.9% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)63020237132026Change
Stock Price ($)22.5729.9632.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,0146,446113.9%
P/S Multiple3.92.7-30.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)524587-10.7%
Cumulative Contribution32.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2023 to 7/13/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TOST32.7% 
Market (SPY)75.0%45.8%
Sector (XLK)112.5%36.1%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
TOST Return-44%-48%1%100%-3%-17%-53%
Peers Return-23%-30%45%33%-44%-28%-58%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%11%102%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TOST Win Rate25%33%50%67%50%43% 
Peers Win Rate50%40%58%56%40%43% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%57% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TOST Max Drawdown--63%-48%-21%-34%-39% 
Peers Max Drawdown-47%-51%-32%-26%-58%-45% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: FISV, LSPD, FOUR, PAR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/13/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventTOSTS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-24.9%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven33.1%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven31 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-39.4%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven65.1%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven108 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-32.7%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven48.6%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven111 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-61.6%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven160.5%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven912 days427 days

Compare to FISV, LSPD, FOUR, PAR

In The Past

Toast's stock fell -24.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 33.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

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EventTOSTS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-24.9%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven33.1%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven31 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-39.4%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven65.1%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven108 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-32.7%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven48.6%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven111 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-61.6%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven160.5%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven912 days427 days

Compare to FISV, LSPD, FOUR, PAR

In The Past

Toast's stock fell -24.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 33.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Toast (TOST)

Toast, Inc. (TOST) provides a comprehensive cloud-based digital technology platform specifically designed for the restaurant industry in the United States and Ireland. Its integrated suite of products and services aims to streamline all facets of restaurant operations, from enhancing customer experience and order management to optimizing back-office administration and financial processes. Essentially, Toast acts as an all-in-one technology partner, helping restaurants improve efficiency, boost sales, and manage their business more effectively.

The company's main offerings span hardware, software, and financial services. Key hardware products include various point-of-sale (POS) terminals such as Toast POS for on-counter use, Toast Go handheld devices for tableside ordering and payment, and Toast Flex adaptable stations for diverse functions like kiosks or kitchen displays. Software solutions encompass mobile ordering and payment (Toast Order & Pay), online ordering capabilities with a dedicated app, and diverse delivery services. For restaurant management, Toast provides kitchen display systems, multi-location management, inventory and accounting tools (xtraCHEF), payroll and team management, and robust reporting and analytics. Furthermore, Toast offers integrated payment processing solutions and financial services, including loans and insurance tailored for restaurant owners.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Toast (TOST):

  • Shopify for restaurants
  • Square/Block for restaurants

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Hardware Products

  • Toast Point of Sale (POS): A foundational hardware device for processing orders and payments in restaurants.
  • Toast Flex: A versatile terminal used for on-counter ordering, server stations, guest kiosks, or kitchen display systems.
  • Toast Go: A handheld POS device designed to facilitate tableside ordering and payment acceptance.
  • Toast Tap: A compact card reader for quick and secure payment processing.
  • Toast Flex for Kitchen: A larger, mountable hardware unit serving as a dedicated kitchen display screen.

Software & Platform Solutions

  • Toast Order & Pay: Software enabling guests to place orders and pay directly using their mobile devices.
  • Kitchen Display System Software: Enhances communication and efficiency by connecting front-of-house with kitchen staff.
  • Multi-Location Management Software: Tools for standardizing operations, menus, and reporting across multiple restaurant locations.
  • xtraCHEF: Back-office software providing advanced inventory and food cost management capabilities.
  • Online Ordering & TakeOut App: A platform that allows restaurants to accept and manage off-premises orders directly through their branded channels.
  • First-Party & Partner Delivery Services: Solutions for restaurants to manage their own delivery fleet or utilize a network of third-party delivery drivers.
  • Loyalty Programs & Gift Cards: Features designed to build customer retention through rewards programs and customizable gift card options.
  • Payroll & Team Management: Products streamlining employee scheduling, payroll processing, and overall team administration.
  • Reporting & Analytics: Provides comprehensive data and insights into restaurant performance for informed business decisions.
  • Toast Partner Connect & APIs: An ecosystem allowing restaurants to discover, integrate, and connect with various third-party applications and services.

Financial Services

  • Payment Processing Solutions: Secure and integrated services for handling credit card and other electronic payments.
  • Restaurant Lending & Financing: Offers loans and purchase financing options tailored to the specific needs of restaurants.
  • Business Insurance: Provides business owner policies and specialized add-ons to meet restaurant-specific insurance requirements.

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Major Customers of Toast (TOST)

Toast, Inc. primarily sells its cloud-based and digital technology platform, hardware, and software solutions to other businesses within the restaurant industry. The company's products and services are designed to serve the operational needs of various types of restaurants, including single-location establishments and multi-location chains, throughout the United States and Ireland.

Based on the provided company description, specific names of major restaurant customers are not disclosed.

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  • DoorDash (DASH)
  • Uber Technologies (UBER)

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Aman Narang - Chief Executive Officer, Co-founder, and Director

Aman Narang co-founded Toast in 2011. He assumed the role of Chief Executive Officer on January 1, 2024, having previously served as Co-President since December 2012 and Chief Operating Officer since June 2021. Before co-founding Toast, Mr. Narang worked in product management at Endeca (now Oracle), where he led their mobile business unit and played a key role in developing Endeca's business intelligence and mobile commerce platforms. Endeca was acquired by Oracle in 2012. He holds B.S. and M.S. degrees in Computer Science from MIT.

Elena Gomez - President and Chief Financial Officer

Elena Gomez joined Toast as Chief Financial Officer in May 2021 and was appointed President in February 2025. She oversees global finance, investor relations, corporate development, and business operations. Under her financial leadership, Toast launched its initial public offering in 2021. Prior to Toast, Ms. Gomez served as the CFO of Zendesk, where she contributed to growing its market capitalization to over $15 billion. Her career spans over 30 years, during which she held finance leadership roles at various Fortune 500 companies, including Salesforce, Visa, and Charles Schwab. She holds a B.S. in Business Administration from UC Berkeley's Haas School of Business.

Steve Fredette - President, Co-founder, and Director

Steve Fredette co-founded Toast in 2011 alongside Aman Narang and Jonathan Grimm. He is responsible for leading product and innovation initiatives at Toast. Before Toast, he engaged in several entrepreneurial ventures, including pioneering iPhone app development. He also served as an "intrapreneur" at Endeca (acquired by Oracle in 2012), where he helped lead the Special Operations team and co-founded their mobile commerce business. Mr. Fredette holds a B.S. degree from MIT.

Jonathan Grimm - Chief Technology Officer and Co-Founder

Jonathan Grimm co-founded Toast in 2011 with Steve Fredette and Aman Narang. As Chief Technology Officer, he is instrumental in guiding the company's technological vision and fostering innovation. His professional background includes senior technical roles, such as Advanced Application Development Lead at Oracle and Solution Engineer at Endeca.

Pete Sauerborn - Chief Operating Officer

Pete Sauerborn serves as the Chief Operating Officer for Toast, where he is responsible for managing the core operations of the business.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Toast's business include its significant reliance on the restaurant industry, intense competition and pricing pressures within the restaurant technology sector, and its dependence on payment processing revenue coupled with associated regulatory and compliance challenges.

  1. Reliance on the Restaurant Industry: Toast is almost exclusively focused on the restaurant sector, making its business highly susceptible to the inherent volatility and challenges of this industry. The restaurant industry is characterized by high turnover rates, thin margins, and sensitivity to economic downturns, which can directly impact Toast's customer base and the volume of transactions processed through its platform.
  2. Intense Competition and Pricing Pressure: Toast operates in a highly dynamic and competitive restaurant technology market. It faces competition from both broad financial technology platforms, like Square, that offer restaurant-specific solutions, and numerous specialized point-of-sale (POS) and restaurant management system providers. This competitive landscape can lead to ongoing pricing pressures, making it challenging for Toast to acquire new customers and retain existing ones, particularly as competitors may offer alternative pricing structures.
  3. Dependence on Payment Processing Revenue and Regulatory/Compliance Risks: A substantial portion of Toast's revenue is derived from payment processing fees, which are inherently transaction-based and can be subject to cyclical fluctuations. The company also navigates a complex regulatory environment, especially concerning financial technology and payment services. Changes to regulations, such as the Visa-Mastercard interchange fee settlements, can directly impact Toast's fee revenue. Furthermore, the mandatory use of Toast's proprietary payment processing for its customers, sometimes at potentially higher rates, presents a risk of customer dissatisfaction and churn if the perceived value does not outweigh the cost.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Toast, Inc. (TOST) operates within several large addressable markets, primarily in the United States, with some international presence. The company's main products and services cater to the restaurant technology sector, encompassing point-of-sale (POS) solutions, online ordering and delivery, and broader restaurant management software, which includes payroll, team management, and payment processing.

Addressable Markets for Toast's Main Products and Services:

  • Restaurant Point of Sale (POS) Solutions:
    • The U.S. restaurant point of sale solutions market size was valued at USD 5.91 billion in 2022 and is anticipated to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.9% from 2023 to 2030.
    • Another estimate for the U.S. restaurant POS solutions market valued it at US$ 3.50 billion in 2021, expecting it to reach US$ 6.44 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 4.7% from 2022 to 2030.
    • The global Restaurant Point of Sale (POS) Terminals Market size was valued at USD 19.45 billion in 2023 and is expected to grow to nearly USD 30.31 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of 6.54% from 2024.
    • In terms of locations, Toast's internal total addressable market (TAM), encompassing restaurants, bar & grill, retail, and food-service venues, is estimated to be around 1.4 million potential locations. As of Q3 2025, Toast served approximately 156,000 locations. The U.S. restaurant industry comprises over 1 million restaurant and foodservice outlets.
  • Online Ordering & Delivery Services (including First-Party Delivery, Toast Delivery Services, Toast Delivery Partners services, Toast Online Ordering & Toast TakeOut app):
    • The U.S. online food delivery market generated a revenue of USD 52.67 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 93.36 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 9.6% from 2025.
    • Another projection estimated the U.S. online food delivery market size at USD 66.73 billion in 2024, projected to grow to USD 211.58 billion by 2035, exhibiting a CAGR of 11.0% during the forecast period 2025-2035.
    • Globally, the online food delivery services market size is projected at USD 51.40 billion in 2025 and is anticipated to reach USD 187.11 billion by 2034, registering a CAGR of 15.2%.
  • Restaurant Management Software (encompassing POS, kitchen display, multi-location management, back-office tools like xtraCHEF, payroll, team management, reporting & analytics):
    • The global restaurant technology market size was valued at USD 16 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to USD 35 billion by 2035, at a CAGR of 7.4% from 2025.
    • The North American restaurant technology market was valued at USD 6 billion in 2024, with an expected increase to USD 14 billion in 2035.
    • The United States restaurant management market is projected to grow from USD 15.18 billion in 2025 to USD 32.09 billion by 2031, at a 13.29% CAGR.
    • The U.S. restaurant management software market generated a revenue of USD 1.56 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 3.36 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of 14.1% from 2025.
  • Payment Processing Solutions:
    • The global restaurant payments market size reached USD 56.2 billion in 2024 and is forecasted to reach USD 146.3 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 12.5% between 2025 and 2033.
    • North America's restaurant payments market accounted for approximately USD 19.6 billion in 2024.
    • The European restaurant payments market was USD 11.8 billion in 2024.
  • International Markets (Ireland, UK, Canada):
    • As of 2024, Toast's estimated total addressable market in Ireland, the UK, and Canada was 280,000 locations.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Toast (TOST) anticipates several key drivers to fuel its revenue growth over the next two to three years:

  • Expansion of Restaurant Locations: Toast is focused on significantly increasing its customer base by adding new restaurant locations across the United States. The company reported serving approximately 140,000 restaurant locations by March 31, 2025, a 25% year-over-year increase, and anticipates a similar pace of net location additions in 2025. This includes a strategy to expand within U.S. SMB restaurants and to broaden its reach into enterprise restaurants.
  • Product Innovation and Platform Diversification, including AI: Toast is continuously investing in research and development to introduce new products and services, enhancing its existing platform, and expanding its financial technology solutions. This includes leveraging AI to automate restaurant workflows, offer AI agents for tasks like marketing, payroll, and inventory management, and developing AI-driven personalization through tools like ToastIQ. Such innovations are expected to increase customer adoption and differentiate the platform.
  • International and New Vertical Market Expansion: The company is actively pursuing geographical expansion, with a particular focus on international markets such as the UK, Canada, Ireland, and Australia, with potential entry into Western Europe. Simultaneously, Toast is broadening its reach into adjacent verticals beyond its traditional small and medium-sized business (SMB) focus, including enterprise restaurants and food and beverage retail.
  • Growth in Fintech Solutions and Payment Volume: Toast's financial technology solutions, including payment processing and Toast Capital (loans advanced to restaurants), are expected to continue driving revenue growth. These solutions contribute significantly to recurring gross profit streams, with growth projected in these segments. The company is also working to optimize payment take rates through cost optimization and new products.

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Capital Allocation Decisions for Toast (TOST) (Last 3-5 Years)

Share Repurchases

  • Toast initiated a share buyback program in 2024.
  • Since the program's inception in 2024, Toast has repurchased approximately 8 million shares for $235 million, with $107 million of that occurring in 2025 through the repurchase of 3 million shares.
  • On February 10, 2026, the Board of Directors approved a $500 million increase to the existing share repurchase authorization, signaling confidence in the company's financial health and capital-return strategy.

Share Issuance

  • Toast's shares outstanding have consistently increased over the past few years, growing from 0.290 billion at the end of 2021 to 0.591 billion at the end of 2024.
  • As of September 30, 2025, shares outstanding were 609 million, representing a 3.22% increase year-over-year.
  • The company's IPO in 2021 involved significant share issuance.

Outbound Investments

  • Toast acquired Xtra Chef, Inc. for $49 million on June 8, 2021. The consideration included $23.5 million in cash and 0.56 million shares, with additional payments contingent on revenue targets.
  • Toast has made strategic integrations and acquisitions aimed at attracting larger enterprise clients and enhancing its platform, such as with Firehouse Subs and Zabar's.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures for the full year 2025 were $53 million, a slight decrease from $54 million in 2024.
  • The company's business model is considered capital-intensive, necessitating cash investments in working capital and capital expenditures, such as building new facilities.
  • Toast's capital expenditures are projected to be around 3% of revenue for increased investments in product innovation and expansion efforts, with an estimated $99 million for Q1 2026.

Better Bets vs. Toast (TOST)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TOSTFISVLSPDFOURPARMedian
NameToast Fiserv Lightspe.Shift4 P.PAR Tech. 
Mkt Price29.9651.1810.3749.2317.1929.96
Mkt Cap17.627.31.43.60.73.6
Rev LTM6,44621,0901,2274,4534764,453
Op Inc LTM3645,158-148365-67364
FCF LTM6544,127-4391-37391
FCF 3Y Avg3964,162-59299-32299
CFO LTM7146,01355672-27672
CFO 3Y Avg4485,775-25512-23448

Growth & Margins

TOSTFISVLSPDFOURPARMedian
NameToast Fiserv Lightspe.Shift4 P.PAR Tech. 
Rev Chg LTM23.4%1.9%14.0%28.3%23.9%23.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg29.0%5.2%18.9%27.7%20.1%20.1%
Rev Chg Q21.9%-2.0%14.7%32.2%19.4%19.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.8%-0.5%3.1%6.5%4.4%4.4%
Op Inc Chg LTM191.2%-15.1%-21.9%46.4%3.3%3.3%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg131.6%11.3%15.5%63.4%5.0%15.5%
Op Mgn LTM5.6%24.5%-12.0%8.2%-14.1%5.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg1.0%26.7%-14.8%7.1%-21.0%1.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.7%-2.4%-0.6%0.1%1.0%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM11.1%28.5%4.5%15.1%-5.6%11.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg8.0%28.2%-3.1%14.3%-6.4%8.0%
FCF/Rev LTM10.1%19.6%-0.3%8.8%-7.7%8.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg7.0%20.3%-6.1%8.4%-8.9%7.0%

Valuation

TOSTFISVLSPDFOURPARMedian
NameToast Fiserv Lightspe.Shift4 P.PAR Tech. 
Mkt Cap17.627.31.43.60.73.6
P/S2.71.31.20.81.51.3
P/Op Inc48.35.3-9.89.9-10.55.3
P/EBIT48.35.1-10.19.1-10.65.1
P/E42.78.5-10.030.9-9.28.5
P/CFO24.64.526.15.4-26.55.4
Total Yield2.3%11.7%-10.0%3.2%-10.8%2.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.4%7.1%-3.3%7.4%-3.4%2.4%
D/E0.01.10.01.30.60.6
Net D/E-0.11.1-0.31.10.50.5

Returns

TOSTFISVLSPDFOURPARMedian
NameToast Fiserv Lightspe.Shift4 P.PAR Tech. 
1M Rtn20.7%-4.8%7.7%19.5%15.4%15.4%
3M Rtn10.3%-12.9%16.6%8.3%25.2%10.3%
6M Rtn-17.2%-25.0%-15.1%-25.0%-54.6%-25.0%
12M Rtn-31.0%-69.1%-9.7%-51.2%-75.1%-51.2%
3Y Rtn19.5%-60.0%-41.6%-26.7%-49.4%-41.6%
1M Excs Rtn19.9%-7.4%5.4%34.8%24.1%19.9%
3M Excs Rtn7.7%-19.0%12.2%1.2%35.2%7.7%
6M Excs Rtn-26.8%-34.9%-24.0%-34.1%-62.4%-34.1%
12M Excs Rtn-52.0%-89.5%-31.3%-72.2%-95.0%-72.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-36.7%-129.5%-106.6%-94.4%-116.2%-106.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment6,1534,9603,865  
Financial technology solutions   2,2681,406
Hardware and professional services   139 
Subscription services   324169
Hardware    112
Professional services    18
Total6,1534,9603,8652,7311,705


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil202520242023
Single Segment34219-246
Total34219-246


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$29.96 
Market Cap ($ Bil)17.6 
First Trading Date09/22/2021 
Distance from 52W High-39.2% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$26.17$30.85
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA14.5%-2.9%
 3M1YR
Volatility53.6%46.2%
Downside Capture-20.86139.42
Upside Capture26.3064.25
Correlation (SPY)16.8%32.2%
TOST Betas & Captures as of 6/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.930.230.601.001.151.51
Up Beta1.760.820.950.911.011.46
Down Beta2.411.931.261.371.581.69
Up Capture64%-55%23%43%50%248%
Bmk +ve Days11244067140429
Stock +ve Days12233564128395
Down Capture-14%-68%11%125%130%109%
Bmk -ve Days10172358112321
Stock -ve Days9182860122347

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TOST
TOST-32.4%46.1%-0.70-
Sector ETF (XLK)41.9%24.4%1.3819.9%
Equity (SPY)20.8%12.6%1.2332.0%
Gold (GLD)20.0%27.9%0.64-5.6%
Commodities (DBC)27.6%18.9%1.16-9.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)13.3%13.9%0.6620.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-44.8%42.7%-1.2827.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TOST
TOST-14.6%61.0%-0.03-
Sector ETF (XLK)20.2%25.5%0.7147.3%
Equity (SPY)13.0%17.1%0.5952.9%
Gold (GLD)17.0%18.3%0.753.7%
Commodities (DBC)7.8%19.5%0.297.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.9%18.9%0.0642.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)13.6%53.5%0.4429.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TOST
TOST-7.6%61.0%-0.03-
Sector ETF (XLK)25.0%24.8%0.9147.3%
Equity (SPY)15.4%17.9%0.7352.9%
Gold (GLD)11.3%16.1%0.573.7%
Commodities (DBC)6.3%18.0%0.287.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.1%20.7%0.2142.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)57.7%66.2%0.9829.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date6302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity44.2 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 61520264.0%
Average Daily Volume18.9 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.3 days
Basic Shares Quantity587.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares7.5%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/10/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/7/2026-14.7%-21.5%-18.0%
2/12/20264.6%3.6%7.5%
11/4/20259.5%5.8%0.1%
8/5/2025-3.7%-7.6%-13.8%
5/8/202511.4%23.4%18.6%
2/19/20250.7%-5.9%-10.3%
11/7/202414.7%23.5%17.2%
8/6/2024-6.1%2.3%-0.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive12108
# Negative7911
Median Positive9.0%7.8%15.0%
Median Negative-14.7%-14.7%-12.7%
Max Positive16.8%23.5%22.8%
Max Negative-22.8%-36.7%-38.8%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/7/2026-14.7%-21.5%-18.0%
2/12/20264.6%3.6%7.5%
11/4/20259.5%5.8%0.1%
8/5/2025-3.7%-7.6%-13.8%
5/8/202511.4%23.4%18.6%
2/19/20250.7%-5.9%-10.3%
11/7/202414.7%23.5%17.2%
8/6/2024-6.1%2.3%-0.3%
5/7/202413.0%14.5%-4.7%
2/15/202416.8%9.8%22.4%
11/7/2023-13.7%-14.7%-12.7%
8/8/202314.6%14.3%7.9%
5/9/20238.5%-3.8%12.7%
2/16/2023-22.8%-21.0%-34.1%
11/10/20222.4%-7.8%-0.6%
8/11/20228.2%3.9%22.8%
5/12/20224.9%3.5%-1.8%
2/15/2022-18.2%-36.7%-32.6%
11/9/2021-17.7%-21.0%-38.8%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive12108
# Negative7911
Median Positive9.0%7.8%15.0%
Median Negative-14.7%-14.7%-12.7%
Max Positive16.8%23.5%22.8%
Max Negative-22.8%-36.7%-38.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/08/202610-Q
12/31/202502/18/202610-K
09/30/202511/05/202510-Q
06/30/202508/06/202510-Q
03/31/202505/09/202510-Q
12/31/202402/26/202510-K
09/30/202411/08/202410-Q
06/30/202408/07/202410-Q
03/31/202405/08/202410-Q
12/31/202302/27/202410-K
09/30/202311/08/202310-Q
06/30/202308/09/202310-Q
03/31/202305/10/202310-Q
12/31/202203/01/202310-K
09/30/202211/14/202210-Q
06/30/202208/12/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/08/202610-Q
12/31/202502/18/202610-K
09/30/202511/05/202510-Q
06/30/202508/06/202510-Q
03/31/202505/09/202510-Q
12/31/202402/26/202510-K
09/30/202411/08/202410-Q
06/30/202408/07/202410-Q
03/31/202405/08/202410-Q
12/31/202302/27/202410-K
09/30/202311/08/202310-Q
06/30/202308/09/202310-Q
03/31/202305/10/202310-Q
12/31/202203/01/202310-K
09/30/202211/14/202210-Q
06/30/202208/12/202210-Q
03/31/202205/13/202210-Q
12/31/202103/01/202210-K
09/30/202111/09/202110-Q
06/30/202109/22/2021424B4

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 7/12/2026

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/7/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2026 Non-GAAP subscription services and financial technology solutions gross profit565.00 Mil570.00 Mil575.00 Mil11.8% Higher NewGuidance: 510.00 Mil for Q1 2026
Q2 2026 Adjusted EBITDA185.00 Mil190.00 Mil195.00 Mil15.2% Higher NewGuidance: 165.00 Mil for Q1 2026
2026 Non-GAAP subscription services and financial technology solutions gross profit2.29 Bil2.31 Bil2.32 Bil0.9% RaisedGuidance: 2.29 Bil for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDA790.00 Mil800.00 Mil810.00 Mil1.9% RaisedGuidance: 785.00 Mil for 2026

Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/12/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 Non-GAAP Subscription Services and Financial Technology Solutions Gross Profit505.00 Mil510.00 Mil515.00 Mil5.2% Higher NewActual: 485.00 Mil for Q4 2025
Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDA160.00 Mil165.00 Mil170.00 Mil13.8% Higher NewActual: 145.00 Mil for Q4 2025
2026 Non-GAAP Subscription Services and Financial Technology Solutions Gross Profit2.27 Bil2.29 Bil2.30 Bil22.2% Higher NewActual: 1.87 Bil for 2025
2026 Adjusted EBITDA775.00 Mil785.00 Mil795.00 Mil27.6% Higher NewActual: 615.00 Mil for 2025

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/4/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2025 Non-GAAP subscription services and financial technology solutions gross profit480.00 Mil485.00 Mil490.00 Mil3.2% Higher NewGuidance: 470.00 Mil for Q3 2025
Q4 2025 Adjusted EBITDA140.00 Mil145.00 Mil150.00 Mil0 Same NewGuidance: 145.00 Mil for Q3 2025
2025 Non-GAAP subscription services and financial technology solutions gross profit1.86 Bil1.87 Bil1.88 Bil2.5% RaisedGuidance: 1.82 Bil for 2025
2025 Adjusted EBITDA610.00 Mil615.00 Mil620.00 Mil7.0% RaisedGuidance: 575.00 Mil for 2025

Insider Activity

Updated 7/9/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Vassil, JonathanChief Revenue OfficerDirectSell709202630.033,15094,5912,101,009Form
2Vassil, JonathanChief Revenue OfficerDirectSell706202628.856,647191,7592,018,449Form
3Narang, AmanCEODirectSell706202628.8514,365414,4162,032,441Form
4Elworthy, Brian RGeneral CounselDirectSell706202628.856,352183,2495,680,628Form
5Fredette, StephenPresidentDirectSell706202628.859,146263,85326,871,372Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Vassil, JonathanChief Revenue OfficerDirectSell709202630.033,15094,5912,101,009Form
2Vassil, JonathanChief Revenue OfficerDirectSell706202628.856,647191,7592,018,449Form
3Narang, AmanCEODirectSell706202628.8514,365414,4162,032,441Form
4Elworthy, Brian RGeneral CounselDirectSell706202628.856,352183,2495,680,628Form
5Fredette, StephenPresidentDirectSell706202628.859,146263,85326,871,372Form
6Gomez, ElenaPresident, CFODirectSell706202628.8511,605334,7935,341,392Form
7Elworthy, Brian RGeneral CounselDirectSell602202625.89108,0002,796,0304,909,673Form
8Patrick, Deval L DirectSell423202636.951,66761,5871,692,635Form
9Vassil, JonathanChief Revenue OfficerDirectSell403202626.196,438168,5923,839,486Form
10Elworthy, Brian RGeneral CounselDirectSell403202626.193,66495,9496,380,253Form
11Fredette, StephenPresidentDirectSell403202626.197,289190,87724,117,834Form
12Gomez, ElenaPresident, CFODirectSell403202626.198,929233,8244,532,027Form
13Narang, AmanCEODirectSell403202626.1913,463352,5561,414,438Form
14Chapman-Hughes, Susan DirectSell313202628.978,500246,245420,934Form
15Vassil, JonathanChief Revenue OfficerDirectSell204202630.341,45444,1224,245,053Form
16Narang, AmanCEODirectSell204202630.341,64850,00910,339,239Form
17Gomez, ElenaPresident, CFODirectSell204202630.341,43743,6064,995,667Form
18Fredette, StephenPresidentDirectSell204202630.341,06032,16627,707,018Form
19Elworthy, Brian RGeneral CounselDirectSell204202630.3464819,6647,199,685Form
20Elworthy, Brian RGeneral CounselDirectSell106202634.383,303113,5478,104,618Form
21Fredette, StephenPresidentDirectSell106202634.384,866167,27831,303,902Form
22Gomez, ElenaPresident, CFODirectSell106202634.386,672229,3635,574,334Form
23Narang, AmanCEODirectSell106202634.388,591295,33311,648,646Form
24Vassil, JonathanChief Revenue OfficerDirectSell106202634.384,787164,5632,743,353Form
25Vassil, JonathanChief Revenue OfficerDirectSell105202635.8666,3902,380,7453,033,362Form
26Elworthy, Brian RGeneral CounselDirectSell1105202535.541,05937,6368,139,035Form
27Fredette, StephenPresidentDirectSell1105202535.541,73261,55431,994,482Form
28Gomez, ElenaPresident, CFODirectSell1105202535.542,02171,8245,382,844Form
29Narang, AmanCEODirectSell1105202535.541,73261,55411,370,312Form
30Vassil, JonathanChief Revenue OfficerDirectSell1105202535.541,44251,2472,538,338Form
31Narang, AmanCEODirectSell1003202535.5613,652485,52011,314,687Form
32Elworthy, Brian RGeneral CounselDirectSell1003202535.564,987177,3588,105,889Form
33Fredette, StephenPresidentDirectSell1003202535.567,550268,50831,953,365Form
34Gomez, ElenaPresident, CFODirectSell1003202535.569,054321,9965,319,379Form
35Vassil, JonathanChief Revenue OfficerDirectSell1003202535.566,530232,2332,487,062Form
36Bell, Paul D DirectSell822202542.3812,500529,7509,615,683Form
37Elworthy, Brian RGeneral CounselDirectSell806202548.381,05150,84310,781,462Form
38Fredette, StephenPresidentDirectSell806202548.381,72083,20743,094,212Form
39Gomez, ElenaPresident, CFODirectSell806202548.382,00697,0426,833,739Form
40Vassil, JonathanChief Revenue OfficerDirectSell806202548.381,42769,0333,062,104Form
41Narang, AmanCEODirectSell806202548.381,71983,15814,720,817Form
42Elworthy, Brian RGeneral CounselDirectSell707202542.595,681241,9659,445,500Form
43Fredette, StephenPresidentDirectSell707202542.597,647325,70137,865,012Form
44Gomez, ElenaPresident, CFODirectSell707202542.5634,1701,454,4245,931,643Form
45Narang, AmanCEODirectSell707202542.5913,829589,00512,883,995Form
46Vassil, JonathanChief Revenue OfficerDirectSell707202542.596,592280,7662,631,802Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Jul 14, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank and community-bank filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
HMI Capital Management, L.P.$101.1 Mil13.4%11TRIM -11.4%13F
Lead Edge Capital Management, LLC$34.6 Mil8.5%12New13F
XN LP$172.6 Mil6.3%23TRIM -27.6%13F
ValueAct Holdings, L.P.$341.9 Mil6.0%18ADD +60.9%13F
Greenvale Capital LLP$53.0 Mil5.8%12ADD +5.3%13F
12 West Capital Management LP$33.1 Mil5.6%20TRIM -32.5%13F
Alta Fox Capital Management, LLC$19.6 Mil5.2%9New13F
Arohi Asset Management PTE Ltd.$14.0 Mil5.1%7ADD +118.9%13F
Shannon River Fund Management LLC$19.4 Mil3.7%28New13F
Nixon Capital, LLC$10.1 Mil3.4%22New13F
Meritage Group LP$90.4 Mil3.4%13New13F
Greenhouse Funds LLLP$52.3 Mil2.5%28ADD +6.1%13F
Cander Asset Management LP$13.7 Mil2.5%43ADD +34.4%13F
Sands Capital Alternatives, LLC$8.0 Mil1.9%21Hold13F
Stony Point Capital LLC$21.7 Mil1.8%31New13F
Park West Asset Management LLC$19.7 Mil1.7%48Hold13F
Hawk Ridge Capital Management LP$6.8 Mil0.2%48New13F
Skye Global Management LP$6.6 Mil0.1%44New13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Meritage Group LP$90.4 Mil3.4%13New13F
Lead Edge Capital Management, LLC$34.6 Mil8.5%12New13F
Stony Point Capital LLC$21.7 Mil1.8%31New13F
Alta Fox Capital Management, LLC$19.6 Mil5.2%9New13F
Shannon River Fund Management LLC$19.4 Mil3.7%28New13F
Nixon Capital, LLC$10.1 Mil3.4%22New13F
Hawk Ridge Capital Management LP$6.8 Mil0.2%48New13F
Skye Global Management LP$6.6 Mil0.1%44New13F
Arohi Asset Management PTE Ltd.$14.0 Mil5.1%7ADD +118.9%13F
ValueAct Holdings, L.P.$341.9 Mil6.0%18ADD +60.9%13F
Cander Asset Management LP$13.7 Mil2.5%43ADD +34.4%13F
Greenhouse Funds LLLP$52.3 Mil2.5%28ADD +6.1%13F
Greenvale Capital LLP$53.0 Mil5.8%12ADD +5.3%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQAs OfFiling
Durable Capital Partners LP$81.6 Mil0.8%40ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Greenoaks Capital Partners LLC$24.2 Mil0.8%10ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Philadelphia Financial Management of San Francisco, LLC$9.2 Mil1.9%46ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Partners Group Holding AG$6.6 Mil0.4%49ExitedDec 31, 202513F
12 West Capital Management LP$33.1 Mil5.6%20TRIM -32.5%Mar 31, 202613F
XN LP$172.6 Mil6.3%23TRIM -27.6%Mar 31, 202613F
HMI Capital Management, L.P.$101.1 Mil13.4%11TRIM -11.4%Mar 31, 202613F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
ValueAct Holdings, L.P.$341.9 Mil6.0%18ADD +60.9%13F
XN LP$172.6 Mil6.3%23TRIM -27.6%13F
HMI Capital Management, L.P.$101.1 Mil13.4%11TRIM -11.4%13F
Meritage Group LP$90.4 Mil3.4%13New13F
Greenvale Capital LLP$53.0 Mil5.8%12ADD +5.3%13F
Greenhouse Funds LLLP$52.3 Mil2.5%28ADD +6.1%13F
Lead Edge Capital Management, LLC$34.6 Mil8.5%12New13F
12 West Capital Management LP$33.1 Mil5.6%20TRIM -32.5%13F
Stony Point Capital LLC$21.7 Mil1.8%31New13F
Park West Asset Management LLC$19.7 Mil1.7%48Hold13F
Alta Fox Capital Management, LLC$19.6 Mil5.2%9New13F
Shannon River Fund Management LLC$19.4 Mil3.7%28New13F
Arohi Asset Management PTE Ltd.$14.0 Mil5.1%7ADD +118.9%13F
Cander Asset Management LP$13.7 Mil2.5%43ADD +34.4%13F
Nixon Capital, LLC$10.1 Mil3.4%22New13F
Sands Capital Alternatives, LLC$8.0 Mil1.9%21Hold13F
Hawk Ridge Capital Management LP$6.8 Mil0.2%48New13F
Skye Global Management LP$6.6 Mil0.1%44New13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 7/13/2026