Lightspeed Commerce (LSPD)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $11.33 | Market Cap: $1.6 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software
Lightspeed Commerce (LSPD)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $11.33Market Cap: $1.6 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Application Software
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -28% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -83%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -97% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -126 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -11% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 48% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -47% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Cloud Computing, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -28% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 48% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Cloud Computing, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -83%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -97% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -126 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -11% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -47% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
LSPD Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points highlighting why Lightspeed Commerce (LSPD) stock moved by -8.4% during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Lightspeed continued to face significant profitability challenges and margin pressures. The company's financial health presented a mixed picture, with a negative operating margin of -11.6% and a considerably negative net margin of -62.54% as of November 6, 2025, for the fiscal quarter ending September 2025.
2. The company reported a negative net margin and return on equity. As of December 4, 2025, Lightspeed Commerce exhibited a negative net margin of 11.75% and a negative return on equity of 5.25%.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LSPD Return | 152% | -43% | -65% | 47% | -27% | -27% | -60% |
| Peers Return | 13% | -2% | -7% | 5% | 55% | 836% | 1483% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LSPD Win Rate | 42% | 58% | 25% | 50% | 33% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 13% | 10% | 9% | 30% | 44% | 36% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LSPD Max Drawdown | -68% | -45% | -68% | -13% | -44% | -48% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -5% | -4% | -8% | -15% | -8% | -51% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ADSK, HIT, BMR, BTTC, CCC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | LSPD | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -90.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 904.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -73.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 283.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 198 days | 148 days |
Compare to ADSK, HIT, BMR, BTTC, CCC
In The Past
Lightspeed Commerce's stock fell -90.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/22/2021. A -90.0% loss requires a 904.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to LSPD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Lightspeed Commerce
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 5.49 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.6 |
| Rev LTM | 1,026 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1 |
| FCF LTM | 128 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 216 |
| CFO LTM | 170 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 271 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 14.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 11.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 16.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 5.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 6.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 21.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 29.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 14.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.6 |
| P/S | 1.8 |
| P/EBIT | 24.6 |
| P/E | 35.8 |
| P/CFO | 34.3 |
| Total Yield | 1.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -0.1% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -8.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -17.3% |
| 6M Rtn | -6.5% |
| 12M Rtn | -27.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 9.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -8.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -21.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -21.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -45.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -56.4% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 6-K 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5222025 | 40-F 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2062025 | 6-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5162024 | 40-F 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2082024 | 6-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5182023 | 40-F 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2022023 | 6-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5192022 | 40-F 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2032022 | 6-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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